I just bet Trump -108 to win Republican nomination

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  • ACoochy
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 08-19-09
    • 13949

    #36
    Originally posted by Dan Kelly
    No Republican who has won both New Hampshire and South Carolina has NOT gone on to win the Republican nomination.



    I don't think you will ever get a chance to get even money odds on Trump as the Republican nominee again.
    BoL
    Still paying +112 betfair
    Comment
    • d2bets
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 08-10-05
      • 39995

      #37
      Originally posted by ACoochy
      Still paying +112 betfair
      Yep. Think about it. It looks so damn easy, right. Then why isn't it budging. Sharps know better. As the field whittles, his lead shrinks. Bush is going to drop out and Carson is mostly a non-factor anyway. But Kasich is the wild-card because his votes could tilt states like Mich and Ohio and some others.
      Comment
      • d2bets
        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
        • 08-10-05
        • 39995

        #38
        Jeb(!) has to decide whether he wants to help Trump (stay in) or help Rubio (get out).
        Comment
        • ACoochy
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 08-19-09
          • 13949

          #39
          Originally posted by d2bets
          Yep. Think about it. It looks so damn easy, right. Then why isn't it budging. Sharps know better. As the field whittles, his lead shrinks. Bush is going to drop out and Carson is mostly a non-factor anyway. But Kasich is the wild-card because his votes could tilt states like Mich and Ohio and some others.
          Not only that but Dump Trumps poll numbers arent able to reach over 30-35% largely due to the number of people that dont like the guy.

          Yeah he has his devoted bunch of unquestioning mindless slaves but beyond that he's gonna find it extremely difficult to grow his base with his decisive behaviour...
          Comment
          • d2bets
            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
            • 08-10-05
            • 39995

            #40
            Kasich is critical, but he'll probably stay in. If he dropped out, that would hurt Trump bad.
            Comment
            • jtoler
              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
              • 12-17-13
              • 30967

              #41
              Ive heard if it gets down to Trump and whoever a back room deal will be made and Trump wont get the delegates, thats the Republican trick up their sleeve.
              Comment
              • d2bets
                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                • 08-10-05
                • 39995

                #42
                Originally posted by jtoler
                Ive heard if it gets down to Trump and whoever a back room deal will be made and Trump wont get the delegates, thats the Republican trick up their sleeve.
                Yes, if nobody has a majority going in, which is a real possibility if it splits 3 ways.
                Comment
                • TheGuesser
                  SBR MVP
                  • 08-10-05
                  • 2714

                  #43
                  I wouldn't be surprised if Rubio is the betting favorite, or at least very close to odds with Trump, when it comes back up. It's still gonna be tough for Trump to get the needed delegates to avoid a brokered convention, and when/if there's a brokered convention, Trump, and Cruz are toast.
                  Comment
                  • Goat Milk
                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                    • 03-24-10
                    • 25850

                    #44
                    way better odds for him to win the ship

                    if a woman wins president i'll never vote again
                    Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
                    Comment
                    • d2bets
                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                      • 08-10-05
                      • 39995

                      #45
                      Originally posted by TheGuesser
                      I wouldn't be surprised if Rubio is the betting favorite, or at least very close to odds with Trump, when it comes back up. It's still gonna be tough for Trump to get the needed delegates to avoid a brokered convention, and when/if there's a brokered convention, Trump, and Cruz are toast.
                      There are already betting markets, like Betfair. Trump is like 49%, Rubio 44%, Cruz 3%. It's close to a coinflip between Trump and Rubio. I wonder what the Nevada odds will come back at. Likely Trump wins, but could be close.

                      And Rubio is at better to odds be President than Trump. Trump +500, Rubio +400. Trump is almost +200 implied now if he wins nom. Rubio around +110.
                      Comment
                      • Dan Kelly
                        SBR MVP
                        • 02-19-11
                        • 1332

                        #46
                        Today, Trump is -250 at bookmaker.eu and -240 at 5dimes to win the Republican nomination. This was way too easy, and if you didn't jump on this last week it is still not too late -> he will soon be 1 to 5 (that's when I will cover my stake). Just to reiterate, this has nothing to do with politics, I don't care who you want to be president and it would be silly and ignorant to use this forum to tell you why to vote for someone. This is just a real good bet because of the momentum => 2 months ago Trump was a snowflake falling on the top of a mountain, a month ago a golf ball size snowball started rolling down, after New Hampshire it was as big as a softball, after South Carolina it was as big as a basketball, now it's as big as a car and soon it will be an avalanche.

                        If they were all that easy I'd be as rich as Trump.


                        BoL
                        Comment
                        • brooks85
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 01-05-09
                          • 44709

                          #47
                          Originally posted by Grits n' Gravy
                          That will work out real well for him when the government decides to call him on his bullshit.
                          ? you're not making sense.
                          Comment
                          • Dan Kelly
                            SBR MVP
                            • 02-19-11
                            • 1332

                            #48
                            Originally posted by brooks85
                            ? you're not making sense.

                            Usually, when you have a bet where one side of it makes a lot of sense, and the other side is nonsense => take the side that makes sense.


                            BoL
                            Comment
                            • RudyRuetigger
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 08-24-10
                              • 65084

                              #49
                              I have about 47 cents
                              Comment
                              • jt315
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 11-12-11
                                • 21987

                                #50
                                Originally posted by Dan Kelly
                                Today, Trump is -250 at bookmaker.eu and -240 at 5dimes to win the Republican nomination. This was way too easy, and if you didn't jump on this last week it is still not too late -> he will soon be 1 to 5 (that's when I will cover my stake). Just to reiterate, this has nothing to do with politics, I don't care who you want to be president and it would be silly and ignorant to use this forum to tell you why to vote for someone. This is just a real good bet because of the momentum => 2 months ago Trump was a snowflake falling on the top of a mountain, a month ago a golf ball size snowball started rolling down, after New Hampshire it was as big as a softball, after South Carolina it was as big as a basketball, now it's as big as a car and soon it will be an avalanche.

                                If they were all that easy I'd be as rich as Trump.


                                BoL

                                As as each day passes , the panic level increases for the establishment. Wait til next Tuesday's bloodbath.

                                Comment
                                • Dan Kelly
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 02-19-11
                                  • 1332

                                  #51
                                  Originally posted by RudyRuetigger
                                  I have about 47 cents

                                  LOGIC not PENNIES!!


                                  BoL
                                  Comment
                                  • Dan Kelly
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 02-19-11
                                    • 1332

                                    #52
                                    Current Odds.


                                    bookmaker.eu

                                    WILL DONALD TRUMP BE THE REPUBLICAN NOMINEE ?
                                    <small style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative; font-size: 12px;">12:00 AM</small>
                                    YES <label style="margin: 0px; padding: 0.75em; position: relative; font-size: 14px; text-align: center; display: block; cursor: pointer; border: 1px solid rgb(213, 213, 213); border-radius: 0.3em;">-280</label> 3K USD
                                    NO <label style="margin: 0px; padding: 0.75em; position: relative; font-size: 14px; text-align: center; display: block; cursor: pointer; border: 1px solid rgb(213, 213, 213); border-radius: 0.3em;">+215</label>
                                    <small>5Dimes
                                    Republican Presidential Nominee - Republican National Convention</small>
                                    Mon 7/18 901 Donald Trump is Republican Nominee <input id="editx" name="M1_23" size="4" style="font-size: 1em; font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, Arial, sans-serif; color: rgb(68, 68, 68);"> -280
                                    8:00AM 902 Field wins Republican Nomination <input id="editx" name="M2_23" size="4" style="font-size: 1em; font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, Arial, sans-serif; color: rgb(68, 68, 68);"> +220

                                    BoL
                                    Comment
                                    • jtoler
                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                      • 12-17-13
                                      • 30967

                                      #53
                                      Originally posted by Dan Kelly
                                      Current Odds.


                                      bookmaker.eu

                                      WILL DONALD TRUMP BE THE REPUBLICAN NOMINEE ?
                                      <small style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative; font-size: 12px;">12:00 AM</small>
                                      YES <label style="margin: 0px; padding: 0.75em; position: relative; font-size: 14px; text-align: center; display: block; cursor: pointer; border: 1px solid rgb(213, 213, 213); border-radius: 0.3em;">-280</label> 3K USD
                                      NO <label style="margin: 0px; padding: 0.75em; position: relative; font-size: 14px; text-align: center; display: block; cursor: pointer; border: 1px solid rgb(213, 213, 213); border-radius: 0.3em;">+215</label>
                                      <small>5Dimes
                                      Republican Presidential Nominee - Republican National Convention</small>
                                      Mon 7/18 901 Donald Trump is Republican Nominee <input id="editx" name="M1_23" size="4" style="font-size: 1em; font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, Arial, sans-serif; color: rgb(68, 68, 68);"> -280
                                      8:00AM 902 Field wins Republican Nomination <input id="editx" name="M2_23" size="4" style="font-size: 1em; font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, Arial, sans-serif; color: rgb(68, 68, 68);"> +220

                                      BoL
                                      Easy money?
                                      Comment
                                      • No coincidences
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 01-18-10
                                        • 76300

                                        #54
                                        Originally posted by ACoochy
                                        No offense OP but you got a shitty # there...

                                        Still +136 at betfair
                                        Bad bet period. I don't care what the odds are now.
                                        Comment
                                        • indio
                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                          • 06-03-11
                                          • 751

                                          #55
                                          You just have to hope Arthur Bremer isn't getting the itch to be famous again.
                                          Comment
                                          • TheLock
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 04-06-08
                                            • 14427

                                            #56
                                            -108 is a square line.

                                            Sounds like that book is begging for Trump action.

                                            Trump could take a hot dump on his wife's face in one of these Town Halls and he would go UP in the polls and not down.

                                            Seems he can't lose this clown.
                                            Comment
                                            • TheLock
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 04-06-08
                                              • 14427

                                              #57
                                              Originally posted by Dan Kelly
                                              Usually, when you have a bet where one side of it makes a lot of sense, and the other side is nonsense => take the side that makes sense.


                                              BoL

                                              Really, guy?
                                              Comment
                                              • KingJD31
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 11-04-11
                                                • 8167

                                                #58
                                                Cruz +3300 deff has some value but I think trump just about locked it up
                                                Comment
                                                • tatddy
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 03-02-10
                                                  • 10779

                                                  #59
                                                  Gonna be mildly humorous if Trump loses after Dan patted himself on the back for weeks on his good line.

                                                  Better for the Country though. Slightly worse for SNL.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • jjgold
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 07-20-05
                                                    • 388179

                                                    #60
                                                    Kelly your on the right side
                                                    here

                                                    Tremendous pick
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Jaug
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 01-11-09
                                                      • 3087

                                                      #61
                                                      Remember Trump has gone from +300 to -200 in like 1.5 weeks. This politic betting is like a micro cap stock. It goes up and down like a hooker on a good night.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • No coincidences
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 01-18-10
                                                        • 76300

                                                        #62
                                                        Originally posted by tatddy
                                                        Gonna be mildly humorous if Trump loses after Dan patted himself on the back for weeks on his good line.

                                                        Better for the Country though. Slightly worse for SNL.
                                                        Trump has his loyal base, which is factored into his current numbers. But how can the RNC believe he is even mildly electable among undecideds and independents? If they're dumb enough to believe he would fare well in a general election with swing voters, I guess they're dumb enough to lose the election. Again.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Itsamazing777
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 11-14-12
                                                          • 12602

                                                          #63
                                                          Honestly none of the big states have even counted yet....

                                                          you guys know how many delegates there are, lol....

                                                          jeb bush couldnt lose 6 months ago....
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Dan Kelly
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 02-19-11
                                                            • 1332

                                                            #64
                                                            Too late, but don't say you weren't told about the free money.

                                                            At 5dimes now =

                                                            <small>Republican Presidential Nominee - Republican National Convention</small>
                                                            Mon 7/18 901 Donald Trump is Republican Nominee <input id="editx" name="M1_36" size="4" style="font-size: 1em; font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, Arial, sans-serif; color: rgb(68, 68, 68);"> -360
                                                            8:00AM 902 Field wins Republican Nomination <input id="editx" name="M2_36" size="4" style="font-size: 1em; font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, Arial, sans-serif; color: rgb(68, 68, 68);"> +300



                                                            BoL
                                                            Comment
                                                            • 15805
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 06-10-12
                                                              • 3604

                                                              #65
                                                              Bookmaker 2/28/16

                                                              WILL DONALD TRUMP BE THE REPUBLICAN NOMINEE ?
                                                              <small>7:00 PM</small>
                                                              YES <label> -431 </label> 3k USD
                                                              NO <label> +320 </label>
                                                              Comment
                                                              • jtoler
                                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                • 12-17-13
                                                                • 30967

                                                                #66
                                                                Originally posted by Dan Kelly
                                                                Too late, but don't say you weren't told about the free money.
                                                                lol
                                                                Comment
                                                                • DwightShrute
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 01-17-09
                                                                  • 103379

                                                                  #67
                                                                  WOW! THANK YOU ALABAMA! Everyone get out and vote on Tuesday- and we will MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN!






                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • d2bets
                                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                    • 08-10-05
                                                                    • 39995

                                                                    #68
                                                                    Originally posted by 15805
                                                                    Bookmaker 2/28/16

                                                                    WILL DONALD TRUMP BE THE REPUBLICAN NOMINEE ?
                                                                    <small>7:00 PM</small>
                                                                    YES <label> -431 </label> 3k USD
                                                                    NO <label> +320 </label>
                                                                    Now Trump -461

                                                                    Coinciding with Trump's rise is a rise in the odds on Hillary/Dems to win presidency. Dems -202.

                                                                    I never thought Hillary could be President, but thanks to The Donald, she probably will be. Just remember who you have to thank when you have to listen to her for the next 4 years.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • DwightShrute
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 01-17-09
                                                                      • 103379

                                                                      #69
                                                                      Originally posted by d2bets
                                                                      Now Trump -461

                                                                      Coinciding with Trump's rise is a rise in the odds on Hillary/Dems to win presidency. Dems -202.
                                                                      he'll be favored before you know it. Just a matter of time

                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • d2bets
                                                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                        • 08-10-05
                                                                        • 39995

                                                                        #70
                                                                        Originally posted by DwightShrute
                                                                        he'll be favored before you know it. Just a matter of time

                                                                        Just remember who you'll have to thank when Bill is smoking a cigar in the Lincoln Bedroom.
                                                                        Comment
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