Carolina +3 (-120) Green Bay

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  • stevenash
    Moderator
    • 01-17-11
    • 65623

    #1
    Carolina +3 (-120) Green Bay
    Reasons why I like the Pathers in this spot.

    Carolina's defense is second ranked in the NFL. (depending on which metric you want to use)
    Carolina's pass defense will not allow Rodgers to pass at will.
    Panthers second in the league in picks, not saying Rodgers will throw multiple picks, but this ain't Lameau.
    Panthers have the top ranked pass defense in the NFL regarding yards per attempt, Josh Norman is playing out of his shoes this season, top 3 cornerbacks in the league, he's a interception machine, I don't think Rodgers will go that way.

    Not saying Rodgers and Cobb won't get some, I am saying this is a very hostile environment against a very dangeerous defense.

    Green Bay's backfield, at best is middle of the pack.
    Lacy has been off his game all season, I think he's banged up more than the team lets on, and Starks is OK, he's not elite, not horseshit either.

    Together those two are not Stewart and Cam combined, puting it in perspective, Starks and Lacy together have only about 90 rushing yards more than Stewart alone 593/505, then you add in Cam......
    But, I don't want to mislead anybody, running the ball is not really Green Bay's game, throwing the ball is, and like I just explained, Carolina is really really good against teams that throw the ball.

    Green Bay's defense is not that bad as some people think it is, they are middle of the pack run defense, they are solid with pass defense, not quite St. Louis, or Arizona, or Carolina good, but solid.

    It's no secret, Carolina's offense is Cam and Olsen, if GB locks down Olsen Newton need to get Ginn involved.
    Carolina should try to get Stewart involved early, you know establish the run to soften up the defense and then go to Olsen and Ginn and all that other bullshit.

    Same with Green Bay, Rodgers should not have an easy time throwing today, so maybe GB should establish a ground game early with Starks and Lacy, that's the soft spot of the Panther defense.

    OK, I am not going to go and on, you get it, Nasher likes Carolina at home today.

    a) Carolina has a better pass defense, much better.
    b) Carolina has a better running attack
    c) Carolina has a better overall defense.
    d) I like home dogs, this (in my opinion) is a great home dog situation. The fans are loud, the Panthers can not let up, Atlanta is right there in the division with them.
    e) They are undefeated for a reason.
    f) look at how Green Bay has fared against teams with good defenses, yes thet beat Seattle in week 2, however Seahwaks were a train wreck in the first three weeks without Chancellor being all sorts of babyish, and Lynch banged up and on and on.
    Denvers defense made Packers cry, Carolina's defense is just about as good.

    I'll really like the home dogs here.

    I'm on Panthers, I'm expecting the Packer faithful to chime in with "yeah, but Green Bay is this, and Green Bay is that", it's all good, I'm not pissing on and disrespecting everything Packer Green, I admire everything they have done and will do, I'm just saying this is a terrific spot to fade them for one Sunday afternoon.

    Now get out there and make some money damn it !
  • tony_come
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 03-31-10
    • 21695

    #2
    I like this bet. Good luck to us
    Comment
    • sharper2
      SBR MVP
      • 03-30-10
      • 2724

      #3
      Like Carolina in this spot too. Should be a great game so i'll just sit back and watch and maybe make a 2nd half play. Goodluck!
      Comment
      • pavyracer
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 04-12-07
        • 82839

        #4
        It's very hard to beat an undefeated team on the road. When was the last time a 7-0 team lost at home?
        Comment
        • stevenash
          Moderator
          • 01-17-11
          • 65623

          #5
          Originally posted by sharper2
          Like Carolina in this spot too. Should be a great game so i'll just sit back and watch and maybe make a 2nd half play. Goodluck!
          Game of the day in my opinion, my wife is a Pats fan, the should roll Washington, not laying 15, I'm a Giants fan, I'll watch that as a fan, but that's a horseshit game too, Jets/Jags? Yawn.

          Without question the marquis game of the day, I don't have Direct, I got Optimum I can't get it here in Connecticut, taking the Mrs. to the sports bar watching it on the 12 foot big screen in the back room, eat wings until I puke.

          I love Sundays !
          Comment
          • seaborneq
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 09-08-06
            • 22556

            #6
            Originally posted by pavyracer
            It's very hard to beat an undefeated team on the road. When was the last time a 7-0 team lost at home?
            Don't go there. All that matters is what happens between the lines today.
            Comment
            • JMon
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 12-11-09
              • 9800

              #7
              Gl Steve. Staying away from this game.
              Comment
              • sharper2
                SBR MVP
                • 03-30-10
                • 2724

                #8
                Originally posted by stevenash
                Game of the day in my opinion, my wife is a Pats fan, the should roll Washington, not laying 15, I'm a Giants fan, I'll watch that as a fan, but that's a horseshit game too, Jets/Jags? Yawn.

                Without question the marquis game of the day, I don't have Direct, I got Optimum I can't get it here in Connecticut, taking the Mrs. to the sports bar watching it on the 12 foot big screen in the back room, eat wings until I puke.

                I love Sundays !
                I'm a huge pats fan and the more I look at it teasing carolina, pats, and the over in the nyg/tampa game looks tempting. think theres gonna be lots of points scored in that giants game, need eli and odell to kill it in fantasy for me

                also you're spot on with the wings. enjoy the games
                Comment
                • Mr KLC
                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                  • 12-19-07
                  • 31097

                  #9
                  Going with the NFL parity rules on this one. Two of the more elite teams in the NFL. One got trounced last week. They come back this week, and win against the team that has been doing well. Packers win.
                  Comment
                  • kidcudi92
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 12-14-11
                    • 15434

                    #10
                    Agree, I'm on the ML

                    Packers get exposed again
                    Comment
                    • TwoWays
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 03-24-10
                      • 13145

                      #11
                      Steven good luck.
                      Comment
                      • BennyBigNuts
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 04-16-12
                        • 8700

                        #12
                        Originally posted by stevenash
                        Game of the day in my opinion, my wife is a Pats fan, the should roll Washington, not laying 15, I'm a Giants fan, I'll watch that as a fan, but that's a horseshit game too, Jets/Jags? Yawn.

                        Without question the marquis game of the day, I don't have Direct, I got Optimum I can't get it here in Connecticut, taking the Mrs. to the sports bar watching it on the 12 foot big screen in the back room, eat wings until I puke.

                        I love Sundays !
                        You and that fat pig should be hitting up a Subway or a smoothie shop.

                        Comment
                        • TwoWays
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 03-24-10
                          • 13145

                          #13
                          Benny, that cake looks kinda sexy
                          Comment
                          • tony_come
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 03-31-10
                            • 21695

                            #14
                            TW you're better than that
                            Comment
                            • stevenash
                              Moderator
                              • 01-17-11
                              • 65623

                              #15
                              Stay classy Benny.
                              Fukking idiot, lives to troll me.
                              Benny, need a 20 to buy a life?
                              He lost 20000 dollars of air on the Mets.

                              There's a reason why I am SBR's premier poster.
                              Comment
                              • jjgold
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 07-20-05
                                • 388179

                                #16
                                Have to take points

                                Rogers does struggle with tougher defenses
                                Comment
                                • packerd_00
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 05-22-13
                                  • 17811

                                  #17
                                  Well GL,I cant go against the Packers though. I think Rodgers will come back firing after that debacle last week.
                                  Comment
                                  • gauchojake
                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                    • 09-17-10
                                    • 34116

                                    #18
                                    GL Nash. Green bay is good not great and have looked pedestrian against top defenses.
                                    Comment
                                    • stevenash
                                      Moderator
                                      • 01-17-11
                                      • 65623

                                      #19
                                      It's not a five star bomb
                                      I like Carolina for 3* +3

                                      Miami +185 money line looks tempting too.
                                      Comment
                                      • JIBBBY
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 12-10-09
                                        • 83686

                                        #20
                                        Panthers have no pass rush as witnessed in their last game. No pressure on Rodgers spells trouble for the Panthers secondary all day long..

                                        Like the Packers to rebound from the Denver loss and out score the Panthers in this one..
                                        Comment
                                        • stevenash
                                          Moderator
                                          • 01-17-11
                                          • 65623

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by JIBBBY
                                          Panthers have no pass rush as witnessed in their last game. No pressure on Rodgers spells trouble for the Panthers secondary all day long..

                                          Like the Packers to rebound from the Denver loss and out score the Panthers in this one..
                                          Rodgers just went down like a ton of bricks. Carolina bringing the house
                                          Comment
                                          • AaronRodgers12
                                            SBR Hustler
                                            • 10-29-15
                                            • 62

                                            #22
                                            Normally agree with u Nashy but not this time!

                                            Green bay win by 10+
                                            Comment
                                            • kidcudi92
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 12-14-11
                                              • 15434

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by AaronRodgers12
                                              Normally agree with u Nashy but not this time!

                                              Green bay win by 10+
                                              says this after GB scores a TD
                                              Comment
                                              • TwoWays
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 03-24-10
                                                • 13145

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by AaronRodgers12
                                                Normally agree with u Nashy but not this time!

                                                Green bay win by 10+
                                                These new guys are disgusting. Always wait for team to take lead before posting opposite pick
                                                Comment
                                                • AaronRodgers12
                                                  SBR Hustler
                                                  • 10-29-15
                                                  • 62

                                                  #25
                                                  I bet for real unlike most here

                                                  Originally posted by kidcudi92
                                                  says this after GB scores a TD
                                                  Comment
                                                  • kidcudi92
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 12-14-11
                                                    • 15434

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by AaronRodgers12
                                                    I bet for real unlike most here
                                                    ok?? you posted a prediction after the game started and your pick scored a TD
                                                    Comment
                                                    • packerd_00
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 05-22-13
                                                      • 17811

                                                      #27
                                                      Hell of a throw by Cam,got them out of a huge jam.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • TwoWays
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 03-24-10
                                                        • 13145

                                                        #28
                                                        Where's that newb now.? These guys really get on my last nerves trying to go at seasoned vets
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Allure
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 08-18-10
                                                          • 7606

                                                          #29
                                                          Rodgers finally getting exposed for who he really is. Gaylord has to play Chicago every week to put up good numbers. Once he faces solid defences like Broncos or Panthers he is getting fukked. Green Bay won't go anywhere.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • packerd_00
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 05-22-13
                                                            • 17811

                                                            #30
                                                            It aint over till the fat lady sings,did we not just see what happended last week with Indianapolis.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Allure
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 08-18-10
                                                              • 7606

                                                              #31
                                                              Cam Newton is scoring at will. Rodgers has 38 yards thru 2 quarters. Green Bay defense can't stop a beach ball, so it's pretty much over.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • TwoWays
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 03-24-10
                                                                • 13145

                                                                #32
                                                                Rodgers loss his elite receiver. Guy has been overcoming but it catches up.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • packerd_00
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 05-22-13
                                                                  • 17811

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by Allure
                                                                  Cam Newton is scoring at will. Rodgers has 38 yards thru 2 quarters. Green Bay defense can't stop a beach ball, so it's pretty much over.
                                                                  Luck was a useless tit aswell don't forget until the Panthers let off the gas pedal once theyd put up that huge lead. Just saying never like to count a team out of it until its completly finished,especially not a team with Rodgers chucking the ball.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • AaronRodgers12
                                                                    SBR Hustler
                                                                    • 10-29-15
                                                                    • 62

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Can I see 1 of ur bet slips or screenshots?

                                                                    All air bettors
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Allure
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 08-18-10
                                                                      • 7606

                                                                      #35
                                                                      27-7

                                                                      Green Bay... Don't you worry Rodgers, you play Detroit next week, so everyone will think your a legit QB again.
                                                                      Comment
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