Looking at this Tampa Bay / White Sox game tonight.

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  • stevenash
    Moderator
    • 01-17-11
    • 65684

    #1
    Looking at this Tampa Bay / White Sox game tonight.
    Nate Karns and Jose Quintana are the starters.
    Line sitting at +125/-135
    Game is in Chicago
    The under is 8 and it's juiced to high heavens at -125

    Here's what screaming at me.
    Quintana can't get right handed hitting out, the splits say RH bats are .297/.336 off of JQ.
    RHB have hit nine home runs and six triples as well. (that's a crap load of triples)

    I'm expecting Tampa Bay will go with that all right handed line up tonight like they used earlier this week against Boston, LH James Loney to the bench, slide Logan Forsythe and his .280 12 HR stick to first base, Sousa just went to the DL, probably DH Butler and his .280 bat to bat second, Evan Longoria's HR numbers are down, but he still can rake with the best of them, Asdrubal Cabrera is 100 percent and he's been crushing the ball the past five games, yesterday he was 2 for 4, against the Tigers Thursday he had three hits, five game hitting streak, 8 for 19, one tater and 4 doubles and he's just spanking the shit out of the horsehide.

    Now, nobody is going to mistake the '15 Rays for the '27 Yankees, this is not murderers row, but they have a righty line up that can spank singles and doubles together, and like I said, even though Longoria only has 11 homers this season, he is a year and a half removed from his third 30 homer season.

    Guyer is a pain in the ass too, look beyond the .250 average, he's .250 against RHP and LHP, yes, but his OBA is very nice, he's a pain in the ass when he gets on too with those 10 stolen bases, and don't over look the fact that four of his five home runs have come off of LHP.

    Nobody is saying Jose Quintana is dog poop, he's a decent #3 lefty rotation guy, the 6 and 9 record is meh, the 1.27 WH/IP and the 3.52 ERA is pretty much around league average, but like I said, righties are not fooled.

    I like Nathan Karns (he's been touted even before he came up with Washington) he's made 20 starts this season, the K ratio is almost one an inning, his ERA and WHIP are a littlle better than Quintana, he's only had one real bad outing when he coughed up five earned to that KC team that rakes off any pitcher.
    (Angels hit him some in early June too, but (correct me if I am wrong, 13 out of this last 16 starts he's given up 2 earned or less. (and he did match Chris Sale pitch for ptich in that Tampa Bay Ray win over Chicago last month) Pretty damn consistent.

    I know White Sox have been playing real good ball as of late, Eaton getting on base like crazy, Melke hitting iike a batting champ, yadda, yadda, good pitching, yadda yadda, however that seven game winning streak came to a crash when the Yanks torched them 3 out of 4.

    Listen, this is not a slam dunk, no game is, but my money is on the right handed bats of Tampa Bay spanking 5 or 6 runs across the plate tonight, and my money says Karns out pitches Quintana.

    This is a spot play on a road team getting (right now +125, I'll wait a bit, I think I could get closer to +130) that I like, a spot play is just that, I like Tampa on the road in this spot.

    One last item, I took 45 minutes out of my leisure time to write this up, save the drama (AND YOU PEOPLE KNOW WHO YOU ARE) please, if you don't like the play, say you don't like the play and why and move on.
    is that too much to ask. Thank you.

    Rays, 4* to get 5*
  • actiondan
    SBR MVP
    • 10-16-10
    • 3457

    #2
    The market agrees, bol steve
    Comment
    • stevenash
      Moderator
      • 01-17-11
      • 65684

      #3
      ^
      Was +125 at 8 am
      Bought at +122 (on it's way down)

      Now +104 (are you kidding me)

      Thing that worries me is that all the fantasy sports writers that I am tweet buddies with are in love with Quintana, I mean like 8 out of the ten writers I follow are either in love or lean Q.

      I seriously think the Ray right handed sticks are going to peck away tonight.
      Anticipating this game.
      Comment
      • Dogball
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 04-15-10
        • 625

        #4
        I like this bet GL
        Comment
        • red12sox
          SBR MVP
          • 11-28-14
          • 1034

          #5
          Under
          Comment
          • 44 Mag
            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
            • 10-14-13
            • 34490

            #6
            Originally posted by stevenash
            ^
            Was +125 at 8 am
            Bought at +122 (on it's way down)

            Now +104 (are you kidding me)

            Thing that worries me is that all the fantasy sports writers that I am tweet buddies with are in love with Quintana, I mean like 8 out of the ten writers I follow are either in love or lean Q.

            I seriously think the Ray right handed sticks are going to peck away tonight.
            Anticipating this game.
            BOL Steve.
            Comment
            • Ra77er
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 06-20-11
              • 10969

              #7
              Tampa is on the way down vs a team that is 7-3 L10, along with the specific Tampa AB's vs Q suggest that he wins here. I thought the line should be -133 -140 range personally. I think he strikes out 2 and half innings and the Sox win 3-2 maybe 4-2. Thanks for the thoughts Nash
              Comment
              • jtoler
                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                • 12-17-13
                • 30967

                #8
                Good guys win 5-3.
                Comment
                • Big Bear
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 11-01-11
                  • 43253

                  #9
                  see nash all it takes is a little diplomacy and no one is trolling your thread.
                  Comment
                  • jjgold
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 07-20-05
                    • 388179

                    #10
                    Nashy always makes good points pay attention to this kid he has a clue
                    Comment
                    • stevenash
                      Moderator
                      • 01-17-11
                      • 65684

                      #11
                      Brandon Guyer(R) LF
                      Joey Butler(R) DH
                      Evan Longoria(R) 3B
                      Logan Forsythe(R) 2B
                      Asdrubal Cabrera(S) SS
                      Richie Shaffer(R) 1B
                      Mikie Mahtook(R) RF
                      Kevin Kiermaier(L) CF
                      Curt Casali(R) C
                      Comment
                      • MickeyMan
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 10-20-09
                        • 5091

                        #12
                        Good luck. Glad to see Nash and bear are getting along again.

                        holla
                        Comment
                        • freddues
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 02-29-08
                          • 591

                          #13
                          White sox hot bats continue . . .

                          From the beginning of the season until just about two weeks ago the Sox's bats were very quiet. Lately they are slugging! I believe tonight they light it up again against a team that ranks #4 in strikeouts and #28 in hits and #27 in runs scored.

                          Great value in Sox -1.5 at +170

                          Get it!
                          Comment
                          • jjgold
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 07-20-05
                            • 388179

                            #14
                            I never like taking the White Sox they always burn me but maybe tonight is the night best of luck to all
                            Comment
                            • pavyracer
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 04-12-07
                              • 82840

                              #15
                              How is the wind in Chicago? If it blows in the over is toast.
                              Comment
                              • RockBottom
                                SBR MVP
                                • 12-03-08
                                • 1448

                                #16
                                Originally posted by pavyracer
                                How is the wind in Chicago? If it blows in the over is toast.
                                The wind doesnt matter at The Cell nearly like at Wrigley.
                                Comment
                                • Dogball
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 04-15-10
                                  • 625

                                  #17
                                  What a sickening night so far Rays should be up 5
                                  i got ray's last leg parlay, other two winners and am so frustrated
                                  just left bases loaded
                                  Comment
                                  • FlipsideRM
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 09-28-11
                                    • 10518

                                    #18
                                    Nice write up and valid points Nash. Good play
                                    Comment
                                    • Ra77er
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 06-20-11
                                      • 10969

                                      #19
                                      Nash spot on here. Nothing but xbh's all night for the Rays.
                                      Comment
                                      • FlipsideRM
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 09-28-11
                                        • 10518

                                        #20
                                        I think we just jinxed it
                                        Comment
                                        • Waterstpub87
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 09-09-09
                                          • 4108

                                          #21
                                          Tampa bay can never hold a lead
                                          Comment
                                          • Dogball
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 04-15-10
                                            • 625

                                            #22
                                            No lube
                                            Comment
                                            • stevenash
                                              Moderator
                                              • 01-17-11
                                              • 65684

                                              #23
                                              Strange game.
                                              Karns was lights out, just one brain fart.
                                              Comment
                                              • intermission
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 05-12-15
                                                • 2499

                                                #24
                                                Tampa pulled through
                                                Comment
                                                • jmbrandt87
                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                  • 10-29-13
                                                  • 277

                                                  #25
                                                  Thank the white sox third base coach. Can't get Alexie hosed by 5 feet at the plate with nobody out
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Dukedude2440
                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                    • 04-06-13
                                                    • 109

                                                    #26
                                                    Hey Nash just wanted to say Cheerz but , thanks for the play , always been a fan of u , and glad to have u back on page bro , Cheerz
                                                    Comment
                                                    • paco
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 05-07-09
                                                      • 62873

                                                      #27
                                                      Winner,
                                                      Comment
                                                      • stevenash
                                                        Moderator
                                                        • 01-17-11
                                                        • 65684

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by jmbrandt87
                                                        Thank the white sox third base coach. Can't get Alexie hosed by 5 feet at the plate with nobody out
                                                        Strange game.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • stevenash
                                                          Moderator
                                                          • 01-17-11
                                                          • 65684

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by Dukedude2440
                                                          Hey Nash just wanted to say Cheerz but , thanks for the play , always been a fan of u , and glad to have u back on page bro , Cheerz
                                                          Thank you, glad to help.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • EXhoosier10
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 07-06-09
                                                            • 3122

                                                            #30
                                                            nice win Nash
                                                            Comment
                                                            • The Giant
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 01-21-12
                                                              • 21480

                                                              #31
                                                              Nice hit, nash.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • thedenthead
                                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                                • 05-14-15
                                                                • 826

                                                                #32
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Dogball
                                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                                  • 04-15-10
                                                                  • 625

                                                                  #33
                                                                  All that matters is the W, with the throw out at plate it evened up for all the runners left on base
                                                                  Kaash
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • stevenash
                                                                    Moderator
                                                                    • 01-17-11
                                                                    • 65684

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by The Giant
                                                                    Nice hit, nash.
                                                                    Thanks G
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • stevenash
                                                                      Moderator
                                                                      • 01-17-11
                                                                      • 65684

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by Dogball
                                                                      All that matters is the W, with the throw out at plate it evened up for all the runners left on base
                                                                      Kaash
                                                                      Strange game.
                                                                      Glad to help
                                                                      Comment
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