Put your second house on Djokovic -130 over Fed

Ghenghis Kahn · 07-10-15, 01:07 PM

after the murray wager, this is all i have left. putting this shit on the joker...

johnny99 · 07-10-15, 01:08 PM

Tempting

FlipsideRM · 07-10-15, 01:09 PM

Originally posted by Ghenghis Kahn

after the murray wager, this is all i have left. putting this shit on the joker...

smart man

Smoke · 07-10-15, 01:09 PM

This bettor win. I dont have a third

sluggy1616 · 07-10-15, 01:19 PM

Originally posted by FlipsideRM

Fading Fed again. Going to get my house back, join me.

Yes. Let's blindly back the guy who just lost a big bet who offered us no analysis and a few weak historical talking points on the Fed/Murray match...

Buyer Beware.

Covy · 07-10-15, 01:19 PM

Just picked up a new house today.

Thanks Fed!

w@lt · 07-10-15, 01:22 PM

FlipsideRM · 07-10-15, 01:34 PM

This ones a sure fire winner boys! Jump on the $$$$$ Train

dalogester · 07-10-15, 01:54 PM

Yeah just like how you were so confident in Murray yet so far off. Pass

Snowball · 07-10-15, 02:08 PM

The Roger Federer going for lone possession of 8 Wimbledon Mens Singles all-time record.

bruceBRUCEbruce · 07-10-15, 02:09 PM

thank god I rent

jtoler · 07-10-15, 02:25 PM

Wrong again bud.

ManeOnFire · 07-10-15, 02:44 PM

Normally of course I would say Nole but hard to bet against someone playing like that.

Hardcoar · 07-10-15, 02:50 PM

@ 1.8+ is too good to pass up. The problem is only precisely what the line implies...

Hardcoar · 07-10-15, 02:59 PM

Let's be honest; the real winners here are Federror backers at virtually the same odds against Murray, and Federror futures whores...

FlipsideRM · 07-10-15, 03:00 PM

Originally posted by Hardcoar

Let's be honest; the real winners here are Federror backers at virtually the same odds against Murray, and Federror futures whores...

Yep. easy hedge

ManeOnFire · 07-10-15, 03:14 PM

Originally posted by Hardcoar

@ 1.8+ is too good to pass up. The problem is only precisely what the line implies...

On djoker?

ManeOnFire · 07-10-15, 03:17 PM

The public won today. it was like 70% on federer for all the wrong reasons I assume as well.

FlipsideRM · 07-10-15, 03:23 PM

Originally posted by ManeOnFire

The public won today. it was like 70% on federer for all the wrong reasons I assume as well.

Oh yeah everyone and their mother was on Fed

sluggy1616 · 07-10-15, 03:32 PM

Originally posted by Hardcoar

@ 1.8+ is too good to pass up. The problem is only precisely what the line implies...

I think you have to decide on the joint probability of Fed playing as well on Sunday as he did today and joker playing as poorly as he has most of the tourney. I think the line reflects that plus a bit of premium on recent Fed joker head to head. I'm gonna do that work later to find my line on this match.

sluggy1616 · 07-10-15, 03:34 PM

Right now imo not joker in 3 seems like the highest probability play. Don't bet that yet though. I will do work

Hardcoar · 07-10-15, 03:43 PM

Originally posted by sluggy1616

I think you have to decide on the joint probability of Fed playing as well on Sunday as he did today and joker playing as poorly as he has most of the tourney. I think the line reflects that plus a bit of premium on recent Fed joker head to head. I'm gonna do that work later to find my line on this match.

Agreed.

Originally posted by sluggy1616

Right now imo not joker in 3 seems like the highest probability play. Don't bet that yet though. I will do work

Of course it's the highest probability option!

Unwritten Law · 07-10-15, 04:12 PM

Don't bet against Roger, he's onto something.

sluggy1616 · 07-10-15, 04:14 PM

Roger had 56 winners and 11 unforced errors. No way he can do that against joker

ManeOnFire · 07-10-15, 04:21 PM

How much worse could he be though? Djok will rise Fed will fall. Who to take? If dudes were predicting vintage Fed before this match then why not something close to that level again? But...DJOKOVIC

Originally posted by sluggy1616

Roger had 56 winners and 11 unforced errors. No way he can do that against joker

Tmuston Beltics · 07-10-15, 04:34 PM

If you are interested to know the winner just check my pick in the competition

sluggy1616 · 07-10-15, 04:58 PM

Originally posted by ManeOnFire

How much worse could he be though? Djok will rise Fed will fall. Who to take? If dudes were predicting vintage Fed before this match then why not something close to that level again? But...DJOKOVIC

I forgot which clay tourney it was this year but fed dusted wawa and joker did not play well most of the tourney. The final came and Joker dusted fed.

Differences between now and then:

fed on grass
joker's confidence might be a bit shaken from the loss to wawa in french

I'm not gonna bet either money line unless joker gets + money or fed widens to @3.0 which IMO won't happen in either case.

jjgold · 07-10-15, 07:01 PM

Flipper ??

Fed looks unbeatable right now

His serve is unreal

w@lt · 07-10-15, 09:10 PM

Some of these comments seem to imply that Federer played well this last match, and that it's some kind of fluke. HE'S BEEN GREAT THIS WHOLE GRASS SEASON. He's lost TWO service games these entire last two grass tournaments. I'm not saying that Feds is a super-mega lock, but, dammit, I think Federer is in fantastic form, and really, really think that he gets it done on Sunday.

brodie · 07-10-15, 09:15 PM

flipside showing his true degen colors

Conqueror · 07-10-15, 09:17 PM

Originally posted by w@lt

Some of these comments seem to imply that Federer played well this last match, and that it's some kind of fluke. HE'S BEEN GREAT THIS WHOLE GRASS SEASON. He's lost TWO service games these entire last two grass tournaments. I'm not saying that Feds is a super-mega lock, but, dammit, I think Federer is in fantastic form, and really, really think that he gets it done on Sunday.

Spot on.

ThaTopMoron · 07-10-15, 10:37 PM

I put $150 on Fed +700 b4 tourney started... Joker is going to win.

jjgold · 07-10-15, 11:22 PM

Many think Fed played over his head today

rockmvp1209 · 07-10-15, 11:29 PM

I got djoker in 4