The Mirage In Vegas Reporting Game 4 Golden State -165 ML Absolutely Sick Line

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  • TheMoneyShot
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 02-14-07
    • 28672

    #1
    The Mirage In Vegas Reporting Game 4 Golden State -165 ML Absolutely Sick Line
    Opened at Golden State -225

    Now at -165


    There is something very funny about this game tonight.

    Man I wish I had the correct call. I'm stumped.

    But line movement like that normally means something.
  • jjgold
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 07-20-05
    • 388179

    #2
    Oh my god what are you doing Memphis might be the easiest play of the week besides their first game at home
    Comment
    • Vegas39
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 09-22-11
      • 30686

      #3
      Originally posted by jjgold
      Oh my god what are you doing Memphis might be the easiest play of the week besides their first game at home

      Golden St it is
      Comment
      • lakerboy
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 04-02-09
        • 94379

        #4
        Warriors are still favored to win the whole thing, mem has a major collapse tonight.
        Comment
        • jtoler
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 12-17-13
          • 30967

          #5
          Easy pick.
          Comment
          • WildCelticsFan
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 05-19-14
            • 5420

            #6
            Grizz cover with ease probably win straight up. Jumpers will kill you in the end.
            Comment
            • Ralphie Halves
              SBR MVP
              • 12-13-09
              • 4507

              #7
              I think people were just value betting. GSW wouldn't have even been -225 against New Orleans, much less a way better Grizz team. GSW still a solid favorite.
              Comment
              • LT Profits
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 10-27-06
                • 90963

                #8
                Glad I got Memphis +5 early.
                Comment
                • WildCelticsFan
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 05-19-14
                  • 5420

                  #9
                  Originally posted by LT Profits
                  Glad I got Memphis +5 early.
                  Should be good LT I'm on it too, and 1st half +2.0.
                  Comment
                  • TheMoneyShot
                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                    • 02-14-07
                    • 28672

                    #10
                    Mirage just went to Golden State -160

                    WTF is going on?????
                    Comment
                    • Conqueror
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 12-08-13
                      • 16778

                      #11
                      Originally posted by LT Profits
                      Glad I got Memphis +5 early.
                      Won't matter if Warriors win. If they win, they'll cover the original spread. The 2 plays here are either GSW minus points or Memphis ML.
                      Comment
                      • Ralphie Halves
                        SBR MVP
                        • 12-13-09
                        • 4507

                        #12
                        Originally posted by TheMoneyShot
                        Mirage just went to Golden State -160

                        WTF is going on?????
                        Originally posted by Ralphie Halves
                        I think people were just value betting. GSW wouldn't have even been -225 against New Orleans, much less a way better Grizz team. GSW still a solid favorite.
                        .......
                        Comment
                        • TheMoneyShot
                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                          • 02-14-07
                          • 28672

                          #13
                          RH - I never seen a line hammered like this though. $65 difference. Public hammering Memphis.
                          Comment
                          • jjgold
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 07-20-05
                            • 388179

                            #14
                            I love the espn guys here
                            Comment
                            • McDabs
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 09-19-12
                              • 888

                              #15
                              I like GS
                              Comment
                              • LT Profits
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 10-27-06
                                • 90963

                                #16
                                Originally posted by Conqueror
                                Won't matter if Warriors win. If they win, they'll cover the original spread. The 2 plays here are either GSW minus points or Memphis ML.
                                I disagree because game should be played at Memphis pace. Slow pace increases chance of close win.
                                Comment
                                • TheAntFather
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 03-14-11
                                  • 3021

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by lakerboy
                                  Warriors are still favored to win the whole thing, mem has a major collapse tonight.
                                  Nice, I was already on Memphis. Hooray!
                                  Comment
                                  • Vegas39
                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                    • 09-22-11
                                    • 30686

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by TheAntFather
                                    Nice, I was already on Memphis. Hooray!
                                    Have to try somehow after Houston frauds
                                    Comment
                                    • PorkChop
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 09-18-08
                                      • 8193

                                      #19
                                      The amount of Memphis love in here. Did you really all think your getting a repeat performance out of Steph? No change.

                                      Warriors in triple digits tonight
                                      Comment
                                      • smoke a bowl
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 02-09-09
                                        • 2776

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by TheMoneyShot
                                        Mirage just went to Golden State -160

                                        WTF is going on?????
                                        Mirage is responsible for a good bit less than 1% of all the money wagered on this game. I wouldn't read too much into it.
                                        Comment
                                        • smoke a bowl
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 02-09-09
                                          • 2776

                                          #21
                                          Gol St stealing at -4 tonight.
                                          Comment
                                          • Ra77er
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 06-20-11
                                            • 10969

                                            #22
                                            The way he capitalized and bolded his quote shows how panicked folks can get. Just choose your side my young jedi.
                                            Comment
                                            • byronbb
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 11-13-08
                                              • 3067

                                              #23
                                              wow that is a huge move for an NBA playoff game.
                                              Comment
                                              • BigDofBA
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 09-30-09
                                                • 19313

                                                #24
                                                I've stayed at the Mirage twice in the last year and their lines remind me of Bovada.

                                                This line is absolutely baffling if it's from their book.
                                                Comment
                                                • Vegas39
                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                  • 09-22-11
                                                  • 30686

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by BigDofBA
                                                  I've stayed at the Mirage twice in the last year and their lines remind me of Bovada.

                                                  This line is absolutely baffling if it's from their book.
                                                  It is, it has jumped up a bit


                                                  MIRAGE-MGM LINE MOVEMENTS
                                                  Money Line Spread Total 1st Half 2nd Half
                                                  Date Time Fav Dog Fav Dog Over Under Fav Dog Fav Dog
                                                  05/10 10:52am GSW-225 MEM+185 GSW-5 -110 MEM+5 -110 196.5 -110 196.5 -110
                                                  05/10 10:53am GSW-225 MEM+185 GSW-5 -110 MEM+5 -110 196.5 -110 196.5 -110 GSW-2.5 MEM+2.5
                                                  05/11 10:45am MEM XX GSW XX GSWXX XX MEMXX XX XX XX XX XX GSW-2.5 MEM+2.5
                                                  05/11 10:45am MEM XX GSW XX GSWXX XX MEMXX XX XX XX XX XX GSWXX MEMXX
                                                  05/11 11:14am GSW-185 MEM+165 GSW-4.5 -110 MEM+4.5 -110 195.5 -110 195.5 -110 GSW-2 MEM+2
                                                  05/11 11:14am GSW-185 MEM+165 GSW-4.5 -110 MEM+4.5 -110 195.5 -110 195.5 -110 GSWXX MEMXX
                                                  05/11 11:27am GSW-185 MEM+165 GSW-4 -110 MEM+4 -110 195.5 -110 195.5 -110 GSW-2 MEM+2
                                                  05/11 11:51am GSW-170 MEM+150 GSW-4 -110 MEM+4 -110 195.5 -110 195.5 -110 GSW-2 MEM+2
                                                  05/11 1:50pm GSW-165 MEM+145 GSW-4 -110 MEM+4 -110 195.5 -110 195.5 -110 GSW-2 MEM+2
                                                  05/11 6:00pm GSW-160 MEM+140 GSW-4 -110 MEM+4 -110 195.5 -110 195.5 -110 GSW-2 MEM+2
                                                  05/11 6:47pm GSW-175 MEM+155 GSW-4 -110 MEM+4 -110 195.5 -110 195.5 -110 GSW-2 MEM+2
                                                  Comment
                                                  • smoke a bowl
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 02-09-09
                                                    • 2776

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by BigDofBA
                                                    I've stayed at the Mirage twice in the last year and their lines remind me of Bovada.

                                                    This line is absolutely baffling if it's from their book.
                                                    Big correlation. Most of their big money comes from square clients. Once they know or think you can win they reduce your limits like most dogshit books do.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Vegas39
                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                      • 09-22-11
                                                      • 30686

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by smoke a bowl
                                                      Big correlation. Most of their big money comes from square clients. Once they know or think you can win they reduce your limits like most dogshit books do.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Big Bear
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 11-01-11
                                                        • 43253

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by TheMoneyShot
                                                        Opened at Golden State -225

                                                        Now at -165


                                                        There is something very funny about this game tonight.

                                                        Man I wish I had the correct call. I'm stumped.

                                                        But line movement like that normally means something.
                                                        Vegas mindfukked you!!!!!!


                                                        see thats the problem with hanging around SBR posters like Lakerboy and LT Profits and No Coincidences
                                                        they always find a way to love the underdog .. always find a way to put doubt into your soul.

                                                        Vegas loves to mindfukk

                                                        Sometimes i think these forums cloud judgement
                                                        Comment
                                                        • smoke a bowl
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 02-09-09
                                                          • 2776

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by Big Bear
                                                          Vegas mindfukked you!!!!!!


                                                          see thats the problem with hanging around SBR posters like Lakerboy and LT Profits and No Coincidences
                                                          they always find a way to love the underdog .. always find a way to put doubt into your soul.

                                                          Vegas loves to mindfukk

                                                          Sometimes i think these forums cloud judgement
                                                          Vegas don't mindfuck shit. Vegas knows less than you about the outcomes of these games. All Vegas knows is how to throw out the people that can win (don't worry bear you are safe).
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Vegas39
                                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                            • 09-22-11
                                                            • 30686

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by smoke a bowl
                                                            Vegas don't mindfuck shit. Vegas knows less than you about the outcomes of these games. All Vegas knows is how to throw out the people that can win (don't worry bear you are safe).
                                                            "BIGBUSINESS" as usual
                                                            Comment
                                                            • PorkChop
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 09-18-08
                                                              • 8193

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by PorkChop
                                                              The amount of Memphis love in here. Did you really all think your getting a repeat performance out of Steph? No change.

                                                              Warriors in triple digits tonight

                                                              Amazing that people actually thought Curry would just be swallowed up again, and the Warriors wouldn't make any adjustments after game 3.

                                                              Vegas loves you squares.

                                                              Lets all bet Cleveland tonight because ESPN tells us to
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Big Bear
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 11-01-11
                                                                • 43253

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by smoke a bowl
                                                                Vegas don't mindfuck shit. Vegas knows less than you about the outcomes of these games. All Vegas knows is how to throw out the people that can win (don't worry bear you are safe).
                                                                then why would they drop the line to -165 if they knew the majority of bets were coming in on the Warriors????


                                                                they did this to create doubt if your mind and scare people off Golden State

                                                                they also did this to attract people who are wannabe sharps to memphis
                                                                Comment
                                                                • smoke a bowl
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 02-09-09
                                                                  • 2776

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by Big Bear
                                                                  then why would they drop the line to -165 if they knew the majority of bets were coming in on the Warriors????


                                                                  they did this to create doubt if your mind and scare people off Golden State

                                                                  they also did this to attract people who are wannabe sharps to memphis
                                                                  One very simple logical reason Bear. They were taking money on Memphis moneyline. Nothing more nothing less. It has nothing to do with a mindfuk. You don't have to do any mindfuking when you are charging -110. All you have to do is take a bet and move the number then wash, rinse, repeat. It's not rocket science.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • jjgold
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 07-20-05
                                                                    • 388179

                                                                    #34
                                                                    I wonder if real sharp and gamblers had Golden State last night?
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Big Bear
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 11-01-11
                                                                      • 43253

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by jjgold
                                                                      I wonder if real sharp and gamblers had Golden State last night?
                                                                      JJ

                                                                      only the stupid fukks like me took memphis.

                                                                      i am going to get smart though and make everybody at SBR money.

                                                                      my head is fukked up right now and my mind is filled with doubt.

                                                                      anyone with half a brain knew Curry was the best player on the court and he could not be stopped.

                                                                      i knew this too but i followed your thread i bought into the conspiracy theory public money hoopla bullshit

                                                                      from now on i will ignore all posters and ignore all media and come up with my picks without mind fukkin myself


                                                                      i am going to hibernation now


                                                                      will return as a WINNER!
                                                                      Comment
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