Guess Line movement does matter in baseball

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  • Big Bear
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 11-01-11
    • 43253

    #1
    Guess Line movement does matter in baseball
    Padres went from -120 to +110 despite 87% of money on Padres

    Game is already over and its the first inning


    just food for thought on why its better to pull the trigger late on a game
  • leetreaper
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 10-23-10
    • 34841

    #2
    BB, like many, MANY MANY smart people said to you already, go to the hibernation mode with your clueless daily threads, replies or "priceless 4 team parlays"...
    Comment
    • t-wizzle
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 12-18-09
      • 38099

      #3
      Originally posted by leetreaper
      BB, like many, MANY MANY smart people said to you already, go to the hibernation mode with your clueless daily threads, replies or "priceless 4 team parlays"...

      Looks like leetretard had San diego. lol.
      Comment
      • leetreaper
        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
        • 10-23-10
        • 34841

        #4
        There's probably no more pathetic people on earth than wizzleclown, I put him on the ignore, he still replies, priceless...
        Comment
        • Dirty Sanchez
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 03-01-10
          • 16031

          #5
          Originally posted by t-wizzle
          Looks like leetretard had San diego. lol.
          T-jizz he said smart people...that would most likely leave you out
          Comment
          • leetreaper
            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
            • 10-23-10
            • 34841

            #6
            Originally posted by Dirty Sanchez
            T-jizz he said smart people...that would most likely leave you out
            Lol, what would we do without that clown on SBR, but lately he bores me so fukk him...
            Comment
            • Big Bear
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 11-01-11
              • 43253

              #7
              Originally posted by leetreaper
              Lol, what would we do without that clown on SBR, but lately he bores me so fukk him...
              why you so angry bro?
              Comment
              • downsouth
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 01-13-11
                • 11580

                #8
                Good point. Nice sample size as well. Its not wonder your smarter than the average bear.
                Comment
                • leetreaper
                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                  • 10-23-10
                  • 34841

                  #9
                  Originally posted by Big Bear
                  why you so angry bro?
                  Where do you see me angry lol??? I said bored, can't u read?
                  Comment
                  • Big Bear
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 11-01-11
                    • 43253

                    #10
                    Originally posted by leetreaper
                    Where do you see me angry lol??? I said bored, can't u read?
                    the first post you made in this thread where you attacked me

                    now u saying i cant read?

                    see you are def angry
                    Comment
                    • leetreaper
                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                      • 10-23-10
                      • 34841

                      #11
                      Originally posted by Big Bear
                      the first post you made in this thread where you attacked me

                      now u saying i cant read?

                      see you are def angry
                      no, not angry, just getting tired of you posting BS every hour, try to post once in 5 hours but something more productive maybe, dunno...
                      Comment
                      • 2daBank
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 01-26-09
                        • 88966

                        #12
                        this is why you dont like me bear.

                        correct me if im wrong but last week i was commenting bout i couldnt believe how a line had moved, nowhere in my post did i suggest that meant anything more than i got a bad price.

                        yet you come swooping in to inform me that line moves dont effect outcomes, something im sure you stole from somewhere and i really dont need to be told.

                        now today line moves are in fact indicators of outcome? why? because of 1 gm? there 15 gms a day and inevitably the line moves on the majority of them. some the move will be correct, others it wont.
                        Comment
                        • leetreaper
                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                          • 10-23-10
                          • 34841

                          #13
                          Originally posted by 2daBank
                          this is why you dont like me bear.

                          correct me if im wrong but last week i was commenting bout i couldnt believe how a line had moved, nowhere in my post did i suggest that meant anything more than i got a bad price.

                          yet you come swooping in to inform me that line moves dont effect outcomes, something im sure you stole from somewhere and i really dont need to be told.

                          now today line moves are in fact indicators of outcome? why? because of 1 gm? there 15 gms a day and inevitably the line moves on the majority of them. some the move will be correct, others it wont.
                          Correct, I remember his/that post, priceless...
                          Comment
                          • Vegas39
                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                            • 09-22-11
                            • 30686

                            #14
                            Originally posted by 2daBank
                            this is why you dont like me bear.

                            correct me if im wrong but last week i was commenting bout i couldnt believe how a line had moved, nowhere in my post did i suggest that meant anything more than i got a bad price.

                            yet you come swooping in to inform me that line moves dont effect outcomes, something im sure you stole from somewhere and i really dont need to be told.

                            now today line moves are in fact indicators of outcome? why? because of 1 gm? there 15 gms a day and inevitably the line moves on the majority of them. some the move will be correct, others it wont.

                            No shock there, bear is fukkin clueless. Look in saloon weekly for his will this job work? No because you are a lazy loser
                            Comment
                            • jjgold
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 07-20-05
                              • 388179

                              #15
                              sharps and pros take leads overnight and then the next day hedge or stay on weak side
                              Comment
                              • thirtytwo
                                SBR MVP
                                • 01-07-10
                                • 1784

                                #16
                                87%?

                                Comment
                                • jjgold
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 07-20-05
                                  • 388179

                                  #17
                                  You need more capital when you bet overnights and take leads because the next day you might have to get out of your bet

                                  It's a good way to arb if you know what you're doing
                                  Comment
                                  • goduke
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 02-17-10
                                    • 11580

                                    #18
                                    I can show you 10 games just in the past week that this theory doesn't work
                                    Comment
                                    • jjgold
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 07-20-05
                                      • 388179

                                      #19
                                      If you bet Mets -110 overnight and it goes to Mets -135 before game time that is not an edge??
                                      Comment
                                      • RavensFan2k3
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 08-18-12
                                        • 17378

                                        #20
                                        Line movement definitely matters, most people just read it wrong
                                        Comment
                                        • mlb
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 12-04-09
                                          • 10509

                                          #21
                                          line movement matters to some extent, but more importantly it's about getting the best price possible - no way the majority of people at SBR (absolutely including myself) are going to determine which line movement is indicative of a specific game result and which is just a faux move.

                                          Spend more time looking at what games you want to play and getting the best line possible so you are not giving away unnecessary cents over the course of 100s of games and you are more likely to come out in a better spot at the end of the year.
                                          Comment
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