Capy's 2015 MLB Thread

[Capybara]

Adding:

Reds -1.5, +135 (1x)

Reds FF -0.5, +110 (1x)

[Capybara]

What's more annoying than having a FF cashed for four innings and then losing it in the fifth? The answer: Nothing.

Anyway, two more plays tonight:

D-backs +138 (1x)

Giants -114 (1x)

[Capybara]

Friday: 2-3, -0.90.

Thread: 28-26, +10.16.

Winners for today coming...

[Capybara]

Never found anything I'm comfortable unloading on, so for now just sticking with the smaller plays. Here are two so far:

Rays -1.5, +135 (1x)

Rangers +114 (1x)

[Capybara]

Saturday: 1-1, +0.14

Thread: 29-27, +10.30.

...For Sunday:

D-backs/Dodgers over 7.5, -110 (1.5x)

D-backs +126 (1x)

Giants -106 (1.5x)

Angels/Giants over 7.5, -115 (1x)

[Capybara]

Boy, I really had a line on that D-backs/Dodgers total, huh? Hopefully the D-backs can find a way to pull one out for me so today can be a wash thus far...

Got a gut feeling on my Sox tonight. Make me proud, Boys.

Red Sox FF -0.5, -105 (1x)

Red Sox -1.5, +150 (1x)

[Capybara]

Don't usually do this, but I just completely bailed out of those plays. Hope I don't get double-reamed here.

Live bet, Yanks -1.5, -109 (2x)

Turning this shit off to do other things.

Need to devote more time to breaking these games down than I did this weekend...

[Capybara]

Sunday: 2-5, -2.30 (actually I hit two live over bets during Sox-Yanks to get even, but never posted. Ah well...)

Thread: 31-32, +8.00.

I apologize for the shit showing yesterday. Will pick my game up, SBR!

Just finished an 11-hour day, so couldn't cap yet today. Will see if I can find something in the games to come.

[BayArea888]

If ya don't mind me starting a discussion on tonight's games, I'm leaning Rox and Angels. Maybe also the under in Rox game due to rain delay?

[Capybara]

I don't mind at all Bay, but sorry, I was out and just seeing your post. What'd you go with?

Here is the probably nutty stuff I played:

M's/Giants parlay, +190 (1x)

M's/Angels under 7.5, -115 (1x)

Giants -1.5, +170 (0.5x)

M's -1.5, +120 (0.5x)

[BayArea888]

Well, we're on the same page with the Giants lol. Played Rox and Angels as well. Most nervous about going against King Felix. Come to think about it, it was mostly a hunch play.

[Capybara]

Oh, I see you can still bet Snakes-Rox after all. Don't think I could play an under in this one. I would play Rox if anything, I do think they're due to bust out.

[Capybara]

Well, we're on the same page with the Giants lol. Played Rox and Angels as well. Most nervous about going against King Felix. Come to think about it, it was mostly a hunch play.

Ha, we were posting at once. Anyway, yeah, I agree w Rox; and absolutely, I see no reason to fade the King the way he's looked so far. Plus that Angels lineup has been underwhelming and they've been scuffling lately.

[BayArea888]

Go giants!!!

[Capybara]

Half inning away from a clean sweep! Oh well, I'll take it. Love me some King and MadBum.

Monday: 3-1, +3.25

Thread: 34-33, +11.25.

[Capybara]

Rays +106 (1x)

I like Drew Smyly and he was sharp in NY last week. No Hanley for the reeling Sox either.

I also like the under in this game but am hoping it gets back up to 8.

[mlb]

GL capy

[BayArea888]

Rays +106 (1x)

I like Drew Smyly and he was sharp in NY last week. No Hanley for the reeling Sox either.

I also like the under in this game but am hoping it gets back up to 8.

I agree, was eyeing this one myself.

[Capybara]

Added:

Rays/Sox under 7.5, -110 (1x)

Orioles +110 (1x)

Prob will be adding Padres also, or the over in that one. Others' thoughts welcome.

[Capybara]

Least I got that under bet in.

Padres -116 (1x)

Padres/Giants over 7, -115 (1x)

And a 0.5x parlay of the two, +248.

Let's get it!!

[Capybara]

How is anyone supposed to predict this shit?

Updated record: 35-38, +7.44.

[Capybara]

I really want to back the Giants here but I'm gun shy... trusting a rookie pitcher to continue a crazy shutout string. He's been good though. Damn, what to do...

[tony_come]

San Francisco

[Capybara]

I solved the problem. Make it even harder!

Giants + over 7 parlay, +237 (1x)

Cancel that -- didn't get it in.

[Capybara]

Guaranteed winner now that I didn't get it in.

Whatever, gonna find better stuff for later!

[BayArea888]

Guaranteed winner now that I didn't get it in.

Whatever, gonna find better stuff for later!

Hahaha I'm sure you're kicking yourself now aren't ya? Sometimes it can be a blessing in disguise.

Looking at anything in particular? I personally really want to back the Jays and the Over...

[BayArea888]

Also quite fond of the O's as well, I see a few games of regression for deGrom's hot home stretch spanning from last season.

[Capybara]

What's up, BA? I just looked at all the early games tonight and have no interest, lol. I did think about the Jays Yanks over, does seem like a play. GL if u hit it. No feel in Mets-O's.

I think I will have plays later. I do like Sale to bounce back, though I need to look closer, and I like the Cubs and Cards to get over 7, agree?

[Capybara]

Royals -1.5, +160 (1x) ... Duffy at home, Tribe against a lefty, Cain back, say no more.

Dodgers/Brewers over 8.5, -115 (1x) ... Just think these lineups pound some runs out tonight against mediocre starters.

[Capybara]

Also added:

Royals + White Sox parlay, +186 (0.5x)

[Capybara]

Angels -1.5, +145 (1x)

[Capybara]

Updated record: 37-41, +6.94.

This is the play, people:

Stros/Angels under 7.5, -115 (2x)

Two clubs w very quiet bats right now. McHugh is solid and Santiago will bounce back.

[Capybara]

Cash it. Man, if I'd lost another under that went into the ninth 0-0, 1-0, or 2-0, I might have had to quit betting.

38-41, +8.94.

[Capybara]

Goddamit, was too busy today! Missed the first 12 games!

Fortunately(?), I like two plays in the late ones and just got em in:

Stros +115 (1.5x)

A's/M's under 8, -120 (1.5x)

[Capybara]

Of course that M's under is contingent on getting the good Tijuan Walker and not the bad one. We'll know quickly.