Let's talk MLB regular season wins O/U's!

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  • Capybara
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 08-17-08
    • 11803

    #1
    Let's talk MLB regular season wins O/U's!
    Two I'm liking a lot are:

    MIA over 81.5

    HOU over 75.5

    What do you guys like, and what kind of units do you usually throw on these?
  • Capybara
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 08-17-08
    • 11803

    #2
    Mods, please cross-post this in the MLB forum, thanks!
    Comment
    • Capybara
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 08-17-08
      • 11803

      #3
      No one betting these?
      Comment
      • LT Profits
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 10-27-06
        • 90963

        #4
        I lean toward that Over with Astros but not enough to bet. I think Marlins is too close to call.
        Comment
        • EXhoosier10
          SBR MVP
          • 07-06-09
          • 3122

          #5
          I have all my future bets in my MLB FUTURES post
          Comment
          • seaborneq
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 09-08-06
            • 22556

            #6
            Love Rays under 79.5, Giants under 84, Oakland over 81.5 and Baltimore over 82.5
            Comment
            • broadway6
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 11-14-09
              • 13337

              #7
              not betting any, but like Cards Under and Angels Under
              Comment
              • Capybara
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 08-17-08
                • 11803

                #8
                Originally posted by LT Profits
                I lean toward that Over with Astros but not enough to bet. I think Marlins is too close to call.
                Thanks, LT. I really like both of these.

                Originally posted by EXhoosier10
                I have all my future bets in my MLB FUTURES post
                Hmm, okay, will take a look.

                Originally posted by seaborneq
                Love Rays under 79.5, Giants under 84, Oakland over 81.5 and Baltimore over 82.5
                Disagree on Rays, but def agree on Oak. Tough calls for me on the other two.

                Originally posted by broadway6
                not betting any, but like Cards Under and Angels Under
                Hmm... perhaps... like the Angels one more.
                Comment
                • jjgold
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 07-20-05
                  • 388179

                  #9
                  I like over in Miami
                  Comment
                  • lakerboy
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 04-02-09
                    • 94379

                    #10
                    Angels under lock.
                    Comment
                    • Jeff_Black
                      SBR MVP
                      • 04-04-15
                      • 3571

                      #11
                      So far have got the following:

                      - Phillies under 69.5 wins
                      - Cubs under 82.5 wins
                      - Rangers under 79.5 wins (before Yu Darvish was ruled out for the season)
                      - White Sox over 81.5 wins
                      Comment
                      • A4K
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 10-08-12
                        • 5243

                        #12
                        I hate these bets. Book gets to lock up my money for 6 months? I can find better investments for my capital.
                        Comment
                        • BennyBigNuts
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 04-16-12
                          • 8700

                          #13
                          Royals over 79.5
                          Lock of the MLB season

                          Astros under looks like a steal also but I passed on them
                          Comment
                          • stevegreazy
                            SBR Sharp
                            • 12-14-14
                            • 335

                            #14
                            braves under
                            Comment
                            • EXhoosier10
                              SBR MVP
                              • 07-06-09
                              • 3122

                              #15
                              Originally posted by A4K
                              I hate these bets. Book gets to lock up my money for 6 months? I can find better investments for my capital.
                              If you're being 100% if you're br on any given day, you're going to go broke anyway. Tying up 5-10% of your money on futures that, you find an edge on is not a bad investment assuming you plan to actually make money gambling
                              Comment
                              • Deep_Rest
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 11-29-10
                                • 841

                                #16
                                Originally posted by seaborneq
                                Love Rays under 79.5, Giants under 84, Oakland over 81.5 and Baltimore over 82.5
                                I shipped some on TB under 78.5...where'd you get 79.5?

                                MIA is tough...if either Jose Fernandez or Giancarlo go down, it's all over baby! Too much variance with that team I'd say. Also, Giancarlo will be playing his first whole season after signing that monster contract last year. I'd like to think Giancarlo has enough heart to give it his all...but the simple fact is players tend to suck after they get paid.
                                Comment
                                • seaborneq
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 09-08-06
                                  • 22556

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by Deep_Rest
                                  I shipped some on TB under 78.5...where'd you get 79.5?

                                  MIA is tough...if either Jose Fernandez or Giancarlo go down, it's all over baby! Too much variance with that team I'd say. Also, Giancarlo will be playing his first whole season after signing that monster contract last year. I'd like to think Giancarlo has enough heart to give it his all...but the simple fact is players tend to suck after they get paid.
                                  I didn't want to play two teams in the same division, so I played this wager and dropped Rays.

                                  4/5/15 8:40am $100.00 $445.93 Pending 3 Team Parlay
                                  Pending 4/6/15 3:10pm Props Baseball 26005 BAL regular season wins over 82½ -130* vs BAL regular season wins under 82½ (Fixed Price)
                                  Pending 4/6/15 4:10pm Props Baseball 26043 PIT regular season wins over 85 -125* vs PIT regular season wins under 85 (Fixed Price)
                                  Pending 4/6/15 10:10pm Props Baseball 26048 SFO regular season wins under 84 -140* vs SFO regular season wins over 84 (Fixed Price)

                                  Basically Baltimore over 82.5, Pittsburgh over 85, and Giants under 84
                                  Comment
                                  • Capybara
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 08-17-08
                                    • 11803

                                    #18
                                    Never thought about doing a parlay, good luck Seaborne...

                                    No one has answered yet about what kind of units you throw on these props and futures... I'm curious.
                                    Comment
                                    • ronald
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 10-31-05
                                      • 4919

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by Capybara
                                      Two I'm liking a lot are:

                                      MIA over 81.5

                                      HOU over 75.5

                                      What do you guys like, and what kind of units do you usually throw on these?
                                      You're a year too late.

                                      Had MIA and HOU OVERS last year.

                                      Comment
                                      • EXhoosier10
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 07-06-09
                                        • 3122

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by Capybara
                                        Never thought about doing a parlay, good luck Seaborne...

                                        No one has answered yet about what kind of units you throw on these props and futures... I'm curious.
                                        Tons of variance in team wins over a season. Probably safe to keep things max 2u, mostly 1u or under
                                        Comment
                                        • seaborneq
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 09-08-06
                                          • 22556

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by Capybara
                                          Never thought about doing a parlay, good luck Seaborne...

                                          No one has answered yet about what kind of units you throw on these props and futures... I'm curious.
                                          No more than two units because you are letting the books hold your money a long time for better odds
                                          Comment
                                          • EXhoosier10
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 07-06-09
                                            • 3122

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by seaborneq
                                            No more than two units because you are letting the books hold your money a long time for better odds
                                            A great bettor makes ~10-25% profit per year. If you have, say, a 5% edge, putting a smallish fraction of your br for a 5% profit (on average) over 6 months is not a bad investment.
                                            Comment
                                            • seaborneq
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 09-08-06
                                              • 22556

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by EXhoosier10
                                              A great bettor makes ~10-25% profit per year. If you have, say, a 5% edge, putting a smallish fraction of your br for a 5% profit (on average) over 6 months is not a bad investment.

                                              you are correct. but I didn't want anybody to think that they should put 35% of their bankroll on it. LOL
                                              Comment
                                              • Ra77er
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 06-20-11
                                                • 10969

                                                #24
                                                Yea 35% rule is in effect. I don't know about 34% and below but things happen at 35% everytime.
                                                Comment
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