sports investment tips we should all follow

TwoWays · 03-17-15, 01:53 AM

Go big or go home. Shoot for the moon!

James Marques · 03-17-15, 01:56 AM

Be very wary of short road favorites

jtoler · 03-17-15, 04:11 AM

What does same unit every bet mean.

iceman02 · 03-18-15, 11:38 AM

Originally posted by jtoler

What does same unit every bet mean.

For example if you bet $200 a game make sure you bet $200 on every game. Don't make 3 $200 wagers and 1 $400 wager because your "gut feeling"

Evolved137 · 03-18-15, 11:45 AM

I couldn't agree more with all that was said, iceman02.

I do however bet LIVE very often, and my win % is incredible (EDIT- i mean incredibly high % LIVE...67%. It is generally within the first 1 min of the game i do this, however. I will only take the play as i notice often times even with TIP OFF in the air, the line will change as soon as i go to live. For example, last night. The clips were 11pt fav's, then were 10 like really soon before tip...Immediately before possession, or right after the tip off literally as soon as i could click on live betting extra, it was 0-0, no shot attempts, and it was a 9pt spread. I only use this on plays i am on the fence with and will take under strategy position.

To note: I strayed from that spread at -9 offered.. I took the 1Q clips pre-liv however, was like free money. I believed in my heart thoroughly it would be a win, and i did not seek tailing advice. What i do is set my picks for the day, and read other people's opinions across the board keeping overall perspective and quality of poster picks, and mainly not to listen to their pick im on, but to hear comments regarding stat's i may not have been otherwise found out before i take action.

He's right, betting live in certain sports is stupid. In NHL for example..You missed your ML action play of the day since you got home late from work. You're just moments late! You quickly jump and bet on a 3-way ML and tie in regulation. You win immediately in O/T. You are pissed when your sportsbook shows you just lost your ass. Making quick moves on a dime can cost you severely, especially betting live on a late lock, seeing the spread is much different, say in a hoops game, but thinking well "at this score, it was basically where it was before"....Realize these live bet's are precisely being watched and changed every moment, and they have a very good way of psychologically winning against as you watch the momentary movement's.

Just my opinion, if anyone disagree's, please don't hate...Just posting my personal experience and thoughts on the situation. Not saying im right and could sound like an idiot, just a guy that bet's everyday for 4 years and the collective thoughts ive made throughout history.

rule #1---STOP PUTTING 25%...OR MORE LIKE 100% OF YOUR BANKROLL ON YOUR "LOCK!" You don't have a lock. Oh shit, i'm on that late ac...oh wait, YOU DONT! It's a goddamn 50%, with the possibility of a chance give or take 5-9% going either way either way on traps based on 50% being the spread is 100% perfectly on point, whereas traps could set you up for less of a 50% chance of actual odds in regard to statistically being able to win that particular game. However, as JJ said, ultimately you only have the option of picking heads or tails, as if those are the only two teams we watch and bet on every night, in every sport, in every ML, spread, totals bet.

Hence why people with large YTD winning % of + 50% are regarded as very good capper's, where most n00bs would (i would think) the best capper is some guy that has an 80% record based on his last 3 days of plays.
Always wish we all come out with a big bag of

jjgold · 03-18-15, 11:55 AM

The biggest mistake every gambler makes is putting more money on one particular game… Every game has a 50 percent chance of winning so that strategy is purely horrific

jtoler · 03-18-15, 12:57 PM

Originally posted by iceman02

For example if you bet $200 a game make sure you bet $200 on every game. Don't make 3 $200 wagers and 1 $400 wager because your "gut feeling"

That's not how I make money, the bigger the edge the bigger the bet.

jtoler · 03-18-15, 12:59 PM

Originally posted by jjgold

The biggest mistake every gambler makes is putting more money on one particular game… Every game has a 50 percent chance of winning so that strategy is purely horrific

Simply not true, every game isn't 50/50, many arnt.

McCarthyFam · 03-18-15, 01:09 PM

Have your book limit your max bet. Will prevent you from going on tilt.

BIGDAY · 03-18-15, 01:57 PM

I personally like chasing. Best rush in sports wagering.

Dirty Sanchez · 03-18-15, 02:28 PM

Originally posted by BIGDAY

I personally like chasing. Best rush in sports wagering.

iceman02 · 03-20-15, 12:06 AM

Originally posted by Evolved137

I couldn't agree more with all that was said, iceman02.

I do however bet LIVE very often, and my win % is incredible (EDIT- i mean incredibly high % LIVE...67%. It is generally within the first 1 min of the game i do this, however. I will only take the play as i notice often times even with TIP OFF in the air, the line will change as soon as i go to live. For example, last night. The clips were 11pt fav's, then were 10 like really soon before tip...Immediately before possession, or right after the tip off literally as soon as i could click on live betting extra, it was 0-0, no shot attempts, and it was a 9pt spread. I only use this on plays i am on the fence with and will take under strategy position.

To note: I strayed from that spread at -9 offered.. I took the 1Q clips pre-liv however, was like free money. I believed in my heart thoroughly it would be a win, and i did not seek tailing advice. What i do is set my picks for the day, and read other people's opinions across the board keeping overall perspective and quality of poster picks, and mainly not to listen to their pick im on, but to hear comments regarding stat's i may not have been otherwise found out before i take action.

He's right, betting live in certain sports is stupid. In NHL for example..You missed your ML action play of the day since you got home late from work. You're just moments late! You quickly jump and bet on a 3-way ML and tie in regulation. You win immediately in O/T. You are pissed when your sportsbook shows you just lost your ass. Making quick moves on a dime can cost you severely, especially betting live on a late lock, seeing the spread is much different, say in a hoops game, but thinking well "at this score, it was basically where it was before"....Realize these live bet's are precisely being watched and changed every moment, and they have a very good way of psychologically winning against as you watch the momentary movement's.

Just my opinion, if anyone disagree's, please don't hate...Just posting my personal experience and thoughts on the situation. Not saying im right and could sound like an idiot, just a guy that bet's everyday for 4 years and the collective thoughts ive made throughout history.

rule #1---STOP PUTTING 25%...OR MORE LIKE 100% OF YOUR BANKROLL ON YOUR "LOCK!" You don't have a lock. Oh shit, i'm on that late ac...oh wait, YOU DONT! It's a goddamn 50%, with the possibility of a chance give or take 5-9% going either way either way on traps based on 50% being the spread is 100% perfectly on point, whereas traps could set you up for less of a 50% chance of actual odds in regard to statistically being able to win that particular game. However, as JJ said, ultimately you only have the option of picking heads or tails, as if those are the only two teams we watch and bet on every night, in every sport, in every ML, spread, totals bet.

Hence why people with large YTD winning % of + 50% are regarded as very good capper's, where most n00bs would (i would think) the best capper is some guy that has an 80% record based on his last 3 days of plays.
Always wish we all come out with a big bag of

Well said. You speak with wisdom.