Any stats on when a line is pickem, .5, 1, or 1.5 who covers? Home or Road team
I seem to get burned on these lines the most when taking the home team. Took UNC last night and Orlando is getting bushwhacked today. If the road team is covering most of these lines I can change my strategy.
LT Profits
SBR Aristocracy
10-27-06
90963
#2
NBA Home Pick: 207-256, 44.7% Since 1990
NBA Home Fave -1: 281-304-13, 48.0% ATS
NBA Home Fave -1.5: 295-274, 51.8% ATS
NBA Road Fave -1: 268-266-15, 50.2% ATS
NBA Road Fave -1.5: 230-257, 47.2% ATS
NCAAB Home Pick: 364-376, 49.2% Since 1999
NCAAB Home Fave -1: 634-577-32, 48.4% ATS
NCAAB Home Fave -1.5: 556-589, 48.6% ATS
NCAAB Road Fave -1: 579-588-45, 50.5% ATS
NCAAB Road Fave -1.5: 428-435, 49.6% ATS
Comment
seaborneq
SBR Posting Legend
09-08-06
22556
#3
Originally posted by LT Profits
NBA Home Pick: 207-256, 44.7% Since 1990
NBA Home Fave -1: 281-304-13, 48.0% ATS
NBA Home Fave -1.5: 295-274, 51.8% ATS
NBA Road Fave -1: 268-266-15, 50.2% ATS
NBA Road Fave -1.5: 230-257, 47.2% ATS
NCAAB Home Pick: 364-376, 49.2% Since 1999
NCAAB Home Fave -1: 634-577-32, 48.4% ATS
NCAAB Home Fave -1.5: 556-589, 48.6% ATS
NCAAB Road Fave -1: 579-588-45, 50.5% ATS
NCAAB Road Fave -1.5: 428-435, 49.6% ATS
Thanks LT. The proof is in the pudding. I can stick with my system. I thought there was a big difference. Basically still in the 48-52% range
Comment
jjgold
SBR Aristocracy
07-20-05
388179
#4
Everything comes to around even it's why no system wins
Comment
BuckyOne
SBR MVP
01-02-15
2728
#5
Thanks for the info LT! You see a lot of games where a team is lined -1 and the line bounces to the other side -1. I have always suspected that is just a bookmakers ploy to get players to chase the move when there was none - action was on the first side????
Comment
MoMoneyMoVaughn
SBR Posting Legend
05-08-14
14988
#6
Originally posted by LT Profits
NBA Home Pick: 207-256, 44.7% Since 1990
NBA Home Fave -1: 281-304-13, 48.0% ATS
NBA Home Fave -1.5: 295-274, 51.8% ATS
NBA Road Fave -1: 268-266-15, 50.2% ATS
NBA Road Fave -1.5: 230-257, 47.2% ATS
NCAAB Home Pick: 364-376, 49.2% Since 1999
NCAAB Home Fave -1: 634-577-32, 48.4% ATS
NCAAB Home Fave -1.5: 556-589, 48.6% ATS
NCAAB Road Fave -1: 579-588-45, 50.5% ATS
NCAAB Road Fave -1.5: 428-435, 49.6% ATS
Where you getting these numbers LT?
SDQL? Just curious for my own research.
Comment
LT Profits
SBR Aristocracy
10-27-06
90963
#7
Originally posted by MoMoneyMoVaughn
Where you getting these numbers LT?
SDQL? Just curious for my own research.
WinPicks software
Comment
MoMoneyMoVaughn
SBR Posting Legend
05-08-14
14988
#8
Originally posted by LT Profits
WinPicks software
Is this worth the cost in your opinion???
Seems like a high cost for info that could be obtained elsewhere, granted with a significantly more work.
Comment
seaborneq
SBR Posting Legend
09-08-06
22556
#9
Originally posted by jjgold
Everything comes to around even it's why no system wins
JJ I thought I was losing too many of these taking the home team, a la UNC last night, but I am probably doing as well as anybody else on them. No advantage
Comment
LT Profits
SBR Aristocracy
10-27-06
90963
#10
Originally posted by MoMoneyMoVaughn
Is this worth the cost in your opinion???
Seems like a high cost for info that could be obtained elsewhere, granted with a significantly more work.
I don't even use it for what it was intended for. I just think it's a cheap way to get a game database that can be dumped into excel or just about any csv spreadsheet, and then you can do whatever you want with the data.
Comment
MoMoneyMoVaughn
SBR Posting Legend
05-08-14
14988
#11
Ah that makes more sense.
It is INCREDIBLY difficult to find that in my experience. I guess there is a reason no one is giving it away for free.