Any stats on when a line is pickem, .5, 1, or 1.5 who covers? Home or Road team

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  • seaborneq
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 09-08-06
    • 22556

    #1
    Any stats on when a line is pickem, .5, 1, or 1.5 who covers? Home or Road team
    I seem to get burned on these lines the most when taking the home team. Took UNC last night and Orlando is getting bushwhacked today. If the road team is covering most of these lines I can change my strategy.
  • LT Profits
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-27-06
    • 90963

    #2
    NBA Home Pick: 207-256, 44.7% Since 1990
    NBA Home Fave -1: 281-304-13, 48.0% ATS
    NBA Home Fave -1.5: 295-274, 51.8% ATS
    NBA Road Fave -1: 268-266-15, 50.2% ATS
    NBA Road Fave -1.5: 230-257, 47.2% ATS

    NCAAB Home Pick: 364-376, 49.2% Since 1999
    NCAAB Home Fave -1: 634-577-32, 48.4% ATS
    NCAAB Home Fave -1.5: 556-589, 48.6% ATS
    NCAAB Road Fave -1: 579-588-45, 50.5% ATS
    NCAAB Road Fave -1.5: 428-435, 49.6% ATS
    Comment
    • seaborneq
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 09-08-06
      • 22556

      #3
      Originally posted by LT Profits
      NBA Home Pick: 207-256, 44.7% Since 1990
      NBA Home Fave -1: 281-304-13, 48.0% ATS
      NBA Home Fave -1.5: 295-274, 51.8% ATS
      NBA Road Fave -1: 268-266-15, 50.2% ATS
      NBA Road Fave -1.5: 230-257, 47.2% ATS

      NCAAB Home Pick: 364-376, 49.2% Since 1999
      NCAAB Home Fave -1: 634-577-32, 48.4% ATS
      NCAAB Home Fave -1.5: 556-589, 48.6% ATS
      NCAAB Road Fave -1: 579-588-45, 50.5% ATS
      NCAAB Road Fave -1.5: 428-435, 49.6% ATS
      Thanks LT. The proof is in the pudding. I can stick with my system. I thought there was a big difference. Basically still in the 48-52% range
      Comment
      • jjgold
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 07-20-05
        • 388179

        #4
        Everything comes to around even it's why no system wins
        Comment
        • BuckyOne
          SBR MVP
          • 01-02-15
          • 2728

          #5
          Thanks for the info LT! You see a lot of games where a team is lined -1 and the line bounces to the other side -1. I have always suspected that is just a bookmakers ploy to get players to chase the move when there was none - action was on the first side????
          Comment
          • MoMoneyMoVaughn
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 05-08-14
            • 14988

            #6
            Originally posted by LT Profits
            NBA Home Pick: 207-256, 44.7% Since 1990
            NBA Home Fave -1: 281-304-13, 48.0% ATS
            NBA Home Fave -1.5: 295-274, 51.8% ATS
            NBA Road Fave -1: 268-266-15, 50.2% ATS
            NBA Road Fave -1.5: 230-257, 47.2% ATS

            NCAAB Home Pick: 364-376, 49.2% Since 1999
            NCAAB Home Fave -1: 634-577-32, 48.4% ATS
            NCAAB Home Fave -1.5: 556-589, 48.6% ATS
            NCAAB Road Fave -1: 579-588-45, 50.5% ATS
            NCAAB Road Fave -1.5: 428-435, 49.6% ATS

            Where you getting these numbers LT?

            SDQL? Just curious for my own research.
            Comment
            • LT Profits
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 10-27-06
              • 90963

              #7
              Originally posted by MoMoneyMoVaughn
              Where you getting these numbers LT?

              SDQL? Just curious for my own research.
              WinPicks software
              Comment
              • MoMoneyMoVaughn
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 05-08-14
                • 14988

                #8
                Originally posted by LT Profits
                WinPicks software
                Is this worth the cost in your opinion???

                Seems like a high cost for info that could be obtained elsewhere, granted with a significantly more work.
                Comment
                • seaborneq
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 09-08-06
                  • 22556

                  #9
                  Originally posted by jjgold
                  Everything comes to around even it's why no system wins
                  JJ I thought I was losing too many of these taking the home team, a la UNC last night, but I am probably doing as well as anybody else on them. No advantage
                  Comment
                  • LT Profits
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 10-27-06
                    • 90963

                    #10
                    Originally posted by MoMoneyMoVaughn
                    Is this worth the cost in your opinion???

                    Seems like a high cost for info that could be obtained elsewhere, granted with a significantly more work.
                    I don't even use it for what it was intended for. I just think it's a cheap way to get a game database that can be dumped into excel or just about any csv spreadsheet, and then you can do whatever you want with the data.
                    Comment
                    • MoMoneyMoVaughn
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 05-08-14
                      • 14988

                      #11
                      Ah that makes more sense.

                      It is INCREDIBLY difficult to find that in my experience. I guess there is a reason no one is giving it away for free.
                      Comment
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