I need Arkansas State +3.5 to win a Bowl Pool out of 45 entries

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  • seaborneq
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 09-08-06
    • 22556

    #1
    I need Arkansas State +3.5 to win a Bowl Pool out of 45 entries
    How should I feel about my chances? I know nothing about Toledo nor Arkansas State. I will probably hedge a little bit.
  • jjgold
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 07-20-05
    • 388208

    #2
    How much can you win
    Comment
    • seaborneq
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 09-08-06
      • 22556

      #3
      Originally posted by jjgold
      How much can you win
      I don't see why that matters but less than a grand.
      Comment
      • Booya711
        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
        • 12-20-11
        • 27364

        #4
        Originally posted by seaborneq
        I don't see why that matters but less than a grand.
        It matters to determine if it's worth it to hedge depending on your buy in amount for the contest.
        Comment
        • seaborneq
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 09-08-06
          • 22556

          #5
          Originally posted by Booya711
          It matters to determine if it's worth it to hedge depending on your buy in amount for the contest.
          I wouldnt waste my time if everyone put a dollar in
          Comment
          • jjgold
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 07-20-05
            • 388208

            #6
            I would hedge half because who the heck knows going win football game
            Comment
            • seaborneq
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 09-08-06
              • 22556

              #7
              Originally posted by jjgold
              I would hedge half because who the heck knows going win football game
              If I had Toledo -3.5 I probably would hedge half. Since I'm getting points I will probably just assure my self some profit instead of half.
              Comment
              • daneblazer
                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                • 09-14-08
                • 27862

                #8
                Is there an overlay? And title game count? Any chance to win something of you lose?
                Comment
                • seaborneq
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 09-08-06
                  • 22556

                  #9
                  Originally posted by daneblazer
                  Is there an overlay? And title game count? Any chance to win something of you lose?
                  No championship game or tie breaker needed. Both of us have 23 ATS wins going into the last game. I have Arkansas State other person has Toledo. Win or go home situation.
                  Comment
                  • daneblazer
                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                    • 09-14-08
                    • 27862

                    #10
                    Maybe hedge a few bucks. If you can buy it to -3 then you could possibly push and win your pool? That may be worth something... I dunno.

                    i need Toledo and with the way things have been going lately your ark st bet should be good
                    Comment
                    • seaborneq
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 09-08-06
                      • 22556

                      #11
                      Originally posted by daneblazer
                      Maybe hedge a few bucks. If you can buy it to -3 then you could possibly push and win your pool? That may be worth something... I dunno.

                      i need Toledo and with the way things have been going lately your ark st bet should be good
                      Do you win last place if Toledo wins? I am going to hedge just haven't decided how much. I know nothing about either team. Reminds me of the BCS where you gain or lose based on your opponents' opponents record. Picked all the tough games and win or lose based on two teams I haven't seen play or highlights in years
                      Comment
                      • Duke Fan
                        SBR Sharp
                        • 12-17-10
                        • 401

                        #12
                        Good luck to you. Let me share mine.

                        We Have 154 entries. Season long and bowls count like two weeks.We pick 22 1* games and 2 3* games. I am going to either tie for second or tie for fourth depeding on Toledo. Leader is done and ahead of me by two points. I missed my 3* pick on, you guessed it, Western Kentucky. First place over 9k. Western holds on. Toledo game is irrelevant and I have already sowed it up.
                        Comment
                        • seaborneq
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 09-08-06
                          • 22556

                          #13
                          Originally posted by Duke Fan
                          Good luck to you. Let me share mine.

                          We Have 154 entries. Season long and bowls count like two weeks.We pick 22 1* games and 2 3* games. I am going to either tie for second or tie for fourth depeding on Toledo. Leader is done and ahead of me by two points. I missed my 3* pick on, you guessed it, Western Kentucky. First place over 9k. Western holds on. Toledo game is irrelevant and I have already sowed it up.
                          So you can't win first place? I would like to know about the contest this upcoming football season. Sounds like something that would be really fun and high stakes.
                          Comment
                          • Duke Fan
                            SBR Sharp
                            • 12-17-10
                            • 401

                            #14
                            Sent you PM
                            Comment
                            • seaborneq
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 09-08-06
                              • 22556

                              #15
                              I forgot the game is tonight.
                              Comment
                              • no1here
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 03-23-09
                                • 5914

                                #16
                                I know both teams very well and love ark st to win outright

                                Ticket#:2734325
                                Jan 01 12:00 PM
                                Jan 01 12:30 PM
                                Jan 01 08:30 PM
                                Jan 01 08:30 PM
                                Jan 04 09:00 PM
                                Jan 01 11:30 AM CFB
                                CFB
                                CFB
                                CFB
                                CFB
                                PARLAY (5 TEAMS)
                                [256] TOTAL u65-111
                                (WISCONSIN vrs AUBURN)
                                [257] TOTAL o70-110
                                (MICHIGAN STATE vrs BAYLOR)
                                [263] OHIO STATE +8-115
                                [263] TOTAL o59-110
                                (OHIO STATE vrs ALABAMA)
                                [276] ARKANSAS STATE +3½-105
                                10.00 / 219.34
                                Ticket#:2734326
                                Jan 01 12:00 PM
                                Jan 01 12:30 PM
                                Jan 01 08:30 PM
                                Jan 01 08:30 PM
                                Jan 04 09:00 PM
                                Jan 01 11:30 AM CFB
                                CFB
                                CFB
                                CFB
                                CFB
                                PARLAY (5 TEAMS) (FP)
                                [256] TOTAL u65-111
                                (WISCONSIN vrs AUBURN)
                                [257] TOTAL o70-110
                                (MICHIGAN STATE vrs BAYLOR)
                                [263] OHIO STATE +8-115
                                [263] TOTAL o59-110
                                (OHIO STATE vrs ALABAMA)
                                [276] ARKANSAS STATE +150
                                0.00 / 313.81
                                Ticket#:2734330
                                Jan 01 12:00 PM
                                Jan 01 12:30 PM
                                Jan 01 08:30 PM
                                Jan 01 08:30 PM
                                Jan 04 09:00 PM
                                Jan 01 04:15 PM
                                Jan 01 11:31 AM CFB
                                CFB
                                CFB
                                CFB
                                CFB
                                CBB
                                PARLAY (6 TEAMS)
                                [256] TOTAL u65-111
                                (WISCONSIN vrs AUBURN)
                                [257] TOTAL o70-110
                                (MICHIGAN STATE vrs BAYLOR)
                                [263] OHIO STATE +8-115
                                [263] TOTAL o59-110
                                (OHIO STATE vrs ALABAMA)
                                [276] ARKANSAS STATE +3½-105
                                [521] TENNESSEE TECH +3-110
                                10.00 / 398.82
                                Ticket#:2734332
                                Jan 01 12:00 PM
                                Jan 01 12:30 PM
                                Jan 01 08:30 PM
                                Jan 01 08:30 PM
                                Jan 03 01:00 PM
                                Jan 04 09:00 PM
                                Jan 01 04:15 PM
                                Jan 01 11:32 AM CFB
                                CFB
                                CFB
                                CFB
                                CFB
                                CFB
                                CBB
                                PARLAY (7 TEAMS)
                                [256] TOTAL u65-111
                                (WISCONSIN vrs AUBURN)
                                [257] TOTAL o70-110
                                (MICHIGAN STATE vrs BAYLOR)
                                [263] OHIO STATE +8-115
                                [263] TOTAL o59-110
                                (OHIO STATE vrs ALABAMA)
                                [274] FLORIDA -6½-110
                                [276] ARKANSAS STATE +3½-105
                                [521] TENNESSEE TECH +3-110
                                10.00 / 797.69
                                Comment
                                • marco14
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 11-21-14
                                  • 533

                                  #17
                                  I would hedge...I have Toledo winning thing game by 6
                                  Comment
                                  • seaborneq
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 09-08-06
                                    • 22556

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by no1here
                                    I know both teams very well and love ark st to win outright

                                    Ticket#:2734325
                                    Jan 01 12:00 PM
                                    Jan 01 12:30 PM
                                    Jan 01 08:30 PM
                                    Jan 01 08:30 PM
                                    Jan 04 09:00 PM
                                    Jan 01 11:30 AM CFB
                                    CFB
                                    CFB
                                    CFB
                                    CFB
                                    PARLAY (5 TEAMS)
                                    [256] TOTAL u65-111
                                    (WISCONSIN vrs AUBURN)
                                    [257] TOTAL o70-110
                                    (MICHIGAN STATE vrs BAYLOR)
                                    [263] OHIO STATE +8-115
                                    [263] TOTAL o59-110
                                    (OHIO STATE vrs ALABAMA)
                                    [276] ARKANSAS STATE +3½-105
                                    10.00 / 219.34
                                    Ticket#:2734326
                                    Jan 01 12:00 PM
                                    Jan 01 12:30 PM
                                    Jan 01 08:30 PM
                                    Jan 01 08:30 PM
                                    Jan 04 09:00 PM
                                    Jan 01 11:30 AM CFB
                                    CFB
                                    CFB
                                    CFB
                                    CFB
                                    PARLAY (5 TEAMS) (FP)
                                    [256] TOTAL u65-111
                                    (WISCONSIN vrs AUBURN)
                                    [257] TOTAL o70-110
                                    (MICHIGAN STATE vrs BAYLOR)
                                    [263] OHIO STATE +8-115
                                    [263] TOTAL o59-110
                                    (OHIO STATE vrs ALABAMA)
                                    [276] ARKANSAS STATE +150
                                    0.00 / 313.81
                                    Ticket#:2734330
                                    Jan 01 12:00 PM
                                    Jan 01 12:30 PM
                                    Jan 01 08:30 PM
                                    Jan 01 08:30 PM
                                    Jan 04 09:00 PM
                                    Jan 01 04:15 PM
                                    Jan 01 11:31 AM CFB
                                    CFB
                                    CFB
                                    CFB
                                    CFB
                                    CBB
                                    PARLAY (6 TEAMS)
                                    [256] TOTAL u65-111
                                    (WISCONSIN vrs AUBURN)
                                    [257] TOTAL o70-110
                                    (MICHIGAN STATE vrs BAYLOR)
                                    [263] OHIO STATE +8-115
                                    [263] TOTAL o59-110
                                    (OHIO STATE vrs ALABAMA)
                                    [276] ARKANSAS STATE +3½-105
                                    [521] TENNESSEE TECH +3-110
                                    10.00 / 398.82
                                    Ticket#:2734332
                                    Jan 01 12:00 PM
                                    Jan 01 12:30 PM
                                    Jan 01 08:30 PM
                                    Jan 01 08:30 PM
                                    Jan 03 01:00 PM
                                    Jan 04 09:00 PM
                                    Jan 01 04:15 PM
                                    Jan 01 11:32 AM CFB
                                    CFB
                                    CFB
                                    CFB
                                    CFB
                                    CFB
                                    CBB
                                    PARLAY (7 TEAMS)
                                    [256] TOTAL u65-111
                                    (WISCONSIN vrs AUBURN)
                                    [257] TOTAL o70-110
                                    (MICHIGAN STATE vrs BAYLOR)
                                    [263] OHIO STATE +8-115
                                    [263] TOTAL o59-110
                                    (OHIO STATE vrs ALABAMA)
                                    [274] FLORIDA -6½-110
                                    [276] ARKANSAS STATE +3½-105
                                    [521] TENNESSEE TECH +3-110
                                    10.00 / 797.69
                                    I hope you are right. You need to hedge too. YOu have a lot on the line too.
                                    Comment
                                    • innovation
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 01-27-12
                                      • 6218

                                      #19
                                      I'm on ark state ML

                                      better 3rd down defense, better red zone defense

                                      and the X factor 2.3 take aways per game

                                      they ave 36 points per game so a couple turn overs converted into points and I like out chances.

                                      on paper I have Toledo -14

                                      for what it's worth I read this as Vegas underselling the favorite.

                                      good luck
                                      Comment
                                      • Salmon Steak
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 03-05-10
                                        • 2110

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by innovation
                                        I'm on ark state ML

                                        better 3rd down defense, better red zone defense

                                        and the X factor 2.3 take aways per game

                                        they ave 36 points per game so a couple turn overs converted into points and I like out chances.

                                        on paper I have Toledo -14

                                        for what it's worth I read this as Vegas underselling the favorite.

                                        good luck
                                        On ark ML even though you had it capped Toledo -14?
                                        Comment
                                        • seaborneq
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 09-08-06
                                          • 22556

                                          #21
                                          Just took Toledo -3 @115 BetDSI to hedge.
                                          Comment
                                          • pavyracer
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 04-12-07
                                            • 82667

                                            #22
                                            I need Arky St to win in my bowl pool. I think they should win.
                                            Comment
                                            • seaborneq
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 09-08-06
                                              • 22556

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by pavyracer
                                              I need Arky St to win in my bowl pool. I think they should win.
                                              Win or cover?
                                              Comment
                                              • innovation
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 01-27-12
                                                • 6218

                                                #24
                                                you're wise for hedging

                                                in doubt never leave money on the table
                                                Comment
                                                • pavyracer
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 04-12-07
                                                  • 82667

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by seaborneq
                                                  Win or cover?
                                                  win
                                                  Comment
                                                  • crackerjack
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 08-01-06
                                                    • 3366

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by seaborneq
                                                    I don't see why that matters but less than a grand.
                                                    So $44?
                                                    Comment
                                                    • seaborneq
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 09-08-06
                                                      • 22556

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by innovation
                                                      you're wise for hedging

                                                      in doubt never leave money on the table
                                                      It called gambling for a reason. I am a big believer in Murphy's Law and the Flintstones' Sleptrock effect. Wowsie wowsie woo woo. Seen it done it too many times. Birds in bush mean nothing.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • jjgold
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 07-20-05
                                                        • 388208

                                                        #28
                                                        game time very soon
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Dirty Sanchez
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 03-01-10
                                                          • 16031

                                                          #29
                                                          Arkansas St is a train wreck...damn...thought they were better than this
                                                          Comment
                                                          • seaborneq
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 09-08-06
                                                            • 22556

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by Dirty Sanchez
                                                            Arkansas St is a train wreck...damn...thought they were better than this
                                                            That is not fair to train wrecks.
                                                            Comment
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