This prop is like the Ajayi one yesterday. Two completions might be the hardest in the world to get sheesh.
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Sorry I jinxed you, bro
Incredible how the gameplan changed so much after halftimeComment -
Jinxes never seem to happen unless you speak of them.
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No way we can get 2 more completions now
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Someone call Buffalo Wild Wings , we need OT!Comment -
1.2.15
Armed Forces Bowl: HOU RB Kenneth Farrow Total Rushing Yards Over 69.5 @ -134
Really like this. Sloppy conditions here in DFW with cold & rain, so passing will be tricky. UH is not a great padding team regardless, so the ground game is their. best option. Ward is the dual threat QB, so it's him & Farrow with the workload. Farrow finished strong three straight 100+ rushing games & topped 200 4 of the last 5. Pitt is average at best vs. the run, giving up 156 ypg. Get Farrow 15-30 carries & this looks good.Comment -
I just saw it at 82.5 on 5D, at +110
I'm still on it though at that numberComment -
good first quarterComment -
Taxslayer Bowl: TEN WR Pig Howard Total Receiving Yards Over 43.5 @ -135
The Vols won't blow you away in the air, but they do average 228 ypg via the pass. Iowa has a solid pass D by the numbers, allowing just 176 ypg. numbers. Remember though that theyplayed mostly run heavy B10 offenses. Since Dobbs took over at QB, the rapport with Pig is apparent. Half of Howard's season total of 52 catches have come in those five games. He's beat this # in all but one of those and led the Vols in yardage in 3/5 Dobbs' starts.Comment -
Ezpz for Farrow.Comment -
Damn Pearson getting everything. Don't think this one is gonna have a shot unless we get a lucky big play somewhere.Comment -
Cactus Bowl: Oklahoma State-Washington Special Teams/Defense Scores TD @ +140
Pretty solid return teams with both sides having KR & PR TDs. Washington also sports six pick 6s this season and goes against a turnover prone OSU offense that gave the ball away 36 times. Huskies led the PAC-12 with 27 takeaways.
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Holla!
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Record: 6-6 [-0.44]Comment -
1.3.14
NFC Wildcard: ARZ-CAR Total FGs Made Over 3.5 @ +110
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Gano miss in the 1st half was a killer. Betting someone gets another one here before the end which means this will miss out by that missed one potentially.
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1.4.15
AFC Wildcard: CIN-IND Total Punts Over 8.5 @ -130
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NFC Wildcard: DET QB Matthew Stafford Total Passing Yards Over 275.5 @ -115
The best place to attack the Dallas defense is still going after their secondary. DAL is giving up almost 252 ypg through the air on the season. That's right about the average for DET offensively for the year also. Detroit's run game is still pathetic, so Stafford should be throwing often again. He's putting up around 38 passes per game.
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I have a bet on Cowboys ML, a semi-big one for myself. Also thinking Stafford over 40,5 pass attempts or over 28,5 completions. Which one would you prefer? And also at which bookie do you place these props bets? BOLComment -
I'd take attempts. I had 39.5 available, it was between that and the yardage I took. Stafford's too inconsistent on his accuracy I think to expect a high amount of completions. Could happen, but attempts seems better option to me because they do tend to throw so much.Comment -
GoDaddy Bowl: ASU QB Fredi Knighten Total Passing Yards Over 248.5 @ -130
Arkansas State would prefer a mix of running and passing, but with Toledo on the other side of the field - ASU is going to have to score and Toledo's pass D is much easier to pick on. Toledo gives up 280 ypg through the air and Arkansas State averages right around this posted # for the prop.
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Record: 9-7 [+1.56]
Clean sweep today to get on top of that .500 mark.Comment -
AFC Divisional Playoffs: BAL-NE Total Sacks Over 4 @ -101
Two good pass rushes against two solid OLs. Think something will give enough for one group to at least get a push.Comment -
NFC Divisional: CAR-SEA Playoffs Longest Made FG Over 44.5 @ +115
I think an excellent price to get here in a game where there may be quite a few stops, just like the first meeting where we saw plenty of field goal opps. Both kickers have the range.
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Record: 9-8 [-0.45]
In the shitter yesterday, looking over stuff for GB-DAL. Gotta find a winner to start and get back up on top. Erg.Comment -
1.11.15
NFC Divisional Playoff: GB-DAL Longest TD Scored Over 48.5 @ -115
Should be big play opportunities for both passing games. DAL will establish the run of course with Murray against a Packers' D that has had some problems stopping the run, that will give them chances to hit their WRs down the field. GB with Rodgers less mobile with the calf injury also will probably work on the run with Lacy to take some pressure off of Rodgers having to do too much at least early. Nelson & Cobb both have the ability to get loose in the secondary. Of course the longer Dallas' D is the on field, the more likely one of them gets loose deep. Both teams also have some dangermen in the punt return game with Hyde & Harris who could be factors.
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