El Stupido's NFL Week 17 Picks

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  • EaglesPhan36
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 12-06-06
    • 71662

    #1
    El Stupido's NFL Week 17 Picks
    My spot plays on Sunday. May be playing some props and 2nd halves too. Blowing out the NFL season on the last weekend for shits & giggles, let's hope it's shitting on the books or giggling to the bank.


    Play #1: Carolina-Atlanta Over 47.5 @ -110
    A game where you should get the usual effort from both as it's for the South Division and a playoff spot. The first meeting was an under with only 36 points, but both teams are heavy OVERs laiden on this reverse with CAR 6-2 on road OVERs and ATL the same on home OVERs. Will be a big lift if Julio Jones can go, would expect he gives it a go with the playoffs on the line. Both teams should have success airing it out.

    Play #2: Jaguars-Texans Under 40 @ -110
    Texans are the ones obviously with everything to play for, but they have to win and get help from CLE with a 3rd string QB and KC with a 2nd string QB. Their offense struggled last week despite all the opportunities and settled for a bunch of FGs. Jags have only scored 20+ in four games all season. On the road, they have scored 14 or less in 5/7. Houston has given up 17 or less in each of the last three weeks, including the 1st meeting with JAX. Texans have played to 40 pts or less in 5 of the last 6. JAX the same in 4 of the last 5 and 8 of the last 10 overall.

  • EaglesPhan36
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 12-06-06
    • 71662

    #2
    Play #3: Patriots-Bills Total FGs Over 3.5 @ +110
    Comment
    • EaglesPhan36
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 12-06-06
      • 71662

      #3
      I'm not sure I have ever hit a NFL under in the last five years.
      Comment
      • EaglesPhan36
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 12-06-06
        • 71662

        #4
        Play #4: [2nd Half] Eagles-Giants Over 27 @ -110
        Comment
        • EaglesPhan36
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 12-06-06
          • 71662

          #5
          Originally posted by EaglesPhan36
          Play #3: Patriots-Bills Total FGs Over 3.5 @ +110
          Comment
          • EaglesPhan36
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 12-06-06
            • 71662

            #6
            Play #5: Broncos-Raiders Longest FG Made Over 44.5 @ -115
            Comment
            • EaglesPhan36
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 12-06-06
              • 71662

              #7
              Originally posted by EaglesPhan36

              Play #2: Jaguars-Texans Under 40 @ -110
              Texans are the ones obviously with everything to play for, but they have to win and get help from CLE with a 3rd string QB and KC with a 2nd string QB. Their offense struggled last week despite all the opportunities and settled for a bunch of FGs. Jags have only scored 20+ in four games all season. On the road, they have scored 14 or less in 5/7. Houston has given up 17 or less in each of the last three weeks, including the 1st meeting with JAX. Texans have played to 40 pts or less in 5 of the last 6. JAX the same in 4 of the last 5 and 8 of the last 10 overall.

              Beautiful push.
              Comment
              • EaglesPhan36
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 12-06-06
                • 71662

                #8
                Another push as Master Chip doesn't go for the kill shot at the end on the Giants.
                Comment
                • EaglesPhan36
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 12-06-06
                  • 71662

                  #9
                  Originally posted by EaglesPhan36
                  Play #5: Broncos-Raiders Longest FG Made Over 44.5 @ -115

                  1st quarter and we're home.
                  Comment
                  • EaglesPhan36
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 12-06-06
                    • 71662

                    #10
                    Play #6: [2nd Half] Cardinals-49ers Over 21 @ -110
                    Comment
                    • EaglesPhan36
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 12-06-06
                      • 71662

                      #11
                      Fargin ATL .. .3 pts? Sheesh.
                      Comment
                      • EaglesPhan36
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 12-06-06
                        • 71662

                        #12
                        Alright well maybe I can at least get a prop sweep for the day.

                        Play #7: CIN QB Andy Dalton Total Completions Over 19.5 @ -104
                        Comment
                        • EaglesPhan36
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 12-06-06
                          • 71662

                          #13
                          Prop sweep. Guess that's gonna be the playoff picks for moi.
                          Comment
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