Conservative Betting

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  • Swaggy P
    SBR MVP
    • 01-28-14
    • 1091

    #1
    Conservative Betting
    Calling all math guys.

    What is the probability of losing the whole account if one bets no more than 1% of their bankroll on their first bet and then just keep chasing until you win?


    Would that be a smart way to bet and make consistent profits?
  • shaunovery
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 11-15-07
    • 18143

    #2
    Not really depends on your bank and how many losers you have
    Comment
    • Double Bogey
      SBR MVP
      • 07-24-10
      • 1465

      #3
      Not smart, chase systems have proven to not work long term. If chase systems worked, books would outlaw betting that way
      Comment
      • KiDBaZkiT
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 10-20-09
        • 14962

        #4
        Horrible sn. Just atrocious.
        Comment
        • Swaggy P
          SBR MVP
          • 01-28-14
          • 1091

          #5
          Originally posted by Double Bogey
          Not smart, chase systems have proven to not work long term. If chase systems worked, books would outlaw betting that way
          What would you say is a good betting strategy?
          Comment
          • Swaggy P
            SBR MVP
            • 01-28-14
            • 1091

            #6
            Originally posted by KiDBaZkiT
            Horrible sn. Just atrocious.
            Nobody asked for your useless opinion "kidbazkit" whatever the hell that means.
            Comment
            • ItsMeMrMattE
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 08-30-10
              • 5294

              #7
              Originally posted by Swaggy P

              What would you say is a good betting strategy?
              pick more winners than losers.
              Comment
              • Swaggy P
                SBR MVP
                • 01-28-14
                • 1091

                #8
                Originally posted by ItsMeMrMattE
                pick more winners than losers.
                easier said than done
                Comment
                • Double Bogey
                  SBR MVP
                  • 07-24-10
                  • 1465

                  #9
                  The best way is to have the discipline to bet only 1%-1.5% of your bankroll and only when you have an edge.

                  Betting that small will ensure you won't go broke from a bad run. But if you do go broke, you need to reevaluate how you calculate an edge because you are doing it wrong.

                  99% of gamblers are unable to have that discipline. Most over bet their bankrolls and have to reload often. Takes a long time for this strategy to sink in because you don't get the "rush", but it's the only way to achieve long term success.
                  Comment
                  • Swaggy P
                    SBR MVP
                    • 01-28-14
                    • 1091

                    #10
                    Originally posted by Double Bogey
                    The best way is to have the discipline to bet only 1%-1.5% of your bankroll and only when you have an edge.

                    Betting that small will ensure you won't go broke from a bad run. But if you do go broke, you need to reevaluate how you calculate an edge because you are doing it wrong.

                    99% of gamblers are unable to have that discipline. Most over bet their bankrolls and have to reload often. Takes a long time for this strategy to sink in because you don't get the "rush", but it's the only way to achieve long term success.
                    Really don't have the patience for that to be honest. Would rather just not bet at all. I think it might be a smarter thing to bet very occasionally like let's say a player's number is about to be retired before a game, some anniversary ceremony of the franchise's birth etc. something like that where players will be a lot more motivated to perform. These types of games happen to win by blowout most of the time from my experience of watching sports. I think that can have some long term success. What do you think?
                    Comment
                    • Double Bogey
                      SBR MVP
                      • 07-24-10
                      • 1465

                      #11
                      Give it a try, it's only money.
                      Comment
                      • Swaggy P
                        SBR MVP
                        • 01-28-14
                        • 1091

                        #12
                        Originally posted by Double Bogey
                        Give it a try, it's only money.
                        We'll see. I haven't bet for months and months, not sure if I want to start again.
                        Comment
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