About 50 Minutes Til Kickoff Public All Over Denver At 78% ML 76% Spread But...

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • TheMoneyShot
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 02-14-07
    • 28672

    #1
    About 50 Minutes Til Kickoff Public All Over Denver At 78% ML 76% Spread But...
    Why is Denver the underdog at KC? Giving you +105 currently. I don't get it?

    What do we do here? We still hammer KC?
  • Smoke
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-09-09
    • 48111

    #2
    Its a trap. Take denver.
    Comment
    • Ghenghis Kahn
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 01-02-12
      • 19734

      #3
      yeah kc all the way. remember it's thanksgiving weekend. public heavy on denver.
      Comment
      • jjgold
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 07-20-05
        • 388179

        #4
        Kc a lock now with injury
        Comment
        • tony_come
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 03-31-10
          • 21695

          #5
          Originally posted by Smoke
          Its a trap. Take denver.
          Smokiest Noooooo
          Comment
          • TheMoneyShot
            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
            • 02-14-07
            • 28672

            #6
            Pinnacle

            Den +1 +102 Den ML +107

            Wow... Unreal
            Comment
            • Smoke
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 10-09-09
              • 48111

              #7
              Originally posted by tony_come
              Smokiest Noooooo
              Toniest yes. Toniest its a trap to get the big sharp money on KC. Toniest the books could care less about the publics $20 bets
              Comment
              • mikemca
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 03-10-10
                • 10047

                #8
                Originally posted by Smoke
                Its a trap. Take denver.
                I'm starting to lean this way too. Everything that vegas knows bettors look at screams KC. Thomas out , RLM , Chiefs just lost to the Raiders lol , the Raiders who lost 52-0 to the Rams today. The Rams.

                Yet they are favored with huge RLM vs Denver in a huge game if you believe those public betting %s.

                I dunno very fishy imo
                Comment
                • dfish
                  SBR MVP
                  • 12-17-10
                  • 2730

                  #9
                  Played under
                  Comment
                  • Dollars2Donuts
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 02-07-13
                    • 8803

                    #10
                    I am going to hit Denver again and the under. Both teams will be running the shit out of the clock.
                    Comment
                    • jayson311
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 08-18-10
                      • 900

                      #11
                      How often does rlm point out a winner in NFL? Do we really believe in traps, and even sharps traps, sharp money, Triads blablah blah. 2 tough teams, I will take the better QB with superbowl clock ticking in his head.

                      Ps I have gotten killed today
                      Comment
                      • warbux
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 11-17-13
                        • 896

                        #12
                        on kc + 105

                        hope this cashes
                        Comment
                        • TheMoneyShot
                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                          • 02-14-07
                          • 28672

                          #13
                          What's Manning's record below 28 degrees? Isn't it below .500 in his career?
                          Comment
                          • Smoke
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 10-09-09
                            • 48111

                            #14
                            Originally posted by mikemca
                            I'm starting to lean this way too. Everything that vegas knows bettors look at screams KC. Thomas out , RLM , Chiefs just lost to the Raiders lol , the Raiders who lost 52-0 to the Rams today. The Rams.

                            Yet they are favored with huge RLM vs Denver in a huge game if you believe those public betting %s.

                            I dunno very fishy imo
                            Sharp post
                            Comment
                            • Ghenghis Kahn
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 01-02-12
                              • 19734

                              #15
                              crappy start for kc.
                              Comment
                              • chipshipley
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 11-18-14
                                • 637

                                #16
                                too many ppl on this site like kc and under hence i parlayed den and over. this game could be over at half , kc has a shit offense and they're defense can't stop denver when they're clicking
                                Comment
                                • chipshipley
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 11-18-14
                                  • 637

                                  #17
                                  if denver scores here its over for kc
                                  Comment
                                  • pavyracer
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 04-12-07
                                    • 82839

                                    #18
                                    Public is not stupid as people think.
                                    Comment
                                    • Smoke
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 10-09-09
                                      • 48111

                                      #19
                                      The Books are gonna clean up on this game with all those big sharp bets on kc.
                                      Comment
                                      • jt315
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 11-12-11
                                        • 22005

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by Smoke
                                        The Books are gonna clean up on this game with all those big sharp bets on kc.
                                        Book will probably need KC . There isn't a more public team than Denver.
                                        Comment
                                        • Dollars2Donuts
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 02-07-13
                                          • 8803

                                          #21
                                          I love Peyton, great player, but he NEEDS to be better than that. That could easily cost them the game. He felt the D there, felt the box collapsing....he knows he isn't Big Ben, he knows he needs to protect the ball there....and?

                                          A fumble there is not acceptable.
                                          Comment
                                          • Big Bear
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 11-01-11
                                            • 43253

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by TheMoneyShot
                                            Why is Denver the underdog at KC? Giving you +105 currently. I don't get it?

                                            What do we do here? We still hammer KC?
                                            NFL is not fixed. Do not pay attention to that public mumbo jumbo
                                            Comment
                                            • Harry N. Lloyd
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 03-26-08
                                              • 4810

                                              #23
                                              Boyz, there is no Santa Claus, no Easter Bunny, no Tooth Fairy, and no Sharps. They don't exist. There are a handful of people in Vegas who have ridiculously deep pockets and bet more per game than Joe Public. They are no sharper, only wealthier. The true sharps are the linemakers, who post such good numbers that it's basically a 50/50 proposition either way. Flip a coin.
                                              Comment
                                              • Dollars2Donuts
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 02-07-13
                                                • 8803

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by Dollars2Donuts
                                                I am going to hit Denver again and the under. Both teams will be running the shit out of the clock.
                                                Denver was never in doubt here. Nice to get an easy win under the belt.
                                                Comment
                                                • frostno98
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 09-11-07
                                                  • 9769

                                                  #25
                                                  People here in SBR over thinks sh1t too much, that's why they all fuggin lose regularly.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Dollars2Donuts
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 02-07-13
                                                    • 8803

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by frostno98
                                                    People here in SBR over thinks sh1t too much, that's why they all fuggin lose regularly.
                                                    No. They lose consistently because it is MATH. You need to hit 52.5% or more (depending on your book's juice) to break even. The public inherently bets 50% per side, not on every game but that's what it works out to.

                                                    Look at Beat The Prick. The group as a whole (after we lost the non-pros) is hitting 51.18% and has lost 856 units. By definition, over a long enough period, the general public will hit somewhere around this number and will LOSE....and there are some very sharp people in this pool trying their best to bring up the average.

                                                    So, by definition as a whole, everyone will always lose. This should not come as a surprise. It isn't over thinking, it is the way sports betting works.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Ghenghis Kahn
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 01-02-12
                                                      • 19734

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by frostno98
                                                      People here in SBR over thinks sh1t too much, that's why they all fuggin lose regularly.
                                                      lol don't over think things? you kidding me? if you don't over think things and just bet randomly, that's how you lose your roll.

                                                      yeah this game lost but over thinking things is the way to go.

                                                      even though initially i was leaning towards arizona and new england, i ended up going with atl and green bay because i over thought things.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • jjgold
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 07-20-05
                                                        • 388179

                                                        #28
                                                        This game hurt a lot of people in many ways
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Dollars2Donuts
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 02-07-13
                                                          • 8803

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by TheMoneyShot
                                                          What's Manning's record below 28 degrees? Isn't it below .500 in his career?
                                                          One game better now.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Big Bear
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 11-01-11
                                                            • 43253

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by Big Bear
                                                            NFL is not fixed. Do not pay attention to that public mumbo jumbo


                                                            faux sharps going to lose their ass again tonight trying to be cute and taking the Jets
                                                            Comment
                                                            • RavensFan2k3
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 08-18-12
                                                              • 17378

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by jjgold
                                                              Kc a lock now with injury
                                                              Wtf are you talking about?
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Big Bear
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 11-01-11
                                                                • 43253

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by pavyracer
                                                                Public is not stupid as people think.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Big Bear
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 11-01-11
                                                                  • 43253

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by mikemca
                                                                  I'm starting to lean this way too. Everything that vegas knows bettors look at screams KC. Thomas out , RLM , Chiefs just lost to the Raiders lol , the Raiders who lost 52-0 to the Rams today. The Rams.

                                                                  Yet they are favored with huge RLM vs Denver in a huge game if you believe those public betting %s.

                                                                  I dunno very fishy imo
                                                                  yup.

                                                                  Vegas toyed with yall last night and fukked many people over doing the whole RLM trick
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • TheMoneyShot
                                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                    • 02-14-07
                                                                    • 28672

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Still don't know what the actual lesson is to this game???

                                                                    If the book shifts the line and gives you the underdog... take it? Even though the public was perceived to be on that side as well?

                                                                    I noted my gambling book.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • ZetaPsi808
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 09-18-08
                                                                      • 12119

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by TheMoneyShot
                                                                      Still don't know what the actual lesson is to this game???

                                                                      If the book shifts the line and gives you the underdog... take it?
                                                                      Even though the public was perceived to be on that side as well?

                                                                      I noted my gambling book.
                                                                      yes
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      Search
                                                                      Collapse
                                                                      SBR Contests
                                                                      Collapse
                                                                      Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
                                                                      Collapse
                                                                      Working...