Patriots at Colts: Discuss

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  • stevenash
    Moderator
    • 01-17-11
    • 65682

    #1
    Patriots at Colts: Discuss
    Line is 2.5, a bookmaker once told me if you see an opener at 2.5, we aren't sure where to set it, let the people bet it up or down (or something to that effect)

    So, if Lucas Oil is worth 3.5 points, are the Colts 1 point better than NE on a neutral field?

    Patriots secondary is good, are they good enough to stop Chuck and Luck?
    Colts seconday is not that good.

    Early lean to New England you would think
  • mcdonae101
    SBR MVP
    • 03-02-14
    • 3646

    #2
    patriots for me
    Comment
    • BIGDAY
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 02-17-10
      • 48245

      #3
      Flip a coin,
      Comment
      • boomer62
        SBR MVP
        • 09-10-11
        • 1500

        #4
        Originally posted by stevenash
        Line is 2.5, a bookmaker once told me if you see an opener at 2.5, we aren't sure where to set it, let the people bet it up or down (or something to that effect)

        So, if Lucas Oil is worth 3.5 points, are the Colts 1 point better than NE on a neutral field?

        Patriots secondary is good, are they good enough to stop Chuck and Luck?
        Colts seconday is not that good.

        Early lean to New England you would think
        The line should be Indy -4/4.5 I believe they opened -2.5 because the sharps will come in and take the Pats. I lean to NE also, besides Bear likes the Colts and gave his analysis which makes me like NE even more after reading it.
        Comment
        • Ted Sheckler
          SBR MVP
          • 01-08-14
          • 1936

          #5
          Coin has been flipped, landed on Indy ML parlayed with Lions ML and Fed this morning.

          New England has looked good lately. Will likely hedge out if available.
          Comment
          • dfish
            SBR MVP
            • 12-17-10
            • 2730

            #6
            Yep,let the players move the line
            Giving the edge to NE offense
            Probs on the over with everyone else
            Comment
            • Big Bear
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 11-01-11
              • 43253

              #7
              colts
              Comment
              • klemopixx
                SBR MVP
                • 10-02-14
                • 3807

                #8
                Brady getting points is always a good bet in my opinion but in a way I see this as a red flag. Any time I see a line I don't understand, I'll read up on it till something convinces me it's right. Otherwise I'm staying away from this one.
                Comment
                • lakerboy
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 04-02-09
                  • 94379

                  #9
                  Colts all day. Bad spot for ne. Revenge game for indy.
                  Comment
                  • Vinnie Paz
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 03-27-12
                    • 12177

                    #10
                    Originally posted by lakerboy
                    Colts all day. Bad spot for ne. Revenge game for indy.
                    yeah this is basically my angle too. Really wish ne wasn't off a bye as well but whatever . I like colts here. This isn't an Xs and Os play where colts have all kinds of mismatches. Just kinda like em in this spot.
                    Comment
                    • Big Bear
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 11-01-11
                      • 43253

                      #11
                      Originally posted by Vinnie Paz
                      yeah this is basically my angle too. Really wish ne wasn't off a bye as well but whatever . I like colts here. This isn't an Xs and Os play where colts have all kinds of mismatches. Just kinda like em in this spot.
                      yeah on paper the Patriots obviously have the better secondary and pass rush but Luck is pretty special at home.

                      This might be the last time the Patriots lose all season.
                      Comment
                      • jjgold
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 07-20-05
                        • 388179

                        #12
                        guys over is real easy

                        why make it complicated
                        Comment
                        • stevek173
                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                          • 03-29-08
                          • 27598

                          #13
                          coin flip and great game to watch

                          if you bet it you're lost
                          Comment
                          • lukey016
                            SBR High Roller
                            • 02-04-14
                            • 223

                            #14
                            I'll take the Pats here
                            Comment
                            • Broncos
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 12-17-12
                              • 862

                              #15
                              Pats and the over (good call coach).
                              Comment
                              • BeanTownClown88
                                SBR MVP
                                • 08-08-13
                                • 1961

                                #16
                                Brady is just too good to not post crazy numbers vs a team that cant cover gronk..Brady is better in Indy than Luck is
                                Comment
                                • WinningSince86
                                  SBR High Roller
                                  • 10-30-14
                                  • 126

                                  #17
                                  Over

                                  Both teams reach in 30 pts.
                                  Comment
                                  • yankees10
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 06-27-10
                                    • 973

                                    #18
                                    Ne due for a loss !!
                                    Comment
                                    • Jeffie
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 04-06-12
                                      • 3428

                                      #19
                                      Not betting on this game, but its gonna come down to who gets all the calls in the 4th qrt.
                                      Pats will probably win it by a field goal.
                                      Comment
                                      • pavyracer
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 04-12-07
                                        • 82840

                                        #20
                                        Nothing to discuss for me. I'd wait until lakerboy picks a side and then bet the other team.
                                        Comment
                                        • jjgold
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 07-20-05
                                          • 388179

                                          #21
                                          Lol..good one Stavros

                                          It will be the week of the overs in NFL
                                          Comment
                                          • Barnes & Whine
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 09-29-11
                                            • 3103

                                            #22
                                            All the Pats love is making me think Indy is the play.
                                            Comment
                                            • GunShard
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 03-05-10
                                              • 10031

                                              #23
                                              Over.
                                              Comment
                                              • sneakerhead
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 07-14-10
                                                • 7727

                                                #24
                                                Bellicheck isnt going to let Luck throw for 300 yards. I think they will try to run it and use as much clock as they can to keep it away from Luck. Thats just a lean but who knows, im not gonna play the under
                                                Comment
                                                • Seaweed
                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                  • 01-19-12
                                                  • 26318

                                                  #25
                                                  Only suckers bet this game

                                                  Real money to be made elsewhere
                                                  Comment
                                                  • SmittyZ28
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 09-04-12
                                                    • 1469

                                                    #26
                                                    Brady has a 106.42 passer rating all time in domes, Pats +points 2-0 this year. Personally, and I am biased, you are crazy to not bet the pats at +3 or above. I am a huge Colts fan, been cashing tickets on them since last year but Brady and Bill +points is basically the unicorn of the NFL and should be bet every time it is available, especially if you get a key number like 3/3.5

                                                    Great leg for a teaser as well.

                                                    Good luck, can't wait to watch this game
                                                    Comment
                                                    • sneakerhead
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 07-14-10
                                                      • 7727

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by SmittyZ28
                                                      Brady has a 106.42 passer rating all time in domes, Pats +points 2-0 this year. Personally, and I am biased, you are crazy to not bet the pats at +3 or above. I am a huge Colts fan, been cashing tickets on them since last year but Brady and Bill +points is basically the unicorn of the NFL and should be bet every time it is available, especially if you get a key number like 3/3.5

                                                      Great leg for a teaser as well.

                                                      Good luck, can't wait to watch this game
                                                      I would disagree, the line moving to 3 is not a good sign.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Fred The Hammer
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 08-13-13
                                                        • 11584

                                                        #28
                                                        I live in Indy and the Colts D is completely different at home with the crowd noise. Both teams have good corners and I'm sure Belechik will make sure NE has help over the top to contain TY Hilton. On the other side NE doesn't have alot of deep speed so you might see both teams with long time consuming drives. The Colts get LeRon Landry back so maybe he could body slam Gronk with those guns? It should be a great game but I don't see it as a great betting game. Even if NE jumps on top its not like Luck hasn't made comebacks before. Prob the best 2 kickers in the NFL as well
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Smoke
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 10-09-09
                                                          • 48111

                                                          #29
                                                          Everyone likes the over so game will go under now
                                                          Comment
                                                          • odog11
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 02-14-11
                                                            • 3874

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by Fred The Hammer
                                                            I live in Indy and the Colts D is completely different at home with the crowd noise. Both teams have good corners and I'm sure Belechik will make sure NE has help over the top to contain TY Hilton. On the other side NE doesn't have alot of deep speed so you might see both teams with long time consuming drives. The Colts get LeRon Landry back so maybe he could body slam Gronk with those guns? It should be a great game but I don't see it as a great betting game. Even if NE jumps on top its not like Luck hasn't made comebacks before. Prob the best 2 kickers in the NFL as well
                                                            Agree Colts D much better at home and Pats could struggle in protection here. That being said I am in for plus money, Pats are playing well and coming off a bye. Patriots ML +135.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Scottish
                                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                                              • 12-21-10
                                                              • 588

                                                              #31
                                                              Pats by 10. Turnovers will be the diff here Colts secondary can't stop the TE or slot and can't get pressure without blitzing. Luck is great but liable for a pick or two vs Pats opportunistic defense and you're getting a fg now.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Big Bear
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 11-01-11
                                                                • 43253

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by Barnes & Whine
                                                                All the Pats love is making me think Indy is the play.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • sneakerhead
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 07-14-10
                                                                  • 7727

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by Big Bear
                                                                  Bear likes Indy so Pats is a must play
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • unusialsusp5
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 04-18-10
                                                                    • 4198

                                                                    #34
                                                                    pats 0-5-1 last 6 years after bye week. does it mean that they are due or is this a trend that will continue. pats get caught napping in this one. give... over/under way too high. tread carefully on that. do not tease that total down to 51.5. game will progress with a unusual lack of scoring. field goal city. brady took long vacation with that shrew (but hot) wife of his down in some south america beach resort. he didn't want to go but she insisted. she runs the show in that family. bill will say in his post game press conference we were outplayed on offense, defense, special teams and coaching, which of course he says after every loss. that record after the bye week is against the spread, which is all that really matters.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • NYSportsGuy210
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 11-07-09
                                                                      • 11347

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by stevenash
                                                                      Line is 2.5, a bookmaker once told me if you see an opener at 2.5, we aren't sure where to set it, let the people bet it up or down (or something to that effect)

                                                                      So, if Lucas Oil is worth 3.5 points, are the Colts 1 point better than NE on a neutral field?

                                                                      Patriots secondary is good, are they good enough to stop Chuck and Luck?
                                                                      Colts seconday is not that good.

                                                                      Early lean to New England you would think
                                                                      Bet the OVER.
                                                                      Comment
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