Researching for the best way to make money, I discovered a system I would like to call "3-to-4". I have been using this system recently to build my bankroll and decided I would share it with everyone here to help track its success rate. I will post the system in the next post.
New Hockey System "3-to-4" Trial For Live Betting (System Explanation Inside)
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SeaweedBARRELED IN @ SBR!- 01-19-12
- 26320
#1New Hockey System "3-to-4" Trial For Live Betting (System Explanation Inside)Tags: None -
SeaweedBARRELED IN @ SBR!- 01-19-12
- 26320
#2This is a live betting system that is played ideally in the NHL when the score is 3-2 in the 1st, or 2nd period. When Team A is leading Team B 3-2 in the 1st or 2nd Period, bet the option "Race to 4 goals" and take Team A. Since Team A is winning 3-2, they will reach 4 most of the time before Team B. So, what we do is bet Team A "First to 4 goals". For example, the odds will roughly be -155 for Team A to reach 4. So if we bet $155 on Team A, and they score the next goal, you will win $100. HOWEVER, if Team B ties it up 3-3 this is when we HEDGE and bet the option " Team to score Next Goal" and take Team B to score next. The odds for both teams to score next will both be +money. So, we bet $100 on Team B at lets say +115 and we take our loses of $35 overall. This system gives you the option to cut your losses when it is 3-3 but also to make 3 times the amount you can potentially lose. Most of the time you will win when betting Team A to hit 4 first, but when it is 3-3, you will only lose a little when hedging. However, if Team A still scores to make it 4-3 you could potentially break even give or take a little. I will be tracking this system here and I hope others can track it too. When played everytime, it is projected to make you money. I am still studying the system, but input would be nice.Comment -
SeaweedBARRELED IN @ SBR!- 01-19-12
- 26320
#3Will keep on eye on it tonight. Will be using Bet365Comment -
SeaweedBARRELED IN @ SBR!- 01-19-12
- 26320
#4Some people might say "What if it finishes 3-2?" When it is 3-2 in the 2nd period (lets say, half way through the game) The game almost 90 percent of the time does not finish 3-2. 90 percent of the time another goal will be scored.Comment -
James MarquesSBR MVP
- 03-04-14
- 1605
#5I would love to see something... anything... that proves "90%" of 3-2 NHL games in the second period don't finish 3-2.Comment -
SeaweedBARRELED IN @ SBR!- 01-19-12
- 26320
#6Earlier in the 2nd period, higher the percentage.Originally posted by James MarquesI would love to see something... anything... that proves "90%" of 3-2 NHL games in the second period don't finish 3-2.Comment -
Let's Go RangersSBR Hall of Famer
- 03-18-12
- 8918
#7interesting concept Seaweed.
I personally think the "fade Russian Rocket" system is a lot more reliable ...
and it is tried and trueComment -
SeaweedBARRELED IN @ SBR!- 01-19-12
- 26320
#8If both have been proven to be profitable, choose the system you have had a higher success rate at.Originally posted by Let's Go Rangersinteresting concept Seaweed.
I personally think the "fade Russian Rocket" system is a lot more reliable ...
and it is tried and trueComment -
James MarquesSBR MVP
- 03-04-14
- 1605
#9This strategy has an expected value of roughly -$3.50 for $100 units every time it is tried. Assuming your 90% figure earlier is accurate.Comment -
Russian RocketSBR Aristocracy
- 09-02-12
- 43910
#10Seaweed unlike homoranger...I actually will help you out here
I'm pretty sure you won't understand much...but nonetheless give it shot:
Comment -
SeaweedBARRELED IN @ SBR!- 01-19-12
- 26320
#11Thanks for the article. I remember reading this in the Spring of 2008.Originally posted by Russian RocketSeaweed unlike homoranger...I actually will help you out here
I'm pretty sure you won't understand much...but nonetheless give it shot:
http://hockeyanalytics.com/Research_...e%20Hockey.pdfComment -
SeaweedBARRELED IN @ SBR!- 01-19-12
- 26320
#12This can also be applied to games where the score is "2-1" with good value on team A. So here it is. Take Edmonton "Race to 3" vs New York. (Current score 2-1 in 2nd) Live Bet Oilers to 3 @-125Comment -
SeaweedBARRELED IN @ SBR!- 01-19-12
- 26320
#13Need to add : Do not bet if line is over -160, only under when Team A is winning and the line to score is -160 or under.Comment -
Let's Go RangersSBR Hall of Famer
- 03-18-12
- 8918
#14So 8n play on TBComment -
Russian RocketSBR Aristocracy
- 09-02-12
- 43910
#15James you would have to look deep into his anal cavity, because that's where he pulled that number fromOriginally posted by James MarquesI would love to see something... anything... that proves "90%" of 3-2 NHL games in the second period don't finish 3-2.
...and I'm pretty sure you don't want to do brotherComment -
Russian RocketSBR Aristocracy
- 09-02-12
- 43910
#16and how did you apply those principals and stats into your formula here?Originally posted by SeaweedThanks for the article. I remember reading this in the Spring of 2008.Comment -
Russian RocketSBR Aristocracy
- 09-02-12
- 43910
#17Did u bet live Oilers to 3?Originally posted by SeaweedThis can also be applied to games where the score is "2-1" with good value on team A. So here it is. Take Edmonton "Race to 3" vs New York. (Current score 2-1 in 2nd) Live Bet Oilers to 3 @-125Comment -
Russian RocketSBR Aristocracy
- 09-02-12
- 43910
#18ohh I know...you'll give me an answer with one minute left on the clockOriginally posted by Russian RocketDid u bet live Oilers to 3?
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SeaweedBARRELED IN @ SBR!- 01-19-12
- 26320
#19YesOriginally posted by Russian RocketDid u bet live Oilers to 3?Comment -
SeaweedBARRELED IN @ SBR!- 01-19-12
- 26320
#20I posted it so I played it. The one's I post are the ones I played. I wont be able to post all plays that fit into the criteria, but you can follow it as well.Comment -
Russian RocketSBR Aristocracy
- 09-02-12
- 43910
#21ok I'm on bet365...let me know when and what you gonna do next I wanna see itOriginally posted by SeaweedYesComment -
Booya711BARRELED IN @ SBR!
- 12-20-11
- 27364
#22Comical watching 2 mentally challenged fukks discuss hockey scenariosOriginally posted by Russian Rocketohh I know...you'll give me an answer with one minute left on the clock
Go Rangers and seaweed...not a coincidence the new dumb and dumber movie comes out this weekComment -
Russian RocketSBR Aristocracy
- 09-02-12
- 43910
#23yeah and you have a separate thread for thatOriginally posted by SeaweedI posted it so I played it. The one's I post are the ones I played. I wont be able to post all plays that fit into the criteria, but you can follow it as well.Comment -
Russian RocketSBR Aristocracy
- 09-02-12
- 43910
#24Originally posted by Booya711Comical watching 2 mentally challenged fukks discuss hockey scenarios
Go Rangers and seaweed...not a coincidence the new dumb and dumber movie comes out this week
Comment -
SeaweedBARRELED IN @ SBR!- 01-19-12
- 26320
#25That game did not qualify as a bet. Line was too high.Originally posted by Let's Go RangersSo 8n play on TBComment -
SeaweedBARRELED IN @ SBR!- 01-19-12
- 26320
#26This is a separate thread to track strictly system plays.Originally posted by Russian Rocketyeah and you have a separate thread for thatComment -
MoMoneyMoVaughnSBR Posting Legend
- 05-08-14
- 14988
#27Weeder you can still get Race to 3 at +135 for oilers.
Go all fukkin in.Comment -
Russian RocketSBR Aristocracy
- 09-02-12
- 43910
#28got itOriginally posted by SeaweedThis is a separate thread to track strictly system plays.
but you're going to count that towards your overall record right?Comment -
Let's Go RangersSBR Hall of Famer
- 03-18-12
- 8918
#29Blackhawks up 3-2Comment -
Russian RocketSBR Aristocracy
- 09-02-12
- 43910
#30Seaweed so all the lines are now closed for that gameComment -
Russian RocketSBR Aristocracy
- 09-02-12
- 43910
#31here comes the goalComment -
MoMoneyMoVaughnSBR Posting Legend
- 05-08-14
- 14988
#32Race to 4 -250...Originally posted by Let's Go RangersBlackhawks up 3-2
Seaweed this system doesn't seem particularly promising.Comment -
SeaweedBARRELED IN @ SBR!- 01-19-12
- 26320
#33System Plays:
1-0Comment -
SeaweedBARRELED IN @ SBR!- 01-19-12
- 26320
#34No, do not bet it. Only -160 or under. Line is way too high.Originally posted by MoMoneyMoVaughnRace to 4 -250...
Seaweed this system doesn't seem particularly promising.Comment -
SeaweedBARRELED IN @ SBR!- 01-19-12
- 26320
#35of courseOriginally posted by Russian Rocketgot it
but you're going to count that towards your overall record right?Comment
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