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  • ACoochy
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 08-19-09
    • 13949

    #1
    ATT Cricket cappers
    T20 AUS v S.A.

    South Africans are +140. Why?

    Aussies are near rock bottom in terms of confidence and form.

    Aussies completely outclassed in game 1 so why do the books think they should be favoured here?

    Want to unload on the Proteas but need to make sure I've got all angles covered.

    Cheers
  • TheLangster
    SBR High Roller
    • 09-20-14
    • 185

    #2
    well, sa opened at around +100 in the first game, now they opened just a tiny bit higher at around +110 and +120

    there are a few changes in the line up for australia and they rushed maxwell back which is probably why the price difference and why bettors seem to be putting their money on australia, whether he will make a big enough difference to get the win remains to be seen
    Comment
    • sneakerhead
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 07-14-10
      • 7727

      #3
      Must win for Australia here, they called back Maxwell from UAE to add batting depth. SA hadnt won any t20 in australia until the last one. Steyn missing from SA bowling, also would have liked Fauf De Plessis and Amla in the lineup. I think this is a no play for me but SA is not a bad play at the given odds.
      Comment
      • TheLangster
        SBR High Roller
        • 09-20-14
        • 185

        #4
        horrible odds for australia, I think the best strategy is to wait and take australia to win during the middle of the innings if they are batting second, you could get a better price cause at the current one they are a no play
        Comment
        • ACoochy
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 08-19-09
          • 13949

          #5
          Thanks guys.

          I just dont see how after watching game 1 the aussies have any chance (even with maxwell in).

          They were completely dominated both with the bat and in the field.

          The pakistan drubbing is still fresh in their minds, that much is obvious (you could see it in their lack of footwork on the crease)...

          Probably going all in on the proteas here, such is the degree of confidence at +EV odds
          Comment
          • Gee
            SBR MVP
            • 04-08-10
            • 4547

            #6
            Coochy, line is way off, but Australia still deserve to be slight favourites IMO.

            Both teams are in pretty good form. Most of the Aussie guys aren't at rock bottom - most of them have had a pretty good preparation in the matador cup.
            Comment
            • Gee
              SBR MVP
              • 04-08-10
              • 4547

              #7
              Originally posted by ACoochy
              Thanks guys.

              I just dont see how after watching game 1 the aussies have any chance (even with maxwell in).

              They were completely dominated both with the bat and in the field.

              The pakistan drubbing is still fresh in their minds, that much is obvious (you could see it in their lack of footwork on the crease)...

              Probably going all in on the proteas here, such is the degree of confidence at +EV odds
              But Australia won the one day series vs Pakistan. None of the test players played on Weds.
              Comment
              • ACoochy
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 08-19-09
                • 13949

                #8
                GEE!!!

                Welcome back from your hiatus.

                I suppose its not like aussies can play any worse.


                South Africa very disciplined side with alot of inform players
                Comment
                • thunderous
                  SBR MVP
                  • 06-05-12
                  • 1870

                  #9
                  Easy bet....take whoever's batting second. Will be an easy chase
                  Comment
                  • ACoochy
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 08-19-09
                    • 13949

                    #10
                    Originally posted by Gee
                    But Australia won the one day series vs Pakistan. None of the test players played on Weds.
                    True.

                    May hold off til closer to gametime b4 making a call here.

                    Thanks
                    Comment
                    • Gee
                      SBR MVP
                      • 04-08-10
                      • 4547

                      #11
                      Originally posted by ACoochy
                      GEE!!!

                      Welcome back from your hiatus.

                      I suppose its not like aussies can play any worse.


                      South Africa very disciplined side with alot of inform players
                      You too. I get bored from time to time and like to chime in on the Aussie stuff from time to time.

                      I didn't think we were that bad on Weds. I think when you pick a team and Faulkner is in at #6, if you lose a few early wickets, it's hard to come back from. It then becomes really hard to defend 144, because you're trying to attack too much.

                      Anyway, i'll take the $2.45 on the Saffers.
                      Comment
                      • ACoochy
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 08-19-09
                        • 13949

                        #12
                        Originally posted by Gee
                        You too. I get bored from time to time and like to chime in on the Aussie stuff from time to time.

                        I didn't think we were that bad on Weds. I think when you pick a team and Faulkner is in at #6, if you lose a few early wickets, it's hard to come back from. It then becomes really hard to defend 144, because you're trying to attack too much.

                        Anyway, i'll take the $2.45 on the Saffers.
                        Hhhmmm solid points.

                        Where you getting that $2.45 from?
                        Comment
                        • thunderous
                          SBR MVP
                          • 06-05-12
                          • 1870

                          #13
                          Originally posted by ACoochy
                          Hhhmmm solid points.

                          Where you getting that $2.45 from?
                          2.54 on betfair right now
                          Comment
                          • sneakerhead
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 07-14-10
                            • 7727

                            #14
                            Gonna wait for final lineups and toss
                            Comment
                            • sneakerhead
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 07-14-10
                              • 7727

                              #15
                              put some money on the proteas as well, lets get it
                              Comment
                              • Gee
                                SBR MVP
                                • 04-08-10
                                • 4547

                                #16
                                Originally posted by ACoochy
                                Hhhmmm solid points.

                                Where you getting that $2.45 from?
                                Pinny. Aus books were $2.2x.


                                Saffers 2 down already though :/

                                Was really impressed with their bowling on Weds though. Wouldn't be surprised if 150 is a winning score.
                                Comment
                                • sneakerhead
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 07-14-10
                                  • 7727

                                  #17
                                  yikes two quick ones, need duminy to hang in
                                  Comment
                                  • sneakerhead
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 07-14-10
                                    • 7727

                                    #18
                                    this one is lost, on to the next one
                                    Comment
                                    • shaunovery
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 11-15-07
                                      • 18143

                                      #19
                                      Never really had a run for your money
                                      Comment
                                      • ACoochy
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 08-19-09
                                        • 13949

                                        #20
                                        So thankful to get called into the office early and wasn't able to place wager.

                                        Apologees if anyone tailed as a result of this thread
                                        Comment
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