WS Game 7

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  • stevenash
    Moderator
    • 01-17-11
    • 65708

    #1
    WS Game 7
    It's an "all hands on deck" game.
    Meaning, anybody and everybody will be ready in any inning and any situation.

    I think you should handicap both starters a little differently tonight than say a regular game June.

    Guthrie and Hudson will not, no way in hell see past the sixth inning, and that's a stretch.
    I think you should ask yourself what team gets to the other pitcher early in the game (innings 1-3)
    I think you have to handicap the bullpens with more weight than at anytime you have ever handicapped bullpens for one game.

    I also think there will be a minimum of two lead changes tonight, I really think the game will go something like this.
    1-0 early, then a lead change makes it 1-2, than the team that was up 1-0 early retakes the lead mid innings to 3-2, something along those lines.
    I am not Nostradamus, I don't know anything in advance, that's the way I think it goes tonight.

    I am not saying the game will be an all time epic, but I think this game is razor close through out, and the winning run will be scored late.

    I metnion this because if I am right, there could be nice money made in the 'live betting' arena.
    I am going to keep checking the live betting lines every inning. I think there are going to be 'scalp' oppurtunities that can turn a profit.

    This is the way I am going tonight.
    I don't need game 7 action from the start.
    I have KC to win the WS, and I have futures money on KC.

    If you like KC, and they fall behind 1-0, consider getting some live action, because the game time line now just crossed the -140 barrier, if you don't want to bet -140 from the onset if you like KC, you can jump in anytime during the game.

    Not saying that's the way to bet this game tonight, I am saying live action is an option, an alternative way to bet the game.

    Watch the game develop, keep an eye on who is available for later situations for both teams, in the 'pen and in the dugout.

    My final thoughts are this is going to be a tight game, I predicted from the onset nobody is not blowing anybody out, and that KC will win this thing in seven games.

    I said that on the boards 10 days ago, I said that to my wife 10 days ago, and I'm sticking to it.

    This will be a long game, there will be mix and match pitching changes from middle innings on.
    Because I feel it will be a mix and match PvH type of game, I feel the game total will not go over seven runs, and the best option on the total is under seven. But I would not go big there.

    I feel KC will win this game, closely, but the number is high now, and I would be careful betting KC there too.

    If you like SF, and they sure as hell can win this game too, you are getting a nice number at +130.

    I've pretty much said here what I wanted to, last game of the season, game 7's are the ultimate, I live for game 7, I love this sport.

    Best of luck all, you guys are great, even the pain in the ass trollers.

    Get some
  • Ratpack
    SBR MVP
    • 02-15-12
    • 4133

    #2
    gl nasher let me know next time you go to seagrape i will meet you there
    Comment
    • Smoke
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 10-09-09
      • 48111

      #3
      Nashy we will snuggle after KC takes the crown
      Comment
      • stevenash
        Moderator
        • 01-17-11
        • 65708

        #4
        Originally posted by Ratpack
        gl nasher let me know next time you go to seagrape i will meet you there
        Anytime, anytime.
        I had by wedding reception on the beach across the street as you are well aware of.
        Comment
        • pavyracer
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 04-12-07
          • 82840

          #5
          Giants win 4-2. I saw tomorrows newspaper in a dream this afternoon. I ate a Cuban sandwich before the nap.
          Comment
          • KRIT
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 01-11-14
            • 12878

            #6
            Great write up as usual. I'm on KC -130. I saw some stat on Sportscenter saying that home teams are like 7-0 in game 7's the past "x" amount of years.
            Comment
            • briedward
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 03-24-12
              • 982

              #7
              I'm betting small; ridiculous to pay the same price as yesterday. This game is a coin-toss.

              270500963-1 10/29/14 8:02pm $690.00 $500.00 Pending 10/29/14 8:05pm Reduced Baseball 914 Kansas City Royals -138* <small>vs</small> San Francisco Giants (T Hudson - R must Start J Guthrie - R must Start)
              Comment
              • big joe 1212
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 06-01-08
                • 19380

                #8
                I think it will go similar to game 6.
                Comment
                • the_orangekat
                  SBR MVP
                  • 12-08-07
                  • 1267

                  #9
                  Going with Huddy and SF.
                  Comment
                  • stevenash
                    Moderator
                    • 01-17-11
                    • 65708

                    #10
                    Originally posted by big joe 1212
                    I think it will go similar to game 6.
                    That would make me extremely happy.
                    Comment
                    • Pauulzcappin
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 04-23-10
                      • 20295

                      #11
                      sitting pretty with kc at +206

                      cracked one open right now, got nba on computer and world series on tv
                      Comment
                      • Bostongambler
                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                        • 02-01-08
                        • 35581

                        #12
                        I vote Royals
                        Comment
                        • boomer62
                          SBR MVP
                          • 09-10-11
                          • 1500

                          #13
                          [QUOTE=stevenash;22881897]It's an "all hands on deck" game.
                          Meaning, anybody and everybody will be ready in any inning and any situation.

                          I think you should handicap both starters a little differently tonight than say a regular game June.

                          Guthrie and Hudson will not, no way in hell see past the sixth inning, and that's a stretch.
                          I think you should ask yourself what team gets to the other pitcher early in the game (innings 1-3)
                          I think you have to handicap the bullpens with more weight than at anytime you have ever handicapped bullpens for one game.

                          I also think there will be a minimum of two lead changes tonight, I really think the game will go something like this.
                          1-0 early, then a lead change makes it 1-2, than the team that was up 1-0 early retakes the lead mid innings to 3-2, something along those lines.
                          I am not Nostradamus, I don't know anything in advance, that's the way I think it goes tonight.

                          I am not saying the game will be an all time epic, but I think this game is razor close through out, and the winning run will be scored late.

                          I metnion this because if I am right, there could be nice money made in the 'live betting' arena.
                          I am going to keep checking the live betting lines every inning. I think there are going to be 'scalp' oppurtunities that can turn a profit.

                          This is the way I am going tonight.
                          I don't need game 7 action from the start.
                          I have KC to win the WS, and I have futures money on KC.

                          If you like KC, and they fall behind 1-0, consider getting some live action, because the game time line now just crossed the -140 barrier, if you don't want to bet -140 from the onset if you like KC, you can jump in anytime during the game.

                          Not saying that's the way to bet this game tonight, I am saying live action is an option, an alternative way to bet the game.

                          Watch the game develop, keep an eye on who is available for later situations for both teams, in the 'pen and in the dugout.

                          My final thoughts are this is going to be a tight game, I predicted from the onset nobody is not blowing anybody out, and that KC will win this thing in seven games.

                          I said that on the boards 10 days ago, I said that to my wife 10 days ago, and I'm sticking to it.

                          This will be a long game, there will be mix and match pitching changes from middle innings on.
                          Because I feel it will be a mix and match PvH type of game, I feel the game total will not go over seven runs, and the best option on the total is under seven. But I would not go big there.

                          I feel KC will win this game, closely, but the number is high now, and I would be careful betting KC there too.

                          If you like SF, and they sure as hell can win this game too, you are getting a nice number at +130.

                          I've pretty much said here what I wanted to, last game of the season, game 7's are the ultimate, I live for game 7, I love this sport.

                          Best of luck all, you guys are great, even the pain in the ass trollers.


                          Just curious, have you thought about hedging at all? I don't believe in it but if you have KC for series and you also must have a very nice price on your futures as well( good for you, very nice). Right now there is incredible value on SF. They are more experienced and have the better manager. KC is very talented but also very young. Lots of pressure on them and the Giants just find a way to win the big games. Good luck but my gut says SF.
                          Comment
                          • stevenash
                            Moderator
                            • 01-17-11
                            • 65708

                            #14
                            ^
                            Hedged 20 percent

                            Also on under
                            Comment
                            • briedward
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 03-24-12
                              • 982

                              #15
                              with KC now down 2-0, will look at live lines during commercial break. only downside is being limited to $500 - tough to get more than one or two wagers in
                              Comment
                              • briedward
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 03-24-12
                                • 982

                                #16
                                270506410-1 10/29/14 8:41pm $500.00 $825.00 Pending 10/29/14 8:05pm Live In-Play Baseball 9914 Kansas City Royals +165* <small>vs</small> San Francisco Giants (Fixed Price)
                                Comment
                                • the_orangekat
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 12-08-07
                                  • 1267

                                  #17
                                  What are you doing Hudson, you retard.
                                  Comment
                                  • Bet10Heinekens
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 01-10-13
                                    • 10567

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by briedward
                                    270506410-1 10/29/14 8:41pm $500.00 $825.00 Pending 10/29/14 8:05pm Live In-Play Baseball 9914 Kansas City Royals +165* <small>vs</small> San Francisco Giants (Fixed Price)

                                    Good Luck


                                    my book didn't put a live line up, I was ready to pounce on K.C.
                                    Comment
                                    • Bostongambler
                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                      • 02-01-08
                                      • 35581

                                      #19
                                      He is hitting people with pitches
                                      Comment
                                      • Bostongambler
                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                        • 02-01-08
                                        • 35581

                                        #20
                                        And BOOM goes the dynamite.
                                        Comment
                                        • Bet10Heinekens
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 01-10-13
                                          • 10567

                                          #21
                                          a HR by Infante would be awesome
                                          Comment
                                          • Bet10Heinekens
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 01-10-13
                                            • 10567

                                            #22
                                            Sac Fly is okay also
                                            Comment
                                            • stevenash
                                              Moderator
                                              • 01-17-11
                                              • 65708

                                              #23
                                              I got KC +160 live.

                                              I'll take you guys to the promised land.
                                              Comment
                                              • Bostongambler
                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                • 02-01-08
                                                • 35581

                                                #24
                                                2-2
                                                Comment
                                                • stevenash
                                                  Moderator
                                                  • 01-17-11
                                                  • 65708

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by briedward
                                                  270506410-1 10/29/14 8:41pm $500.00 $825.00 Pending 10/29/14 8:05pm Live In-Play Baseball 9914 Kansas City Royals +165* <small>vs</small> San Francisco Giants (Fixed Price)

                                                  I taught you well.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • the_orangekat
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 12-08-07
                                                    • 1267

                                                    #26
                                                    Bye Hudson, you want to be a clown, go join a circus, this is Game 7 of the WS, bud.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Bostongambler
                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                      • 02-01-08
                                                      • 35581

                                                      #27
                                                      They score one more and u already win Stevenash, then just put a live play in on giants.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • briedward
                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                        • 03-24-12
                                                        • 982

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by stevenash
                                                        I taught you well.
                                                        lol I was so tempted, and I stared at betting 7000 to win 5000 right before game time
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Bostongambler
                                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                          • 02-01-08
                                                          • 35581

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by the_orangekat
                                                          Bye Hudson, you want to be a clown, go join a circus, this is Game 7 of the WS, bud.
                                                          Clowns are joy ish types
                                                          Comment
                                                          • the_orangekat
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 12-08-07
                                                            • 1267

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by Bostongambler
                                                            Clowns are joy ish types
                                                            But they've also been known to pull a Mr. Poopie Pants after being handed a 2-0 lead in the biggest game of their lives.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • briedward
                                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                                              • 03-24-12
                                                              • 982

                                                              #31
                                                              I need some more KC action.

                                                              270509413-1 10/29/14 9:05pm $875.00 $500.00 Pending 10/29/14 8:05pm Live In-Play Baseball 9914 Kansas City Royals -175* <small>vs</small> San Francisco Giants (Fixed Price)
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Bostongambler
                                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                • 02-01-08
                                                                • 35581

                                                                #32
                                                                Good luck Bridesmaid
                                                                Comment
                                                                • d2bets
                                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                  • 08-10-05
                                                                  • 39995

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Out.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • sneakerhead
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 07-14-10
                                                                    • 7727

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by Bostongambler
                                                                    Good luck Bridesmaid
                                                                    I see what u did there
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • d2bets
                                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                      • 08-10-05
                                                                      • 39995

                                                                      #35
                                                                      What the heck is taking so long?
                                                                      Comment
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