Starting the handicappin Process for the New Week (Please Chime in)

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  • Big Bear
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 11-01-11
    • 43253

    #1
    Starting the handicappin Process for the New Week (Please Chime in)
    Alright fellas hung over as fukk just took a couple huge bong hits and now i am drinking coffee...


    It was a good week and my confidence is sky high. Anyway I would like to get some opinions on my leans before i pull the trigger on anything.


    Saints 1 (-118) over Packers


    Aaron Rodgers is amazing yes i know. However how often do you get a chance to take the Saints in the Superdome as such a short favorite??????and how often do you get this scenario with the public on the road team?????
    I did a double take when i saw this line. The first thing i thought was its hammer time. I mean seriously Drew Brees at home in the Superdome for a prime time game and he is only -1???? i don't give a fukk who the opponent is. Anyway i'm pretty much sold on this game no matter what anyone says i am mainly posting this to share the wealth. The game will win.


    as for the other games let me share my leans anyway and i would appreciate any feed back on these.

    Seahawks -5 or -240 on the ML

    Panthers offensive line in my opinion is not fixable. The secondary on defense is slow and teams are specifically looking for safety Charles Godfrey in the secondary and throwing to whoever Godfrey is on. Teams are exploiting the Panthers weaknesses in the Secondary and the Panthers don't seem to have any answers.

    The Panthers have given up over 70 points the last 2 games... how the hell do you fix that? Now you got a pissed off Seahawk team coming to town fresh off 2 losses?

    And the most unfortunate part about it for the Panthers is this will be the toughest defense they have faced all season.

    i just don't see how this doesn't hit...

    more leans to come
  • shaunovery
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 11-15-07
    • 18143

    #2
    Seahawks not playing well and on the rd wouldn't bet -240

    Like the thinking with saints in the dome but against packers not sure

    Liking skins +10 v cowboys they always play them tough

    Chargers +7.5 played well in Denver last yr
    Comment
    • Big Bear
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 11-01-11
      • 43253

      #3
      other leans


      Lions -3.5 or -190 over Falcons

      This game will be played in London i believe. The Lions have better linemen on both sides of the ball. The offensive line for the Lions is stout anyway but they will have no problem protecting Stafford against a non existent Falcons pass rush.

      The Lions had the #1 ranked defense in the NFL prior the Saints game this past Sunday. They have a really good D-Line and pass rush and the Falcons offensive line is a mess. They can't keep Matt Ryan upright.

      I think the Falcons may score some points but i do expect Lions to win by 10+
      Comment
      • Big Bear
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 11-01-11
        • 43253

        #4
        LSU +4 vs Ole Piss



        Comment
        • Big Bear
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 11-01-11
          • 43253

          #5
          baton rouge is a tough place to play. 110,000 drunk cajuns hootin and hollerin will have an impact on this game fo'sho.

          LSU seems to be gaining confidence and momentum heading into this game. LSU is a young team that seems to be getting better as the season goes along. Many people wrote them off after the Auburn blow out but I think they may win str8 up here.

          and no i am not from Louisiana and i am not a fan of the Saints or LSU. It just so happens that i like both of those games this week.

          People in Louisiana seem to be crazy about football though and they do help provide a strong home field advantage.
          Comment
          • Big Bear
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 11-01-11
            • 43253

            #6
            Also leaning Utah ML over Southern Cal.

            Game is at Utah and is pretty much a pick'em. Utah has impressed me so far this season but I will need to watch some film on Southern Cal.

            Have not seen them much this season so far.
            Comment
            • nikossf
              SBR MVP
              • 03-02-10
              • 2217

              #7
              Originally posted by Big Bear
              other leans


              Lions -3.5 or -190 over Falcons

              This game will be played in London i believe. The Lions have better linemen on both sides of the ball. The offensive line for the Lions is stout anyway but they will have no problem protecting Stafford against a non existent Falcons pass rush.

              The Lions had the #1 ranked defense in the NFL prior the Saints game this past Sunday. They have a really good D-Line and pass rush and the Falcons offensive line is a mess. They can't keep Matt Ryan upright.

              I think the Falcons may score some points but i do expect Lions to win by 10+


              Im with ya here.. O-line a mess,.most injured..
              No D.. Giving up over 275+ yards passing and over 125+ running per game..
              Not to mention 3rd most pts given up per/gm.. only behind Bucs... (dont get me started) and surprisingly.. Rams..
              This team barely getting by each week with some passing.. but NO running game.. barely avg. 100..
              Bringing in Steven Jackson was good for them.. or on paper at least.. but damn.. Not even 300 yds in 7 games.. 50 per game???!!???

              Also, Falcons terrible away.. basically an away game for both teams.. but Atlanta is not good away..
              last 4 away..
              Cinci 24-10
              Vikes 41-28
              Giants 30-20
              None were even close though.. maybe Giants.. but cmon.. really.. we all knew the Giants would put them out of the misery towards the end.. Young Eli knew Peyton had some BIG records he's bound to break at some point..doesn't want to get out shinned by his big bro..

              Anyways,.. with ya here.. anyone have any other points to get me off this..let me know.. thanks.
              Comment
              • playersonly69
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 01-04-08
                • 12827

                #8
                We have a football forum for picks newbie
                Comment
                • jjgold
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 07-20-05
                  • 388208

                  #9
                  Nothing yet still making my way to that day

                  I rarely ever better early because of injuries
                  Comment
                  • floridagolfer
                    SBR MVP
                    • 12-19-08
                    • 2762

                    #10
                    To me, the best play on the board this weekend is Indy minus the points vs. the Steelers, who have simply shown not to have the ability to play with decent teams. Remember, this is the team that lost to the then-winless Bucs (at home) and had to go all out to beat then-winless Jacksonville. The Steelers are one of the worst teams rushing the QB (10 sacks in seven games), which makes me think Andrew Luck is going to throw for 400 yards. I'm playing this game and I'll give, give, give all day long.
                    Comment
                    • KSmooth4U
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 12-01-13
                      • 588

                      #11
                      Be careful with New Orleans... This isn't the same New Orleans team as past years... GB is actually one of my favorite plays this week... New Orleans needed OT at home to beat the Bucs... Go back and read that last sentence again... New Orleans just isn't good this year and GB is one of the hottest teams in the NFL
                      Comment
                      • Smoke
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 10-09-09
                        • 48111

                        #12
                        Too early
                        Comment
                        • THam12
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 03-12-13
                          • 12640

                          #13
                          Originally posted by Big Bear
                          other leans


                          Lions -3.5 or -190 over Falcons

                          This game will be played in London i believe. The Lions have better linemen on both sides of the ball. The offensive line for the Lions is stout anyway but they will have no problem protecting Stafford against a non existent Falcons pass rush.

                          The Lions had the #1 ranked defense in the NFL prior the Saints game this past Sunday. They have a really good D-Line and pass rush and the Falcons offensive line is a mess. They can't keep Matt Ryan upright.

                          I think the Falcons may score some points but i do expect Lions to win by 10+
                          This is your best bet.
                          THIRD string center against the best pass rushing duo in the league in fairley and suh. Rest of the o line a mess as well... Matty ice is gonna have to release that ball quickly.
                          Joique bell against that whack rushing defense of Atlanta. He could easily go for 100 yards and 2 TDs.
                          Comment
                          • nikossf
                            SBR MVP
                            • 03-02-10
                            • 2217

                            #14
                            Originally posted by THam12
                            This is your best bet.
                            THIRD string center against the best pass rushing duo in the league in fairley and suh. Rest of the o line a mess as well... Matty ice is gonna have to release that ball quickly.
                            Joique bell against that whack rushing defense of Atlanta. He could easily go for 100 yards and 2 TDs.
                            Are you on both sides here?? Sounds like arguments for both plays??
                            Here's a simple chart for you folks..
                            DET 5-2 20.0 15.0 3-1 2-1 W2
                            ATL 2-5 24.4 28.4 2-1 0-4 L4
                            Comment
                            • THam12
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 03-12-13
                              • 12640

                              #15
                              Originally posted by nikossf
                              Are you on both sides here?? Sounds like arguments for both plays??
                              Here's a simple chart for you folks..
                              DET 5-2 20.0 15.0 3-1 2-1 W2
                              ATL 2-5 24.4 28.4 2-1 0-4 L4
                              Lol how does what I said have arguments for both sides?
                              Comment
                              • manny24
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 10-22-07
                                • 20174

                                #16
                                early
                                Comment
                                • Big Bear
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 11-01-11
                                  • 43253

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by jjgold
                                  Nothing yet still making my way to that day

                                  I rarely ever better early because of injuries
                                  2 injuries worth noting. chargers will be without shut Down cornerback Brandon Flowers (concussion)

                                  Panthers WR Kelvin Benjamin and TE Greg Olsen battling injuries too but both will likely play just not effectively.

                                  is Kam Chancelor a go this Sunday?
                                  Comment
                                  • ttrace35
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 09-30-10
                                    • 10828

                                    #18
                                    Is Cleveland ready to be 7 point faves? I don't think so
                                    Comment
                                    • TwoWays
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 03-24-10
                                      • 13145

                                      #19
                                      Give me my 2 bet points back u lying sack!
                                      Comment
                                      • RickyRoma
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 10-24-13
                                        • 624

                                        #20
                                        lions are so inconsistent, no way you should put any money on them even against the lowly falcons
                                        Comment
                                        • THam12
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 03-12-13
                                          • 12640

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by RickyRoma
                                          lions are so inconsistent, no way you should put any money on them even against the lowly falcons
                                          They haven't even played well and they still keep winning. Their defense is gonna cause ryan a ton of problems. Fairley and suh are the best pass rushing duo in the league. I'd bet on a great D line against the weakest o line I've seen in awhile any day of the week.
                                          Comment
                                          • WWCD
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 11-22-13
                                            • 1957

                                            #22
                                            Detroit easy IMO.

                                            They are winning without Megatron and Tate has really stepped in and filled the role nicely. Stafford building chemistry with his other weapons. When Megatron comes back, which COULD be this game I expect to see the offense really start to shine.


                                            Regardless if Megatron plays or not, I just do not see how they stop the Lion Dline from tearing up that patchwork line throughout the entire game.

                                            Suh and Fairley must be licking their chops.
                                            Comment
                                            • nikossf
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 03-02-10
                                              • 2217

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by WWCD
                                              Detroit easy IMO.

                                              They are winning without Megatron and Tate has really stepped in and filled the role nicely. Stafford building chemistry with his other weapons. When Megatron comes back, which COULD be this game I expect to see the offense really start to shine.


                                              Regardless if Megatron plays or not, I just do not see how they stop the Lion Dline from tearing up that patchwork line throughout the entire game.

                                              Suh and Fairley must be licking their chops.


                                              Only thing that scares me with this team,..is this is the same team that lost to Buffalo a few weeks ago.
                                              Comment
                                              • Big Bear
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 11-01-11
                                                • 43253

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by RickyRoma
                                                lions are so inconsistent, no way you should put any money on them even against the lowly falcons
                                                Falcons have by far the worst defense in the NFL .


                                                Megatron will have a big game.
                                                Comment
                                                • jjgold
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 07-20-05
                                                  • 388208

                                                  #25
                                                  Let's worry about tonight bear

                                                  Comment
                                                  • pacocn
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 07-05-10
                                                    • 12934

                                                    #26
                                                    BB really like KC -7, their running back duo should have a field day
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Big Bear
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 11-01-11
                                                      • 43253

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by pacocn
                                                      BB really like KC -7, their running back duo should have a field day
                                                      good call
                                                      Comment
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