Any real pro Gambers coming back with Baltimore tonight
If you do not agree with me I think you do not know the industry and or semi or major Square which is not a bad thing because it is the norm.
The question is why am I on Baltimore?
grease lightnin
SBR Posting Legend
10-01-12
16015
#2
Because they're DUE
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Smoke
SBR Aristocracy
10-09-09
48111
#3
Im thinking balty but 1st 5 innings only
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jjgold
SBR Aristocracy
07-20-05
388179
#4
Guys law of percentages goes into my formulas
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RollinDo
SBR Posting Legend
09-04-13
13322
#5
I thought backing Baltimore was called chasing your losses, no?
I went with Baltimore in Gm 1 and that was enough for me.
I truly hope O's pull it out, but can't go against this hot Royals team...no pressure is when they play best...always finding ways to win late.
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Big Bear
SBR Aristocracy
11-01-11
43253
#6
Originally posted by jjgold
If you do not agree with me I think you do not know the industry and or semi or major Square which is not a bad thing because it is the norm.
The question is why am I on Baltimore?
Chen > Vargas
and Chen is coming off a bad outing. The elite pitchers never have back to back poor outings.
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Big Bear
SBR Aristocracy
11-01-11
43253
#7
Originally posted by jjgold
If you do not agree with me I think you do not know the industry and or semi or major Square which is not a bad thing because it is the norm.
The question is why am I on Baltimore?
Chen > Vargas
and Chen is coming off a bad outing. The elite pitchers never have back to back poor outings.
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Bostongambler
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
02-01-08
35581
#8
KC has won 9 playoff games in a row. Will tonight make 10?
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Big Bear
SBR Aristocracy
11-01-11
43253
#9
Originally posted by Bostongambler
KC has won 9 playoff games in a row. Will tonight make 10?
no and once they lose that first one i think they lose multiple games in a row
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jjgold
SBR Aristocracy
07-20-05
388179
#10
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44 Mag
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
10-14-13
34490
#11
Originally posted by Bostongambler
KC has won 9 playoff games in a row. Will tonight make 10?
Best Guess: the law of averages would seem to indicate Baltimore wins game three, because they are due? Overall the better team on paper? The better manager as proven?? Not going to get swept ??? More homers, proven. However, this is MLB and all that goes out the window in the playoffs, hence, LAA & Detroit both getting swept by " Inferior" teams. KC has nothing to fear and just playing loose and enjoying their ride. Nobody expected the Red Sox to come back down 3-0 to the Yankees??? I say, ride the team getting hot at the right time. Timely hitting, actually belting a few homers and the home town crowd going crazy. I'll take my chances with the young upstarts. BOL to all.
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Sam Odom
SBR Aristocracy
10-30-05
58063
#12
Originally posted by jjgold
The question is why am I on Baltimore?
Good question...
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drfunkmaster
SBR Posting Legend
11-29-08
11162
#13
nope balt is done...
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klemopixx
SBR MVP
10-02-14
3809
#14
Originally posted by grease lightnin
Because they're DUE
The worst reasoning in the history of gambling.
Comment
LT Profits
SBR Aristocracy
10-27-06
90963
#15
Originally posted by Smoke
Im thinking balty but 1st 5 innings only
That IS my play.
Comment
grease lightnin
SBR Posting Legend
10-01-12
16015
#16
Originally posted by klemopixx
The worst reasoning in the history of gambling.
Irony, son, irony.
Comment
LT Profits
SBR Aristocracy
10-27-06
90963
#17
Problem with due theory:
Take a regular coin and let's say it comes up heads 10 times in a row. Thus the thought is that tails is "due" on 11th toss. What are the odds on 11th toss being tails?
Due theory does not work, you have to handicap each game on its own merit. Now there ARE teams that respond well to desperation such as losing first two games at home in short playoff series. But that is not because of the "Due Theory", some teams play better with backs against the wall. You can't blindly just bet every team trailing in a series.
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grease lightnin
SBR Posting Legend
10-01-12
16015
#18
i·ro·ny1
ˈīrənē/
noun
the expression of one's meaning by using language that normally signifies the opposite, typically for humorous or emphatic effect.
Comment
jjgold
SBR Aristocracy
07-20-05
388179
#19
Many believe in riding trends not fading them
I'm sticking with Baltimore
Comment
innovation
SBR Hall of Famer
01-27-12
6218
#20
just take the Under
thats the solid play
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44 Mag
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
10-14-13
34490
#21
Originally posted by LT Profits
Problem with due theory:
Take a regular coin and let's say it comes up heads 10 times in a row. Thus the thought is that tails is "due" on 11th toss. What are the odds on 11th toss being tails?
Due theory does not work, you have to handicap each game on its own merit. Now there ARE teams that respond well to desperation such as losing first two games at home in short playoff series. But that is not because of the "Due Theory", some teams play better with backs against the wall. You can't blindly just bet every team trailing in a series.
see above...
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moses millsap
SBR Hall of Famer
08-25-05
8289
#22
This game going to get in with all the rain?
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LT Profits
SBR Aristocracy
10-27-06
90963
#23
Originally posted by moses millsap
This game going to get in with all the rain?
If game starts, they will finish. Even if it is not tonight.
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BIGDAY
SBR Aristocracy
02-17-10
48245
#24
Royals mop up.
Don't overthink this.
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goduke
SBR Posting Legend
02-17-10
11580
#25
was anaheim due? was detroit due? What about kershaw, was he due after his first start? I'm starting to think you just get paid to post crap and try to steer the naive SBR crowd. Youre not a good gambler, youre not sharp, your record shows everything. Just quit
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LT Profits
SBR Aristocracy
10-27-06
90963
#26
Game is rained out. Game 5 now Thursday if necessary
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grease lightnin
SBR Posting Legend
10-01-12
16015
#27
Originally posted by goduke
was anaheim due? was detroit due? What about kershaw, was he due after his first start? I'm starting to think you just get paid to post crap and try to steer the naive SBR crowd. Youre not a good gambler, youre not sharp, your record shows everything. Just quit
You're just starting to think this after four years of being here?
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jjgold
SBR Aristocracy
07-20-05
388179
#28
under also?
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smitch124
SBR Posting Legend
05-19-08
12566
#29
I had the rain -350 winna
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Big Bear
SBR Aristocracy
11-01-11
43253
#30
Originally posted by BIGDAY
Royals mop up.
Don't overthink this.
thank you so much for saying that Big Day
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stump
SBR MVP
09-14-05
1716
#31
Orioles tonight
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jjgold
SBR Aristocracy
07-20-05
388179
#32
Slumpy glad you're on the bandwagon now and best of luck with your new girlfriend
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TankHankerous
SBR MVP
03-22-12
2088
#33
St. Ump
I knew you were a baseballhead
Godspeed, John Glenn.
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Ra77er
SBR Posting Legend
06-20-11
10969
#34
Greasy I got the sarcasm, it's a lost art on SBR. I love the "due theory" myself, usually use that as my reasoning for making picks so I don't confuse players talk.
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riffraff24
SBR Hall of Famer
04-20-11
7234
#35
Hilarious how guys here still let JJ bot mindfuk them.