Do I take a shot at my bookie?

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  • warbux
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 11-17-13
    • 896

    #1
    Do I take a shot at my bookie?
    Local usually gives identical lines to everybody else, except today.

    Denver -7 vs the jets. 5Dimes has it at -10.

    I double checked he said that was the correct line he was giving. Is this considered taking a shot? No cap on bets too, but he knows me and i'm $15-$25 a game bettor. If he sees me throw out 1k on a game he gonna know somethings up. BUT I mean i did double check, should I just do it?

    Whats the play here guys?
  • warbux
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 11-17-13
    • 896

    #2
    Mind you I never told him what I saw elsewhere, but i mean thats his job and he gives bad lines and gets taken then its his fault. I double checked so I think this is a solid play, but will he honor it is the question.
    Comment
    • SEAHAWKHARRY
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 11-29-07
      • 26072

      #3
      But if Denver wins by 4 your out 1k
      Comment
      • BIGDAY
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 02-17-10
        • 48247

        #4
        Jets might win outright
        Comment
        • mcdonae101
          SBR MVP
          • 03-02-14
          • 3646

          #5
          one of my locals has 8, the other has 9, they both opened at 7.5 i believe. i like the 7, but i usually just play money lines and have already locked mine in at -390. BOL to u
          Comment
          • trytrytry
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 03-13-06
            • 23666

            #6
            play the -7 -110 if that is what is offered you have a nice overlay here early in the week.
            Comment
            • warbux
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 11-17-13
              • 896

              #7
              Originally posted by mcdonae101
              one of my locals has 8, the other has 9, they both opened at 7.5 i believe. i like the 7, but i usually just play money lines and have already locked mine in at -390. BOL to u
              damn okay so I guess it isnt as bad of a line as I thought. I'll play it small thanks fellas.
              Comment
              • innovation
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 01-27-12
                • 6218

                #8
                I bet nobody will tease this game
                Comment
                • mcdonae101
                  SBR MVP
                  • 03-02-14
                  • 3646

                  #9
                  and its not taking a shot. I've always thought taking a shot was betting big with no intent to pay if lost
                  Comment
                  • str
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 01-12-09
                    • 11778

                    #10
                    5 dimes is - 10 + 110 or + 10 -130.

                    Teasers push key numbers and slanted juice.

                    - 8 - 108 at Pinny. Closer to reality.

                    It's not as off as it may seem.

                    One point off currently, not the 3 points it seems.

                    Hope that helps.
                    Comment
                    • Russian Rocket
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 09-02-12
                      • 43910

                      #11
                      warbux you always take shots if:

                      1. If you're Russian
                      2. If you have good friends who got your back no matter what
                      3. If you're a bad ass
                      4. If you can handle yourself in a street fight against 2 or more guys
                      5. If you know people in a law enforcement who can back you up if needed
                      6. If you have access to over 100K in cash in a matter of hours
                      7. If you're good with a gun

                      If any two of more of these apply to you- you take a shot
                      Comment
                      • SEAHAWKHARRY
                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                        • 11-29-07
                        • 26072

                        #12
                        Any given Sunday just double or triple your bet that way if pigs fly and u lose ur not fukked
                        Comment
                        • sweep
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 10-09-10
                          • 16755

                          #13
                          Teaser protection line by 5D....they do It all the time early in the Wk
                          Comment
                          • LT Profits
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 10-27-06
                            • 90963

                            #14
                            5 Dimes has -9 at -110
                            Comment
                            • Ghenghis Kahn
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 01-02-12
                              • 19736

                              #15
                              there's a heavy hitter that's been martingaling the jets from the start of the season and losing a fortune.

                              doubt he's gonna stop betting on the jets. i say wait and you'll get better numbers by game time.
                              Comment
                              • nikossf
                                SBR MVP
                                • 03-02-10
                                • 2217

                                #16
                                My two locals have Denver -8.5, -9... 5dimes at -10 now..

                                If you are seeing this at -7 and like Denver this weekend take it... run with it...
                                Comment
                                • Zenyatta 19-1
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 11-18-10
                                  • 1831

                                  #17
                                  -8 at heritage
                                  Comment
                                  • jjgold
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 07-20-05
                                    • 388208

                                    #18
                                    The Jets will lose by 20 so it does not matter
                                    Comment
                                    • grease lightnin
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 10-01-12
                                      • 16096

                                      #19
                                      It is taking a shot but if it loses, you have to pay. So you are taking a risk. I say take it. Like jj said, Jets suck Denver rolls
                                      Comment
                                      • BitCoinTalk
                                        SBR Sharp
                                        • 09-29-14
                                        • 474

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by jjgold
                                        The Jets will lose by 20 so it does not matter
                                        +1


                                        I was just at the MGM in Vegas, and they had it at -9
                                        Comment
                                        • klemopixx
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 10-02-14
                                          • 3823

                                          #21
                                          Yeah I can't see the Jets doing much against that offense. Even at home it will be tough to go toe to toe with Manning. Double it if you feel that confident, otherwise just bet the usual and chalk it up as a good bet. If it looks too good to be true, it usually is.
                                          Comment
                                          • Bostongambler
                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                            • 02-01-08
                                            • 35628

                                            #22
                                            Just put a dime on it and tell him you have a 10 somewhere else and you are trying to middle.
                                            Comment
                                            • sneakerhead
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 07-14-10
                                              • 7727

                                              #23
                                              its not really a shot, just a little off
                                              Comment
                                              • TwoWays
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 03-24-10
                                                • 13145

                                                #24
                                                I don't get it. What are u afraid of? Bet it. If he changes the line then don't bet it.
                                                Comment
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