Can this trend be faded?

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  • stevenash
    Moderator
    • 01-17-11
    • 66067

    #1
    Can this trend be faded?
    SF Giants have won ten consecutive playoff games.

    You can get Bummy at -132.
    Bumgarner made the Pirate lineup his personal meat puppers his last time out. That was a masterpiece.
    Nats have better offense 1-9 than Pittsburgh though, and Nats hit LHP well.
    But ** is an top 3 lefty starter.

    Bumgarner at home and that ten game trend is affordable at -132.
    Does SF have enough hitting to get the job done beyond the three P's (Pence, Posey, and Panda)?

    Bochy is the better manager too, he's a master tactician when it comes to bench calling, and Rags is the best pitching coach in the game.
  • CWD
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 01-22-12
    • 7665

    #2
    he's pitching better than kershaw right now, wouldnt fade any trends against him, i'm passing on this one and probably the rest of this round
    Comment
    • jjgold
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 07-20-05
      • 388208

      #3
      San Francisco looks too easy but I'm following the trend
      Comment
      • stevenash
        Moderator
        • 01-17-11
        • 66067

        #4
        Prop bet

        266271858-1 10/6/14 3:41pm $20.00 $32.00 Pending 10/6/14 5:00pm Props Baseball 1262 WAS J.Werth no hits +160* <small style="padding: 0px; margin: 0px;">vs</small> WAS J.Werth a hit (Fixed Price)


        Madison Bumgarner Batter vs Pitching Stats


        Madison Bumgarner vs. <form class="js-goto" style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; outline: 0px; font-size: 12.7272720336914px; vertical-align: baseline; display: inline; background: transparent;"><select class="tablesm" style="border-color: rgb(207, 207, 207); font-size: 10px; padding: 2px; font-family: Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; background-color: rgb(231, 231, 231);"><option value="" style="color: rgb(34, 95, 178); padding: 0px 5px 0px 8px;">Select</option><option value="http://espn.go.com/mlb/player/batvspitch/_/id/29949/teamId/29/madison-bumgarner" style="color: rgb(34, 95, 178); padding: 0px 5px 0px 8px;">Arizona</option><option value="http://espn.go.com/mlb/player/batvspitch/_/id/29949/teamId/15/madison-bumgarner" style="color: rgb(34, 95, 178); padding: 0px 5px 0px 8px;">Atlanta</option><option value="http://espn.go.com/mlb/player/batvspitch/_/id/29949/teamId/1/madison-bumgarner" style="color: rgb(34, 95, 178); padding: 0px 5px 0px 8px;">Baltimore</option><option value="http://espn.go.com/mlb/player/batvspitch/_/id/29949/teamId/2/madison-bumgarner" style="color: rgb(34, 95, 178); padding: 0px 5px 0px 8px;">Boston</option><option value="http://espn.go.com/mlb/player/batvspitch/_/id/29949/teamId/16/madison-bumgarner" style="color: rgb(34, 95, 178); padding: 0px 5px 0px 8px;">Chicago Cubs</option><option value="http://espn.go.com/mlb/player/batvspitch/_/id/29949/teamId/4/madison-bumgarner" style="color: rgb(34, 95, 178); padding: 0px 5px 0px 8px;">Chicago Sox</option><option value="http://espn.go.com/mlb/player/batvspitch/_/id/29949/teamId/17/madison-bumgarner" style="color: rgb(34, 95, 178); padding: 0px 5px 0px 8px;">Cincinnati</option><option value="http://espn.go.com/mlb/player/batvspitch/_/id/29949/teamId/5/madison-bumgarner" style="color: rgb(34, 95, 178); padding: 0px 5px 0px 8px;">Cleveland</option><option value="http://espn.go.com/mlb/player/batvspitch/_/id/29949/teamId/27/madison-bumgarner" style="color: rgb(34, 95, 178); padding: 0px 5px 0px 8px;">Colorado</option><option value="http://espn.go.com/mlb/player/batvspitch/_/id/29949/teamId/6/madison-bumgarner" style="color: rgb(34, 95, 178); padding: 0px 5px 0px 8px;">Detroit</option><option value="http://espn.go.com/mlb/player/batvspitch/_/id/29949/teamId/18/madison-bumgarner" style="color: rgb(34, 95, 178); padding: 0px 5px 0px 8px;">Houston</option><option value="http://espn.go.com/mlb/player/batvspitch/_/id/29949/teamId/7/madison-bumgarner" style="color: rgb(34, 95, 178); padding: 0px 5px 0px 8px;">Kansas City</option><option value="http://espn.go.com/mlb/player/batvspitch/_/id/29949/teamId/3/madison-bumgarner" style="color: rgb(34, 95, 178); padding: 0px 5px 0px 8px;">LA Angels</option><option value="http://espn.go.com/mlb/player/batvspitch/_/id/29949/teamId/19/madison-bumgarner" style="color: rgb(34, 95, 178); padding: 0px 5px 0px 8px;">LA Dodgers</option><option value="http://espn.go.com/mlb/player/batvspitch/_/id/29949/teamId/28/madison-bumgarner" style="color: rgb(34, 95, 178); padding: 0px 5px 0px 8px;">Miami</option><option value="http://espn.go.com/mlb/player/batvspitch/_/id/29949/teamId/8/madison-bumgarner" style="color: rgb(34, 95, 178); padding: 0px 5px 0px 8px;">Milwaukee</option><option value="http://espn.go.com/mlb/player/batvspitch/_/id/29949/teamId/9/madison-bumgarner" style="color: rgb(34, 95, 178); padding: 0px 5px 0px 8px;">Minnesota</option><option value="http://espn.go.com/mlb/player/batvspitch/_/id/29949/teamId/21/madison-bumgarner" style="color: rgb(34, 95, 178); padding: 0px 5px 0px 8px;">NY Mets</option><option value="http://espn.go.com/mlb/player/batvspitch/_/id/29949/teamId/10/madison-bumgarner" style="color: rgb(34, 95, 178); padding: 0px 5px 0px 8px;">NY Yankees</option><option value="http://espn.go.com/mlb/player/batvspitch/_/id/29949/teamId/11/madison-bumgarner" style="color: rgb(34, 95, 178); padding: 0px 5px 0px 8px;">Oakland</option><option value="http://espn.go.com/mlb/player/batvspitch/_/id/29949/teamId/22/madison-bumgarner" style="color: rgb(34, 95, 178); padding: 0px 5px 0px 8px;">Philadelphia</option><option value="http://espn.go.com/mlb/player/batvspitch/_/id/29949/teamId/23/madison-bumgarner" style="color: rgb(34, 95, 178); padding: 0px 5px 0px 8px;">Pittsburgh</option><option value="http://espn.go.com/mlb/player/batvspitch/_/id/29949/teamId/25/madison-bumgarner" style="color: rgb(34, 95, 178); padding: 0px 5px 0px 8px;">San Diego</option><option value="http://espn.go.com/mlb/player/batvspitch/_/id/29949/teamId/26/madison-bumgarner" style="color: rgb(34, 95, 178); padding: 0px 5px 0px 8px;">San Francisco</option><option value="http://espn.go.com/mlb/player/batvspitch/_/id/29949/teamId/12/madison-bumgarner" style="color: rgb(34, 95, 178); padding: 0px 5px 0px 8px;">Seattle</option><option value="http://espn.go.com/mlb/player/batvspitch/_/id/29949/teamId/24/madison-bumgarner" style="color: rgb(34, 95, 178); padding: 0px 5px 0px 8px;">St. Louis</option><option value="http://espn.go.com/mlb/player/batvspitch/_/id/29949/teamId/30/madison-bumgarner" style="color: rgb(34, 95, 178); padding: 0px 5px 0px 8px;">Tampa Bay</option><option value="http://espn.go.com/mlb/player/batvspitch/_/id/29949/teamId/13/madison-bumgarner" style="color: rgb(34, 95, 178); padding: 0px 5px 0px 8px;">Texas</option><option value="http://espn.go.com/mlb/player/batvspitch/_/id/29949/teamId/14/madison-bumgarner" style="color: rgb(34, 95, 178); padding: 0px 5px 0px 8px;">Toronto</option><option value="http://espn.go.com/mlb/player/batvspitch/_/id/29949/teamId/20/madison-bumgarner" selected="selected" style="color: rgb(34, 95, 178); padding: 0px 5px 0px 8px;">Washington</option></select></form> - Next Start: 10/6 5:07 ET vs. WSH
        WASHINGTON NATIONALS CAREER STATISTICS VS. MADISON BUMGARNER
        BATTER AB H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO AVG OBP SLG OPS
        Asdrubal Cabrera 3 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 .667 .667 .667 1.333
        Ian Desmond 15 5 1 0 0 2 1 5 .333 .375 .400 .775
        Danny Espinosa 13 4 0 0 0 0 2 4 .308 .438 .308 .745
        Scott Hairston 13 1 0 0 0 0 1 2 .077 .200 .077 .277
        Bryce Harper 9 3 0 0 1 1 0 2 .333 .333 .667 1.000
        Adam LaRoche 21 6 3 0 0 1 0 8 .286 .286 .429 .714
        Jose Lobaton 3 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 .333 .333 .667 1.000
        Nate McLouth 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 .000 1.000 .000 1.000
        Tyler Moore 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 .000 .000 .000 .000
        Wilson Ramos 8 2 2 0 0 1 0 1 .250 .250 .500 .750
        Anthony Rendon 5 3 1 0 0 0 0 2 .600 .600 .800 1.400
        Nate Schierholtz 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 .000 .000 .000 .000
        Jhonatan Solano 3 2 0 0 1 1 0 0 .667 .667 1.667 2.333
        Denard Span 8 1 0 0 0 1 0 2 .125 .111 .125 .236
        Jayson Werth 11 2 0 1 0 1 1 2 .182 .250 .364 .614
        Ryan Zimmerman 17 3 1 0 1 3 1 2 .176 .222 .412 .634
        Totals 142 35 9 1 3 12 7 38 .246 .289 .387 .677
        Comment
        • jjgold
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 07-20-05
          • 388208

          #5
          Nashy your very techy bettor

          God bless you
          Comment
          • Ghenghis Kahn
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 01-02-12
            • 19736

            #6
            it's probably a coin flip, i'm taking plus money.
            Comment
            • stevenash
              Moderator
              • 01-17-11
              • 66067

              #7
              Originally posted by Ghenghis Kahn
              it's probably a coin flip, i'm taking plus money.
              Actually the line is so sharp IMO can't find the right side here.
              Comment
              • stevenash
                Moderator
                • 01-17-11
                • 66067

                #8
                Originally posted by jjgold
                Nashy your very techy bettor

                God bless you
                That's been my style since I got into this game.
                Comment
                • baseballstud
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 10-31-08
                  • 980

                  #9
                  SHould be a great game to watch..... good stuff Nash
                  Comment
                  • odog11
                    SBR MVP
                    • 02-14-11
                    • 3874

                    #10
                    Plus money for me, the Bumgarner home/away splits and Fister's experience are why. Just a small play.
                    Comment
                    • odog11
                      SBR MVP
                      • 02-14-11
                      • 3874

                      #11
                      Originally posted by odog11
                      Plus money for me, the Bumgarner home/away splits and Fister's experience are why. Just a small play.
                      Wow, home/away splits theory just blowed up by announcers. May ball out on this one with a live bet and take a small loss with a Nats win, that's if Fister can hold Giants off the board in the next half.
                      Comment
                      • stevenash
                        Moderator
                        • 01-17-11
                        • 66067

                        #12
                        Panda loves them cheeseburgers
                        Comment
                        • odog11
                          SBR MVP
                          • 02-14-11
                          • 3874

                          #13


                          That was scary. I am out and happy to take Giants live at -130.
                          Comment
                          • stevenash
                            Moderator
                            • 01-17-11
                            • 66067

                            #14
                            ^
                            Werth's at bat?
                            He was late on the pitch, lunged at it, got under it too much.
                            It only went the distance that it did because he's a strong mountain man.
                            Comment
                            • stevenash
                              Moderator
                              • 01-17-11
                              • 66067

                              #15
                              Now if Werth doesn't get a ninth inning at bat, he takes the collar, and that prop bets pays off at very generous 8 to 5.
                              Comment
                              • Pauulzcappin
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 04-23-10
                                • 20295

                                #16
                                what a performance from doug fister though
                                Comment
                                • Ghenghis Kahn
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 01-02-12
                                  • 19736

                                  #17
                                  fister's been solid all year.
                                  Comment
                                  • YouHave2outs
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 07-02-11
                                    • 4448

                                    #18
                                    bum was solid today. no one stepped up at the plate and the error was stupid. even pablo shouldve come off 3rd at taht point to avoid the disaster, but just horrible decision by bum.

                                    nashypoo look up how many postseason elimination games bochy has managed to win in a row should it get there it's a lot.
                                    Comment
                                    • stevenash
                                      Moderator
                                      • 01-17-11
                                      • 66067

                                      #19
                                      ^
                                      Fister is the only reason I backed off MadBum.
                                      Any other Nat starter, including Stras, I play SF

                                      Yeah Fist was strong.
                                      Comment
                                      • Pauulzcappin
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 04-23-10
                                        • 20295

                                        #20
                                        I dont think Nats are done yet... this series might go back to DC
                                        Comment
                                        • stevenash
                                          Moderator
                                          • 01-17-11
                                          • 66067

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by YouHave2outs
                                          nashypoo look up how many postseason elimination games bochy has managed to win in a row should it get there it's a lot.
                                          OK, as soon as I get a chance.
                                          Bochy is a no brainer, Hall of Fame Manager.
                                          So under the radar how good of an in game, manager.
                                          Insiders tell me Bochy is a prep machine.
                                          Always well prepared, rarely out-managed.

                                          He was a good catcher back in the day on shitty teams.
                                          Decent stick too, not great, had a few good seasons.
                                          Comment
                                          • Ballerholic
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 01-16-13
                                            • 2767

                                            #22
                                            It's just that there couldn't be a 3rd sweep of the playoffs
                                            Comment
                                            • jjgold
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 07-20-05
                                              • 388208

                                              #23
                                              Nashy call me
                                              Comment
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