Why are the Patriots only favored by 3 against Chiefs???

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  • LT Profits
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-27-06
    • 90963

    #36
    Consensus line is now New England -2.5 -115ish. I feel REALLY good about my +3.5 and +160, I doubt books would cross the magical 3 in a heavily bet Monday Night Game and expose themselves to that kind of middle of they didn't feel that the Chiefs were the right side. I get that being the "right side" and winning are two different things, but always better to be on the books side in obvious cases like this.
    Comment
    • Big Bear
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 11-01-11
      • 43253

      #37
      Originally posted by crustyme
      who is twizzler on?

      i would think Patriots
      Comment
      • crustyme
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 09-29-10
        • 16896

        #38
        Originally posted by Big Bear
        i would think Patriots
        he does have a man crush on brady.

        but i will wait for his official pick. made me a ton of money fading his picks this past weekend.

        Comment
        • RavensFan2k3
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 08-18-12
          • 17378

          #39
          Originally posted by LT Profits
          Consensus line is now New England -2.5 -115ish. I feel REALLY good about my +3.5 and +160, I doubt books would cross the magical 3 in a heavily bet Monday Night Game and expose themselves to that kind of middle of they didn't feel that the Chiefs were the right side. I get that being the "right side" and winning are two different things, but always better to be on the books side in obvious cases like this.
          You make a very compelling arguement for the Chiefs man...also saying this is an obvious case? Hmm. Hope you're right LT
          Comment
          • BILLY MEIER
            SBR Sharp
            • 12-19-13
            • 417

            #40
            Straight Bets

            <input id="ctl00_C_ConstructorSlip1_Confirmatio nWagerSlip1_Straight1_repItems_ctl00_txt Wagers" name="ctl00$C$ConstructorSlip1$Confirmat ionWagerSlip1$Straight1$repItems$ctl00$t xtWagers" value="0" type="hidden">
            Sep 29 08:30 PM EST - Football NFL Alternatives - 5350 Kansas City Chiefs +13½ -550 for Game
            <input id="ctl00_C_ConstructorSlip1_Confirmatio nWagerSlip1_Straight1_repItems_ctl01_txt WagerNumber" name="ctl00$C$ConstructorSlip1$Confirmat ionWagerSlip1$Straight1$repItems$ctl01$t xtWagerNumber" value="1" type="hidden">
            2,200.00 USD 400.00 USD
            1 Straight(s) 2,200.00 USD 400.00 USD
            <input id="ctl00_C_ConstructorSlip1_Confirmatio nWagerSlip1_LiveStraight1_txthasConfirme d" name="ctl00$C$ConstructorSlip1$Confirmat ionWagerSlip1$LiveStraight1$txthasConfir med" type="hidden">
            2,200.00 USD 400.00 USD
            Mall Points (details): 1,050.00
            Comment
            • mngambler
              SBR MVP
              • 08-01-11
              • 2890

              #41
              ^^ ish...books must love you
              Comment
              • crustyme
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 09-29-10
                • 16896

                #42
                Originally posted by BILLY MEIER
                Straight Bets

                <input id="ctl00_C_ConstructorSlip1_Confirmatio nWagerSlip1_Straight1_repItems_ctl00_txt Wagers" name="ctl00$C$ConstructorSlip1$Confirmat ionWagerSlip1$Straight1$repItems$ctl00$t xtWagers" value="0" type="hidden">
                Sep 29 08:30 PM EST - Football NFL Alternatives - 5350 Kansas City Chiefs +13½ -550 for Game
                <input id="ctl00_C_ConstructorSlip1_Confirmatio nWagerSlip1_Straight1_repItems_ctl01_txt WagerNumber" name="ctl00$C$ConstructorSlip1$Confirmat ionWagerSlip1$Straight1$repItems$ctl01$t xtWagerNumber" value="1" type="hidden">
                2,200.00 USD 400.00 USD
                1 Straight(s) 2,200.00 USD 400.00 USD
                <input id="ctl00_C_ConstructorSlip1_Confirmatio nWagerSlip1_LiveStraight1_txthasConfirme d" name="ctl00$C$ConstructorSlip1$Confirmat ionWagerSlip1$LiveStraight1$txthasConfir med" type="hidden">
                2,200.00 USD 400.00 USD
                Mall Points (details): 1,050.00

                trying to outdo twizzler for airbettor of the year?

                Comment
                • thebestthereis
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 03-01-09
                  • 11459

                  #43
                  here we f ing go all over again and nobody listens. all of a sudden the patriots suck because they almost lost to jokeland and they haven't average 40 points a game. the chiefs are still riding there 100-0 start from last year but they still suck and it will show tonight. patriots roll tonight and wake out of their drunken stuper vs fat andy (who was actually mo blacks brother).
                  Comment
                  • BILLY MEIER
                    SBR Sharp
                    • 12-19-13
                    • 417

                    #44
                    Originally posted by crustyme
                    trying to outdo twizzler for airbettor of the year?

                    lmao air better? been gambling on sports for 20 years dude, guess you guys judge everyone on here by how many post they have? im into the billy meier story, one thing i dont do is lie, only thing you take with you when you die is the knowledge and wisdom you gained from this life, i lost 4 games this past month that really hurt me, im betting angry right now and i never win when i do this
                    Comment
                    • crustyme
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 09-29-10
                      • 16896

                      #45
                      Originally posted by BILLY MEIER
                      lmao air better? been gambling on sports for 20 years dude, guess you guys judge everyone on here by how many post they have? im into the billy meier story, one thing i dont do is lie, only thing you take with you when you die is the knowledge and wisdom you gained from this life, i lost 4 games this past month that really hurt me, im betting angry right now and i never win when i do this

                      u dont even know what a unit means.

                      Comment
                      • LT Profits
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 10-27-06
                        • 90963

                        #46
                        Originally posted by RavensFan2k3
                        You make a very compelling arguement for the Chiefs man...also saying this is an obvious case? Hmm. Hope you're right LT
                        I meant obvious on the sense of crossing the 3 seemingly without fear in a Monday Night game, I did NOT mean Chiefs are obvious winner. Although the signs pointing to the Chiefs are obvious, if that makes any sense.
                        Comment
                        • crustyme
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 09-29-10
                          • 16896

                          #47
                          Originally posted by LT Profits
                          I meant obvious on the sense of crossing the 3 seemingly without fear in a Monday Night game, I did NOT mean Chiefs are obvious winner. Although the signs pointing to the Chiefs are obvious, if that makes any sense.
                          same thing happened in week 1 (chargers vs. cards).
                          Comment
                          • Big Bear
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 11-01-11
                            • 43253

                            #48
                            Originally posted by LT Profits
                            I meant obvious on the sense of crossing the 3 seemingly without fear in a Monday Night game, I did NOT mean Chiefs are obvious winner. Although the signs pointing to the Chiefs are obvious, if that makes any sense.
                            what do u mean by cross the 3?

                            i havent paid attention to line movement , whats it doing?
                            Comment
                            • BILLY MEIER
                              SBR Sharp
                              • 12-19-13
                              • 417

                              #49
                              Originally posted by crustyme
                              u dont even know what a unit means.

                              I dont want to know what a unti is, if i fly out to las vegas and place a bet , im not going to walk into the casino and pull out UNITS out of my pocket retard, i will be betting with MONEY, billy meier is my teacher in life and i explain things in a simple way so everyone understands what the fack im saying, you on the other hand like to act a fool , your the one that is probably the air bettor
                              Comment
                              • BILLY MEIER
                                SBR Sharp
                                • 12-19-13
                                • 417

                                #50
                                Originally posted by thebestthereis
                                here we f ing go all over again and nobody listens. all of a sudden the patriots suck because they almost lost to jokeland and they haven't average 40 points a game. the chiefs are still riding there 100-0 start from last year but they still suck and it will show tonight. patriots roll tonight and wake out of their drunken stuper vs fat andy (who was actually mo blacks brother).
                                Oh boy patriots have been struggling to score points now all of a sudden there going to go into KC and score 40 right? what maked u beleive this? kc will run the ball down there fucken throat dude, wait and see
                                Comment
                                • jjgold
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 07-20-05
                                  • 388179

                                  #51
                                  Guys I want everybody to follow me with his Kansas City train
                                  Comment
                                  • crustyme
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 09-29-10
                                    • 16896

                                    #52
                                    Originally posted by BILLY MEIER
                                    I dont want to know what a unti is, if i fly out to las vegas and place a bet , im not going to walk into the casino and pull out UNITS out of my pocket retard, i will be betting with MONEY, billy meier is my teacher in life and i explain things in a simple way so everyone understands what the fack im saying, you on the other hand like to act a fool , your the one that is probably the air bettor
                                    if u dont know what a unit is, you shouldnt be gambling. do u even know what money management is? or do u just cash that welfare check and bet it all on some moronic -550 bet?

                                    unlike u i've posted 100+ vegas betting slips. all u did was post a copy/paste which a clueless moron like u could easily edit. post a screenshot if u want to be taken seriously.

                                    yeah, i'll be holding my breath.

                                    Comment
                                    • jtoler
                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                      • 12-17-13
                                      • 30967

                                      #53
                                      Originally posted by LT Profits
                                      Consensus line is now New England -2.5 -115ish. I feel REALLY good about my +3.5 and +160, I doubt books would cross the magical 3 in a heavily bet Monday Night Game and expose themselves to that kind of middle of they didn't feel that the Chiefs were the right side. I get that being the "right side" and winning are two different things, but always better to be on the books side in obvious cases like this.
                                      Why would they feel the Chiefs are the right side rather its just moving because they Chiefs are getting heavily bet on. Dont think choosing a side.
                                      Comment
                                      • Big Bear
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 11-01-11
                                        • 43253

                                        #54
                                        Originally posted by BILLY MEIER
                                        Oh boy patriots have been struggling to score points now all of a sudden there going to go into KC and score 40 right? what maked u beleive this? kc will run the ball down there fucken throat dude, wait and see
                                        isnt Vincent Wilfork the best run stopper in the world?

                                        Chiefs O-Line is weak and undersized.
                                        Comment
                                        • KiDBaZkiT
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 10-20-09
                                          • 14962

                                          #55
                                          Originally posted by BILLY MEIER
                                          lmao air better? been gambling on sports for 20 years dude, guess you guys judge everyone on here by how many post they have? im into the billy meier story, one thing i dont do is lie, only thing you take with you when you die is the knowledge and wisdom you gained from this life, i lost 4 games this past month that really hurt me, im betting angry right now and i never win when i do this
                                          Pay crusty no mind. He is SBR's resident retard and has Tourette syndrome. He walks around in public and can't help but shout out "curry!" "Brokedik" crusty is so fraud, just follow his posts for a day and it ain't hard to see what an insecure no social life fukkin loser he is.
                                          Comment
                                          • LT Profits
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 10-27-06
                                            • 90963

                                            #56
                                            Originally posted by crustyme
                                            same thing happened in week 1 (chargers vs. cards).
                                            That was different because move was due to Ellington injury.
                                            Comment
                                            • Big Bear
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 11-01-11
                                              • 43253

                                              #57
                                              Originally posted by jjgold
                                              Guys I want everybody to follow me with his Kansas City train
                                              cant trust a guy with that avatar. Books must be begging for KC action with JJ the leading cheerleader
                                              Comment
                                              • yahoonino
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 08-10-07
                                                • 2651

                                                #58
                                                Originally posted by jtoler
                                                This is the NFL, players during the combine process are inspected as thoroughly as slaves, every player in the NFL is good, each team can beat one another on a given day, see this just about every week, no team is ever as good as their best and no team is ever as bad as their worst. 3 pts is plenty considering Pats could very well lose, they lost to the Phins remember.
                                                ell said si
                                                Comment
                                                • yahoonino
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 08-10-07
                                                  • 2651

                                                  #59
                                                  Originally posted by yahoonino
                                                  ell said si
                                                  well said sir
                                                  Comment
                                                  • LT Profits
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 10-27-06
                                                    • 90963

                                                    #60
                                                    Originally posted by jtoler
                                                    Why would they feel the Chiefs are the right side rather its just moving because they Chiefs are getting heavily bet on. Dont think choosing a side.
                                                    Books wouldn't cross the 3 if they didn't feel confident in doing so. Otherwise they would just keep juicing the 3 heavier if it was a lot of KC money coming in. By crossing the 3, they are inviting NE money.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • LT Profits
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 10-27-06
                                                      • 90963

                                                      #61
                                                      Originally posted by Big Bear
                                                      what do u mean by cross the 3?

                                                      i havent paid attention to line movement , whats it doing?
                                                      Opened 3.5, even some 4s were available, and now it is mainly 2.5.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • LT Profits
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 10-27-06
                                                        • 90963

                                                        #62
                                                        Originally posted by Big Bear
                                                        cant trust a guy with that avatar. Books must be begging for KC action with JJ the leading cheerleader
                                                        Just the opposite at Pats -2.5
                                                        Comment
                                                        • jtoler
                                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                          • 12-17-13
                                                          • 30967

                                                          #63
                                                          Originally posted by LT Profits
                                                          Books wouldn't cross the 3 if they didn't feel confident in doing so. Otherwise they would just keep juicing the 3 heavier if it was a lot of KC money coming in. By crossing the 3, they are inviting NE money.
                                                          Why wouldnt they if quite a bit more money is on KC? I understand juicing but if quite a bit more money is on KC then its crossed the point of juicing the 3. Doesnt mean they feel KC wins. They dont have a dog in the fight.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • pavyracer
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 04-12-07
                                                            • 82840

                                                            #64
                                                            Jamal Charles is going to go ape shit vs the Pats tonight. I'm on Chiefs knee high.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • gauchojake
                                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                              • 09-17-10
                                                              • 34117

                                                              #65
                                                              If you believe the consensus feed, the money is unbalanced by 10 to 1 in favor of the pats but the line is inviting Pats money. Either the books like losing money or they are betting that KC wins.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • jtoler
                                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                • 12-17-13
                                                                • 30967

                                                                #66
                                                                Originally posted by gauchojake
                                                                If you believe the consensus feed, the money is unbalanced by 10 to 1 in favor of the pats but the line is inviting Pats money. Either the books like losing money or they are betting that KC wins.
                                                                I never go by those betting percentages.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • RavensFan2k3
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 08-18-12
                                                                  • 17378

                                                                  #67
                                                                  Originally posted by crustyme
                                                                  same thing happened in week 1 (chargers vs. cards).
                                                                  I feel thats the same thing that'll happen tonight. Patriots win, but Chiefs probably cover.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Russian Rocket
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 09-02-12
                                                                    • 43910

                                                                    #68
                                                                    Originally posted by BILLY MEIER
                                                                    Straight Bets

                                                                    <input id="ctl00_C_ConstructorSlip1_Confirmatio nWagerSlip1_Straight1_repItems_ctl00_txt Wagers" name="ctl00$C$ConstructorSlip1$Confirmat ionWagerSlip1$Straight1$repItems$ctl00$t xtWagers" value="0" type="hidden">
                                                                    Sep 29 08:30 PM EST - Football NFL Alternatives - 5350 Kansas City Chiefs +13½ -550 for Game
                                                                    <input id="ctl00_C_ConstructorSlip1_Confirmatio nWagerSlip1_Straight1_repItems_ctl01_txt WagerNumber" name="ctl00$C$ConstructorSlip1$Confirmat ionWagerSlip1$Straight1$repItems$ctl01$t xtWagerNumber" value="1" type="hidden">
                                                                    2,200.00 USD 400.00 USD
                                                                    1 Straight(s) 2,200.00 USD 400.00 USD
                                                                    <input id="ctl00_C_ConstructorSlip1_Confirmatio nWagerSlip1_LiveStraight1_txthasConfirme d" name="ctl00$C$ConstructorSlip1$Confirmat ionWagerSlip1$LiveStraight1$txthasConfir med" type="hidden">
                                                                    2,200.00 USD 400.00 USD
                                                                    Mall Points (details): 1,050.00
                                                                    Billy is on to something here

                                                                    Hey Billy wtf are the Mall points?
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • jjgold
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 07-20-05
                                                                      • 388179

                                                                      #69
                                                                      Rocket in the USA we have something called malls which is a cluster of big stores

                                                                      Some stores or malls offer handicapping contests

                                                                      He probably is in one
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • SmittyZ28
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 09-04-12
                                                                        • 1469

                                                                        #70
                                                                        Originally posted by pavyracer
                                                                        Jamal Charles is going to go ape shit vs the Pats tonight. I'm on Chiefs knee high.
                                                                        Jamal is hobbled and started the year with 21 yards on 9 carries. Pats 2nd best in the league against the run, not a chance he has a big game tonight unless they give him 30 carries. Chiefs found some decent replacements in his absence, JC may only see 20 snaps.

                                                                        Pats -3, write up in my thread. 26-9 on the season
                                                                        Comment
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