Suspended game (6:05pm) line Cleveland -1200/KC +775

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  • stevenash
    Moderator
    • 01-17-11
    • 65679

    #1
    Suspended game (6:05pm) line Cleveland -1200/KC +775
    Just to get you up to speed, this is the conclusion of the game that got rained out (suspended) in the middle of the 10th inning, the conclusion is in Cleveland, but KC is the home team since it was rained out in Kansas City on Aug. 31
    Alex Gordon hit his second homer of the game in the ninth to tie the game at 2 and 2, Holland, who has been pretty much perfect all season, puked up 2 runs in the tenth to Chisenhall on a crushed deep double, to make the game 4-2, downpours forced the suspension.

    So this is where we are at.

    KC coming up, bottom of the tenth, they are trailing 4-2.
    Kyle Crockett was announced so he must start the tenth inning for Cleveland or be replaced.
    Shaw and Allen have been exhausted, and Crockett was announced in the tenth to relieve Allen.

    Lorenzo Cain made the last out in the ninth, KC will be sending up their 7-8-9 hitters, who are Moose (7) catcher Erik Kratz (8) Escobar (9)

    Sal Perez is the DH, so Kratz caught.

    Pitcher Crockett is have a pretty nice season, 40 games, all in relief, good K ratio, ERA and WH/IP
    Crockett has faced Moose 3 times, got him out all three times, one K
    Crockett has no history versus Kratz or Escobar.

    So, the books are offering +775 if you think KC can get two in the tenth to tie it up and extend the game, or three to win. Mind you if KC gets two in the tenth and lose later, well you lose (well duh)

    Now, the books are offering a o/u of 6.5 at +325/-410, which pretty much says if you think KC can scratch out at least 1 run, theyt'll pay you +325.

    Remember, KC is the speediest team in the American League, Moose has so-so speed, Kratz has no speed, but Escobar is fast, and if KC can flip it to the top of the order, the lineup from here on out has disrupting speed.
    KC has speed on the bench too, Roberto Perez is the games catcher for Cleveland, and he has only thrown out 7 of 20 would be base stealers, and KC loves to run.

    I can't handicap this inning much further, and after doing so, I think KC can scratch out a run, will make a tiny 20 or 30 dollar bet on the 'over' 6.5 and get paid at +325.

    If I'm wrong, so be it, but KC is very capable of getting one across here.
    Moose has to get on is imperative for this bet to click.
  • KRIT
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 01-11-14
    • 12878

    #2
    Why would anyone bet this game?
    Comment
    • DOM_Toretto
      Restricted User
      • 01-28-13
      • 9035

      #3
      Could you please clarify... Is KC-CLE playing this half inning & potentially calling it a night, OR is there a normal game starting after this tonight as well?
      Comment
      • stevenash
        Moderator
        • 01-17-11
        • 65679

        #4
        Originally posted by DOM_Toretto
        Could you please clarify... Is KC-CLE playing this half inning & potentially calling it a night, OR is there a normal game starting after this tonight as well?
        Game 2 is a scheduled game, in Cleveland.
        Duffy v. Carrasco.
        Comment
        • stevenash
          Moderator
          • 01-17-11
          • 65679

          #5
          Originally posted by KRIT
          Why would anyone bet this game?
          Because I am offered better than 3 to 1 that KC scores a run in the tenth.
          I like the odds.
          Comment
          • JJJ
            SBR MVP
            • 05-03-11
            • 2610

            #6
            Originally posted by stevenash
            Because I am offered better than 3 to 1 that KC scores a run in the tenth.
            I like the odds.
            nasher anything stick out to you tonight in MLB? need a winner
            Comment
            • stevenash
              Moderator
              • 01-17-11
              • 65679

              #7
              Originally posted by JJJ
              nasher anything stick out to you tonight in MLB? need a winner
              Wainwright - run line, on the road.
              Even money, you won't get rich, but that looks like the best.
              Chalk is too expensive, I don't like to lay a big number
              Comment
              • JJJ
                SBR MVP
                • 05-03-11
                • 2610

                #8
                Originally posted by stevenash
                Wainwright - run line, on the road.
                Even money, you won't get rich, but that looks like the best.
                Chalk is too expensive, I don't like to lay a big number
                thanks always appreciate your thoughts
                Comment
                • KRIT
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 01-11-14
                  • 12878

                  #9
                  FYI Eric Hosmer and Jarrod Dyson will both be available to pinch hit since neither played in the game that was suspended.
                  Comment
                  • JMon
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 12-11-09
                    • 9800

                    #10
                    Totally forgot about this..I had the over initially which graded as a loss. I like the play.. as +325 is salty. Being a Royals fan, it would be great to see some magic here.
                    Comment
                    • stevenash
                      Moderator
                      • 01-17-11
                      • 65679

                      #11
                      Originally posted by KRIT
                      FYI Eric Hosmer and Jarrod Dyson will both be available to pinch hit since neither played in the game that was suspended.
                      I know this, if Moose or Kratz gets on base, look for Dyson to pinch run, Hosmer probably will pinch hit for Kratz.
                      I've gone over the swithes, pinch hitter, pinch runner scenearios a gazllion times, I had time had work today so I ran through some data on the computer, I think KC can make the tenth inning interesting
                      Comment
                      • stevenash
                        Moderator
                        • 01-17-11
                        • 65679

                        #12
                        Originally posted by JMon
                        Totally forgot about this..I had the over initially which graded as a loss. I like the play.. as +325 is salty. Being a Royals fan, it would be great to see some magic here.
                        If KC pulls this out of their ass, load up, I MEAN LOAD UP, on KC with the Duff man.
                        Comment
                        • stevenash
                          Moderator
                          • 01-17-11
                          • 65679

                          #13
                          Line dropped -1100/+700, but the total remains at 6.5
                          Very interesting.
                          Comment
                          • JMon
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 12-11-09
                            • 9800

                            #14
                            Originally posted by stevenash
                            If KC pulls this out of their ass, load up, I MEAN LOAD UP, on KC with the Duff man.
                            I'll be rooting for the Royals and you
                            Comment
                            • stevenash
                              Moderator
                              • 01-17-11
                              • 65679

                              #15
                              It's on MLB network right now.
                              Comment
                              • stevenash
                                Moderator
                                • 01-17-11
                                • 65679

                                #16
                                Moose with a single
                                Comment
                                • stevenash
                                  Moderator
                                  • 01-17-11
                                  • 65679

                                  #17
                                  One on, no out, here comes HOSMER to pinch hit
                                  Ball one
                                  Comment
                                  • stevenash
                                    Moderator
                                    • 01-17-11
                                    • 65679

                                    #18
                                    Hosmer K's stolen base Gore pinch running for Moose
                                    Man on second one out.
                                    Comment
                                    • CookiMonster
                                      SBR Sharp
                                      • 03-22-12
                                      • 319

                                      #19
                                      i'm trying to get up to speed with this game from your initial post nash. when this game is set and done will their be a different line up for the tribes home game against kc? thats whats on my mind right now
                                      Comment
                                      • stevenash
                                        Moderator
                                        • 01-17-11
                                        • 65679

                                        #20
                                        Ball one to Esco

                                        ONE TIME ESCO !
                                        Comment
                                        • stevenash
                                          Moderator
                                          • 01-17-11
                                          • 65679

                                          #21
                                          Escobar two hopper to third.
                                          Two down
                                          Comment
                                          • stevenash
                                            Moderator
                                            • 01-17-11
                                            • 65679

                                            #22
                                            Aoki - san
                                            Comment
                                            • stevenash
                                              Moderator
                                              • 01-17-11
                                              • 65679

                                              #23
                                              Aoki !!!!

                                              Winner
                                              Comment
                                              • stevenash
                                                Moderator
                                                • 01-17-11
                                                • 65679

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by CookiMonster
                                                i'm trying to get up to speed with this game from your initial post nash. when this game is set and done will their be a different line up for the tribes home game against kc? thats whats on my mind right now
                                                Oh yeah, check the lineups
                                                Comment
                                                • stevenash
                                                  Moderator
                                                  • 01-17-11
                                                  • 65679

                                                  #25
                                                  Stolen base Dyson.

                                                  Ohhhhh yeahhhh
                                                  Comment
                                                  • 5918mike
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 04-16-14
                                                    • 1887

                                                    #26
                                                    Congrats!
                                                    Comment
                                                    • baseballstud
                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                      • 10-31-08
                                                      • 980

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by stevenash
                                                      Aoki !!!!

                                                      Winner
                                                      Pay this man HIS MONNNNNNEYYYYYY. NIce one my friend. After your detailed analysis I did the same. Makes up for my awful tennis beat this morning. This Kansas City team is exciting, they are fast as hell.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • JMon
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 12-11-09
                                                        • 9800

                                                        #28
                                                        Oh ya
                                                        Comment
                                                        • stevenash
                                                          Moderator
                                                          • 01-17-11
                                                          • 65679

                                                          #29
                                                          Infante pops up, game over, cash that total bet at 3.25:1 odds.

                                                          Ohh yeah
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Ra77er
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 06-20-11
                                                            • 10969

                                                            #30
                                                            What a sharp play
                                                            Comment
                                                            • drfunkmaster
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 11-29-08
                                                              • 11162

                                                              #31
                                                              winner!!!!!!!!!!

                                                              Pending9/22/14 6:00pm MLB Baseball 899 Cleveland Indians/Kansas City Royals Over 6½ +325* (Fixed Price)
                                                              Comment
                                                              • stevenash
                                                                Moderator
                                                                • 01-17-11
                                                                • 65679

                                                                #32
                                                                I would have hated myself for not betting KC to win the game if Infante tied it up, but the inning played out exactly the way I broke it down in advance.

                                                                Listen, I apolgize if I come across a blowhard right now, I really do, but I am mighty proud of that wager.
                                                                Very proud of myself.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • JMon
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 12-11-09
                                                                  • 9800

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Very sharp. Royals need a good series here
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • stevenash
                                                                    Moderator
                                                                    • 01-17-11
                                                                    • 65679

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by JMon
                                                                    Very sharp. Royals need a good series here
                                                                    Small play on the Duff man, gravy money.
                                                                    Carrasco is a strike out artist, but KC doesn't strike out.

                                                                    KC 1*
                                                                    Chi/Jets under 45 1*

                                                                    Aoki is buying the first round.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • JMon
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 12-11-09
                                                                      • 9800

                                                                      #35
                                                                      ^^ bol, not touching the first game. Only game I'm playing is SD in MLB. I actually grabbed the over at 44 on MNF.
                                                                      Comment
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