Brewers (Peralta) +135 over Cardinals (Lynn)

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  • stevenash
    Moderator
    • 01-17-11
    • 66055

    #1
    Brewers (Peralta) +135 over Cardinals (Lynn)
    I love the price I am getting here. +135 is uber generous here.
    Lynn's walks (around 3.5 per 9) will haunt him tonight.
    He walked four Brewers his last start against him, needed some help in a 5-3 win, different result tonight.
    Braun hurts Lance, the little starting infielders (Segura and Scooter) bleed him to death, and even Parra in the outfield is 7 for 14 lifetime v. Lance Lynn.
    Then you got LuCroy and A-Ram hitting 3-4 ahead of Braun.
    It's going to be tough sledding tonight for Lynn.

    Despite imploding the last 2 starts he made in August, Wily Peralta has settled down nicely, he is a sixteen game winner so far, and you don't win 16 games in the show all by luck.
    Across the board numbers are fine, not stand out, but I haveno problem with 3.75 ERA and a 1.35 WH/IP, K ratio of around 8 per 9.

    Must be careful to Holliday, 8 for 18 and two dingers.
    Carp up top of the order too, 8 for 18.

    Peralta (minus those 2 starts) has been pretty steady all season.
    Peralta keeps Holliday in the park, he leaves St. Louis with win #17.

    Not a salm dunk, but a very nice underdog play here if you ask me.

    Brews +135 3* gets you 4* returned.

    Best of luck fellas.
  • Pauulzcappin
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 04-23-10
    • 20295

    #2
    Gonna chime in and give my opinion as to why I like the Cards.

    Holliday is slugging 778 against Peralta with an OPS of .1300, some good bat records the other way as well.

    Wily Peralta has been steadily regressing as the season progresses to his FIP of 4.3ish

    While Lynn does have a bad walk ration, his pitches barely every hit the park. He has the 2nd lowest HR/9 ratio at 0.4 in the NL and SO% at 21.

    Peralta in the other hand gives up a lot of long balls and despite his recent success against St. Louis, I like the Cardinals to win here. They are the real deal and heading in the opposite direction of the Brewers. They also have a better bullpen.
    Comment
    • Darkside Magick
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 05-28-10
      • 12638

      #3
      Cant bet against the cards!

      Risk .5 BTC to win .340 BTC [958] St. Louis Cardinals -147 vs Milwaukee Brewers

      Good luck nasher!
      Comment
      • stevenash
        Moderator
        • 01-17-11
        • 66055

        #4
        Originally posted by Pauulzcappin
        Gonna chime in and give my opinion as to why I like the Cards.

        Holliday is slugging 778 against Peralta with an OPS of .1300, some good bat records the other way as well.

        Wily Peralta has been steadily regressing as the season progresses to his FIP of 4.3ish

        While Lynn does have a bad walk ration, his pitches barely every hit the park. He has the 2nd lowest HR/9 ratio at 0.4 in the NL and SO% at 21.

        Peralta in the other hand gives up a lot of long balls and despite his recent success against St. Louis, I like the Cardinals to win here. They are the real deal and heading in the opposite direction of the Brewers. They also have a better bullpen.
        I'm fine with a fade with a well written reason (s)
        Feeling here is Lynn gets rocketd.
        One of us wins, one of us loses.

        BoL Paul, and thanks for your support in the past.
        Go get 'em.
        Comment
        • stevenash
          Moderator
          • 01-17-11
          • 66055

          #5
          Originally posted by Darkside Magick
          Cant bet against the cards!

          Risk .5 BTC to win .340 BTC [958] St. Louis Cardinals -147 vs Milwaukee Brewers

          Good luck nasher!
          5 Dimes is taking Bitters I hear.
          You know I'm a skeptic, but hope it all works out.
          Comment
          • Pauulzcappin
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 04-23-10
            • 20295

            #6
            Originally posted by stevenash
            I'm fine with a fade with a well written reason (s)
            Feeling here is Lynn gets rocketd.
            One of us wins, one of us loses.

            BoL Paul, and thanks for your support in the past.
            Go get 'em.


            havent put it in yet. gonna see how my blue jays FF and TTO starts off and see where i go from there
            Comment
            • stevenash
              Moderator
              • 01-17-11
              • 66055

              #7
              Originally posted by Pauulzcappin


              havent put it in yet. gonna see how my blue jays FF and TTO starts off and see where i go from there
              Jays are my second play, Hutch at pick 'em against that cheeseburger.
              How could you not?
              Comment
              • Pauulzcappin
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 04-23-10
                • 20295

                #8
                Originally posted by stevenash
                Jays are my second play, Hutch at pick 'em against that cheeseburger.
                How could you not?

                Blue Jays suck. 3-2 game bases loaded and they couldn't get anything. Fukking Encarnacion. Only hits when its not worth anything.
                Comment
                • TwoWays
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 03-24-10
                  • 13145

                  #9
                  Originally posted by Pauulzcappin
                  Blue Jays suck. 3-2 game bases loaded and they couldn't get anything. Fukking Encarnacion. Only hits when its not worth anything.
                  two teams that depend on the long ball for scores. they ain't playing small ball and stringing together hits.
                  Comment
                  • leetreaper
                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                    • 10-23-10
                    • 34841

                    #10
                    SeaWeed number 2, stop fukking posting...
                    Comment
                    • paco
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 05-07-09
                      • 62873

                      #11
                      Cardinals hottest team right now
                      Comment
                      • TwoWays
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 03-24-10
                        • 13145

                        #12
                        Unrealz! 2 run I first inning may be enough. Get ROIDS legalized!
                        Comment
                        • Darkside Magick
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 05-28-10
                          • 12638

                          #13
                          Tough to bet dogs in bases late in the season.....
                          Comment
                          • paco
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 05-07-09
                            • 62873

                            #14
                            2nd and 3rd no outs. Braun at the plate
                            Comment
                            • TwoWays
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 03-24-10
                              • 13145

                              #15
                              Braun is up ftw!
                              Comment
                              • TwoWays
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 03-24-10
                                • 13145

                                #16
                                Figures he'd ht a weak grounder without his medicine
                                Comment
                                • Pauulzcappin
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 04-23-10
                                  • 20295

                                  #17
                                  this piece of shit is about to throw the game
                                  Comment
                                  • paco
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 05-07-09
                                    • 62873

                                    #18
                                    Braun what a bum, not even a sac fly
                                    Comment
                                    • stevenash
                                      Moderator
                                      • 01-17-11
                                      • 66055

                                      #19
                                      On look, troll boy. Can't hold on to a 7:1chip lead to me, how'd it going donk boy?
                                      Originally posted by leetreaper
                                      SeaWeed number 2, stop fukking posting...
                                      Comment
                                      • stevenash
                                        Moderator
                                        • 01-17-11
                                        • 66055

                                        #20
                                        Here comes Segura for a game winning bleeder,
                                        Comment
                                        • stevenash
                                          Moderator
                                          • 01-17-11
                                          • 66055

                                          #21
                                          Or not. Can't trust those Jewish relievers can you?
                                          P
                                          Originally posted by stevenash
                                          Here comes Segura for a game winning bleeder,
                                          Comment
                                          • brewcrew2k
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 01-26-10
                                            • 1158

                                            #22
                                            Extra innings!!!
                                            Comment
                                            • stevenash
                                              Moderator
                                              • 01-17-11
                                              • 66055

                                              #23
                                              Free baseball
                                              Comment
                                              • 2daBank
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 01-26-09
                                                • 88966

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by brewcrew2k
                                                Extra innings!!!
                                                still holding on to hope your shit team gets the final play in game spot? choking dogs dont know shit bout sept bases..
                                                Comment
                                                • stevenash
                                                  Moderator
                                                  • 01-17-11
                                                  • 66055

                                                  #25
                                                  Carlos Martinez.
                                                  This doesn't end well.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • stevenash
                                                    Moderator
                                                    • 01-17-11
                                                    • 66055

                                                    #26
                                                    Royals retake the lead, Nasher having a nice night (pending)
                                                    Comment
                                                    • 2daBank
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 01-26-09
                                                      • 88966

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by stevenash
                                                      Carlos Martinez.
                                                      This doesn't end well.
                                                      for who brewer backers? martinez got filthy stuff. when he can control it..
                                                      Comment
                                                      • jjgold
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 07-20-05
                                                        • 388208

                                                        #28
                                                        Nashy let's close the night out with the win
                                                        Comment
                                                        • stevenash
                                                          Moderator
                                                          • 01-17-11
                                                          • 66055

                                                          #29
                                                          His buck and a half WH/IP says otherwise.
                                                          Originally posted by 2daBank
                                                          for who brewer backers? martinez got filthy stuff. when he can control it..
                                                          Comment
                                                          • stevenash
                                                            Moderator
                                                            • 01-17-11
                                                            • 66055

                                                            #30
                                                            I hear ya Gold, this one sets the week up right.
                                                            How the fuk do the Dodgers have 2 runs on 13 hits. Same old Dodgers. Lol
                                                            Originally posted by jjgold
                                                            Nashy let's close the night out with the win
                                                            Comment
                                                            • paco
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 05-07-09
                                                              • 62873

                                                              #31
                                                              Segura had 2 chances now to win the game. Bum
                                                              Comment
                                                              • BadLuckSanta
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 06-30-10
                                                                • 2756

                                                                #32
                                                                All the good guys on the board on brew crew?

                                                                Fk me
                                                                Comment
                                                                • stevenash
                                                                  Moderator
                                                                  • 01-17-11
                                                                  • 66055

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by paco
                                                                  Segura had 2 chances now to win the game. Bum
                                                                  He is what he is , good glove, slappy .240 hitter middle infielder with speed.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • 2daBank
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 01-26-09
                                                                    • 88966

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by stevenash
                                                                    His buck and a half WH/IP says otherwise.
                                                                    well he got out of his inning pretty easy so i guess someone wrong..so he can have control issues, you never seen him pitch if you saying his stuff isnt filthy..
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • paco
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 05-07-09
                                                                      • 62873

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Hector!
                                                                      Comment
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