Under 52.5 For Monday Night Football!

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  • Seaweed
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 01-19-12
    • 26318

    #1
    Under 52.5 For Monday Night Football!
    52.5 is a trap as line should be 49.5 but public wants the over tonight. I studied this game thoroughly and decided to release it a little earlier so my followers can grab the good line of -110. Under it is for 2 units
  • tony_come
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 03-31-10
    • 21695

    #2
    Thank you sellweed
    Comment
    • DOM_Toretto
      Restricted User
      • 01-28-13
      • 9035

      #3
      Ahhh I respect your picks seaweed, but just locked in the over 52.5. Lots of injuries to both defenses - that didn't sway you?

      I'm also on colts-3, and a few good value props: Wayne o5 catches -140, eagles1H/colts final +550, tie1H/colts final +1150

      Thoughts?
      Comment
      • Seaweed
        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
        • 01-19-12
        • 26318

        #4
        Youre welcome Tony.

        Will be abou 10-7 after 1

        13-14 after 2

        23-17 after 3

        Then about 26-24 final
        Comment
        • jjgold
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 07-20-05
          • 388179

          #5
          Will go over after 3 qtrs

          Bad bet
          Comment
          • Chi_archie
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 07-22-08
            • 63172

            #6
            get em!
            Comment
            • Bostongambler
              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
              • 02-01-08
              • 35581

              #7
              Priceless
              Comment
              • innovation
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 01-27-12
                • 6218

                #8
                Comment
                • Seaweed
                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                  • 01-19-12
                  • 26318

                  #9
                  Originally posted by DOM_Toretto
                  Ahhh I respect your picks seaweed, but just locked in the over 52.5. Lots of injuries to both defenses - that didn't sway you?

                  I'm also on colts-3, and a few good value props: Wayne o5 catches -140, eagles1H/colts final +550, tie1H/colts final +1150

                  Thoughts?
                  Eagles are missing two starting linemen. Expect lots of pressure on the qb. 82 percent of vegas public is on over. That is a warning sign. Following a loss, Colts are 14-2 against a winning side, but the under has hit 67 percent of time. If this wasnt a primetime game would be different story. Look for Eaglea to establish the run and chew clock with long possessions
                  Comment
                  • leetreaper
                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                    • 10-23-10
                    • 34841

                    #10
                    Originally posted by DOM_Toretto
                    Ahhh I respect your picks seaweed, but just locked in the over 52.5. Lots of injuries to both defenses - that didn't sway you?

                    I'm also on colts-3, and a few good value props: Wayne o5 catches -140, eagles1H/colts final +550, tie1H/colts final +1150

                    Thoughts?
                    Comment
                    • mcdonae101
                      SBR MVP
                      • 03-02-14
                      • 3646

                      #11
                      lol. after this post 99% of public is on over
                      Comment
                      • Seaweed
                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                        • 01-19-12
                        • 26318

                        #12
                        Mcdonald clearly you did not see my play last night sir
                        Comment
                        • Big Bear
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 11-01-11
                          • 43253

                          #13
                          Originally posted by Seaweed
                          Youre welcome Tony.

                          Will be abou 10-7 after 1

                          13-14 after 2

                          23-17 after 3

                          Then about 26-24 final
                          if u project this game to land at 50 points and your confident about under 52.5 thats not much room for error.

                          I will pass but since the public is on the over i like your chances. Good Luck pal.
                          Comment
                          • Seaweed
                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                            • 01-19-12
                            • 26318

                            #14
                            Thanks bear

                            Football is a game of inches just like life

                            Half a second late that bus has left

                            Half a second too slow that girl is taken

                            Half a second too long that pizza is burnt

                            Every point matters and is factored into my methodology

                            Good lick bear
                            Comment
                            • jjgold
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 07-20-05
                              • 388179

                              #15
                              Comment
                              • Bcatswin
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 12-21-10
                                • 13931

                                #16
                                Seaweed is onto something here.
                                Comment
                                • SmittyZ28
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 09-04-12
                                  • 1469

                                  #17
                                  Public was on Denver overs every week and it hit constantly last year. Public plays are less of a consideration on totals compared to sides IMO. At the end of the day who cares who else bets what, go with your gut. I love the over here, both teams throw so much the clock is going to tick very slowly and both will have some BIG plays. Like all totals a turnover or special teams TD can turn the tide no matter what, but these two teams on Monday night with the defensive injuries? Over or nothing.

                                  Eagles will run 80 plays, Colts are going to be close to that maybe 70-75. Barring a turnover fest, this game should be in the high 50s EASY

                                  Good luck people
                                  Comment
                                  • 2daBank
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 01-26-09
                                    • 88966

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by Big Bear
                                    if u project this game to land at 50 points and your confident about under 52.5 thats not much room for error.

                                    I will pass but since the public is on the over i like your chances. Good Luck pal.
                                    "public" is always on the over and that didnt stop a ton of mon night games from going over last year.. there plenty of misguided money on the under as the line is dropping, i dont care what any percentage site says who is on what obviously there plenty of money on the under and if ya ask me whether it big money or not it aint all that sharp cause i made this gm 56-58..donks te's abused colts last week and guess what chip kelly likes to use a lot? that right his te's, ertz and the old guy will go off, indy's lbs are shit so shady or sproles will kill them also. on the other side phi d aint gonna keep luck from getting his, henne and some undrafted rookie lit them up in the 1st half last week.. it gonna take 30+ to win this game, public or not..
                                    Comment
                                    • 2daBank
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 01-26-09
                                      • 88966

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by SmittyZ28
                                      Public was on Denver overs every week and it hit constantly last year. Public plays are less of a consideration on totals compared to sides IMO. At the end of the day who cares who else bets what, go with your gut. I love the over here, both teams throw so much the clock is going to tick very slowly and both will have some BIG plays. Like all totals a turnover or special teams TD can turn the tide no matter what, but these two teams on Monday night with the defensive injuries? Over or nothing.

                                      Eagles will run 80 plays, Colts are going to be close to that maybe 70-75. Barring a turnover fest, this game should be in the high 50s EASY

                                      Good luck people
                                      same can be said for mon night games in general.. this total too low so i guess the "public" (like weeder isnt public, lmao) who has any money left gonna actually win a gm today after getting curb stomped with the likes of aints, seachickens, sf all losing..
                                      Comment
                                      • SmittyZ28
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 09-04-12
                                        • 1469

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by 2daBank
                                        same can be said for mon night games in general.. this total too low so i guess the "public" (like weeder isnt public, lmao) who has any money left gonna actually win a gm today after getting curb stomped with the likes of aints, seachickens, sf all losing..
                                        Very true. The one bad one I still remember on MNF last year Colts and Bolts I think the total was set at 48 or 49 was on the over big time and it ended 19-9 I think? WTF
                                        Comment
                                        • Big Bear
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 11-01-11
                                          • 43253

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by Seaweed
                                          Thanks bear

                                          Football is a game of inches just like life

                                          Half a second late that bus has left

                                          Half a second too slow that girl is taken

                                          Half a second too long that pizza is burnt

                                          Every point matters and is factored into my methodology

                                          Good lick bear
                                          thats hilarious about the pizza!!!
                                          Comment
                                          • Renegades
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 10-12-11
                                            • 5290

                                            #22
                                            Lang has the over. Gulp
                                            Comment
                                            • eddycash
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 11-06-13
                                              • 4529

                                              #23
                                              if u want the under, u should take 1st half under 27.5
                                              Comment
                                              • lividrat
                                                SBR High Roller
                                                • 08-10-13
                                                • 121

                                                #24
                                                Why don't you guys watch the first few possessions and lie bet the over, if they don't score you can get a great value if they score the live total will pretty much be the same
                                                Comment
                                                • CWD
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 01-22-12
                                                  • 7665

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by Seaweed
                                                  Eagles are missing two starting linemen. Expect lots of pressure on the qb. 82 percent of vegas public is on over. That is a warning sign. Following a loss, Colts are 14-2 against a winning side, but the under has hit 67 percent of time. If this wasnt a primetime game would be different story. Look for Eaglea to establish the run and chew clock with long possessions
                                                  chip kelly = ball control and long possessions
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Twisted_One
                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                    • 08-24-10
                                                    • 301

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by CWD
                                                    chip kelly = ball control and long possessions
                                                    LONG Possessions?!?!?!
                                                    Comment
                                                    • IllyPhilly[DOC]
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 07-18-10
                                                      • 2512

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by Seaweed
                                                      Eagles are missing two starting linemen. Expect lots of pressure on the qb. 82 percent of vegas public is on over. That is a warning sign. Following a loss, Colts are 14-2 against a winning side, but the under has hit 67 percent of time. If this wasnt a primetime game would be different story. Look for Eaglea to establish the run and chew clock with long possessions
                                                      Since when do the eagles eat up clock? Maybe in the last minutes if they have a lead... chip Kelly offense is the fastest pace in the league.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • kfranz31
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 02-09-10
                                                        • 1186

                                                        #28
                                                        this should be a lock
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Seaweed
                                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                          • 01-19-12
                                                          • 26318

                                                          #29
                                                          Good luck to gentlemen i have spoken enough
                                                          Comment
                                                          • paco
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 05-07-09
                                                            • 62873

                                                            #30
                                                            Good thing u took under 52.5 when under is sitting close to 54.5-55 now.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • paco
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 05-07-09
                                                              • 62873

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by jjgold
                                                              Great nfl picks
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Big Bear
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 11-01-11
                                                                • 43253

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by paco
                                                                Good thing u took under 52.5 when under is sitting close to 54.5-55 now.
                                                                damn Paco came in with the donkey punch on seaweed.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Hot Jerry
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 08-16-13
                                                                  • 5545

                                                                  #33
                                                                  IF I was betting this game I would have to go with INDY !! O/U no opinion !!
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Tobit
                                                                    SBR Rookie
                                                                    • 12-03-13
                                                                    • 48

                                                                    #34
                                                                    I don't see how this goes under. Both teams are all O, and no D. The only team with a running game 'runs' it in a constant hurry up! Indianapolis might try to start slow, but as soon as Philly starts scoring (and they will) Andrew Luck will start airing it out to keep his team in the game.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Jdizzle315
                                                                      SBR Hustler
                                                                      • 11-03-13
                                                                      • 76

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Why is line going down in public favor 75 percent on colts and line is dropping? Either were getting a gift or setting us up to get cornholed big time
                                                                      Comment
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