Michigan +4.5 VS Notre Dame - I Just Don't See Michigan Losing This One

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  • jjgold
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 07-20-05
    • 388179

    #36
    How is Va Tech this year??

    Any projections??
    Comment
    • Eddy Munny
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 08-13-13
      • 15768

      #37
      Originally posted by TheMoneyShot
      In other news.... my 2nd best play is Virginia Tech +11.5 VS Ohio State. You're giving Frank Beamer time to figure out some defensive schemes against this young QB. That's all I needed to know. Take the points... and it should be a close game down to the wire.
      ...
      Comment
      • Eddy Munny
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 08-13-13
        • 15768

        #38
        Originally posted by TheMoneyShot
        In other news.... my 2nd best play is Virginia Tech +11.5 VS Ohio State. You're giving Frank Beamer time to figure out some defensive schemes against this young QB. That's all I needed to know. Take the points... and it should be a close game down to the wire.
        Love this game MS. I'm not really sold on the Michigan/Notre Dame affair as offering great betting value either way, but VaTech getting 11 points in a game they've been preparing for all off-season is a major slip up by the oddsmakers imo. I'm siding with Wild Turkey in this one.
        Comment
        • Da Manster!
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 07-13-07
          • 17720

          #39
          I love Va Tech and the points as well in this game...I've got them on my teaser card....Frank Beamer should have the Hokies at or near the top of the ACC again this year after a couple of hiccup years...No Braxton Miller also helps the cause.
          Comment
          • TheMoneyShot
            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
            • 02-14-07
            • 28672

            #40
            Michigan VS Notre Dame Now -3.5 Fuk me.
            Comment
            • TheMoneyShot
              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
              • 02-14-07
              • 28672

              #41
              Line is scaring me a bit. Wynn opens at -6 Notre Dame. Offshore goes to Notre Dame -3.5

              Something isn't right here. Notre Dame might be the play. Wasn't expecting this kind of line movement. Vegas way too smart with a high line on this game. Lucky I didn't place the wager yet. Man... I was going to put my house on Michigan + the points too. I was way more confident in this game than Virginia Tech +11.5

              Oh well... do I just back away now? Hmmmmm

              This is definitely one of those games... you learn from "line movement" wise. Pay close attention.
              Comment
              • TwoWays
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 03-24-10
                • 13145

                #42
                Monyer, who we kidding. U created this thread to get a better line on Notre dame
                Comment
                • Da Manster!
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 07-13-07
                  • 17720

                  #43
                  Originally posted by TheMoneyShot
                  Line is scaring me a bit. Wynn opens at -6 Notre Dame. Offshore goes to Notre Dame -3.5

                  Something isn't right here. Notre Dame might be the play. Wasn't expecting this kind of line movement. Vegas way too smart with a high line on this game. Lucky I didn't place the wager yet. Man... I was going to put my house on Michigan + the points too. I was way more confident in this game than Virginia Tech +11.5

                  Oh well... do I just back away now? Hmmmmm

                  This is definitely one of those games... you learn from "line movement" wise. Pay close attention.
                  I'm not too sure about that moneyshot...seems like a lot of people are indeed on Michigan...probably because ND still has some key players out for this game and also probably because they feel the Irish are overrated and overhyped by both media and polls alike every year...both teams were impressive last week and this rivalry has been hard fought and tightly contested the last several years or so...not hard to see why lots of gamblers (myself included) jumped on the Maize and Blue at +4.5!......take dem points in a game of this nature and magnitude!...
                  Comment
                  • SamDiamond
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 10-19-12
                    • 6107

                    #44
                    Originally posted by TheMoneyShot
                    Line is scaring me a bit. Wynn opens at -6 Notre Dame. Offshore goes to Notre Dame -3.5

                    Something isn't right here. Notre Dame might be the play. Wasn't expecting this kind of line movement. Vegas way too smart with a high line on this game. Lucky I didn't place the wager yet. Man... I was going to put my house on Michigan + the points too. I was way more confident in this game than Virginia Tech +11.5

                    Oh well... do I just back away now? Hmmmmm

                    This is definitely one of those games... you learn from "line movement" wise. Pay close attention.
                    THIS.

                    Great post. I think ND is the play. Large too.

                    I keep going back to the type of teams that give Michigan fits......teams that spread them out and have athletic QBs. That's ND. Think about what KState did to Michigan in the bowl game last year. Spread 'em out with an athletic QB, and get them in space.

                    I think ND wins this one by 10-14 comfortably.
                    Comment
                    • McCarthyFam
                      SBR MVP
                      • 07-06-11
                      • 1700

                      #45
                      Not only did ND drop michigan from their schedule, but they announced yesterday that they're replacing them with Ohio St. Talk about adding salt to the wound. Why not wait till after the game to announce this.

                      Dumb on their part. Michigan will have this in the back of their minds.
                      Comment
                      • BIGDAY
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 02-17-10
                        • 48245

                        #46
                        MoneyShot, some advise..

                        If it's a winner, pound the fukker.


                        Pound the winners.
                        Comment
                        • JAKEPEAVY21
                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                          • 03-11-11
                          • 29331

                          #47
                          Originally posted by McCarthyFam
                          Not only did ND drop michigan from their schedule, but they announced yesterday that they're replacing them with Ohio St. Talk about adding salt to the wound. Why not wait till after the game to announce this.

                          Dumb on their part. Michigan will have this in the back of their minds.
                          likely won't matter michigan gingy..fat boy Hoke and Gardner will find a way to lose.
                          Comment
                          • McCarthyFam
                            SBR MVP
                            • 07-06-11
                            • 1700

                            #48
                            Home team has won last 3 games.

                            Gholston took this team to a nation championship.

                            It's a no play for me. Over if anything.

                            Rooting for Big Blue though!
                            Comment
                            • buddha
                              SBR Sharp
                              • 09-03-10
                              • 480

                              #49
                              Just a small play on this, if any. I applaud the guys, girls who try to win one here. Brady Hoke’s career road record sucks hind tit through basically all of it...Ball State San Diego State, Wichita fukken State I don't know but what I do know is If he loses this game here he is gonna feel alot worse than if he'd won it. And so will many Michigan fans. Hoke wants this game. And he's gonna demand it of his players. To paraphrase a wise sounding bettor: "Hoke followed up an 11-2 start with a 16-11 wipeout (in some MI fan's eyes) and Michigan is 2-12 ATS away versus non-Big 10 competitors so, you know, thats freaky.

                              Notre Dame has TWO SU victories in the last eight matchups between these two and Notre Dame is 4-11-1 ATS as home favorite off a home game."

                              Jeez, both teams suck in this spot. What is a man to do?

                              Michigan + the points if I had to do anything with it. Notre Dame Moneyline maybe on some fool ass parlay to try to middle it which I'd probably lose because I actually think Michigan wins the game.

                              If you know what to do with this game I salute you. It'll be a great game. One for the annals I'm willing to wager.

                              I disagree with another poster above that the announcement of the end of this series until 2020 should have come after this match up. Saying it before just adds to this game.

                              Brady Hoke has to bring his guys and win this one. Theres no other real option for him and deep down inside I think we can all be honest enough to say that most of us think Michigan is gonna win the game. Maybe on the last play of the game. Which ever side you bet on you know that you're gonna see a great game.

                              Points are running away though. From Michigan. MI+5.5 open to now +3.5 with public crazies angsting out and jumping. Hopefully the line gets better close to gametime.

                              "In Game Two(2)s off a season Michigan 4-1 ATS compared to Notre Dame’s 0-5 ATS failure. Wolves’ 6-1
                              ATS dog record in games off a double-digit spread win."
                              Comment
                              • TwoWays
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 03-24-10
                                • 13145

                                #50
                                money, you crafty SOB! this may be the way to go. start a thread and tout to get a better line. then hammer the opposing side.
                                Comment
                                • jjgold
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 07-20-05
                                  • 388179

                                  #51
                                  what a mismatch

                                  Mich we learned are pretenders
                                  Comment
                                  • BIGDAY
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 02-17-10
                                    • 48245

                                    #52
                                    BigBlue got their sh!t pushed in.
                                    Comment
                                    • navyblue81
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 11-29-13
                                      • 4143

                                      #53
                                      Like I said earlier in this thread, I don't understand what people saw in Michigan. They're not ranked for a reason, and Notre Dame is a lot better than people think. Golson can play.
                                      Comment
                                      • pavyracer
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 04-12-07
                                        • 82840

                                        #54
                                        Has a team ever not lose a game without scoring?
                                        Comment
                                        • k13
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 07-16-10
                                          • 18104

                                          #55
                                          Public loving dogs ends in the same story.
                                          ND fade love is funny
                                          Comment
                                          • Sacamano
                                            SBR High Roller
                                            • 11-13-11
                                            • 227

                                            #56
                                            The University of Notre Dame commercial was mad psychedelic.!
                                            Comment
                                            • MoMoneyMoVaughn
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 05-08-14
                                              • 14988

                                              #57
                                              Need these rooster rats to keep it under here...
                                              Comment
                                              • Sacamano
                                                SBR High Roller
                                                • 11-13-11
                                                • 227

                                                #58
                                                What an end to the game!
                                                Comment
                                                • TheMoneyShot
                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                  • 02-14-07
                                                  • 28672

                                                  #59
                                                  The Wynn -6 ND... they knew what was up. Everyone pounding Michigan +6. +5.5, +5, +4.5, +4, +3.5 Unreal.

                                                  Another lesson learned.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • MoneyLineDawg
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 01-01-09
                                                    • 13253

                                                    #60
                                                    Originally posted by k13
                                                    Public loving dogs ends in the same story.
                                                    ND fade love is funny
                                                    Only big public dog that I can think of off the top of my head that actually won/covered was Ravens beating the Pats in the playoffs a few years ago

                                                    It's insane how big public dogs lose at such a high clip

                                                    You could probably make a living off of just strictly fading them if you had the discipline/bankroll
                                                    Comment
                                                    • JAKEPEAVY21
                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                      • 03-11-11
                                                      • 29331

                                                      #61
                                                      Originally posted by McCarthyFam
                                                      Home team has won last 3 games.

                                                      Gholston took this team to a nation championship.

                                                      It's a no play for me. Over if anything.

                                                      Rooting for Big Blue though!
                                                      Did Michigan know they had a game last night?

                                                      Just like I said, Gholson is much improved and Michigan sucks balls...
                                                      Comment
                                                      • navyblue81
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 11-29-13
                                                        • 4143

                                                        #62
                                                        Originally posted by Big Bear
                                                        Notre Shame is outclassed here fellas.
                                                        Nice call
                                                        Comment
                                                        • roryforpresident
                                                          SBR Rookie
                                                          • 09-01-14
                                                          • 11

                                                          #63
                                                          Originally posted by Big Bear
                                                          I was wrong they didn't win by 7 but by 31.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Bostongambler
                                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                            • 02-01-08
                                                            • 35581

                                                            #64
                                                            Wow... What now moneyshot?
                                                            Comment
                                                            • pavyracer
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 04-12-07
                                                              • 82840

                                                              #65
                                                              Has anyone ever at SBR predicted a team to win a game and they didn't score any points? This is getting into Broke Lenders territory.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • texhooper
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 01-05-09
                                                                • 10001

                                                                #66
                                                                Originally posted by Da Manster!
                                                                I thought about taking the Maize and Blue, however it's still too early in the season to predict how these teams are going to do...no team looks as good as they did in week 1 and conversely, no team looks as bad as they did in week 1...therefore I took the much safer route and took Michigan (+17.5) in my 13 pt teaser!.......Heritage gives the best odds on 13 pointers over other books and that is why I take advantage of them...
                                                                yeesh...that's tough.
                                                                Comment
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