I'm rocking the over 6.5 total in tonight's Braves/Nats tilt

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  • stevenash
    Moderator
    • 01-17-11
    • 65724

    #1
    I'm rocking the over 6.5 total in tonight's Braves/Nats tilt
    Here are the reasons.
    Nats croak LHP
    I'll take the easy way out and just post the LHP spliits

    Get the full batting stats for the 2025 Regular Season Washington Nationals on ESPN. Includes team leaders in batting average, RBIs and home runs.


    This is a team that hurts LHP

    In the Braves dugout, Upton (the good one) also hurts LHP.
    Freeman has no problem either.
    Here's my problem, Heyward is God awful against LHP. Hits a buck fitty-five.
    Can't touch it.
    Gattis murders LHP, hits .396.
    Gattis can play OF some, yet Gonzo sits Gattis tonight, lets Laird catch.
    Hey Fredi, here's a novel idea, sacrifice some defense, put Gattis in the OF, sit Heywards ass.
    Or....
    Sit Laird, put Gattis behind the plate.

    But I digress, and I'll wrap this up.

    Both lefties are good, but hittable, this is not Sale v. Kershaw here.
    It's Wood against Gonzalez.


    I think this game goes 5-4.
    Over 6.5 3*

    On paper, the Nats, with the better starter and LHP lineup looks like the side to bet.
    But this is Sunday night baseball, I can't stand the Nats, but they are the play numbers wise.
    I may play the Nats small, but love the over here.

    3-3 after nine is a win.

    Good luck fellas.
  • Chi_archie
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 07-22-08
    • 63172

    #2
    ATLANTA BRAVES CAREER STATISTICS VS. GIO GONZALEZ
    BATTER AB H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO AVG OBP SLG OPS
    Freddie Freeman 21 6 2 0 2 9 0 6 .286 .320 .667 .987
    Evan Gattis 14 4 2 0 0 5 1 2 .286 .333 .429 .762
    Gerald Laird 8 0 0 0 0 0 2 3 .000 .200 .000 .200
    Comment
    • Chi_archie
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 07-22-08
      • 63172

      #3
      great write up Nasher!
      Comment
      • stevenash
        Moderator
        • 01-17-11
        • 65724

        #4
        Originally posted by Chi_archie
        ATLANTA BRAVES CAREER STATISTICS VS. GIO GONZALEZ
        BATTER AB H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO AVG OBP SLG OPS
        Freddie Freeman 21 6 2 0 2 9 0 6 .286 .320 .667 .987
        Evan Gattis 14 4 2 0 0 5 1 2 .286 .333 .429 .762
        Gerald Laird 8 0 0 0 0 0 2 3 .000 .200 .000 .200
        I look at the big picture as well as bvp

        Laird 0-8, yet sits Gattis.
        Head scratcher
        Comment
        • stevenash
          Moderator
          • 01-17-11
          • 65724

          #5
          Originally posted by Chi_archie
          great write up Nasher!
          t/y sir
          Comment
          • No coincidences
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 01-18-10
            • 76300

            #6
            Really don't like Pinnacle offering a +117 on the ATL TT over 3.5 when most books are at -110, nasher. Strange, given Gio's a headcase against the Bravos.
            Comment
            • JMon
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 12-11-09
              • 9800

              #7
              I lean under, but is auto no play on the total. Imo. bol
              Comment
              • stevenash
                Moderator
                • 01-17-11
                • 65724

                #8
                Originally posted by JMon
                I lean under, but is auto no play on the total. Imo. bol
                One can make a case for the under.

                Not a slam dunk, on paper my Reds parlay looked good too.
                That went belly up
                Comment
                • Chi_archie
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 07-22-08
                  • 63172

                  #9
                  who is the HP ump?
                  Comment
                  • TonyTall
                    SBR MVP
                    • 08-21-13
                    • 3551

                    #10
                    phil cuzzi

                    usually a bigger k-zone
                    Comment
                    • TonyTall
                      SBR MVP
                      • 08-21-13
                      • 3551

                      #11
                      this game has in-game bet written all over it
                      Comment
                      • forthewin
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 06-15-12
                        • 561

                        #12
                        Originally posted by stevenash
                        I look at the big picture as well as bvp

                        Laird 0-8, yet sits Gattis.
                        Head scratcher
                        Gattis is .190 in the last seven days. The Over should still be good with Bonifacio (.403 vs. lefties) leading off in the lineup tonight over B.J.
                        Comment
                        • BIGDAY
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 02-17-10
                          • 48245

                          #13
                          Nats at +money is obvious play tonight.
                          Comment
                          • Kermit
                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                            • 09-27-10
                            • 32555

                            #14
                            I got a bill on the over tonight myself.
                            Comment
                            • innovation
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 01-27-12
                              • 6218

                              #15
                              SP were catching z's last night

                              batters sleepwalking tonight
                              Comment
                              • AceChampion
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 07-19-14
                                • 832

                                #16
                                2 runs off kimbrel too much to ask here?
                                Comment
                                • No coincidences
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 01-18-10
                                  • 76300

                                  #17
                                  In the end, Nats always gon' Nat.
                                  Comment
                                  • Emancipator
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 04-12-13
                                    • 788

                                    #18
                                    22 base runners, but only 4 runs. Play it a 100 times over I'd say you would be in black. Better luck next time.
                                    Comment
                                    • KRIT
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 01-11-14
                                      • 12878

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by AceChampion
                                      2 runs off kimbrel too much to ask here?
                                      Asking a hit or walk off him in an inning is asking too much. Guy is lights out.
                                      Comment
                                      • TonyTall
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 08-21-13
                                        • 3551

                                        #20
                                        putting it into play against kimbrel is about all he will allow
                                        Comment
                                        • jjgold
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 07-20-05
                                          • 388179

                                          #21
                                          Nashi slow down before you lose all your money before football

                                          I worry about you and your baseball handicapping

                                          You're trying to build a bankroll by forcing bets

                                          We all know nobody can hit in the major leagues anymore
                                          Comment
                                          • tokio
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 03-30-10
                                            • 2150

                                            #22
                                            Being at the game live really showed me how bad Braves offense was, no good hitters. Nats lineup today was also shiit.
                                            Comment
                                            • BennyBigNuts
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 04-16-12
                                              • 8700

                                              #23
                                              Good call Slick.
                                              Comment
                                              • GIVEMETHEMONEY
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 12-13-12
                                                • 8428

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by stevenash
                                                Here are the reasons.
                                                Nats croak LHP
                                                I'll take the easy way out and just post the LHP spliits

                                                Get the full batting stats for the 2025 Regular Season Washington Nationals on ESPN. Includes team leaders in batting average, RBIs and home runs.


                                                This is a team that hurts LHP

                                                In the Braves dugout, Upton (the good one) also hurts LHP.
                                                Freeman has no problem either.
                                                Here's my problem, Heyward is God awful against LHP. Hits a buck fitty-five.
                                                Can't touch it.
                                                Gattis murders LHP, hits .396.
                                                Gattis can play OF some, yet Gonzo sits Gattis tonight, lets Laird catch.
                                                Hey Fredi, here's a novel idea, sacrifice some defense, put Gattis in the OF, sit Heywards ass.
                                                Or....
                                                Sit Laird, put Gattis behind the plate.

                                                But I digress, and I'll wrap this up.

                                                Both lefties are good, but hittable, this is not Sale v. Kershaw here.
                                                It's Wood against Gonzalez.


                                                I think this game goes 5-4.
                                                Over 6.5 3*

                                                On paper, the Nats, with the better starter and LHP lineup looks like the side to bet.
                                                But this is Sunday night baseball, I can't stand the Nats, but they are the play numbers wise.
                                                I may play the Nats small, but love the over here.

                                                3-3 after nine is a win.

                                                Good luck fellas.
                                                Great right up Mr. Nash!! I tend to agree with you. I watched that game and I had the over last night. They left so many men on base it was freaking pathetic.
                                                Comment
                                                • stevenash
                                                  Moderator
                                                  • 01-17-11
                                                  • 65724

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by BennyBigNuts
                                                  Good call Slick.
                                                  At least I'm not going down on chalky square public plays slick, dime to my dollar little boy.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • stevenash
                                                    Moderator
                                                    • 01-17-11
                                                    • 65724

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by GIVEMETHEMONEY
                                                    Great right up Mr. Nash!! I tend to agree with you. I watched that game and I had the over last night. They left so many men on base it was freaking pathetic.
                                                    I know, 22 base runners, can't get me 3 more runs.
                                                    Yeesh.
                                                    What ya going to do, still plus this year, not a lot, but we are in the black.
                                                    Comment
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