What to do with the Red Sox and Peavy tonight?

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  • stevenash
    Moderator
    • 01-17-11
    • 65700

    #1
    What to do with the Red Sox and Peavy tonight?
    On paper, after handicapping this game, Sox are the logical play here.

    But games are played on the field, not on paper, on paper yesterday, Yanks were the logical play, until the kid pitcher threw three balls over the first baseman's head, two of them underhanded yet.

    Blue Jays are stumbling, losing six of their last ten, Sox closing like a freight train, hitting the snot out of the rawhide, winning 8 of their last 10, last five in a row. Crash Davis, a player on a streak has to respect the streak, right? "Bull Durham" and all that.

    I know some of you like Happ, but he's a left handed meatball, with a 5 ERA (4.91) and a WH/IP ratio of over a buck and half (1.55) Angus hamburger.

    Brock Holt is playing fantastic hardball all year abd has been murdering LHP as well. .339, 12 doubles in 112 LHP AB's Victorino is back, healthy and he kills LHP. Napoli too, even the jackass Gomes, and Gomes has hurt Happ in the past too. Pedroia is only .250 v. LHP but .400 off of Happ.

    Boston is trotting out Jake (from State Farm) Peavy.
    We all know about his 1-8 record, and loser of 8 straight (actually six, two losses were of the ND variety) however, his last three starts are what they call 'quality' starts, 3 or less ER in six or more IP's.
    And I do like his K ratio too.

    Breaking this game down further, Melke is 6/14 off of Jake (from State Farm) OK. OK, I'll let that die, 5 of those hits are singles 1 double. Jose Reyes, nothing much, the Peavy slayer in their line up is Adam Lind, and he's DL'ed, along with Encarncion, he's DL'ed, the Jay offense is pretty much Joey Bats, and if you keep breaking this down, Bautista hasn't really done anything in the past 6 weeks. Only 3 dingers, and they were solo homers, and those three times I suppose the pitcher said, "OK, nobody on, instead of walking you, clogging the bases, I'll pitch to you, if I get you out, great, if not, so be it, solo homer, big deal"

    OK, here's the thing, Peavy is the better starter, Sox are the hotter team, ever since they got rid of PoS AJP, all they seem to do is win. Sox without AJP, and Victorino back against a decimated Jay lineup is the play.

    Do you get greedy, take the road team give up a run, and take the +135, or do you bet it straight up at -120?

    I'm betting the game, I'm betting the Sox, I just don't how yet.
  • boeing power
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 03-23-10
    • 9698

    #2
    -1 nasher

    and build it yourself, it's better odds.
    Comment
    • Monitor-Tan
      SBR MVP
      • 02-20-11
      • 4460

      #3
      ^^

      Take the -1, and calculate it yourself as you'll save a few cents.
      Comment
      • BeanTownClown88
        SBR MVP
        • 08-08-13
        • 1961

        #4
        Jake from State Farm gets the win tonight! Offense is rockin and rollin, Toronto is in big trouble..Sox move into second place by 8/1
        Comment
        • stevenash
          Moderator
          • 01-17-11
          • 65700

          #5
          Originally posted by boeing power
          -1 nasher

          and build it yourself, it's better odds.
          Parlay with Wain-O also.

          Wain-O is gonna make Rays his personal meat puppets tonight, but I ain't laying no -150
          And why is Wain-O only -150 when he should be -180 in this spot?
          Odorizi got some game, but he's not all that. Rays offense is boring. Only 150? I don't like the looks of that.

          And Holy fuk! Zimmerman and the Nats are 2:1 on the road in Denver.
          Holy juice Batman
          Comment
          • ZIPPER HEAD
            SBR MVP
            • 10-17-13
            • 2592

            #6
            Take the m/l Nash . Don't go getting brave giving up runs with boston.
            Comment
            • Monitor-Tan
              SBR MVP
              • 02-20-11
              • 4460

              #7
              Originally posted by stevenash
              Parlay with Wain-O also.

              Wain-O is gonna make Rays his personal meat puppets tonight, but I ain't laying no -150
              And why is Wain-O only -150 when he should be -180 in this spot?
              Odorizi got some game, but he's not all that. Rays offense is boring. Only 150? I don't like the looks of that.

              And Holy fuk! Zimmerman and the Nats are 2:1 on the road in Denver.
              Holy juice Batman
              I like Odor, I'm actually kind of high on him in the 2nd half, he's got pretty good stuff but a few things to work on. Cardinals bats haven't scared me to start the 2nd half of the season. I'd rather take Rays at +money then to lay on Waino.
              Comment
              • stevenash
                Moderator
                • 01-17-11
                • 65700

                #8
                ^
                yeah, I've moved off the Card game, to a no play.
                I'm looking hard at the Cubs, but it's the Cubs for the love of God.
                But the Cubbies should pistol whip that Stulz meatball
                Comment
                • stevenash
                  Moderator
                  • 01-17-11
                  • 65700

                  #9
                  Originally posted by stevenash
                  Parlay with Wain-O also.

                  Wain-O is gonna make Rays his personal meat puppets tonight, but I ain't laying no -150
                  And why is Wain-O only -150 when he should be -180 in this spot?
                  Odorizi got some game, but he's not all that. Rays offense is boring. Only 150? I don't like the looks of that.

                  And Holy fuk! Zimmerman and the Nats are 2:1 on the road in Denver.
                  Holy juice Batman
                  Here's the reason.


                  Adam Wainwright vs. <form class="js-goto" style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; outline: 0px; font-size: 12.727272033691406px; vertical-align: baseline; display: inline; background: transparent;"><select class="tablesm" style="border-color: rgb(207, 207, 207); font-size: 10px; padding: 2px; font-family: Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; background-color: rgb(231, 231, 231);"><option value="" style="color: rgb(34, 95, 178); padding: 0px 5px 0px 8px;">Select</option><option value="http://espn.go.com/mlb/player/batvspitch/_/id/5403/teamId/29/adam-wainwright" style="color: rgb(34, 95, 178); padding: 0px 5px 0px 8px;">Arizona</option><option value="http://espn.go.com/mlb/player/batvspitch/_/id/5403/teamId/15/adam-wainwright" style="color: rgb(34, 95, 178); padding: 0px 5px 0px 8px;">Atlanta</option><option value="http://espn.go.com/mlb/player/batvspitch/_/id/5403/teamId/1/adam-wainwright" style="color: rgb(34, 95, 178); padding: 0px 5px 0px 8px;">Baltimore</option><option value="http://espn.go.com/mlb/player/batvspitch/_/id/5403/teamId/2/adam-wainwright" style="color: rgb(34, 95, 178); padding: 0px 5px 0px 8px;">Boston</option><option value="http://espn.go.com/mlb/player/batvspitch/_/id/5403/teamId/16/adam-wainwright" style="color: rgb(34, 95, 178); padding: 0px 5px 0px 8px;">Chicago Cubs</option><option value="http://espn.go.com/mlb/player/batvspitch/_/id/5403/teamId/4/adam-wainwright" style="color: rgb(34, 95, 178); padding: 0px 5px 0px 8px;">Chicago Sox</option><option value="http://espn.go.com/mlb/player/batvspitch/_/id/5403/teamId/17/adam-wainwright" style="color: rgb(34, 95, 178); padding: 0px 5px 0px 8px;">Cincinnati</option><option value="http://espn.go.com/mlb/player/batvspitch/_/id/5403/teamId/5/adam-wainwright" style="color: rgb(34, 95, 178); padding: 0px 5px 0px 8px;">Cleveland</option><option value="http://espn.go.com/mlb/player/batvspitch/_/id/5403/teamId/27/adam-wainwright" style="color: rgb(34, 95, 178); padding: 0px 5px 0px 8px;">Colorado</option><option value="http://espn.go.com/mlb/player/batvspitch/_/id/5403/teamId/6/adam-wainwright" style="color: rgb(34, 95, 178); padding: 0px 5px 0px 8px;">Detroit</option><option value="http://espn.go.com/mlb/player/batvspitch/_/id/5403/teamId/18/adam-wainwright" style="color: rgb(34, 95, 178); padding: 0px 5px 0px 8px;">Houston</option><option value="http://espn.go.com/mlb/player/batvspitch/_/id/5403/teamId/7/adam-wainwright" style="color: rgb(34, 95, 178); padding: 0px 5px 0px 8px;">Kansas City</option><option value="http://espn.go.com/mlb/player/batvspitch/_/id/5403/teamId/3/adam-wainwright" style="color: rgb(34, 95, 178); padding: 0px 5px 0px 8px;">LA Angels</option><option value="http://espn.go.com/mlb/player/batvspitch/_/id/5403/teamId/19/adam-wainwright" style="color: rgb(34, 95, 178); padding: 0px 5px 0px 8px;">LA Dodgers</option><option value="http://espn.go.com/mlb/player/batvspitch/_/id/5403/teamId/28/adam-wainwright" style="color: rgb(34, 95, 178); padding: 0px 5px 0px 8px;">Miami</option><option value="http://espn.go.com/mlb/player/batvspitch/_/id/5403/teamId/8/adam-wainwright" style="color: rgb(34, 95, 178); padding: 0px 5px 0px 8px;">Milwaukee</option><option value="http://espn.go.com/mlb/player/batvspitch/_/id/5403/teamId/9/adam-wainwright" style="color: rgb(34, 95, 178); padding: 0px 5px 0px 8px;">Minnesota</option><option value="http://espn.go.com/mlb/player/batvspitch/_/id/5403/teamId/21/adam-wainwright" style="color: rgb(34, 95, 178); padding: 0px 5px 0px 8px;">NY Mets</option><option value="http://espn.go.com/mlb/player/batvspitch/_/id/5403/teamId/10/adam-wainwright" style="color: rgb(34, 95, 178); padding: 0px 5px 0px 8px;">NY Yankees</option><option value="http://espn.go.com/mlb/player/batvspitch/_/id/5403/teamId/11/adam-wainwright" style="color: rgb(34, 95, 178); padding: 0px 5px 0px 8px;">Oakland</option><option value="http://espn.go.com/mlb/player/batvspitch/_/id/5403/teamId/22/adam-wainwright" style="color: rgb(34, 95, 178); padding: 0px 5px 0px 8px;">Philadelphia</option><option value="http://espn.go.com/mlb/player/batvspitch/_/id/5403/teamId/23/adam-wainwright" style="color: rgb(34, 95, 178); padding: 0px 5px 0px 8px;">Pittsburgh</option><option value="http://espn.go.com/mlb/player/batvspitch/_/id/5403/teamId/25/adam-wainwright" style="color: rgb(34, 95, 178); padding: 0px 5px 0px 8px;">San Diego</option><option value="http://espn.go.com/mlb/player/batvspitch/_/id/5403/teamId/26/adam-wainwright" style="color: rgb(34, 95, 178); padding: 0px 5px 0px 8px;">San Francisco</option><option value="http://espn.go.com/mlb/player/batvspitch/_/id/5403/teamId/12/adam-wainwright" style="color: rgb(34, 95, 178); padding: 0px 5px 0px 8px;">Seattle</option><option value="http://espn.go.com/mlb/player/batvspitch/_/id/5403/teamId/24/adam-wainwright" style="color: rgb(34, 95, 178); padding: 0px 5px 0px 8px;">St. Louis</option><option value="http://espn.go.com/mlb/player/batvspitch/_/id/5403/teamId/30/adam-wainwright" selected="selected" style="color: rgb(34, 95, 178); padding: 0px 5px 0px 8px;">Tampa Bay</option><option value="http://espn.go.com/mlb/player/batvspitch/_/id/5403/teamId/13/adam-wainwright" style="color: rgb(34, 95, 178); padding: 0px 5px 0px 8px;">Texas</option><option value="http://espn.go.com/mlb/player/batvspitch/_/id/5403/teamId/14/adam-wainwright" style="color: rgb(34, 95, 178); padding: 0px 5px 0px 8px;">Toronto</option><option value="http://espn.go.com/mlb/player/batvspitch/_/id/5403/teamId/20/adam-wainwright" style="color: rgb(34, 95, 178); padding: 0px 5px 0px 8px;">Washington</option></select></form> - Next Start: 7/22 8:15 ET vs. TB
                  TAMPA BAY RAYS CAREER STATISTICS VS. ADAM WAINWRIGHT
                  BATTER AB H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO AVG OBP SLG OPS
                  David DeJesus 28 10 3 1 2 3 1 5 .357 .379 .750 1.129
                  Yunel Escobar 12 2 0 0 0 0 1 1 .167 .231 .167 .397
                  Logan Forsythe 9 2 1 0 0 2 0 0 .222 .222 .333 .556
                  Ryan Hanigan 13 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 .154 .154 .154 .308
                  Desmond Jennings 4 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 .250 .250 .250 .500
                  Matt Joyce 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 .000 .333 .000 .333
                  Kevin Kiermaier 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 .333 .333 .333 .667
                  James Loney 26 12 3 0 1 2 0 2 .462 .462 .692 1.154
                  Evan Longoria 5 2 0 0 0 1 1 1 .400 .500 .400 .900
                  Jose Molina 5 2 1 0 0 0 0 1 .400 .400 .600 1.000
                  Ben Zobrist 3 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 .333 .333 .667 1.000
                  Totals 110 35 9 1 3 9 4 13 .318 .342 .500 .842
                  Comment
                  • RollinDo
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 09-04-13
                    • 13322

                    #10
                    Not scared of that juice with Waino.
                    Actually played it at -170 and feel good about it.
                    Waino has been undervalued all year!
                    Take the -150 ML or
                    Parlay it with Nats.
                    Comment
                    • RollinDo
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 09-04-13
                      • 13322

                      #11
                      Under 9 in Toronto.
                      Comment
                      • LeaninBack916
                        SBR Sharp
                        • 09-27-13
                        • 378

                        #12
                        Peavy has cashed me out on each of my last 4 bets on the opposite team. This will be no exception.

                        Toronto ml
                        Comment
                        • Bostongambler
                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                          • 02-01-08
                          • 35581

                          #13
                          Riding the streaking team here. Sox
                          Comment
                          • Mike Huntertz
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 08-19-09
                            • 11207

                            #14
                            Nice stuff stevenash...gonna also try Hot hand BoSox
                            Comment
                            • I/O
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 05-26-11
                              • 7922

                              #15
                              Waino might still be kickin dirt over his All Star puke job.

                              Got Peavy in my 5 teamer. He'll get the W.
                              Comment
                              • You mad bro
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 01-15-12
                                • 16641

                                #16
                                sox shot there load last night

                                watch this game end 1-0
                                Comment
                                • Cuse0323
                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                  • 12-09-09
                                  • 30169

                                  #17
                                  Jake throwing well
                                  Comment
                                  • You mad bro
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 01-15-12
                                    • 16641

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by Cuse0323
                                    Jake throwing well
                                    so is happ you fukk

                                    who you on?
                                    Comment
                                    • remeedella
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 04-17-12
                                      • 4089

                                      #19
                                      shudda leaned that under, possible under 6.5 still good odds, a possible win
                                      Comment
                                      • Cuse0323
                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                        • 12-09-09
                                        • 30169

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by You mad bro
                                        so is happ you fukk

                                        who you on?
                                        Mushing the Sox RL for all
                                        Comment
                                        • leetreaper
                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                          • 10-23-10
                                          • 34841

                                          #21
                                          -1 on the road for 1-8 pitcher, love the discussion
                                          Comment
                                          • Cuse0323
                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                            • 12-09-09
                                            • 30169

                                            #22
                                            Dirty way to score a run, Peaver pissed.
                                            Comment
                                            • You mad bro
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 01-15-12
                                              • 16641

                                              #23
                                              cuse you jinx
                                              Comment
                                              • Cuse0323
                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                • 12-09-09
                                                • 30169

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by You mad bro
                                                cuse you jinx
                                                you know it, also got the Mariners later.
                                                Comment
                                                • Bostongambler
                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                  • 02-01-08
                                                  • 35581

                                                  #25
                                                  Nice double play right there. 3-6-1
                                                  Comment
                                                  • You mad bro
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 01-15-12
                                                    • 16641

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by Cuse0323
                                                    you know it, also got the Mariners later.
                                                    Scumbag
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Cappinpicks
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 03-11-10
                                                      • 14986

                                                      #27
                                                      Boston blows. They aint scoring fat sloppy too slow
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Cappinpicks
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 03-11-10
                                                        • 14986

                                                        #28
                                                        that 14 runs yesterday was like a month's worth for these loserssss
                                                        Comment
                                                        • You mad bro
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 01-15-12
                                                          • 16641

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by You mad bro
                                                          sox shot there load last night

                                                          watch this game end 1-0
                                                          Bingo
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Cappinpicks
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 03-11-10
                                                            • 14986

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by You mad bro
                                                            Bingo
                                                            lock home dogs always nice especially vs shitston blowsox u know they aint scoring pop ups galore from fat popi
                                                            Comment
                                                            • GotGreek
                                                              SBR Sharp
                                                              • 01-14-14
                                                              • 348

                                                              #31
                                                              red sox have been threatening just havnt had that rbi hit yet, but i think they score at least one before the game is done
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Cuse0323
                                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                • 12-09-09
                                                                • 30169

                                                                #32
                                                                2 on no outs, can't get shit. Drew blows. .170, how is this fool still in the league.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Cappinpicks
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 03-11-10
                                                                  • 14986

                                                                  #33
                                                                  2-0 ball game
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • You mad bro
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 01-15-12
                                                                    • 16641

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Lol Told you Boston blew their load
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Cappinpicks
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 03-11-10
                                                                      • 14986

                                                                      #35
                                                                      jake 1-9 now true winner
                                                                      Comment
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