If Hold a World Cup Futures Ticket.....

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  • Big Bear
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 11-01-11
    • 43253

    #1
    If Hold a World Cup Futures Ticket.....
    Do you hedge at the semi-Final stage and Final game?

    or do you just hedge only if its down to 2 teams....

    or do you let it ride?

    on one hand if your teams ends up winning and you hedge you pretty much shoot yourself in the foot....

    whats everybodys take? I guess if you got Holland +800 its a no brainer to hedge no?
  • Boner_18
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 08-24-08
    • 8301

    #2
    Maxing ROI would say let it ride. As a rec gambler I usually hedge a little profit (10%) and keep the rest as a wager.
    Comment
    • uvarunthetable
      SBR Sharp
      • 02-15-12
      • 416

      #3
      I still have a Germany future at 6/1 and a Netherlands future at 9/1, think I am just going to let em both ride (I hope they play each other in the final game)
      Comment
      • boeing power
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 03-23-10
        • 9698

        #4
        Originally posted by Big Bear
        Do you hedge at the semi-Final stage and Final game?

        or do you just hedge only if its down to 2 teams....

        or do you let it ride?

        on one hand if your teams ends up winning and you hedge you pretty much shoot yourself in the foot....

        whats everybodys take? I guess if you got Holland +800 its a no brainer to hedge no?
        You're a broke fukin loser with no bet on this so the point is moot.
        Comment
        • Vegas39
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 09-22-11
          • 30686

          #5
          Originally posted by boeing power
          You're a broke fukin loser with no bet on this so the point is moot.
          Comment
          • MoneyLineDawg
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 01-01-09
            • 13253

            #6
            All about your personal goals, bet amount compared to the wager, how much you like the given team in this game, etc

            Do whatever the fukk you want
            Comment
            • Pauulzcappin
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 04-23-10
              • 20295

              #7
              I have argentina at 112 to win 500

              gonna let it ride all the way probably
              Comment
              • JOHON8
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 01-28-10
                • 7712

                #8
                You can hedge whenever you want, the point is to find the best time to do it so that you receive the most value. The bigger question is how much actual money did you put on the future?
                Comment
                • TonyTall
                  SBR MVP
                  • 08-21-13
                  • 3551

                  #9
                  cant hedge here. any team can win this

                  holland-tired but lineup intact
                  argentina-missing aguero, angel
                  brasil-missing stars
                  germany-overrated

                  total crapshoot
                  Comment
                  • convick
                    SBR MVP
                    • 11-03-11
                    • 3954

                    #10
                    Thought you had Germany and Brazil. Now you got Holland too?

                    Just throw a few units on Argentina. Easy profit, one of the four cashes.
                    Comment
                    • boeing power
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 03-23-10
                      • 9698

                      #11
                      Originally posted by convick;22201183[B
                      Thought you had Germany and Brazil. Now you got Holland too?
                      Just throw a few units on Argentina. Easy profit, one of the four cashes.
                      Bear tells so many lies it's hard to keep track of them all.
                      Comment
                      • face
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 01-31-11
                        • 14740

                        #12
                        argentina/brazil wc would be great
                        have brazil +330 and argentina +490
                        doesn't seem like they'll win though, germany looks like the good team
                        Comment
                        • pavyracer
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 04-12-07
                          • 82839

                          #13
                          You let it ride until it loses.
                          Comment
                          • cala56
                            SBR MVP
                            • 02-25-10
                            • 4231

                            #14
                            100 to win 425 in 5dimes. (argentina)
                            Comment
                            • buddhamonk
                              SBR Rookie
                              • 07-02-14
                              • 30

                              #15
                              i hate to be the bear of bad news,

                              but there is absolutely 0 chance argentina wins this world cup

                              fifa would NEVER allow brazil's arch nemesis to win a world cup IN BRAZIL!!

                              think about it my dear friends
                              Comment
                              • Big Bear
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 11-01-11
                                • 43253

                                #16
                                Originally posted by buddhamonk
                                i hate to be the bear of bad news,

                                but there is absolutely 0 chance argentina wins this world cup

                                fifa would NEVER allow brazil's arch nemesis to win a world cup IN BRAZIL!!

                                think about it my dear friends
                                I agree Argentina has absolutely zero chance to win the World Cup but it's not b/c of FIFA not allowing it. That's crazy talk....

                                The reason is b/c they won't have
                                Di Maria or Aguero and the defense can't stop Holland's 3 headed monster.
                                Comment
                                • Chong Wizard
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 03-15-10
                                  • 1005

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by Big Bear
                                  I agree Argentina has absolutely zero chance to win the World Cup
                                  Well its official I guess Argentina is going to win the World Cup now... Thanks in advance Big Bear
                                  Comment
                                  • Big Bear
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 11-01-11
                                    • 43253

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by Chong Wizard
                                    Well its official I guess Argentina is going to win the World Cup now... Thanks in advance Big Bear
                                    no chance man the defense is suspect and Di Maria being out is a huge blow.
                                    Comment
                                    • Vegas39
                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                      • 09-22-11
                                      • 30686

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by Chong Wizard
                                      Well its official I guess Argentina is going to win the World Cup now... Thanks in advance Big Bear

                                      doesn't matter bear doesn't bet
                                      Comment
                                      • Cookie Monster
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 12-05-08
                                        • 2251

                                        #20
                                        The correct answer for a sharp player is not to hedge, unless the bet percentage of bankroll is too high (which a sharp would seldom do), or the hedge bet is +EV by itself.

                                        For a square, just hedge it all, so you are assured of a small win and feel smart.
                                        Comment
                                        • TheCentaur
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 06-28-11
                                          • 8108

                                          #21
                                          If you were going to hedge the final game why not just bet a team to make the final instead of win it?
                                          Comment
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