J.J.Bascus Power Rating 2014 Start Of NFL Season, 2013 NFL Team Power Rankings

uvarunthetable · 07-01-14, 12:37 AM

Yeah as a recreational gambler I am really lost here... what am I looking at? so this guy is saying that he uses advanced metrics such as points scored and points given up to model NFL games? does he have a PhD in statistics or something, it seems like that would be all but impossible to do?

Tony Williams · 07-01-14, 01:05 AM

/LOL/LOL

I/O · 07-01-14, 02:48 AM

Harry do you know Vito?

jjgold · 07-01-14, 05:43 AM

That shrimp is very cheap

Sorry I'll be there the week after

Good information year

We will archive it

Libanese · 07-01-14, 06:16 AM

These rankings suck.

They don't take coaching and emotional intangibles to account.

Dilo · 07-01-14, 08:07 AM

So, lower ratings mean good?

4TH AND STUPID · 07-01-14, 09:22 AM

this ranking is retarded. Carolina has no receivers and they are 3rd in the league . Arizona has a bum qb and they are 4th wtf. this is more like a defensive ranking not a team power ranking with the top 5 all being the best defensive teams. how is philly in the top 10, they are worse than they were last year, they will get lit up by their division friends Washington who are somehow near the bottom yet they have pierre garcon , desean Jackson, Jordan reed, rg3, etc. total waste of time

MR.HARRYtheHAT · 07-01-14, 10:04 AM

Originally posted by jjgold

That shrimp is very cheap

Sorry I'll be there the week after

Good information year

We will archive it

J.J. Iam not greedy just need'ee Ok see there the week after, I will take you to The Golden Steer Steakhouse is a restaurant where locals meet other special events. The Iconic Golden Steer Steakhouse is also known for our many famous and infamous customers like HarryTheHAT//LOL/LOL..The Golden Steer Steakhouse is a restaurant where locals meet other special events. The Iconic Golden Steer Steakhouse is also known for our many famous and infamous customers like HarryTheHAT//LOL/LOL...I will hook up with you at Caesars Palace Sports Book

uvarunthetable · 07-01-14, 10:17 AM

Originally posted by MR.HARRYtheHAT

J.J. Iam not greedy just need'ee Ok see there the week after, I will take you to The Golden Steer Steakhouse is a restaurant where locals meet other special events. The Iconic Golden Steer Steakhouse is also known for our many famous and infamous customers like HarryTheHAT//LOL/LOL..The Golden Steer Steakhouse is a restaurant where locals meet other special events. The Iconic Golden Steer Steakhouse is also known for our many famous and infamous customers like HarryTheHAT//LOL/LOL...I will hook up with you at Caesars Palace Sports Book

I think literally all you can do is copy and paste worthless stuff from other sites and put it in to a post that is riddled with grammatical errors and reads like a six year old mentally challenged kid's homework. Someone please saloon these stupid threads.

MR.HARRYtheHAT · 07-01-14, 11:24 AM

Here are generally two types of sports gamblers as previously stated in my past threads or posts. There are those who pick up the schedule and look at the point spreads for each game and say, "Eight points are too many, I'm betting the underdog," or there are those who will pick up the schedule and compare the point spreads to their own numbers and say, "This team is favored by eight points, yet I only have them winning by three, so I'll bet the underdog." Simply stated, power ratings are numbers that show the projected disparity between teams in points from a mathematical perspective. While the point spread has to factor in public opinion, power ratings do not, and for that reason alone, should be more accurate than the point spread more times than not. The fact that most successful sports bettors will most definitely fall into the second category, tells you all you need to know whether it's worth your time and effort to keep power ratings for football and basketball. A very important tool I use in betting the NFL& NBA. ITS YOUR CALL!!!!!!????

Mr.Hårr¥THëHÄT

MR.HARRYtheHAT · 07-01-14, 11:32 AM

Here are generally two types of sports gamblers as previously stated in my past thread or post. There are those who pick up the schedule and look at the point spreads for each game and say, "Eight points are too many, I'm betting the underdog," or there are those who will pick up the schedule and compare the point spreads to their own numbers and say, "This team is favored by eight points, yet I only have them winning by three, so I'll bet the underdog." Simply stated, power ratings are numbers that show the projected disparity between teams in points from a mathematical perspective. While the point spread has to factor in public opinion, power ratings do not, and for that reason alone, should be more accurate than the point spread more times than not. The fact that most successful sports bettors will most definitely fall into the second category, tells you all you need to know whether it's worth your time and effort to keep power ratings for football and basketball. A very important tool I use in betting the NFL& NBA. ITS YOUR CALL!!!!!!????

Mr.Hårr¥THëHÄT

MR.HARRYtheHAT · 07-01-14, 11:48 AM

~Explanation of Data Items -- Calculated with J.J.Bascus Power Rating Analysis~

To express a point "the model that factors in defense and offense statistics including points scored, points given up, win-loss record, and strength of games played and remaining as stated". I have over 300 people all over country on my NFL mailing list that been following me with posts on SBR sports forum over the years. that I sent a link. Lot of these folks are not members or do not write threads. They like site with discussions, information, videos and more. Some these folks bet with offshore books with SBR sports forum. So ladies & gentlemen of the jury [SBR members], so my posts are not just for SBR members. They also recognize the fact that this Is an open forum, so they expect lot's of irrelevant comments[ Unrelated]. that they have to weed out. However there some great members here with SBR sports forum that believe in sharing ideas and information on threads posted.

~Explanation of Data Items -- Calculated with J.J.Bascus Power Rating Analysis~

Linear Regression Power Ratings - Based upon a Linear Regression analysis of points scored and allowed (i.e. Margin of Victories and Defeats). Simply explained, the above Ratings reflect differences based upon the following: "If Team A beats Team B by 7, and Team C beats Team D by 13, and Team C beats Team A by 2, etc., how much better is Team A than Team D?" Thus the above Ratings attempt to compare all teams based upon who beats who and by how much. The Ratings tend to be more accurate as the season progresses.

Average Line Played Against Power Ratings - Uses a similar concept as the Linear Regression Power Ratings, but are based on the lines used by the linesmakers in all of a team's games. The more that a team is favored, the higher its Rating. These Ratings are a good tool in evaluating and assessing how the linesmaker views each team and can be used as a guide in making lines on upcoming games based upon the lines that have been made in prior games.

Average Result Versus Line Power Ratings - Uses the concept described above for Average Line Played Against Power Ratings, but does so from the perspective of how a team has performed relative to the point-spread. For example, a team that is favored by 7 points and wins by 10 points has exceeded the line by 3 points while their opponent has fallen short by 3 points. Similarly a 4 point underdog that wins the game straight up by 10 points has exceeded the line by 14 points and their opponent has fallen short by 14. These Ratings can used a measurement of over-achievement and under-achievement by each team.

NOTES: Each team's raw Rating is adjusted for their individual Home Field Advantage (HFA) by adding one-half of the HFA to their raw rating to determine their Home Rating and subtracting one-half of the HFA from their raw Rating to determine their Road (away) Rating.

Mr.Hårr¥THëHÄT

I also write for The Sports Asylum Consultants, LLC (SAC) is a professional sports handicapping firm in Vegas & other sports forums

PS.I am always open to constructive criticism of my Threads & Discussions!!! Its all about sharing ideas with SBR members & folks that read my thread on my mailing list. Thanks for reading my thread SBR members[ Very good luck to you all in NFL season.

uvarunthetable · 07-01-14, 11:53 AM

Well here is some constructive criticism-- Your posts are all but impossible to read and make my eyes burn, the information that you have in them is extremely basic and in many instances outdated, nothing in your "power rankings" or "models" will help anyone make any money from the NFL, and you act like you are some phenomenal NFL gambler when nothing you have posted indicates you have any idea what you are doing.

MR.HARRYtheHAT · 07-01-14, 12:00 PM

Originally posted by uvarunthetable

Well here is some constructive criticism-- Your posts are all but impossible to read and make my eyes burn, the information that you have in them is extremely basic and in many instances outdated, nothing in your "power rankings" or "models" will help anyone make any money from the NFL, and you act like you are some phenomenal NFL gambler when nothing you have posted indicates you have any idea what you are doing.

Thank you for your constructive criticism, sorry about the print, I use in my e-mails. Very good luck to you in NFL season on your bets.

d2bets · 07-01-14, 12:20 PM

Is this trying to guess who will be best against the spread or is this actually trying to tell us who the best teams will be for 2014? If it's the latter, then one can only

Rank	Team	G	Power	Pts-O	Yds-O	Pts-D	Yds-D	SOGP*	SOSR*	Wins
1	Seattle Seahawks	16	5.17	26.1	339	14.4	273.6	14.281	0	13
2	San Francisco 49ers	16	5.84	25.4	323.8	17	316.9	14.426	0	12
3	Carolina Panthers	16	8.41	22.9	316.8	15.1	301.3	14.089	0	12
4	Arizona Cardinals	16	11.34	23.7	346.4	20.3	317.4	13.694	0	10
5	Cincinnati Bengals	16	11.89	26.9	368.4	19.1	305.5	17.026	0	11
6	New Orleans Saints	16	12.25	25.9	399.4	19	305.7	13.842	0	11
7	New England Patriots	16	12.44	27.8	384.5	21.1	373.1	16.237	0	12
8	Denver Broncos	16	13.21	37.9	457.3	24.9	356	17.036	0	13
9	Philadelphia Eagles	16	14.08	27.6	417.3	23.9	394.2	16.523	0	10
10	St. Louis Rams	16	14.64	21.8	304.8	22.8	345	13.756	0	7
11	Indianapolis Colts	16	15.68	24.4	341.8	21	357.1	15.154	0	11
12	Kansas City Chiefs	16	16.04	26.9	337.3	19.1	367.8	17.97	0	11
13	San Diego Chargers	16	16.07	24.8	393.3	21.8	366.5	17.09	0	9
14	Detroit Lions	16	16.47	24.7	392.1	23.5	346.6	16.375	0	7
15	Green Bay Packers	16	16.69	26.1	400.3	26.8	372.3	16.163	0	8
16	New York Jets	16	17.58	18.1	318.1	24.2	334.9	16.203	0	8
17	Minnesota Vikings	16	18.04	24.4	344.3	30	397.8	15.248	0	5
18	Miami Dolphins	16	18.08	19.8	312.9	20.9	359.4	15.533	0	8
19	Chicago Bears	16	18.17	27.8	381.8	29.9	394.6	16.05	0	8
20	Baltimore Ravens	16	18.32	20	307.4	22	335.5	16.813	0	8
21	New York Giants	16	18.37	18.4	307.5	23.9	332.3	14.91	0	7
22	Tennessee Titans	16	18.56	22.6	336.9	23.8	337.9	15.502	0	7
23	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	16	18.71	18	277	24.3	348	13.005	0	4
24	Pittsburgh Steelers	16	18.73	23.7	337.5	23.1	337.2	16.493	0	8
25	Dallas Cowboys	16	19.32	27.4	341.3	27	415.3	15.998	0	8
26	Washington Redskins	16	20.08	20.9	369.7	29.9	354.1	15.656	0	3
27	Buffalo Bills	16	20.62	21.2	338.1	24.3	333.4	16.215	0	6
28	Atlanta Falcons	16	21.38	22.1	343.1	27.7	379.4	13.3	0	4
29	Houston Texans	16	21.55	17.3	347.3	26.8	317.6	14.968	0	2
30	Cleveland Browns	16	23.4	19.3	338.9	25.4	332.4	16.24	0	4
31	Oakland Raiders	16	23.4	20.1	333.8	28.3	363.7	16.746	0	4
32	Jacksonville Jaguars	16	26.55	15.4	293.8	28.1	379.4	15.352	0	4