Rafa v joker on sun morning french final again

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  • jjgold
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 07-20-05
    • 388179

    #106
    I am going to bet it live

    too close to call pre game
    Comment
    • Marillion
      SBR MVP
      • 01-06-14
      • 1453

      #107
      Nadal line keeps being pounded. Injury news anybody?
      Comment
      • MiDNiTe
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 11-11-13
        • 7684

        #108
        Before the semis i was hoping rafa would pound andy so the odds would be good for joker now bit worried but im just going with my gut and going for it with joker
        Comment
        • ItsMeMrMattE
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 08-30-10
          • 5294

          #109
          Originally posted by Marillion
          Nadal line keeps being pounded. Injury news anybody?
          there seems to be news of novak not in tip top shape for him to be able to win this, but i think its out there for a reason.
          Comment
          • Hardcoar
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 02-17-13
            • 15606

            #110
            Originally posted by frugalgambler
            Even better, he was @+170 before the QF. But I still think -120 is a decent price on Nadal in a RG final against anybody.
            It may well be, but my point still stands: Who the f*ck apart from a retard who knows nothing about prior odds would bet big on Rafa at negative odds???

            The only mitigating factor is that Novak's line reeks with trap.
            Comment
            • AceKingHigh
              SBR MVP
              • 10-23-09
              • 3888

              #111
              All those saying's are just BS right now...
              It's anyone game, Personally, I hope Rafa wins it.
              Comment
              • FoxMulder
                SBR MVP
                • 05-02-13
                • 1139

                #112
                my prediction is 3-2 but can't pull the trigger on who's going to win. safer for me to play over 4.5 sets
                Comment
                • oldscho0led
                  SBR MVP
                  • 01-18-11
                  • 1407

                  #113
                  Originally posted by FoxMulder
                  my prediction is 3-2 but can't pull the trigger on who's going to win. safer for me to play over 4.5 sets
                  lol why not Over 3.5 sets when it already gives good odds on this line?! You're risking too much on Over 4.5
                  Comment
                  • Hardcoar
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 02-17-13
                    • 15606

                    #114
                    Originally posted by AceKingHigh
                    All those saying's are just BS right now...
                    It's anyone game, Personally, I hope Rafa wins it.
                    Massive correction: If Novak is perfectly healthy, it truly is anyone's game.

                    If he's anywhere near as bothered as he was against Gulbis it's an easy sweep.
                    Comment
                    • jjgold
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 07-20-05
                      • 388179

                      #115
                      Only one edge Joker has is court intimidation

                      Nadal has that edge over everyone in the game but Novak

                      Nadal at times gets timid vs him and has cost him

                      only factor here
                      Comment
                      • Ontnr
                        SBR Hustler
                        • 03-02-12
                        • 75

                        #116
                        Originally posted by Hardcoar
                        It may well be, but my point still stands: Who the f*ck apart from a retard who knows nothing about prior odds would bet big on Rafa at negative odds???

                        The only mitigating factor is that Novak's line reeks with trap.
                        This sounds a helluva lot like letting irrevocable (alternative) costs influencing one's decision making...,

                        For sure, everyone with a brain who knows the prior odds, also knows that at this point there was a lot of value to be had with Rafa previously, compared to the current line, value which is now gone. It's like buying an ice cream..., if I got to the store and they just removed the sign saying 50% off for ice cream, then I just missed a lot of value. Shouldn't really influence my decision making as I was about to buy ice cream for regular price anyways...,

                        The only reasonable explanation is that this line is more efficient than the future based line, due to more information and time to let the market correct itself... Of course that's the conservative explanation, sometimes lines get less efficient, sometimes the market doesn't have good information, but yea gen speaking..

                        I don't get how it could be a trap? Is it like.. 2.30 sounds real good, while at the same it's actually a bad bet.., cause it's a trap. So really it should be higher, let's say 2.50. I mean... how can 2.30 be a trap cause it sounds too good, when the real implied odds actually sound even better? I will never get that..
                        Comment
                        • FoxMulder
                          SBR MVP
                          • 05-02-13
                          • 1139

                          #117
                          Originally posted by oldscho0led
                          lol why not Over 3.5 sets when it already gives good odds on this line?! You're risking too much on Over 4.5
                          line for over 3.5 is too low for my taste, I prefer trying to maximize my profit at a greater risk. will try over 4.5 medium stake, get a six pack, enjoy the match and try not to worry much about it if it holds, it holds.
                          Comment
                          • sbavi
                            SBR Hustler
                            • 05-09-13
                            • 99

                            #118
                            This is a pretty tricky match in my opinion.Went with a safe bet just for the sake of some action.

                            Djokovic to win a set @ 1.23

                            Stake = 520$
                            Comment
                            • poet
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 08-11-13
                              • 796

                              #119
                              Originally posted by GoBlue77
                              why was joker wearing a wrist wrap while playing chess with boris becker?? the pic is on twitter. interesting..
                              I think Djoker might be playing head games with Nadal, who keeps bringing up his back as a possible issue.
                              Comment
                              • Hardcoar
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 02-17-13
                                • 15606

                                #120
                                Originally posted by poet
                                I think Djoker might be playing head games with Nadal, who keeps bringing up his back as a possible issue.
                                So this is why he sucked his own ass from a straw against Gulbis!
                                Comment
                                • SirtySree
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 12-19-13
                                  • 2370

                                  #121
                                  Originally posted by poet
                                  I think Djoker might be playing head games with Nadal, who keeps bringing up his back as a possible issue.
                                  not playing head games wen Novak has been below par the whole tourney. only reason y im going with nadal wen ive backed novak past two times
                                  Comment
                                  • HOT WINGS
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 01-29-10
                                    • 8055

                                    #122
                                    Have to go Nadal here. Not sure how you go against him at this point.
                                    Comment
                                    • MiDNiTe
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 11-11-13
                                      • 7684

                                      #123
                                      Novak hasnt been playing below par all tourney he crushed jo and cilic just was iffy against gulbis
                                      Comment
                                      • w@lt
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 10-08-10
                                        • 2594

                                        #124
                                        I love the people who don't watch/follow/know anything about tennis, that drop in for a grand slam final and give their opinion.
                                        Comment
                                        • ItsMeMrMattE
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 08-30-10
                                          • 5294

                                          #125
                                          Originally posted by poet

                                          I think Djoker might be playing head games with Nadal, who keeps bringing up his back as a possible issue.


                                          less to do with nadal more to do with what it can do to the line imo.
                                          Comment
                                          • ItsMeMrMattE
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 08-30-10
                                            • 5294

                                            #126
                                            Originally posted by w@lt
                                            I love the people who don't watch/follow/know anything about tennis, that drop in for a grand slam final and give their opinion.
                                            who did you bet w@lt?
                                            Comment
                                            • Big Bear
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 11-01-11
                                              • 43253

                                              #127
                                              what time does it start and what channel?
                                              Comment
                                              • FoxMulder
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 05-02-13
                                                • 1139

                                                #128
                                                Well I couldnt resist taking Djokovic ML. over 4.5 and Djoker for me.
                                                Comment
                                                • ItsMeMrMattE
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 08-30-10
                                                  • 5294

                                                  #129
                                                  now nbc
                                                  Comment
                                                  • w@lt
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 10-08-10
                                                    • 2594

                                                    #130
                                                    Originally posted by ItsMeMrMattE
                                                    who did you bet w@lt?
                                                    Just a little on Nadal.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • ItsMeMrMattE
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 08-30-10
                                                      • 5294

                                                      #131
                                                      same here, but on novak.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • ItsMeMrMattE
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 08-30-10
                                                        • 5294

                                                        #132
                                                        who is gonna get the first break?
                                                        Comment
                                                        • GoBlue77
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 03-20-11
                                                          • 9166

                                                          #133
                                                          Live betting best route for this match for sure
                                                          Comment
                                                          • jjgold
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 07-20-05
                                                            • 388179

                                                            #134
                                                            early on Joker is slightly better

                                                            Better angles and deeper hitting
                                                            Comment
                                                            • makman
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 10-31-10
                                                              • 1019

                                                              #135
                                                              Nadal is defending good. but his balls are short. Djokovic has long balls. How long Nadal can run like a dog, i dont know, but sooner or later Joker will get the control of this final
                                                              Comment
                                                              • jjgold
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 07-20-05
                                                                • 388179

                                                                #136
                                                                Typical Joker/Nadal match

                                                                Joker always has him on the run
                                                                Comment
                                                                • MiDNiTe
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 11-11-13
                                                                  • 7684

                                                                  #137
                                                                  First blood joker aww yeahh cmon serve it out
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Steamroller
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 11-30-12
                                                                    • 1003

                                                                    #138
                                                                    Novak, Novak, Novak!!!!
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • ItsMeMrMattE
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 08-30-10
                                                                      • 5294

                                                                      #139
                                                                      lets go joker you need this first one.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • makman
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 10-31-10
                                                                        • 1019

                                                                        #140
                                                                        Novak is toying with Nadal, he will make him his bitch
                                                                        Comment
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