Is there anything more predictable than men's tennis?

[beefcake]

Tell this to all the people that threw Nishikori into their 10 teamers today...

[Hardcoar]

There is only one thing more predictable: People making retarded, redundant threads such as this.

[TheCentaur]

Tell this to all the people that threw Nishikori into their 10 teamers today...

Underdogs are 1 for 16 so far and you pick out the one and hold it up like a special booger you just dug out

[MickeyMan]

Good luck and congratulations on your anniversary

congrats!

[jjgold]

Is anyone pounding favorite parlays???

[homie1975]

Underdogs are 1 for 16 so far and you pick out the one and hold it up like a special booger you just dug out

you're not listening are you? you are cherrypicking the huge underdogs that occur in the first round. how about the dogs in the 3rd round, 4th round, quarters, semis, finals?

your statements and observations can apply to any sport where you are talking about -1300 or higher favorites.

name all of the underdogs who lost. they are all nobodies. i just looked at the list again.

(tennis fan since 1985 when boris becker at aged 17 romped through wimbledon)

[amolg24]

Is anyone pounding favorite parlays???

Yesterday was a much easier day for favorites parlays....1st round always the best

Still going at the favorites parlay nonetheless..

$150.00	$438.34	Pending	14 Team Parlay
				Pending	5/26/14 8:00am ATP Tennis 101 Rafael Nadal -11000* <small style="padding: 0px; margin: 0px;">vs</small> Robby Ginepri
				Pending	5/26/14 9:30am ATP Tennis 146 Kevin Anderson -285* <small style="padding: 0px; margin: 0px;">vs</small> Stephane Robert
				Cancelled	5/26/14 5:00am ATP Tennis 249 Albert Montanes -450* <small style="padding: 0px; margin: 0px;">vs</small> Kenny De Schepper
				Pending	5/26/14 6:30am ATP Tennis 274 Ernests Gulbis -1400* <small style="padding: 0px; margin: 0px;">vs</small> Lukasz Kubot
				Pending	5/26/14 6:30am ATP Tennis 306 Gilles Simon -910* <small style="padding: 0px; margin: 0px;">vs</small> Ante Pavic
				Pending	5/26/14 6:30am ATP Tennis 354 Novak Djokovic -10500* <small style="padding: 0px; margin: 0px;">vs</small> Joao Sousa
				Win	5/26/14 5:00am WTA Tennis 530 Sabine Lisicki -1750* <small style="padding: 0px; margin: 0px;">vs</small> Fiona Ferro
				Win	5/26/14 5:00am WTA Tennis 533 Dominika Cibulkova -800* <small style="padding: 0px; margin: 0px;">vs</small> Virginie Razzano
				Win	5/26/14 5:00am WTA Tennis 562 Maria Sharapova -2750* <small style="padding: 0px; margin: 0px;">vs</small> Ksenia Pervak
				Pending	5/26/14 6:30am WTA Tennis 610 Eugenie Bouchard -1600* <small style="padding: 0px; margin: 0px;">vs</small> Shahar Peer
				Pending	5/26/14 9:30am WTA Tennis 629 Petra Kvitova -650* <small style="padding: 0px; margin: 0px;">vs</small> Zarina Diyas
				Pending	5/26/14 9:30am WTA Tennis 642 Svetlana Kuznetsova -1250* <small style="padding: 0px; margin: 0px;">vs</small> Sofia Shapatava
				Pending	5/26/14 8:00am WTA Tennis 693 Jelena Jankovic -1265* <small style="padding: 0px; margin: 0px;">vs</small> Sharon Fichman
				Pending	5/26/14 8:00am WTA Tennis 741 Andrea Petkovic -880* <small style="padding: 0px; margin: 0px;">vs</small> Misaki Doi

[beefcake]

Underdogs are 1 for 16 so far and you pick out the one and hold it up like a special booger you just dug out

It was a HUGE booger though...

[Cappinpicks]

There is only one thing more predictable: People making retarded, redundant threads such as this.

so one winning underdog through 30 matches isnt worth noting? you might want to edit your post and change thread to ''my post''

[Plaza23]

Is anyone pounding favorite parlays???

Pending 8 Team Parlay
Win 5/26/14 8:00am ATP Tennis 101 Rafael Nadal -11000* vs Robby Ginepri
Pending 5/26/14 9:30am ATP Tennis 165 Stanislas Wawrinka -775* vs Guillermo Garcia-Lopez
Win 5/26/14 6:30am ATP Tennis 354 Novak Djokovic -10250* vs Joao Sousa
Win 5/26/14 5:00am WTA Tennis 562 Maria Sharapova -2750* vs Ksenia Pervak
Pending 5/26/14 9:30am WTA Tennis 629 Petra Kvitova -650* vs Zarina Diyas
Pending 5/26/14 8:00am WTA Tennis 693 Jelena Jankovic -1200* vs Sharon Fichman
Pending 5/27/14 5:00am WTA Tennis 690 Simona Halep -900* vs Alisa Kleybanova
Pending 5/27/14 5:00am WTA Tennis 754 Na Li -1800* vs Kristina Mladenovic

Pays out 10 to 7.53

[Vinnie Paz]

Wawrinka done

[bob6199]

In 2013,
Men's seeded players that lost in the 1st rd: 22,28,5,17,31
Women's seeded players that lost in the 1st rd: 25,23,22,28,24,30,11

In 2012,
Men's seeded that lost: 16,23,15,26,30
Women's seeded that lost: 5,17,32,12,30

In 2011,
Men's seeded that lost: 19,6,22,26,11
Women's seeded that lost:18,19,26,31,20,22

In 2010,
Men's seeded that lost: 23,27,21,26,18
Women's seeded that lost: 10,20,9

If you just bet the women's top 8 in the 1st round, you'd have a 39/40 chance of winning 97.5%. The only top 8 seed on the women's side to lose in the last 4 yrs was Serena Williams (at #5).

good job good effort, this is why past results mean nothing...

[TheCentaur]

you're not listening are you? you are cherrypicking the huge underdogs that occur in the first round. how about the dogs in the 3rd round, 4th round, quarters, semis, finals?

your statements and observations can apply to any sport where you are talking about -1300 or higher favorites.

Yes i am listening. I am counting all underdogs, including all the +110 and + 160s, etc.

Today there were a few upsets but taking all the favorites and just using Pinnacle line you would still be up about 2 units, 14 total for the first round

[Plaza23]

good job good effort, this is why past results mean nothing...

Seedings mean plenty.
If you can find something that pays 10 to 7.5 and have a 97.5% chance of winning - thats a great bet. 2.5% of the time you lose. it happens. Doesnt mean you ignore past data because an outlier in the present happens.

[TheCentaur]

I think a better way to go at it would be betting the parlay and round robins of 4s,5s,and 6s, something like that.

[Betfrog]

yes badminton

[homie1975]

Yes i am listening. I am counting all underdogs, including all the +110 and + 160s, etc.

Today there were a few upsets but taking all the favorites and just using Pinnacle line you would still be up about 2 units, 14 total for the first round

please list the underdogs who were +900 or better

[TheCentaur]

please list the underdogs who were +900 or better

holdme I hate homework

Yes there are some big dogs but the majority are +500 or less

[jjgold]

I wonder if you could say the same for -700 basketball or football favorites?

[TheCentaur]

I wonder if you could say the same for -700 basketball or football favorites?

Its not just big favorites its +110, +180, +215 etc.

[homie1975]

Centaur there are 4 times a yr that tennis players give max effort. U know those 4 times

[TheCentaur]

Posters keep saying it's early rounds, big underdogs, etc.

According to sbrodds page just using Pinnacle, if you bet all the men's favorites to win 1 unit in the 2013 French Open, you would have ended up +47.5 units

Through the 1st round of 2014 French Open with the same strategy you would be +14 units

I'm not saying expose yourself by laying 2500 to win 100

I think a bunch of parlays and round robins are a good strategy though

Tips appreciated

[TheCentaur]

Backtested 2012 French Open

Same strategy +23 units

[HeeeHAWWWW]

Roland Garros Favs last ten years: -1.2% RoI.

Bookies aren't stupid :-)

[jjgold]

The great players give Max effort every tournament that's why their great players

The ones that dog or subpar players the stats don't lie

Centaur there are 4 times a yr that tennis players give max effort. U know those 4 times

[Cappinpicks]

Womens tennis was WAY more predictable today, TWO big dogs with 80-700 rank spots better than their shitty loser opponets

[homie1975]

The great players give Max effort every tournament that's why their great players

The ones that dog or subpar players the stats don't lie

Coach u disagree even the top players oby give Max effort in slams. They might give almost their best effort in smaller tourneys but in slams they'll run down balls they won't do in smaller tourneys

[TheCentaur]

+12.5 units so far this French Open

[Cappinpicks]

isner was a lock wow, not even a surprise 5th set

[TheCentaur]

+9.5 units today

+22 units so far 2014 men's French Open

[bababooey13]

unreal.

[TheCentaur]

up 4 more units

[homie1975]

Very chalky for mens side centaur, its unusual on clay and grass. Not the norm .nice work dude but tread lightly with this angle going forward

[jjgold]

nice job

favs should be getting tighter now as we head into week 2

[pavyracer]

Yes there is. Who will advance in the round of 16 of soccer World Cup.