I had a good run going with posted plays, but that was a while back as I haven't posted shit in a long time. Who knows how this one turns out.
Tonight, I am rolling with Portland ATS. I got it at +7 but +6.5 also works.
Clearly I think the Blazers should bounce back in Game 2. Portland is a better team than what they showed on Tuesday and 7 points is way too many for the Trail Blazers to be getting in this spot.
In my opinion, it isn't ridiculous to think that Portland can't win this game outright. The Trail Blazers are too good of an offensive team to repeat their poor shooting from Game 1. (They shot Sub 40% and 25% respectively).
The biggest thing that stands out(aside from the trends/systems) is that they had 20 turnovers. That's a lot. They're easily better than that. Intensity was lacking. That leads me to my main concern, and that is the fact that they also lacked intensity on the defensive end. This is Game 1 against the Spurs in the NBA Playoffs, if they couldn't bring intensity then, when will they?
Anyway, there are two Key trends here, both STRONGLY suggesting Portland. The first one is 39-12 ATS since 1996. Which is a better than 75% hit rate. The main trend I love, is at 0-22-1 ATS in the last 23 seasons. (or 22-0-1 ATS assuming you're on the right side of it).
Simply put, if this trend loses, it will be the first time that it has in 23 seasons.
Tonight, I am rolling with Portland ATS. I got it at +7 but +6.5 also works.
Clearly I think the Blazers should bounce back in Game 2. Portland is a better team than what they showed on Tuesday and 7 points is way too many for the Trail Blazers to be getting in this spot.
In my opinion, it isn't ridiculous to think that Portland can't win this game outright. The Trail Blazers are too good of an offensive team to repeat their poor shooting from Game 1. (They shot Sub 40% and 25% respectively).
The biggest thing that stands out(aside from the trends/systems) is that they had 20 turnovers. That's a lot. They're easily better than that. Intensity was lacking. That leads me to my main concern, and that is the fact that they also lacked intensity on the defensive end. This is Game 1 against the Spurs in the NBA Playoffs, if they couldn't bring intensity then, when will they?
Anyway, there are two Key trends here, both STRONGLY suggesting Portland. The first one is 39-12 ATS since 1996. Which is a better than 75% hit rate. The main trend I love, is at 0-22-1 ATS in the last 23 seasons. (or 22-0-1 ATS assuming you're on the right side of it).
Simply put, if this trend loses, it will be the first time that it has in 23 seasons.