Anyone else have Aston Villa/Fulham under 2.5?

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  • TheCentaur
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 06-28-11
    • 8108

    #1
    Anyone else have Aston Villa/Fulham under 2.5?
    0-0 through 60 minutes

    Live bet over 2.5 is near +1000

    In the 86th minute score is 1-2

    About the 4th time that's happened to me in a month

    Starting to think live betting medium-long shots live is a good bet. Maybe a lot of people looking for what appears to be a live sure thing are creating value on the other side?
  • GiveMeaBJ
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 09-08-09
    • 8449

    #2
    Originally posted by TheCentaur
    0-0 through 60 minutes

    Live bet over 2.5 is near +1000

    In the 86th minute score is 1-2

    About the 4th time that's happened to me in a month

    Starting to think live betting medium-long shots live is a good bet. Maybe a lot of people looking for what appears to be a live sure thing are creating value on the other side?
    They need to protect themselves for people who are willing to go out and hammer sure things. I mean the odds look right for this situation. Do you know the odds on over 1.5?
    Comment
    • TheCentaur
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 06-28-11
      • 8108

      #3
      Originally posted by GiveMeaBJ
      They need to protect themselves for people who are willing to go out and hammer sure things. I mean the odds look right for this situation. Do you know the odds on over 1.5?
      I saw it but I don't remember. I was just checking the 2.5 to see how much of a favorite I was because I had under 2.5
      Comment
      • GiveMeaBJ
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 09-08-09
        • 8449

        #4
        Originally posted by TheCentaur
        I saw it but I don't remember. I was just checking the 2.5 to see how much of a favorite I was because I had under 2.5
        Maybe value in the spot going o1.5? Just curious.
        Comment
        • TheCentaur
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 06-28-11
          • 8108

          #5
          Originally posted by GiveMeaBJ
          Maybe value in the spot going o1.5? Just curious.
          Normally I would say no, because hedging is -ev, better off just sitting on ur bet that is winning

          If the over 1.5 is +ev then yes there is value, but it's live so hard to figure for sure
          Comment
          • GiveMeaBJ
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 09-08-09
            • 8449

            #6
            Originally posted by TheCentaur
            Normally I would say no, because hedging is -ev, better off just sitting on ur bet that is winning

            If the over 1.5 is +ev then yes there is value, but it's live so hard to figure for sure
            True depends on odds. Think it would be +.
            Comment
            • onemoregoal
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 02-04-13
              • 8149

              #7
              over 1.5 at around 60 0-0 would have been about +275ish as a guess.
              Comment
              • professionalAD
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 01-29-14
                • 941

                #8
                lol
                Comment
                • barca12
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 01-08-14
                  • 298

                  #9
                  I think odds on over 1.5 in that minute are between 2.50-3.00, live betting is defintely there for the taking once you get some experience, lines can be way off, even in top leagues. Most of the times they dont even adjust the lines, meaning favorite team stays the favorite to score the next goal even if the other team is playing way better. I could write a book on live betting..over 0.5 at 1.40-1.50 is the worst thing you can do, or the team to score next at the same odds is also a mistake..there are exceptions of course, but after years of losing in live betting I finally know what Im doing
                  Comment
                  • TheCentaur
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 06-28-11
                    • 8108

                    #10
                    Under 3 Bayern Munich/Man United

                    Live odds before the scoring wave about -900
                    Comment
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