My NCAAB end of season results

[rkelly110]

I'm a ML fav bettor. Using a minimum decimal odd of 1.45 (-222).

Nov- Feb the ML fav went 94-35 73%

Nov- Mar went 111-48 70%

I didn't bet every game, but made 16.83 units.

I wanted to show two different results, because with march madness things get dicey.

Monthly break down: Nov 15-4 79%. Dec 21-8 72%. Jan 25-12 67%. Feb 33-11 75%. Mar 17-13 57%.

Just a FYI. No, I don't have a 5 year test model.

[irish1]

Hey Kelly, I have been on the ML all Year in college hoops and most of football. It was a successful year with both. I think its the only way to go. Glad to see you kicked ass!

[jjgold]

not bad

ML's are your firneds not the enemy

[ap1ftw]

not bad

ML's are your firneds not the enemy

i agree.

[rkelly110]

Hey Kelly, I have been on the ML all Year in college hoops and most of football. It was a successful year with both. I think its the only way to go. Glad to see you kicked ass!

You too brother!

[husky]

Any insight on parameters used to pick games?

[rkelly110]

Might as well post all of my findings in all sports using the ML fav of the day of 1.45 and higher odds.

MLB Apr-Sept went 139-63 69%

NCAAF Aug-Nov went 23-12 66%

NFL Sept-Dec went 26-10 72%

NHL to date is 118-71 62%

NBA to date is 95-55 63%

**Disclaimer** Betting at these low odds, a straight bet needs a win rate of at least 72%. Some chasing will have
to be involved to make real money. Chase responsibly.

[stevenash]

Nice job Kelly

[stevenash]

**Disclaimer** Betting at these low odds, a straight bet needs a win rate of at least 72%. Some chasing will have
to be involved to make real money. Chase responsibly.

Baseball is similar, the favorite wins just about 62 percent of the time, and yes, chasing is a double edged sword.

[husky]

Might as well post all of my findings in all sports using the ML fav of the day of 1.45 and higher odds.

MLB Apr-Sept went 139-63 69%

NCAAF Aug-Nov went 23-12 66%

NFL Sept-Dec went 26-10 72%

NHL to date is 118-71 62%

NBA to date is 95-55 63%

**Disclaimer** Betting at these low odds, a straight bet needs a win rate of at least 72%. Some chasing will have
to be involved to make real money. Chase responsibly.

I am not understanding. You just pick the largest fav of the day?

[rkelly110]

Any insight on parameters used to pick games?

I use decimal odds to find the true odds of the games. My only parameter is not to go lower than 1.45. So, 1.45 and above. Doesn't matter if the game is home or away. I usually will only bet one game a day. The game with the lowest odds gets bet. If there are multiple games with the same odds, I bet them all. NCAAB has a lot of same odds games, I found the early games win more often, but if you lose early, you could chase with the later games, but not advised. I hurt myself, once.

I don't have records, but if you don't like to bet those low odds, using that low odd as a guide to find a game, betting ATS (against the spread), RL (run line) or PL (puck line) wins at a good rate also.

GL

[rkelly110]

Nice job Kelly

Thank you sir.

[husky]

Thanks Kelly. So you find the game with the closest odds to 1.45?