Nice hit on NC and Vols 2H. Good luck rest of the day.
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Any NBA tonight James?Comment -
Yesterday late I burned out and it cost me some profit I like five NBA totals and a side but am not going to bet first half like I normally do. These are my 6 really like my chances to go 4-2 or better. Still betting ncaa later
NBA
802 orl/wash under 201. 2 units
806 char/minn under 207. 2 units
807 Memphis pk. 2 units
815 spurs la over. 224.5. 2 units
817 clippers under. 205. 2 units
820. gs / cavs under. 200.5. 2 unitsComment -
Got one 4pm game, NC state doesn't shoot three well enough for a 128.5 total vs orange.
826 Syracuse under 128.5. 2 units
826 under first half. 59.5. 2 unitsComment -
Good luck Jimmy
Bring it home tonightComment -
Happy to say games still going quite well so no need to reevaluate, night winding down
These three 2.5 units each
844 GW +1
860 Toledo -3
885 cal poly +7
these four 2 units each
828 duke -9.5
duke. H1. -5.5
duke under 128
duke h1 under 59.5Comment -
James D better get poster of the week he is the man round here. You hear me JOJO he is the man!Comment -
Thank you Mitch , keep up the good work bud
Fading Boise
New mex st -5 vs Boise 2 units
Nmst first half -2.5 -15Comment -
going to tail u SaturdayComment -
Hey bruin, I hope the winning continues. Last 2 days have even mostly good with a huge blow up in the middle. Went I to yesterday up 6.9 units for the week. Had a very solid early and mid day and churned out a little plus money every couple plays and was up about ten units on day and seventeen for week when I pushed a little too much in late games. Ended going about 3-10 late and burning through about 23 units. My final total for yesterday was 16-20 and losing 16.25 units. I lost like I said about 23 units late. I was not actually stuck about ten units for week so today was critical. Luckily I had a strong consistent day even with the 3-4 typical bad beats of college and nba hoops. I started the early card 13-7 winning coincidentally almost the exact amount is lost yesterday, 16.25 units. Next set of games was not as good but still solid, 10-7 +9.3 units. The night to late games I purposely tread lightly and was prepared to stop if it looked like it was turning against me, I had a pretty decent slow grind winning session 12-9 for +6.8 units and am very happy with the final number
Recap......
into wednesday played 30 games overall and was +6.9 units for week
wednesday 16-20 -16.25 for day and week now stands at -9.35
thursday I lit the board uo a very strong 35-23 +32.35 units Now up 23.0 units on week.
I do want to address one thing about how many games I play. Lots of people critique my style but it works for me. I am never ever going to bet over 5 units on a play. In the few hundred plays I have posted I have never posted a bet over five units because I don't bet that high per play. I would much rather bet 2 units or even 3 units on what I feel are some likely correlated possibilities. These are some of my records in individual games when I liked a side and a total for game and half, and sometimes even fired 2 more bets at halftime.
Mich Illinois. 2-4
fla missour. 5-1
ncstate cuse. 3-1. (Only loss by hook)
Oh st neb. 1-5
tenn so car. 6-0
duke. 2-2
pitt nc. 3-0
stjoes under. 0-2 ( lost total by one)
stlouis. 2h bets 1-1
NM boise. 1-1
VA fla st. 5-1
total record in games I bet multiple wagers. 29-18 +28.75 units
total record in game I made single wagers 5-5 +3.6 units the reason for the profit is I went 0-2 on 1.5 units, 3-3 on 2.0 units and I went 3-0 in 2.5 unit plays .
I listed every game I bet multiple plays, in every one of the games you see a total of six bets I bet a side and total for game and half and then fired the exact same Plays at HT. In games I bet all six possible options the Same I finished those bets 19-11
Even more beneficial is every game I tweaked the formula I did well. For Instance duke game was similar I just bet duke and under game and half . However at half time i didn't like what i was seeing so I passed on betting my typical rebets. If I had rebet I would have lost both so it was the correct choice to pass even though that formula has been serving me well. In Pitt nc I bet pit game and Pitt half both for 3.5 units which is more then I bet in over 90% of my plays. At HT I felt NC had a little run In them and Pitt is known to let Up so I came back with NC, I ended up sweeping all three plays. The cuse game I bet just under game and half . At HT it was under by nine points but I felt it was going to turn and nc state would be tough so I went with nc and over reversing my total play. I win both 2h plays easy and turned a potential losing game into a 3-1 game.
NBA I went 3-3 with five legit decisions and a horrific beat. I had under 201 and it went to OT at 87-87. Game went over with 4 seconds left when a team down 6 decided to take a layup, this after fouling and giving up 2 points at the line with eight seconds left.
This was a long explanation as to why I am willing to take a bearing on juice to avoid the tradeoff of having 10-12 units on a single play get best by a meaningless three set the buzzer or layup while the teams are practically shaking hands. For 2 or 3 units those beats won't affect me, for 12 they would, and we all know in hoops those beats are going to happenComment -
nice thread pal. no need to explain yourself. keep winningComment -
Ncaa
Pitt/va under 120. 1.5 units
Pitt/va under 55 1.5 unitsComment -
Here we go James!!!!!! and it beginsComment -
^^^^^^^^^
LOL hey Mitch! Hope you had a good night
NBA
knicks over 206 2 units
Knicks over 102.5. 2 unitsComment -
3–1 to start the day, still disappointed taking my only loss by the hook. Game steamed all the way down to 204.5 so if I bet at tip I would have swept the card. Still happy with 3-1 and continued good results.
Not buying having the intensity or discipline for this spot. All five bets 1.5 units, conservative today with week winding down.
521 Georgia +7.5.
Half Georgia +4
Ky/ga over 134
Ky/ga over 62
564 tex southern -10.5.
Good luck everyone, will try and post late games but may be playing hoops. Hope everyone is having a good dayComment -
Buying out of Ga and total . Nice middle shot and already a good day so won't be greedy. Both bets 1.5 units
ky -3.5
under 73Comment -
Short day yesterday, big week coming and wanted to lock in another good week. Went 6-4-1 losing another game by the hook, but 6-4-1 was still good for +2.35 units and now up 25.35 units for the week. No reason to go deep today. Next week is the biggest grind of year . Good luck everyone
Ky fla under 60 half 1.5 units
Ky fla under 130. 1.5 unitsComment -
James if things go bad for you in the upcoming months I can set you up with a shark in Southern Calif, 5% per week interest.Comment -
Hate to bet NBA favorites especially on Sunday TV games . I just really have felt Houston is headed for a funk and this is one of those spots.
Heat -3 half. 1.5 units
heat -5.5. 1.5 units.Comment -
Took a tough push in Miami first half. Gave up a layup with 1 second half for the push, but I deserved it Betting a bad number. It eas 2.5 this morning and I waited through sheer laziness and took -3 . Taking Miami again second half I think they pull away.
miami 2h -2.5 2 unitsComment -
Get em brotherComment -
Hit my celtics first half over with 3:58 left in first half so game looking good. Have been very conservative this weekend after a wild week, I always lock down if I have a big profit. Still went 10-5 this weekend so far with one pending that is significantly ahead so I have kept my momentum for sure. Betting clippers small as week winds down.
clippers -7 half 1 unit
clippers -11.5. 1 unitComment -
Great work this week James D!Comment -
Changes is creeping into the top three of top SBR capersComment -
Thank you JJ, but let's not get ahead of ourselves.
Lost my first bet of the day today, ky under half one. Then I pushed my 2nd bet of the day because as I mentioned a few posts up I was slow and lazy and got a bad number with Miami -3 first half. So when beverly made a basket with 2 seconds left he cut miami lead to 3 and it was a push. However that was all the bad news I would endure.
i won my last 7 plays to end day 7-1-1 and end weekend 13-5-2. I did lower my bets because I always look to lock down when up a big number so today's 7-1 gave me a 7.35 unit win . The week ended +32.7 units .
The recap for the two weeks is really nuts, am going to post it later. I bet 295 plays, for a total of 576 units. Average bet about 2 units and I won about 40.Comment -
james u win lots of money because of karmaComment -
Thank you bruin nice of you to say. 13-5 is a nice way to close weekend for sure. Ended up 15-5 overall on posted plays cause I tailed you in your threads on two in NHL that both won. I was conservative betting small this weekend due to exhaustion and the desire to guarantee a nice week. It's a shame because I made almost all 1 unit bets this weekend and won exactly 75%.
In two wild weeks I bet 294 (that is posted I actually bet 331 plays) of my own plays for an average of 1.88 units At -10 juice, occasionally -15 juice. I don't even get very good lines because I only have 2 books. On the 294 plays i profited 40.7 units. I only made 23 bets of 3.5 or 4.0 units and a single bet of 4.5 units. In those 24 larger bets I went 13-11 and won a very modest 3.45 units. I also made 25 3 unit bets as well but didn't break them down yet, I am too tired. So basically I won almost 40 units on 245 bets of 1-2.5 units. When you factor in the juice on the 553 units wagered it was a very very strong win rate these two weeks. Crazy week ahead of course. This is the craziest month every year . Keep up the good work in the NHLComment
