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Weed, it's the same fukking thing
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It's the one at Dundas Street West. Boeing will know where it is. If I get the job everyone should come by and I will give you the best deals.Comment -
Nice weeder. Any job is good right nowComment -
seaweed please make sure you gamble the paychecks.Comment -
Neighbour went away for a week. I'm gonna be on here non-stop now. You should see all the new cable channels I get this week!
Weeder, it's gotta be a 3 game parlay if you hit The Pacers. All NCAA!
Trust me.
You're gonna get mocked & berated either way.
Stay away from the NHL. Even the best teams barely win 50% of their games.
It's March Madness Saer. Use your head. Everyone makes $ this time of year, even JJ!
Lemme lay it out for you:
Colorado +6.5
BYU+6
Wofford +16
BAYLOR -3.5
Stanford +3.5
ST.JO'S +5
Gonzaga +2
It's as simple as that!
Stay away from all things Canadian, that includes Creighton, Wiggins (Both of them, Nick-Wich & Andy-Kansas), THE NHL,The Raptors,Syracuse(Tyler Ennis),Michigan(Nik Stauskis),Arizona St.(Jordan Bachnski),New Mexico St.(Sim Bullar) & most importantly stay away from your Salami.
The only exception to this rule is Gonzaga. Pangos is gonna surprise a couple of teams this year!
GL you crazy little fukker!Comment -
What happended tonight Seaweed,did the Pacers come through for youComment -
packer the kids hurting enough already but hey this is the internet so lets pile on
Weeder so long as you keep having ill discipline you'll NEVER be a solid gambler.
Thats the number 1 thing you need to control if you plan on forging ahead to make some kind of living from this...Comment -
No I actually was curious I hadnt seen the game. I wouldnt pick on the guy,alot of us have been undisciplined at some point.packer the kids hurting enough already but hey this is the internet so lets pile on
Weeder so long as you keep having ill discipline you'll NEVER be a solid gambler.
Thats the number 1 thing you need to control if you plan on forging ahead to make some kind of living from this...Comment -
Pacers lost, I'm broke, Close thread.Comment -
Not sure on why I answer to this thread. Possibly because I enjoy giving good advice to someone in need of it.
Seaweeder, you first should answer honestly why do you bet. There is nothing wrong on betting for entratainment reasons. It is a nice hobby watching sports with "something on the line". If you manage your bet sizes wisely, it is cheaper and more exciting than going to a bar and watch a game drinking $5 beers. Just understand what you are doing and not force things with a big bet to salvage a day.
If you are betting to win money, you must know that the odds are badly against you. It is not "easy money". You must invest a lot of money and time to have a fair chance to get positive winning expectations. And again, be disciplined enough to not risk a large part of your bankroll in one bet.
Being a winning bettor is a grind. You must have many outs to get that extra half point that matters just 4% of the time. But that 4% is enough to change you from a flip coin loser to a zero expectation player. As much as anyone want to impress you with his ability to pick winners, many pros rely on getting the best price as much as picking sides.
Bet size discipline is a must. Read about Kelly criterion (Ganchrow posts are a must). NEVER bet more that you implied +EV suggests. If you do not have a gasp on what your +EV is, the suggested bet is zero. Triple that if you realy like the bet.
The last part is modeling. You ought to have a model to estimate a price and find values. Just saying "Manning will torch Jaguars secondary, so -28.5 is a sure win" will not cut it. You must test your model often, add more info and test it again and again, until you are sure it has a worthwile predictive value.
After all that, you will find your bankroll tend to grow very slowly. You may spice it with bonuses and promos to get a little more income. But now you are playing with books money. You can appreciate now that KC Royals +180 vs Sabathia NYY is a good value. Then you are ready to tackle into smaller markets, CBB totals, even some props...
Betting life is not easy. You will have many ups and downs. And not many will appreciate your work; you will get many people laughing at your fails, just a few congratulating on your wins. As a friend once told me "the only ones recognizing your worth are the books limiting you".
In sum, being a winning bettor is really hard work. You have to find deep down if you want to pay the price.Comment -
Mayor?
Right on the money about Rocket though!
Can you believe the Russian Rocket is actually a Canadian Firecracker!Comment -
Let's send this thread out the way we all knew it would end...the right way
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I agree with some of what you posted (not the "model" part, i have no model and hardly ever use stats and shit for gambling) but did you purposely not include watching games? To me that's a top 3 important thing along with bankroll management and NOT betting parlays. But we all have different ways of tackling this shit I guess. As long as it works for us.Not sure on why I answer to this thread. Possibly because I enjoy giving good advice to someone in need of it.
Seaweeder, you first should answer honestly why do you bet. There is nothing wrong on betting for entratainment reasons. It is a nice hobby watching sports with "something on the line". If you manage your bet sizes wisely, it is cheaper and more exciting than going to a bar and watch a game drinking $5 beers. Just understand what you are doing and not force things with a big bet to salvage a day.
If you are betting to win money, you must know that the odds are badly against you. It is not "easy money". You must invest a lot of money and time to have a fair chance to get positive winning expectations. And again, be disciplined enough to not risk a large part of your bankroll in one bet.
Being a winning bettor is a grind. You must have many outs to get that extra half point that matters just 4% of the time. But that 4% is enough to change you from a flip coin loser to a zero expectation player. As much as anyone want to impress you with his ability to pick winners, many pros rely on getting the best price as much as picking sides.
Bet size discipline is a must. Read about Kelly criterion (Ganchrow posts are a must). NEVER bet more that you implied +EV suggests. If you do not have a gasp on what your +EV is, the suggested bet is zero. Triple that if you realy like the bet.
The last part is modeling. You ought to have a model to estimate a price and find values. Just saying "Manning will torch Jaguars secondary, so -28.5 is a sure win" will not cut it. You must test your model often, add more info and test it again and again, until you are sure it has a worthwile predictive value.
After all that, you will find your bankroll tend to grow very slowly. You may spice it with bonuses and promos to get a little more income. But now you are playing with books money. You can appreciate now that KC Royals +180 vs Sabathia NYY is a good value. Then you are ready to tackle into smaller markets, CBB totals, even some props...
Betting life is not easy. You will have many ups and downs. And not many will appreciate your work; you will get many people laughing at your fails, just a few congratulating on your wins. As a friend once told me "the only ones recognizing your worth are the books limiting you".
In sum, being a winning bettor is really hard work. You have to find deep down if you want to pay the price.Comment -
I could be from the moon for all we know, that however doesn't change the fact that you're still that dumpster diving broke ass fat fukk who only bets betpoints (btw pretty unsuccessfully) with a hope of scoring a gift card or a pizza voucher so he can eat
if you wanna spell Alexander at least do it the right way
after yet another gambling fiasco I'm not sure why you're still talking though
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Alexander
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did the thread died?Comment -
I had u down as a "Kyle", Seaweed.
Alexander sounds like their were high hopes for u pal.Comment
