Joker/Wawrinka OVER 36.5

[RyanLeafOfBets]

I'm pretty drunk, but I am at least 63% sure this happens. Follow me to freedom.

[SteveKerrsJunk]

Haha. I could see it. Gl

[tony_come]

Thanks matt

[SteveKerrsJunk]

Haha. I could see it. Gl

[RyanLeafOfBets]

Thanks Gents... LEGGO

[ParlayininHTown]

I have a lean on Wawa +2.5 sets at +104, but this feels like a trap. I am worried Djoker is going to win in straight sets, but something like 7-6, 6-4, 7-6 ... maybe a 7-5 in there instead of one of the tiebreaks.

Hope this goes four or five sets and you cash, RLOB.

[EaglesPhan36]

Fukk man, everyone knows it has to be 65% to be a lock.

[Dollars2Donuts]

I hate to say it, but I think the -6 cashes for Djoker. 6-4, 6-3, 6-4 feels about right. I like this play better than the under...but if I had to lean under OR over, I like the under.

A few hours ago I was thinking the over looked solid....a number of factors have swayed my decision.

[ThaTopMoron]

after last year I would bet on +2.5 sets or the over for full game rather than bet something on Joker and watch him give up 1 set easy starting out slow or taking a 3rd set easy.... esp cause i remember last year's match too well

[YourMomWasHere]

I like the under too. I think Djoker will end it quickly.

[BennyBigNuts]

Wawrinka +2.5 +105 is the bet boys.
Don't sleep on the +700 either.
He can win this match.

[ThaTopMoron]

Wawrinka +2.5 +105 is the bet boys.
Don't sleep on the +700 either.
He can win this match.

I see +2.5 +110 now

over 3.5 sets +125

Joker ML is being pounded on BM now @ -1415

I don't know what to think of this.

[SteveKerrsJunk]

I don't think Joker loses but it could go 4 sets.

[Dollars2Donuts]

I almost laid $900 when I could have had Djoker at -900......just on principal, I couldn't. I believe he wins this in straight sets more than 75% of the time here. The lines are all messed up too....

Best bet is under 36.5 IMO

[BennyBigNuts]

I see +2.5 +110 now

over 3.5 sets +125

Joker ML is being pounded on BM now @ -1415

I don't know what to think of this.

Guess it makes no sense to take Wawa +2.5 sets +110 when you can take over 3.5 sets +125.
Wawa can never straight set him in a win anyways.
Hmmmmmm

[BennyBigNuts]

I almost laid $900 when I could have had Djoker at -900......just on principal, I couldn't. I believe he wins this in straight sets more than 75% of the time here. The lines are all messed up too....

Best bet is under 36.5 IMO

Last 2 majors they have played went 5 sets.
Wawrinka looked like a beast vs. Robredo last match and is the freshest player left in the tourney, playing the least amount of games by far.
Laying -900 is just plain idiotic and has no value whatsoever, even if he wins for you.
You made the right play passing on that.

[Dollars2Donuts]

Last 2 majors they have played went 5 sets.
Wawrinka looked like a beast vs. Robredo last match and is the freshest player left in the tourney, playing the least amount of games by far.
Laying -900 is just plain idiotic and has no value whatsoever, even if he wins for you.
You made the right play passing on that.

Lol, thanks BBN....I have never laid juice like that in my life and I just wouldn't under any circumstances. At the same time, I do not believe this goes to a 4th set.....for interest's sake I laid one unit on the under 36.5.

[BennyBigNuts]

Lol, thanks BBN....I have never laid juice like that in my life and I just wouldn't under any circumstances. At the same time, I do not believe this goes to a 4th set.....for interest's sake I laid one unit on the under 36.5.

I just mickey moused everything in this match (multiple bets)
Took wawa +2.5 sets +6.5 games, over 3.5 sets, all plus money. and a fun bet on him +845.
Nothing hints this match to be a breeze through for Joker.
Of course Joker can dominate anyone, but all the value is on the dog here.

[Dollars2Donuts]

I just mickey moused everything in this match (multiple bets)
Took wawa +2.5 sets +6.5 games, over 3.5 sets, all plus money. and a fun bet on him +845.
Nothing hints this match to be a breeze through for Joker.
Of course Joker can dominate anyone, but all the value is on the dog here.

I cannot say I disagree, BUT at the same time.....I have seen it dozens of times....when a player almost beats a higher ranked (better) player a few times more than once BUT doesn't actually win. Everyone starts to think that player has a better shot, that player believes the same....and then comes the match, they are placing more pressure on themselves than they would as an underdog normally....

I see this as one of those cases....no way Djoker takes him lightly and he will be out for blood. Wawrinka's ground strokes can keep up with Dkokovic', but his mind won't....IMO anyway.

But, for what it is worth I still only put one unit down on the under.....which I believe could even hit in a 4 set scenario if the match goes as I see it.

GL either way boys.

[RyanLeafOfBets]

Under 36.5 is being pounded... I feel better about the over now. Good luck on whatever you all decide. Either way, Fireball has made this a good night.

[RyanLeafOfBets]

My prediction...

Joker 6-3, Wawrinka 7-6, Joker 6-4, Joker 6-3

[BennyBigNuts]

I have a future on Wawrinka this tourney +4000.
I really thought the way he finished last year he was going to make a push this year.
Hope I'm right.

[Dollars2Donuts]

I have a future on Wawrinka this tourney +4000.
I really thought the way he finished last year he was going to make a push this year.
Hope I'm right.

Wow.....nice. For what kind of $$$?

[BennyBigNuts]

Wow.....nice. For what kind of $$$?

LOL napkins.
$25 with my guy and 100 points on sbr.
So I can win a dime with him and a $100 wal-mart giftcard for a little bonus.
I made 2 futures, the other one was on Ferrer +3300 who obviously just lost tonight.

[Dollars2Donuts]

LOL napkins.
$25 with my guy and 100 points on sbr.
So I can win a dime with him and a $100 wal-mart giftcard for a little bonus.
I made 2 futures, the other one was on Ferrer +3300 who obviously just lost tonight.

Well, good luck. I still cannot trust Ferrer on hardcourts, even though he has come a looooong way.

Wawrinka's serve looks sick tonight.....he is definitely ready for the match and Djoker seems a half step behind....maybe I was wrong here.

[SteveKerrsJunk]

Too much firepower

[LoveDaRush]

Burial

gotta burn the money up

You love it, don't you

[horja1]

Burial

gotta burn the money up

You love it, don't you

you are still here? down so much air and so many houses, wives, kids and still posting?

[BennyBigNuts]

booooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooommmmmm mmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmm

[jjgold]

Good call leafy easy winner

[ThaTopMoron]

feel bad for all those guys who pounded Joker ML

they obviously didn't pay attention last year or didn't care

[mikejamm]

I'm pretty drunk, but I am at least 63% sure this happens. Follow me to freedom.

I hate to say it, but I think the -6 cashes for Djoker. 6-4, 6-3, 6-4 feels about right. I like this play better than the under...but if I had to lean under OR over, I like the under.

A few hours ago I was thinking the over looked solid....a number of factors have swayed my decision.

A fuk'in drunk guy picks better that you! All that fuk'in donut sugar has turned your brain in to a pile of mushy shit!

[mikejamm]

I almost laid $900 when I could have had Djoker at -900......just on principal, I couldn't. I believe he wins this in straight sets more than 75% of the time here. The lines are all messed up too....

Best bet is under 36.5 IMO

Last 2 majors they have played went 5 sets.
Wawrinka looked like a beast vs. Robredo last match and is the freshest player left in the tourney, playing the least amount of games by far.
Laying -900 is just plain idiotic and has no value whatsoever, even if he wins for you.
You made the right play passing on that.

Hey dollars 2 dipshit, you learning anything yet? I would bet a fuk'in grand that dounut lover here did chase that much fuk'in juice, just so he thought he would come back on here a rave about his so called tennis expertise!

[mikejamm]

I just mickey moused everything in this match (multiple bets)
Took wawa +2.5 sets +6.5 games, over 3.5 sets, all plus money. and a fun bet on him +845.
Nothing hints this match to be a breeze through for Joker.
Of course Joker can dominate anyone, but all the value is on the dog here.

I have a future on Wawrinka this tourney +4000.
I really thought the way he finished last year he was going to make a push this year.
Hope I'm right.

Nice hit Benny! Hey bro, maybe you could give private gambling lessons to dollars 2 dipshit on how to accurately bet tennis while not being an arrogant, self centered big mouth fuk'in blow hole. You just know this idiot laid the juice on Joker!

[ttwarrior1]

About to be ousted