A logical NBA selection from Nasher

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  • stevenash
    Moderator
    • 01-17-11
    • 65674

    #1
    A logical NBA selection from Nasher
    This is why I gamble on sports, the numbers aspect.
    I'm a numbers geek, always have been since a kid.
    I make my living also crunching numbers, it's who I am, it's what I do.

    OK, this is what I found, and I am going to share.

    The Bucks are dead last in the NBA is o-rating, Bucks are 29th in the league in scoring, and are averaging only 84.8 points in their last five games.

    The Bucks are playing the Raptors in their building.
    The Raptors are the sixth best team in d-rating, the Raptors are 4th in the NBA in points allowed (as in fewest), and in their last nine games the Raptors have allowed on the average 87.9 points.

    The TT for the Bucks at 5Dimes currently sits at 88.5

    Once again, the Bucks are the shittiest (one of) teams shooting and scoring. They have been averaging 84.8 lately. The Raptors are one of the best teams in the league in defense, and they are giving up just 87.9 lately, and that 87.9 is to average teams, the Bucks are below average.

    Knowing everything I just told you, tell me why (too late I already did) I should not hammer the TT under Bucks 88.5 (and if you say the Bucks are due, I will smack you.)

    Good luck with all your plays, you can tail this info, you can fade this info, or you can pass.
    It's all rock and roll to me.

    222366459-1 1/13/14 5:03pm $220.00 $200.00 Pending 1/13/14 7:05pm NBA Basketball 701 Milwaukee Bucks Under 88½ -110* <small style="padding: 0px; margin: 0px;">vs</small> Toronto Raptors
    Totals: $220.00 $200.00
  • BadLuckSanta
    SBR MVP
    • 06-30-10
    • 2756

    #2
    good luck nash

    number seems sharp
    Comment
    • str
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 01-12-09
      • 11797

      #3
      They're due.

      You knew it was coming from somebody.

      Best of Luck.

      I appreciate logic and too me, the play is logical.
      Comment
      • Big Bear
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 11-01-11
        • 43253

        #4
        LT profits is on the over for some reason
        Comment
        • SteveKerrsJunk
          SBR MVP
          • 10-25-13
          • 2706

          #5
          You're a smart guy Nash. I'm
          Tailing. GL man/
          Comment
          • GoldyLocks
            SBR Hustler
            • 01-09-14
            • 85

            #6
            Seeing a lot of cappers on the Bucks tonight and its blowing my mind. I guess it's possible that they are 'due' but I smell a rout in the making.
            Comment
            • t-wizzle
              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
              • 12-18-09
              • 38099

              #7
              Lay the number with Toronto
              Comment
              • Seaweed
                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                • 01-19-12
                • 26318

                #8
                I am from Toronto. Game goes to double OT
                Comment
                • riffraff24
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 04-20-11
                  • 7234

                  #9
                  Originally posted by Seaweed
                  I am from Toronto. Game goes to double OT
                  whaaaaaaaaaaaaa
                  Comment
                  • Louisvillekid1
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 10-17-07
                    • 52143

                    #10
                    thats for the post nasher

                    Might tail
                    Comment
                    • Luv2Play2
                      SBR MVP
                      • 12-24-10
                      • 2461

                      #11
                      ive had a beef wth BM a few times but this is BSH$T ..THEY ARE ONLY LISTING WASH/CHIC TT's horseshit..
                      Comment
                      • Louisvillekid1
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 10-17-07
                        • 52143

                        #12
                        dam my book is offering 87.5 -115 now

                        Missed the move

                        Staying away, gl
                        Comment
                        • stevenash
                          Moderator
                          • 01-17-11
                          • 65674

                          #13
                          Originally posted by Louisvillekid1
                          dam my book is offering 87.5 -115 now

                          Missed the move

                          Staying away, gl
                          88.5 holding steady at 5D
                          Comment
                          • stevenash
                            Moderator
                            • 01-17-11
                            • 65674

                            #14
                            End 1st Qtr


                            38 24
                            Comment
                            • No coincidences
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 01-18-10
                              • 76300

                              #15
                              Originally posted by stevenash
                              [COLOR=#FFFFFF !important]End 1st Qtr

                              • [*=center]1
                                [*=center]2
                                [*=center]3
                                [*=center]4
                                [*=center]
                                [*=center]T

                              [/COLOR]

                              Bucks
                              (7-29, 4-15 away)

                              • [*=center]24
                                [*=center]
                                [*=center]
                                [*=center]
                                [*=center]
                                [*=center]24



                              Raptors
                              (18-17, 8-8 home)

                              • [*=center]38
                                [*=center]
                                [*=center]
                                [*=center]
                                [*=center]
                                [*=center]38


                              TSN
                              Defense not suggested in this one so far.
                              Comment
                              • Luckycharms2012
                                SBR MVP
                                • 10-07-12
                                • 2422

                                #16
                                Raptors D picking up.
                                Comment
                                • stevenash
                                  Moderator
                                  • 01-17-11
                                  • 65674

                                  #17
                                  This one doesn't look good.
                                  Oh well, I tried
                                  Comment
                                  • t-wizzle
                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                    • 12-18-09
                                    • 38099

                                    #18
                                    Told you to lay the points nashy. Easy win.
                                    Comment
                                    • Luckycharms2012
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 10-07-12
                                      • 2422

                                      #19
                                      Hmmmmmm, Raptors really locking it down here in the 4th.....could be close. Only 9 pts scored so far in the 4th for Bucks.
                                      Comment
                                      • DoubleR90
                                        SBR Sharp
                                        • 11-12-11
                                        • 308

                                        #20
                                        If logic was the only thing it took to pick a winner I think a lot of us would be rich. The pick made sense but I don't think there was quite enough edge as that number was pretty sharp. You'll get em next time Nash
                                        Comment
                                        • Luckycharms2012
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 10-07-12
                                          • 2422

                                          #21
                                          Sorry Nash, Raps could have done it but they played too up tempo with under 2 mins to go and they turned the ball over twice leading to an easy 4pts. With such a big lead they should have slowed down a bit.
                                          Comment
                                          • DiamondBack
                                            SBR Hustler
                                            • 05-16-12
                                            • 84

                                            #22
                                            You'll get the next one Steve.

                                            Always appreciate our thoughts
                                            Comment
                                            • flyingcarbs
                                              SBR Sharp
                                              • 12-28-13
                                              • 278

                                              #23
                                              Saturday, January 4, 6:00 PM
                                              1 2 3 4 Total
                                              Bucks 26 23 29 22 100
                                              Suns 28 32 27 29 116
                                              Comment
                                              • Mitchell88
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 12-16-12
                                                • 4334

                                                #24
                                                bucks very bad
                                                Comment
                                                • jjgold
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 07-20-05
                                                  • 388179

                                                  #25
                                                  Toronto looks like a championship team

                                                  ts crazy
                                                  Comment
                                                  • t-wizzle
                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                    • 12-18-09
                                                    • 38099

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by jjgold
                                                    Toronto looks like a championship team

                                                    ts crazy
                                                    He overthought it. Should have just laid the pts.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • solman
                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                      • 03-05-12
                                                      • 264

                                                      #27
                                                      Buried. Was your calculator broken? that's why u don't bet the bucks. Their games with opponents are unpredictable and don't make sense.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • lakerboy
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 04-02-09
                                                        • 94379

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by Big Bear
                                                        LT profits is on the over for some reason
                                                        lt has a clue
                                                        Comment
                                                        • pacocn
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 07-05-10
                                                          • 12934

                                                          #29
                                                          Number crunchers don't usually crunch the books
                                                          Comment
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