Everyone tripping themselves to bet on the PATS....

[Stevedore]

tease seattle and denver.

Did the exact opposite, all dogs sans the Colts have covered a 7 point teaser in playoffs.

[rcene]

I agree Denver is the favorite, but I think New England wins this game almost half the time, and if you can find them at +200 or better on the ML how can you pass that up? I think New England has the best shot to beat Denver of the teams remaining

One thing you will not see next week is the offense of the Patriots playing conservative for three fourths of the game. San Diego's running back was hurt, and he was the reason they won in Denver during the season.

Patriots have the physical running game to attack and beat Denver up front with. I do not like the Denver defense in that scenario. They will not be facing oldman Brown or a scatback like Woodhead.

[STAX]

One thing you will not see next week is the offense of the Patriots playing conservative for three fourths of the game. San Diego's running back was hurt, and he was the reason they won in Denver during the season.

Patriots have the physical running game to attack and beat Denver up front with. I do not like the Denver defense in that scenario. They will not be facing oldman Brown or a scatback like Woodhead.

I agree, and NE doesn't even have to run the ball well to win. They can win multiple ways offensively. Brady can outduel Manning if he has to. Its gonna be a good game. I almost want to say if Denver wins, they will cover bc I think NE wins if its a close game

[No coincidences]

Nice break... Good luck in 2014

You too Samuel.

[jjgold]

Brady rarely goes down easy
Never forget this

[Unwritten Law]

DEN

[TheMoneyShot]

LOL You're going against Tom Brady at +4.5 and everyone is going down on Manning? WTF is wrong with you guys? Manning is nervous as fuk.

[Mitchell88]

this is manning's legacy game. If he doesn't win here he is not even in the conversation for the best qb ever

[Balco10]

49ers and denver you mean

Go Blue gets it!

[face]

will wait for weather reports to decide

[No coincidences]

Books wouldn't open Brady at +6 unless they felt confident they could clean up with Denver.

This line should've opened where it is now -- +4. At most.

[No coincidences]

dont you guys want to see what the weather is going to be like first?

As of now, mid-50s and sunny.

[BigdaddyQH]

No one got on when the line was +7? Where were you guys? Most of what is posted in here is laughable. Really amaturish. The bottom line is that there was a major opportunity to make a killing with a middle and apparently NO ONE saw it or got in on time. The line will continue to drop during the week as Pats fans get their money into Las Vegas. If it goes down to 3, that is a major opportunity to win big. If it goes down to 3 1/2, think about buying the vig.

[k13]

There won't be middles but +7 was available all day.

Den/Sea ML parlay easy as pie.

[k13]

This game won't cross the 3. If it does dump all your cash on Pats ML.

Exactly.

[Ironman07]

If your serious you should always make your own lines before they are released. In this case i felt the line would be around Broncos -3 1/2 - 4 there is definite value taking + 6 here. Denver's defense didnt just improve dramatically but the conditions were brutal yesterday and by the time Rivers made compensations it was to late. If game is 10 minutes more San Diego has a great chance to pull it out. SD defense made some good adjustments that im sure Belichek will take note off. the books know that Denver was a big public team this year and will always set the line with that in mind. If you grabbed the 6 like were able to you have a great chance to middle this if it goes under 4 which i see..

[LT Profits]

If I were to bet this game, I would be tripping over myself to bet PATS too. NE or pass for me.

[k13]

If I were to bet this game, I would be tripping over myself to bet PATS too. NE or pass for me.

Why?

[LT Profits]

Why?

Because I think fair line is Denver -3

[Big Bear]

Are you unretired?

yeah that thread was just for attention.

No coincidences has never pounded anything except other posters.

[packerd_00]

I agree, and NE doesn't even have to run the ball well to win. They can win multiple ways offensively. Brady can outduel Manning if he has to. Its gonna be a good game. I almost want to say if Denver wins, they will cover bc I think NE wins if its a close game

You are joking right,how is he going to contend with Mannings air attack.

[packerd_00]

Brady rarely goes down easy
Never forget this

That blowout game against the Ravens last year not withstanding you mean. The Ravens smoked them.

[OTL]

Pats secondary isn't depleted whatsoever. Their front 7, yes, but their secondary is fairly healthy.

Gotta love the amount of casual fans on SBR trying to sound like they know their shit.

I'm no casual fan dude... Good luck with your Pats wager

[LT Profits]

That blowout game against the Ravens last year not withstanding you mean. The Ravens smoked them.

Ravens has the superior defense last season, Denver has no such animal. This should come down to whether or not NE defense can make enough stops on Manning.

[OTL]

No one got on when the line was +7? Where were you guys? Most of what is posted in here is laughable. Really amaturish. The bottom line is that there was a major opportunity to make a killing with a middle and apparently NO ONE saw it or got in on time. The line will continue to drop during the week as Pats fans get their money into Las Vegas. If it goes down to 3, that is a major opportunity to win big. If it goes down to 3 1/2, think about buying the vig.

Most of us never saw it hit +7. I know I didn't, and I checked the lines at my books as soon as they were posted.

[packerd_00]

Ravens has the superior defense last season, Denver has no such animal. This should come down to whether or not NE defense can make enough stops on Manning.

Yeah but give Flacco his credit aswell though, he put up alot of points. Im under no illusions about Denvers defense. The ball is in Mannings court, if he cant manage to beat Brady with the weapons he has it his disposal.

[LT Profits]

Most of us never saw it hit +7. I know I didn't, and I checked the lines at my books as soon as they were posted.

+7 was up Sunday before the games. Then after the games the "official" opener was 6.

[k13]

Because I think fair line is Denver -3

Impossible.

Did NE somehow get better?
Line should 6-7.

[Tommy Karate]

Never learned anything from this week. Not to mention the Patriots are horrible on the road.

Manning will get his win unless he gets injured.

Perfect spot for Denver.

ahh - i see now why you think "everyone" is betting the pats.

teach me - what should we have learned from this week?

ps: the patriots are 4-4 straight up on the road............."horrible"?

[Tommy Karate]

[ATTACH]64268[/ATTACH]

As of now, mid-50s and sunny.

wow....advantage manning

[Tommy Karate]

they are favored by 6.5 points for a reason

my college bball acct wishes you were right about this theory, unfortunately its not even close to being true

[Tommy Karate]

NE can't even beat the jets and Miami on the road.

K13 - i would highly suggest you stop taking this approach to picking a winner.

what in the world would the patriots games at the jets and dolphins (2 divisional games btw) have to do with their match-up in the playoffs vs denver...

im on no one yet in this game by the way....weather will play a huge role for me in my final decision.

[Tommy Karate]

bill + money gets my money

Make manning prove it

my initial feeling as well (regardless of the bs ending, manning didnt again cover yesterday in the playoffs)

i hate the forecast being in the 50's though....

[No coincidences]

Because I think fair line is Denver -3

So if the fair line to you is -3 yet the books were offering +6-7, shouldn't that tell you something? Or do you think the books are just going to put a soft line out there for one of the most bet on games the entire year? You really think they're going to whiff by 3-4 points on their opening line?

[Zeus54]

I'm no casual fan dude...

Okay, bro...

Good luck with your Pats wager

I typically never bet on games involving my favorite teams (lots of idiots here on SBR seem to do so though... you're probably included), but I'll be throwing some coin on Denver ML. A jinx attempt, basically. I'll gladly take a Pats W over the money, though.