Aub/FSU: ML seems incredibly low for a 10/10.5 pt spread

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  • t-wizzle
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 12-18-09
    • 38099

    #1
    Aub/FSU: ML seems incredibly low for a 10/10.5 pt spread
    Even with the spread moving up to 10-10.5, the ML has hovered right around +300 at Pinny, fluctuating from +286 to +320.

    Shouldn't this ML be closer to +350? Does this mean sharps are essentially split on FSU big or Auburn outright?
  • crustyme
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 09-29-10
    • 16896

    #2
    another clueless idiot who thinks college ml = pro ml.

    +320 is where it's suppose to be, dumbfuk.



    Comment
    • t-wizzle
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 12-18-09
      • 38099

      #3
      Originally posted by crustyme
      another clueless idiot who thinks college ml = pro ml.

      +320 is where it's suppose to be, dumbfuk.



      Dude. Get a fukking life.
      Comment
      • t-wizzle
        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
        • 12-18-09
        • 38099

        #4
        Stupid fukking piece of shit crusty. I just used the SBR converted. It calculated +367 for the dog.

        You are so fukking dumb and pathetic. Don't come in here with your stupid shit you loser.
        Comment
        • ridims
          SBR MVP
          • 11-15-10
          • 3863

          #5
          notre dame were +286 dogs by a spread of 10 against bama last bcs title game

          with majority of bets on notre dame spread and ML we all saw what happened. ...
          Comment
          • t-wizzle
            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
            • 12-18-09
            • 38099

            #6
            Originally posted by ridims
            notre dame were +286 dogs by a spread of 10 against bama last bcs title game

            with majority of bets on notre dame spread and ML we all saw what happened. ...
            ND was a huge public play right? I think public is kinda split tonight.
            Comment
            • ridims
              SBR MVP
              • 11-15-10
              • 3863

              #7
              Originally posted by t-wizzle
              ND was a huge public play right? I think public is kinda split tonight.
              i believe auburn is a bigger public play .. bet percentages say so, especially on the moneyline. over 70% on ML, 60% on spread.
              Comment
              • crustyme
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 09-29-10
                • 16896

                #8
                Originally posted by t-wizzle
                Stupid fukking piece of shit crusty. I just used the SBR converted. It calculated +367 for the dog.

                You are so fukking dumb and pathetic. Don't come in here with your stupid shit you loser.
                10 is not +367 u lying dumbfuk.
                Comment
                • Parlayplayer
                  SBR High Roller
                  • 11-01-13
                  • 114

                  #9
                  Books have 1000-1 futures out on auburn right now that could bury them if the don't get ml action on fsu. What the books do in an attempt to hedge the futures is offer fsu ml at a discount say -275 or so and offer the auburn money line at a less enticing number like +300 on a +10 spread! Sharps jump on the reduced fsu ml all the time because that's where they are getting value. If u see low numbers at particular books and not at others, this is usually why. They have a lot of futures they have to cover and by offering a low +ml aub and/or a reduced -ml for fsu this will get money on the fsu ml and help hedge any futures if auburn wins.
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                  • t-wizzle
                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                    • 12-18-09
                    • 38099

                    #10
                    Originally posted by crustyme
                    10 is not +367 u lying dumbfuk.
                    Plug in -10 -115 (fave), +102 (dog).

                    Now tell me what it calculated. Thanks.
                    Comment
                    • ridims
                      SBR MVP
                      • 11-15-10
                      • 3863

                      #11
                      hey twizz what have you done to crusty that you made him so angry and upset
                      Comment
                      • Big Bear
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 11-01-11
                        • 43253

                        #12
                        Originally posted by Parlayplayer
                        Books have 1000-1 futures out on auburn right now that could bury them if the don't get ml action on fsu. What the books do in an attempt to hedge the futures is offer fsu ml at a discount say -275 or so and offer the auburn money line at a less enticing number like +300 on a +10 spread! Sharps jump on the reduced fsu ml all the time because that's where they are getting value. If u see low numbers at particular books and not at others, this is usually why. They have a lot of futures they have to cover and by offering a low +ml aub and/or a reduced -ml for fsu this will get money on the fsu ml and help hedge any futures if auburn wins.
                        makes sense.
                        Comment
                        • crustyme
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 09-29-10
                          • 16896

                          #13
                          Originally posted by t-wizzle
                          Plug in -10 -115 (fave), +102 (dog).

                          Now tell me what it calculated. Thanks.
                          why would i pay -115 when its -110 in vegas dumbfuk?



                          70% on aub ml and this airbetting dumbfuk doesnt know why ml isnt close to +400. what a dumbfuk!

                          2+2= potato?

                          lol
                          Comment
                          • t-wizzle
                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                            • 12-18-09
                            • 38099

                            #14
                            I'm done arguing with this moron.

                            I specifically referenced Pinny odds in the OP. Those odds are -10 -115/+102. Most shops are at -10.5. So either way you slice it, the ML would typically be in the +360s range.
                            Comment
                            • 15805
                              SBR MVP
                              • 06-10-12
                              • 3604

                              #15
                              Originally posted by t-wizzle
                              Even with the spread moving up to 10-10.5, the ML has hovered right around +300 at Pinny, fluctuating from +286 to +320.

                              Shouldn't this ML be closer to +350? Does this mean sharps are essentially split on FSU big or Auburn outright?
                              For a long time Auburn was +8 and ML +220 at one book. That is out of line. I took -260 on Fla State max money & now can get +335 with Auburn. Your correct the pointspread indicated that the moneyline would soar!
                              Comment
                              • pavyracer
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 04-12-07
                                • 82840

                                #16
                                Many people have parlays closing in on FSU ML since it's the only game tonight. So they are is a lot of hedging going on with Auburn ML that's why it is lower than it should. It has nothing to do with sharps.
                                Comment
                                • t-wizzle
                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                  • 12-18-09
                                  • 38099

                                  #17
                                  Stupid fukking bag of dog shit crustyme.


                                  Line is now -11 -110/-102 at Pinnacle. ML is +325. Meanwhile the sbr ml converter projects that to a +407 dog.
                                  Comment
                                  • Rainman10
                                    SBR High Roller
                                    • 11-07-13
                                    • 112

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by Parlayplayer
                                    Books have 1000-1 futures out on auburn right now that could bury them if the don't get ml action on fsu. What the books do in an attempt to hedge the futures is offer fsu ml at a discount say -275 or so and offer the auburn money line at a less enticing number like +300 on a +10 spread! Sharps jump on the reduced fsu ml all the time because that's where they are getting value. If u see low numbers at particular books and not at others, this is usually why. They have a lot of futures they have to cover and by offering a low +ml aub and/or a reduced -ml for fsu this will get money on the fsu ml and help hedge any futures if auburn wins.
                                    Wow ESPN dick suck much? There's probably only 8 of those 1000-1 future bets out there in all of Vegas combined.
                                    Comment
                                    • JR007
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 02-21-10
                                      • 5279

                                      #19
                                      thanks parlay player
                                      Comment
                                      • King tut
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 10-13-13
                                        • 814

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by t-wizzle
                                        I'm done arguing with this moron.

                                        I specifically referenced Pinny odds in the OP. Those odds are -10 -115/+102. Most shops are at -10.5. So either way you slice it, the ML would typically be in the +360s range.
                                        I agree with you t-wizzle . My book and me talked about this early. Tell crusty to go crust himself
                                        Comment
                                        • JR007
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 02-21-10
                                          • 5279

                                          #21
                                          crusty's a useless shitstick ...ever wonder why he hasn't been banned.????.....says it all SBR
                                          Comment
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