Prop bets worth considering in tonight's championship game.

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  • stevenash
    Moderator
    • 01-17-11
    • 65674

    #1
    Prop bets worth considering in tonight's championship game.
    Longest TD over/under 59.5
    OVER
    Winston can easily hit a homerun ball for over 60 yards.
    Ditto for Marshall, who'll be getting a lot of one on one looks especially if FSU concentrates on stopping the nations top ranked rush attack.

    Over is the play

    Longest pass completion: Nick Marshall
    over/under 38.5 yards

    OVER
    (See above)

    Over is the play

    Total rush yards: Tre Mason
    over/under 23.5 yards

    UNDER
    Seminioles defense game plan is stuff the rush
    FSU targets Mason all game

    Under is the play

    Total pass completions: Winston
    over/under 20.5

    OVER
    Winston completes many 'check down' passes tonight.

    Over is the play

    Total rush yards Freeman:
    over/under 90.5

    UNDER

    Winston will involve all his weapons tonight.
    Williams will get a lot of touches tonight
    Won't be run the rock with Freeman all night.

    Under is the play
  • BigBoi
    SBR MVP
    • 04-01-11
    • 1084

    #2
    Tre Mason will have more than that rushing. Id risk my mortgage on that.
    Comment
    • ChalkyDog
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 10-02-11
      • 9598

      #3
      24 yards for Tre Mason?

      I don't give a shit what FSU's gameplan is, the guy can cash that on any one touch alone. WTF else is Auburn going to do but run it?

      If Vegas really think that is a fair line, I do not see how Auburn can come within 30 points of covering.
      Comment
      • BigBoi
        SBR MVP
        • 04-01-11
        • 1084

        #4
        Exactly what im thinkin Chalky.
        Comment
        • DeFab146
          SBR Hustler
          • 10-22-10
          • 61

          #5
          I think that is supposed to be 123.5 rush yards for Mason. FYI
          Comment
          • DeFab146
            SBR Hustler
            • 10-22-10
            • 61

            #6
            Or that is longest rush not total rush yards.
            Comment
            • BigBoi
              SBR MVP
              • 04-01-11
              • 1084

              #7
              has to be.
              Comment
              • irishstuey
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 08-22-08
                • 604

                #8
                it's longest run, I just saw it at 22.5
                Comment
                • warbux
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 11-17-13
                  • 896

                  #9
                  T.Mason rushing yards over 120½ <input id="editx" name="M1_159" size="4" style="font-size: 1em; color: rgb(68, 68, 68);"> +100
                  Comment
                  • irishstuey
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 08-22-08
                    • 604

                    #10
                    I don't see how Auburn is going to stop, let alone slow down the FSU offense. I really like Kelvin Benjamin o79.5 for the game and longest pass completion over 46.5. Also Benjamin is +600 for first TD. Last two games I think Benjamin has become the number 1, especially in the redzone, as far as wr's go.
                    Comment
                    • BigdaddyQH
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 07-13-09
                      • 19530

                      #11
                      Interesting, but what type of vig are we looking at?
                      Comment
                      • kcburg
                        SBR MVP
                        • 12-30-10
                        • 1219

                        #12
                        Winston over 22.5 yds rushing...
                        Comment
                        • irishstuey
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 08-22-08
                          • 604

                          #13
                          -15/-20 if you were responding to me.
                          Comment
                          • irishstuey
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 08-22-08
                            • 604

                            #14
                            Originally posted by kcburg
                            Winston over 22.5 yds rushing...
                            I have it at 18.5 -115
                            Comment
                            • stevenash
                              Moderator
                              • 01-17-11
                              • 65674

                              #15
                              Originally posted by DeFab146
                              I think that is supposed to be 123.5 rush yards for Mason. FYI
                              It is, sorry
                              Longest run is 23.5
                              Comment
                              • kcburg
                                SBR MVP
                                • 12-30-10
                                • 1219

                                #16
                                Originally posted by irishstuey
                                I have it at 18.5 -115
                                I have 20.5 juiced -140 and 22.5 juiced at -125....not sure if I can post the link but listen to the Todd Furman's podcast...lots of good insight from guys who follow the teams and talked to the coaches....
                                Comment
                                • stevenash
                                  Moderator
                                  • 01-17-11
                                  • 65674

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by irishstuey
                                  I have it at 18.5 -115
                                  Shop around, different books have different numbers at different vig prices.
                                  Comment
                                  • irishstuey
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 08-22-08
                                    • 604

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by kcburg
                                    I have 20.5 juiced -140 and 22.5 juiced at -125....not sure if I can post the link but listen to the Todd Furman's podcast...lots of good insight from guys who follow the teams and talked to the coaches....
                                    I'm not saying it doesn't look good. Just a takes a couple sacks to kill it. GL
                                    Comment
                                    • kcburg
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 12-30-10
                                      • 1219

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by irishstuey
                                      I'm not saying it doesn't look good. Just a takes a couple sacks to kill it. GL

                                      no worries take a listen if you have a chance..
                                      Comment
                                      • stevenash
                                        Moderator
                                        • 01-17-11
                                        • 65674

                                        #20
                                        My strongest prop play
                                        Thought I'd lock it in now

                                        21035324-1 1/6/14 2:09pm $110.00 $100.00 Pending 1/6/14 8:25pm Props Football 4861 J.Winston pass completions over 21 -110* <small style="padding: 0px; margin: 0px;">vs</small> J.Winston pass completions under 21
                                        Comment
                                        • M.W.
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 09-07-08
                                          • 1668

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by stevenash
                                          Longest TD over/under 59.5
                                          Is that for the full game, or just the last 15 seconds?
                                          Comment
                                          • Jotoole0821
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 01-23-13
                                            • 857

                                            #22
                                            i think the best prop even though its juiced at -170 is winston over 2.5 tds. i looked through all the games this year..i think 3 times he failed to score 3. i like it alot. also like auburn TT over 28.5
                                            Comment
                                            • kcburg
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 12-30-10
                                              • 1219

                                              #23
                                              Dumbest prop ever, but steamed down from -2000 earlier today.

                                              Mon 1/6 907 Lee Corso picks Auburn to win +370
                                              6:00PM 908 Lee Corso picks Florida State to win -560
                                              Comment
                                              • PAYTON20
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 02-02-10
                                                • 5217

                                                #24
                                                Tre Mason OVER 0.5 Touchdowns.

                                                yeah it's heavily juiced, but seems like close to a lock
                                                Comment
                                                • kcburg
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 12-30-10
                                                  • 1219

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by PAYTON20
                                                  Tre Mason OVER 0.5 Touchdowns.

                                                  yeah it's heavily juiced, but seems like close to a lock

                                                  I have yes no Mason scores a TD in the first have at -110 yes -130 no...
                                                  Comment
                                                  • jjgold
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 07-20-05
                                                    • 388179

                                                    #26
                                                    I think props are ok if you do lots of research

                                                    Its a specialty market

                                                    Nashy good info and best of luck tonight
                                                    Comment
                                                    • YSW
                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                      • 12-16-13
                                                      • 199

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by kcburg
                                                      I have yes no Mason scores a TD in the first have at -110 yes -130 no...
                                                      Took him to cover that one. Luckily it's not just rushing so the swing passes are still in play
                                                      Comment
                                                      • NJcap
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 05-30-13
                                                        • 1381

                                                        #28
                                                        fsu scores in all 4 qtrs @ -125
                                                        Comment
                                                        • VegasInsider
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 12-12-10
                                                          • 14593

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by NJcap
                                                          fsu scores in all 4 qtrs @ -125
                                                          I was just getting to post this one here. I played it earlier today when it was +100, great play IMO
                                                          Comment
                                                          • InTheDrink
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 11-23-09
                                                            • 23983

                                                            #30
                                                            mason is 0.5 o/u receptions

                                                            he's had a few games with no receptions but that could be the fastest prop win this side of length of the nat'l anthem
                                                            Comment
                                                            • VegasInsider
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 12-12-10
                                                              • 14593

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by InTheDrink
                                                              mason is 0.5 o/u receptions

                                                              he's had a few games with no receptions but that could be the fastest prop win this side of length of the nat'l anthem
                                                              Yeah, it's also like -260 at 5dimes.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • TonyTall
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 08-21-13
                                                                • 3551

                                                                #32
                                                                fumble 1st turnover +140

                                                                marshall only predictied to attempt 18 passes all game. winston has only 5 picks all year long. add in that FSU will be in a lot of tossing lanes and i think this hits
                                                                Comment
                                                                • InTheDrink
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 11-23-09
                                                                  • 23983

                                                                  #33
                                                                  if you wanna play the jitter angle, no score first 5 minutes is +115
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • boss_of_um
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 08-18-11
                                                                    • 1092

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by InTheDrink
                                                                    if you wanna play the jitter angle, no score first 5 minutes is +115
                                                                    I bet 'YES' on this prop.

                                                                    Also bet Mason's first rush attempt >3.5 yards and Winston >21 completions.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • InTheDrink
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 11-23-09
                                                                      • 23983

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by InTheDrink
                                                                      if you wanna play the jitter angle, no score first 5 minutes is +115
                                                                      winner literally by seconds
                                                                      Comment
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