Looking Ahead To Thursday

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  • VegasInsider
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 12-12-10
    • 14593

    #1
    Looking Ahead To Thursday
    A couple juicy looking college hoops games on the slate. Already booked these two for tomorrow.

    Clemson -6.5

    So Cal -1.5

    Clemson is hands down the better team here and there is no reason why the Tigers shouldn't go into Auburn and walk out with a double-digit victory. I usually don't like laying 5+ points on road favs, but I think this is a good spot. Clemson plays absolutely smothering defense and plays a very methodical game on the offensive end. If Auburn isn't hitting some shots and they're possessions are limited then it could get ugly for the Tigers. Auburn hasn't played in 11 days after two blowout losses to Iowa State and Illinois. I know the Tigers are 4-1 at home, but they've played absolutely no one! Beating the likes of Nichols St, Jax St, Murray St and Tennessee St will not get my money on their side. Roll with Clemson here!

    In the second game, I'm merely playing the better team with a short number. Long Beach State has played a murderers row schedule to start this season. I don't know why, but this AD has pinned them against Arizona, Michigan, Kansas State (twice), NC State, Creighton, VCU, and Washington. That's 8 of the first 10 games vs. power conference opponents. It's no surprise their 1-9 and have lost 9 straight! However, looking a little deeper into this game, it's a play ON Southern Cal. The Trojans don't do anything exceptionally well, but they do everything pretty decent. They defend, they're offensively efficient, they rebound on both ends of the floor and they've played a decent enough non-conference schedule to justify a 7-3 record. The Trojans looked great against Xavier and are coming off 3 straight victories. This team is going to beat whom they should and lose to the better opponents. At only -1.5 and a short drive from campus, I'll take the Trojans here and hope I'm not falling into the same trap as two weeks ago with Cal.

    Those are the two NCAAB locked in for Thursday. I'm also on Edmonton/Colorado Over 5.5 (+100)

    Goodluck all.
  • Madetowin
    SBR MVP
    • 01-07-09
    • 1373

    #2
    Auburn is avg like 80 pts at home while clemson on the road isn't real putting up strong performances. I would LOVE clemson at home but, away at Auburn giving 6 pts seems can't pull the trigger. Remember , clemson just lost to Arkansas on the road by 6 pts. Now i completely completely agree with ur USC pick. LB is complete complete trash. 1-9 and losing by about 10+ pts constantly. With such a low line def. a decent play.

    Kind of like the under in the NHL game. But either way good luck on your plays this is just my insight. We usually are on the same page but this one looks a bit rough. Think there are some much better opportunities out there they you might stumble across.
    Comment
    • cankid
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 08-22-08
      • 7231

      #3
      ok gluck tomorrow
      Comment
      • VegasInsider
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 12-12-10
        • 14593

        #4
        Originally posted by Madetowin
        Auburn is avg like 80 pts at home while clemson on the road isn't real putting up strong performances. I would LOVE clemson at home but, away at Auburn giving 6 pts seems can't pull the trigger. Remember , clemson just lost to Arkansas on the road by 6 pts. Now i completely completely agree with ur USC pick. LB is complete complete trash. 1-9 and losing by about 10+ pts constantly. With such a low line def. a decent play.

        Kind of like the under in the NHL game. But either way good luck on your plays this is just my insight. We usually are on the same page but this one looks a bit rough. Think there are some much better opportunities out there they you might stumble across.
        They've put up those totals vs. the following schools

        76 vs. Nichols State
        92 vs. Northwestern State (#1 fastest tempo in NCAAB, so the 92 is because they had some many possessions)
        78 vs. Jacksonville State
        75 vs. Murray State
        78 vs. Tennessee State

        Not very talented.

        They've scored 62 and 70 in their only two games against halfway decent teams, both blowout loses in which they gave up 81 and 99 points. Clemson has one of the best defenses in the country, one of the Top 5 for sure.
        Comment
        • Ghenghis Kahn
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 01-02-12
          • 19734

          #5
          Pinny lean doesn't agree with your clemson.

          if you like clemson you should wait till tomorrow, it'll probably go down to 5.
          Comment
          • chalk46
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 12-14-13
            • 564

            #6
            ^I too feel that you could hold off on that Clemson game and get it at <6.5
            Comment
            • VegasInsider
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 12-12-10
              • 14593

              #7
              It adjusted 1/2 point since opening, that's nothing to be concerned about.

              Look at the UNC total I posted about last night. Opened at 148, jumped to 149 and was bought back to 148.5

              I'd be shocked if this number gets to 5. It'll end up 6-7
              Comment
              • chalk46
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 12-14-13
                • 564

                #8
                Wright State is worth looking at for tomorrow. They're playing Eastern Ill. & they've been roughed up their past couple of games. EIU leading scorer and assist guy is questionable right now. Wright State is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 @ home. I just put down on W.S -12. If Smith for EIU is deemed out, the spread will increase at least 1 pt.
                Comment
                • VegasInsider
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 12-12-10
                  • 14593

                  #9
                  As expected, entire world is on USC and now at -2.5
                  Comment
                  • jjgold
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 07-20-05
                    • 388179

                    #10
                    Insider is very hot
                    one of the most underrated handicappers and SBR
                    he does his homework and does it well
                    Comment
                    • BIGDAY
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 02-17-10
                      • 48245

                      #11
                      Okay. I'll pound em.
                      Comment
                      • Madetowin
                        SBR MVP
                        • 01-07-09
                        • 1373

                        #12
                        *Long Beach excited, as UCLA transfer G Tyler Lamb will be eligible for the first time this season.*
                        Comment
                        • VegasInsider
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 12-12-10
                          • 14593

                          #13
                          God damn Auburn is getting pounded! Never would have thought -6.5 was the worst number by a wide margin. I guess everyone else will have the easier road tonight. Go Clemson!
                          Comment
                          • VegasInsider
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 12-12-10
                            • 14593

                            #14
                            Added Play:

                            Arizona/Southern Over 138.5 (-120)

                            Stupid game is in the Added section and subject to -120 lines. Bastards. Looks like the best total on the board tonight.
                            Comment
                            • downsouth
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 01-13-11
                              • 11580

                              #15
                              Clemson -4.5 on 5 dimes
                              Usc back down to -1.5 at various shops
                              Comment
                              • VegasInsider
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 12-12-10
                                • 14593

                                #16
                                That's very surprising but I don't mind being against a 2 point move. I sure did read the public wrong here.
                                Comment
                                • downsouth
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 01-13-11
                                  • 11580

                                  #17
                                  Usc move back to 1.5 wasn't public move. Not sure what drove clemson.

                                  On long beach 2.5 here so maybe 2 point usc win.

                                  Good luck
                                  Comment
                                  • Jago2008
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 05-18-11
                                    • 3047

                                    #18
                                    Nice write-up,

                                    Agree on the USC pick, they crushed this LBST team last year 62-44 and USC is a solid team on the boards and relates- offensive efficiency ~74ppg, just hope defense shows up tonight as it seemed USC was looking ahead in the previous CS-Bakersfield matchup.

                                    Auburn line moving against you as you previously mentioned - not always the whole story, and since I don't pay much attn to either of those teams much, nothing really to add.

                                    Good luck.
                                    Comment
                                    • Madison
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 09-16-11
                                      • 6467

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by BIGDAY
                                      Okay. I'll pound em.
                                      Big Day, no disrespect as we'd probably get along well, but half your posts are "OK I'll pound em"... I mean I love it and everything but ...
                                      Comment
                                      • VegasInsider
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 12-12-10
                                        • 14593

                                        #20
                                        BigDay is an all time team player. Great dude.
                                        Comment
                                        • Madison
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 09-16-11
                                          • 6467

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by VegasInsider
                                          BigDay is an all time team player. Great dude.
                                          No doubt... He is the all time "I'll POUND it." Don't get me wrong .. love it.
                                          Comment
                                          • chalk46
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 12-14-13
                                            • 564

                                            #22
                                            USC down to a pick. I'm pouncing.
                                            Comment
                                            • TankHankerous
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 03-22-12
                                              • 2088

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by Madison
                                              No doubt... He is the all time "I'll POUND it." Don't get me wrong .. love it.
                                              but.... your name is Madison

                                              little rich girls that live on Madison Ave in Manhattan are named Madison you square fuk
                                              Comment
                                              • VegasInsider
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 12-12-10
                                                • 14593

                                                #24
                                                Clemson
                                                Comment
                                                • chalk46
                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                  • 12-14-13
                                                  • 564

                                                  #25
                                                  Got a chance on USC
                                                  Comment
                                                  • VegasInsider
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 12-12-10
                                                    • 14593

                                                    #26
                                                    Yeah, brutal. I'm ready for 0-2
                                                    Comment
                                                    • chalk46
                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                      • 12-14-13
                                                      • 564

                                                      #27
                                                      You got -2 or 1.5? 2 is best case a push probably.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • chalk46
                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                        • 12-14-13
                                                        • 564

                                                        #28
                                                        Well, F
                                                        Comment
                                                        • ZetaPsi808
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 09-18-08
                                                          • 12119

                                                          #29
                                                          usc was a bad beat. they should have stopped lb st at the end and then got 2 free throws for the cover

                                                          VI who do we like for fridays games ace
                                                          Comment
                                                          • bobby heenan
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 03-20-09
                                                            • 4120

                                                            #30
                                                            VI is a good dude..intelligent...i usually look at his plays and consider them....sometimes i tail...im glad i decided to sit these out......i absolutely cringe laying points on the road.....sometimes i do it....and when i do i feel completely guilty and when i lose i always think "i knew better".......there are spots where its too good to pass up.....but i hate losing laying on the road.....prob the worst feeling
                                                            Comment
                                                            • VegasInsider
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 12-12-10
                                                              • 14593

                                                              #31
                                                              That was tough last night. Clemson got down early then had the game in and let it slip away. USC was brutal. Just one of those nights. Too many defensive letdowns by both teams

                                                              Zeta - I hate everything tonight. It's a terrible card and I'll save my money for Saturday's incredible lineup.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • chalk46
                                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                                • 12-14-13
                                                                • 564

                                                                #32
                                                                Not being a dick, but Vegas, were you aware of the Tyler Lamb situation? He was clearly the difference in the game. If Lamb had been playing all year then LBSU might be at .500. On the flip, if he doesn't play last night, then USC covers no problem
                                                                Comment
                                                                • VegasInsider
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 12-12-10
                                                                  • 14593

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Yes, I was totally aware that it was his first game back. Trust me, I put due diligence into every play I post. Also, that's horaeshit that LBST would be .500 with Lamb in the lineup. They're still a below-average team that happens to have a pretty good talent in Lamb. Long Beach does this every year, they schedule tough non-conf games that are usually away from home. USC just sucked in the first half and late in the game.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • chalk46
                                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                                    • 12-14-13
                                                                    • 564

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Maybe not .500 but there are at least 3 games that he makes a deficient difference in.
                                                                    Comment
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