Potential ALL-IN on Wednesday

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  • VegasInsider
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 12-12-10
    • 14593

    #1
    Potential ALL-IN on Wednesday
    Someone give me a reason to not go all in on UNC/Texas Over on anything less than 145

    This game should be a shootout IMO

    I can't wait for the totals to come out!

    I'm hoping they hang a high-130s out there, but I doubt it. 145 and I'm happy
  • chalk46
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 12-14-13
    • 564

    #2
    I thought the same thing about a week ago when high scoring Boise State came to UK. Had the makings of a 93-75 game. I'll be dammed if they didn't come up in Rupp Arena and hold the ball for big parts of the game. 70-55 final & missed by like 35 points. Never know what kind of tactics a double digit road dog might resort to.
    Comment
    • VegasInsider
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 12-12-10
      • 14593

      #3
      That's an interesting game to bring up, chalk. I watched that game and was surprised with how Boise approached it. Texas has historically had strong guard play and usually feels comfortable, as a program, running up and down the floor. Roy would love nothing more than a shootout and this might be a good spot. I'm praying they hang a decent number out there. Anything over 150 and it's a no play. Anything under 140 and it's Pound Town.
      Comment
      • chalk46
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 12-14-13
        • 564

        #4
        As an avid UK fan and knowing the trends of how they play mid-majors at home, I was bit shocked at how that one turned out .Boise conceded the loss & just tried to keep it close. One positive about UNC at home, is they don't necessarily need the other team to get the over. I think they're capable of scoring 86-90 tomorrow. That place will be rockin, that's for sure.
        Comment
        • Cuse0323
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 12-09-09
          • 30169

          #5
          I'd feel better about it if UNC could shoot the 3 at all. But, this year you can rely on FT's to get you there though they don't shoot particularly well there either. Texas has a pretty poor FG% as a team as well. I mean it should be an up and down game with lots of points but could get ugly and together they only give up 135 on average a game. Those are just some reasons not to go on it from the other side of it, but I wish you well
          Comment
          • VegasInsider
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 12-12-10
            • 14593

            #6
            The number means everything here. It's one of those games where a soft total could really be taken advantage of. It could go from All-In to no play with a hard total. I'm really looking for anything 145 or less. I'd kill for 138-139
            Comment
            • chalk46
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 12-14-13
              • 564

              #7
              I think 139 would almost scare me off, personally. lol. I had the game on Saturday, but couldn't follow that closely because of a Christmas party going on around me, but I didn't really like how that game was called with. It went over and I felt like there was a lot of points left out there on no-calls..that would be assuming that UK could cash in on free throws, which is a moot point.
              Comment
              • jjgold
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 07-20-05
                • 388179

                #8
                Game flow hard to predict
                You do not know a game plan heading into a game

                A slower paced game might favor one team in a matchup
                Comment
                • MickeyMan
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 10-20-09
                  • 5091

                  #9
                  If you are going all in on a play shouldn't you have a good idea on what the line will be? You have mentioned anywhere from high 130's to low 150's as your guesses.....sounds like you have no clue
                  Comment
                  • Cuse0323
                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                    • 12-09-09
                    • 30169

                    #10
                    Not the number you wanted. 148, I'd roll under here if I had to.
                    Comment
                    • ctny85
                      SBR High Roller
                      • 10-18-13
                      • 188

                      #11
                      Originally posted by jjgold
                      Game flow hard to predict
                      You do not know a game plan heading into a game

                      A slower paced game might favor one team in a matchup
                      You can bank on Roy Williams and Carolina coming out to run but the team has only one consistent shooter in Marcus Paige.
                      Comment
                      • DAVEYCROCKET
                        SBR High Roller
                        • 12-06-13
                        • 194

                        #12
                        still like it at 149? I am passing for now to see where line goes
                        Comment
                        • VegasInsider
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 12-12-10
                          • 14593

                          #13
                          Originally posted by MickeyMan
                          If you are going all in on a play shouldn't you have a good idea on what the line will be? You have mentioned anywhere from high 130's to low 150's as your guesses.....sounds like you have no clue
                          I stated right in the first post that 145 and I'd be happy. I just said that I hoped they would throw 138-139 out there, which didn't happen. The posted total came out pretty much as to be expected. I still think it's a decent play at 149, but not worthy of hammer time, which would have been the case at 140. I think the books are seeing the same thing I am here. I'm banking on a lot of possessions and shots, which will outweigh the terrible shooting percentages of these two on average.
                          Comment
                          • VegasInsider
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 12-12-10
                            • 14593

                            #14
                            Originally posted by DAVEYCROCKET
                            still like it at 149? I am passing for now to see where line goes
                            I made a small play at 148 when it opened at 5dimes. I think it's only going to creep into the 150's
                            Comment
                            • Doughboy22
                              SBR MVP
                              • 02-01-12
                              • 4189

                              #15
                              Took it at 148 as well. Fast start
                              Comment
                              • VegasInsider
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 12-12-10
                                • 14593

                                #16
                                15 points the first first 2.5 minutes.

                                Why the fukk am I a pussy?!
                                Comment
                                • VegasInsider
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 12-12-10
                                  • 14593

                                  #17
                                  21 in 3 minutes

                                  Fukk me. No balls.
                                  Comment
                                  • Doughboy22
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 02-01-12
                                    • 4189

                                    #18
                                    These guys can't shoot free throws huh vagas? It's pathetic.
                                    Comment
                                    • Doughboy22
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 02-01-12
                                      • 4189

                                      #19
                                      Almost 40 pts in 6 mins
                                      Comment
                                      • VegasInsider
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 12-12-10
                                        • 14593

                                        #20
                                        64 points in 12 minutes. Texas did EXACTLY what I thought they would.

                                        It's a nice feeling when you handicap a game correctly.
                                        Comment
                                        • Doughboy22
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 02-01-12
                                          • 4189

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by VegasInsider
                                          64 points in 12 minutes. Texas did EXACTLY what I thought they would.

                                          It's a nice feeling when you handicap a game correctly.
                                          Not there yet but this was very well capped. Nice work VI
                                          Comment
                                          • Cuse0323
                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                            • 12-09-09
                                            • 30169

                                            #22
                                            Good shit, more offensive rebounds for Texas than UNC has total.
                                            Comment
                                            • VegasInsider
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 12-12-10
                                              • 14593

                                              #23
                                              Texas is one of the best offensive rebounding teams in the country. KenPom has then ranked 28th in offensive rebound percentage
                                              Comment
                                              • TwoWays
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 03-24-10
                                                • 13145

                                                #24
                                                Vi very sharper than the line 2x
                                                Comment
                                                • Doughboy22
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 02-01-12
                                                  • 4189

                                                  #25
                                                  Here comes the sweat
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Doughboy22
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 02-01-12
                                                    • 4189

                                                    #26
                                                    6 pts in 4 minutes.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • pattymayo
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 05-19-09
                                                      • 10221

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by Doughboy22
                                                      Here comes the sweat
                                                      lol you need 40 points in the last 15 min

                                                      why is there a sweat?
                                                      Comment
                                                      • VegasInsider
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 12-12-10
                                                        • 14593

                                                        #28
                                                        No sweat at all. Just think about how many FT's there will be down the stretch when UNC makes their run.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • VegasInsider
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 12-12-10
                                                          • 14593

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by TwoWays
                                                          Vi very sharper than the line 2x
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Doughboy22
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 02-01-12
                                                            • 4189

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by pattymayo
                                                            lol you need 40 points in the last 15 min

                                                            why is there a sweat?
                                                            I hear you bro. Now I need 40 in 13 minutes. As they go another 2 scoreless.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Doughboy22
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 02-01-12
                                                              • 4189

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by VegasInsider
                                                              No sweat at all. Just think about how many FT's there will be down the stretch when UNC makes their run.
                                                              Think about how many they have missed
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Doughboy22
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 02-01-12
                                                                • 4189

                                                                #32
                                                                Let's just get some pts and finish this thing.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Doughboy22
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 02-01-12
                                                                  • 4189

                                                                  #33
                                                                  34-60 on fts
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • VegasInsider
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 12-12-10
                                                                    • 14593

                                                                    #34
                                                                    It's over now. Scoring picked up in 4 minutes
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • tatddy
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 03-02-10
                                                                      • 10779

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Allin? I thought you were broke. Gl man.
                                                                      Comment
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