Question On Houston Portland Opening Line Of Portland -3.5

easyliving · 12-13-13, 12:03 AM

A ton of sharp money on Houston, don't believe those sites, don't forget sharps bet larger amounts than your average public bettor.

Madetowin · 12-13-13, 12:04 AM

Line opened at -4 Portland . Take Houston for the 2nd half.

TheMoneyShot · 12-13-13, 01:15 AM

Clearly Vegas wanted NO PART of the Sharps. Wow. Glad I read this well. Nice post EASY

No coincidences · 12-13-13, 01:16 AM

I can't believe Portland was only -2 for the second half.

This team is ungoddamstoppable at home. I don't think they've missed a shot since the second quarter.

nikossf · 12-13-13, 01:23 AM

Originally posted by TheMoneyShot

At game time line went to -2.5 Portland almost everywhere in Vegas.

Some offshore books went to -2 Portland at game time.

A lot of free service line movement sites claiming 70% Portland ML and 72% Portland Spread

This doesn't make any sense to me.

Public on Portland but line going the other way???

My initial reaction is that Portland knocks these clowns the fuk out in the 2H

What do you guys think?

Its all about the money, man.. Larger wagers move lines. Or.. A lot of little wagers added up slowly move lines.
If there is a lot of parlay money and smaller money on one side but Larger, single wagers on the other side.
They will have to adjust accordingly. Throw in certain books knowing which players to watch for they can always adjust.

Dollars2Donuts · 12-13-13, 01:27 AM

I was shocked that it slid the other way as well, even with all of the above factors. I caught them at -3 and would have doubled down if I had seen the line hit -2.

VegasInsider · 12-13-13, 01:27 AM

Stay away from those free percentage sites. No one can verify where the info is coming from or if it's accurate. It's hard enough to even trust SportOptions and they're highly regarded as one of the best in the industry. It's all smoke and mirrors IMO. Everyone is working together to give the 'ole FUKK JOB to Joe Q. Public..

No coincidences · 12-13-13, 01:33 AM

Originally posted by VegasInsider

Stay away from those free percentage sites. No one can verify where the info is coming from or if it's accurate. It's hard enough to even trust SportOptions and they're highly regarded as one of the best in the industry. It's all smoke and mirrors IMO. Everyone is working together to give the 'ole FUKK JOB to Joe Q. Public..

Stop and think about it for a minute though -- do you honestly think "Joe Q. Public" was on the Rockets here?

Dollars2Donuts · 12-13-13, 01:53 AM

Originally posted by No coincidences

Stop and think about it for a minute though -- do you honestly think "Joe Q. Public" was on the Rockets here?

For some reason I actually believe the public was on the Rockets. I actually had the feeling that I was betting the sharp side with my bet on the Trail Blazers.

Oh, and by the way.....I have NEVER, EVER even glanced at one of these sites. I don't really care who is betting where, I can about picking the winning team.....IMO I am as good as the books, unless the fix is actually in on a given game. If you don't think that way (confidence is everything) you may as well hang up your wagering shoes and quit.