Am I actually taking the Bears -1 tonight? You bet.

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  • Ballerholic
    SBR MVP
    • 01-16-13
    • 2767

    #1
    Am I actually taking the Bears -1 tonight? You bet.
    Cowboys +1 @ Bears

    So why take the Bears tonight? Well at first I was all over the Cowboys. Thinking how can this Bears D stop anyone? I figured Murray would run all over this Chi-town D. But then I checked the numbers. Bears are 32nd against the run and 15th against the pass. However, Cowboys are 15th passing in the league, and 27th rushing. Now I don't exactly know if the Bears are gonna be run over. The Bears have a pretty good offense, finally. They are 5th in the league in passing, and 21st rushing. The Cowboys D are 32nd against the pass, and 27th against the run.
    Even though Bears dominate the passing game on both sides here, this will probably be more of a rushing game due to the cold weather. But, again this is a Chi-town team who are used to the cold playing a Dome Texas team.
    Bears are 4-2 at home beating the Bengals, Vikings, Giants and Ravens. Cowboys are 2-4 away beating the Eagles, and Giants.
    This is December where Romo usually doesn't play too well. Public is largely on the Cowboys with 67%. SNF the public favorite (Saints) won. Tonight, I expect the public dog to win.

    Bears -1 Let's get it!

    I gave you Hawks, Nets and Celtics. For 3-0 on B2B2B days.
  • walkingdude2
    SBR Sharp
    • 10-02-07
    • 335

    #2
    Nice post good information.

    I don't like the fact that the Bears are 2-9 ats and the Cowboys are 8-4. Combined totals on the over is 15-9 but the weather may be a factor.
    Comment
    • LT Profits
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 10-27-06
      • 90963

      #3
      Originally posted by walkingdude2
      I don't like the fact that the Bears are 2-9 ats
      That basically goes out the window because this game is around a Pick though. The reason for the poor ATS record is because Bears are terrible favorites due to their run defense.
      Comment
      • Ballerholic
        SBR MVP
        • 01-16-13
        • 2767

        #4
        Originally posted by walkingdude2
        Nice post good information.

        I don't like the fact that the Bears are 2-9 ats and the Cowboys are 8-4. Combined totals on the over is 15-9 but the weather may be a factor.

        Books are probably looking to get the Bears ATS record closer to even right?
        Comment
        • Joey Blaze
          SBR Sharp
          • 10-01-13
          • 267

          #5
          Great write up.. I didnt like the spread the over or the under so I took the Cowboys +8.5 in a teaser.. honestly this game at a PK is a coin flip
          Comment
          • Ballerholic
            SBR MVP
            • 01-16-13
            • 2767

            #6
            Price moving towards -1.5, this is good
            Comment
            • ksnooksk
              SBR MVP
              • 11-18-11
              • 2890

              #7
              I like this. Let's get this cash.
              Comment
              • jjgold
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 07-20-05
                • 388179

                #8
                Comment
                • zacher
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 12-05-13
                  • 588

                  #9

                  3) BET ID=428943712
                  Straight Wager 12/09/13 09:06 ET
                  bet 50.00 to win 45.55 Result: Pending
                  Cowboys(Dallas)
                  Bears(Chicago)
                  12/09/13(20:45 ET)
                  Over 48 (-110)

                  4) BET ID=428943711
                  Straight Wager 12/09/13 09:06 ET
                  bet 50.00 to win 45.55 Result: Pending
                  Cowboys(Dallas)
                  Bears(Chicago)
                  12/09/13(20:45 ET)
                  Bears(Chicago) +1.5 (-110)

                  Heres my monday night picks… I went with the over but I am thinking I am lucky I jumped on the Bears with the +1.5
                  Comment
                  • Ballerholic
                    SBR MVP
                    • 01-16-13
                    • 2767

                    #10
                    Originally posted by jjgold
                    i like the under here. most games/ bad weather games went over yesterday. Both D bad tho. we'll see. I would have taken under but i see bears winning at least 60% of the time in this spot
                    Comment
                    • zacher
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 12-05-13
                      • 588

                      #11
                      Yeah its a cold weather game.. which you would assume under but then again both have really bad defenses I just think this game will be a down to the wire shootout with the likes of Brandon Marshall picking on some of the DBs/LBs even with McGown as their QB
                      Comment
                      • RickyRoma
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 10-24-13
                        • 624

                        #12
                        got the bears at +1, lookin forward to romoception..
                        Comment
                        • frankie2769
                          SBR High Roller
                          • 03-31-09
                          • 115

                          #13
                          Don't know who it will affect, but I just left the office downtown Chicago (not far from the stadium) and its windy and extremely cold. I believe its below 0 with the wind chill. Keep in mind the stadium is closer to the lake so its probably colder..
                          Comment
                          • ChalkyDog
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 10-02-11
                            • 9598

                            #14
                            Just a question, are you all betting +1 -110?

                            Why? What's the ML being offered at?

                            BTW, it's move to Bears -2 at bookmaker.
                            Comment
                            • RickyRoma
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 10-24-13
                              • 624

                              #15
                              Originally posted by ChalkyDog
                              Just a question, are you all betting +1 -110?

                              Why? What's the ML being offered at?

                              BTW, it's move to Bears -2 at bookmaker.

                              bovada had it last night bro =/
                              Comment
                              • ChalkyDog
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 10-02-11
                                • 9598

                                #16
                                Originally posted by RickyRoma
                                bovada had it last night bro =/
                                That's not my question, my question is why the fukk does anyone take +1 -110?
                                Comment
                                • SteveKerrsJunk
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 10-25-13
                                  • 2706

                                  #17
                                  Bears are good at home. But still suck overall.
                                  Comment
                                  • hossa8110
                                    SBR High Roller
                                    • 10-20-12
                                    • 242

                                    #18
                                    The bears just flat out suck just too banged up
                                    Comment
                                    • zacher
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 12-05-13
                                      • 588

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by ChalkyDog
                                      That's not my question, my question is why the fukk does anyone take +1 -110?

                                      I am thinking your asking like what the money line was at and why didn't I or RickyRoma didn't take that..

                                      I think when I placed the ML was at like +120 but I honestly don't know if the Bears will win but I think if they don't it will be a 1 point game to the boys…thats why I went with what I did because the line was at +1.5 not just 1 so it wouldn't push with me if they lost by 1 I'd still win.


                                      I am on sportsbook which I have heard mixed reviews about after I have opened my account but haven't had problems with them other than the fact you can count on their lines will be .5 more in whomever they see the favor.
                                      Comment
                                      • Mase of Base
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 07-24-12
                                        • 3622

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by ChalkyDog
                                        That's not my question, my question is why the fukk does anyone take +1 -110?
                                        I'm not but teams losing by one isn't out of the question. Happened once already this weekend and very nearly twice. So while I see your point I also can't begrudge anyone for taking the point on offer, push is better than a loss.
                                        Comment
                                        • ChalkyDog
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 10-02-11
                                          • 9598

                                          #21
                                          I can't agree with people taking +1 at full vig. I also won't sit here and tell people how to gamble their money either, especially when it is minutia shit we're talking about.

                                          So, once again, to each their own.
                                          Comment
                                          • Pivotpoint
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 08-02-06
                                            • 1762

                                            #22
                                            I get reduced juice, Bears + 1 - 108 / or ML was @ -105

                                            I took the point, cost me a few bucks, whatever. Crazy shit happens

                                            Good Luck Ballerholic and all Bears backers.

                                            Usually wish BOL to all, but hate penetrating Cowgirls and Jerry Jones.

                                            May their vaginas freeze in these frigid temps.

                                            Go Bears
                                            Comment
                                            • Ballerholic
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 01-16-13
                                              • 2767

                                              #23
                                              And here we go... BOL all
                                              Comment
                                              • ksnooksk
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 11-18-11
                                                • 2890

                                                #24
                                                Comment
                                                • JayLA
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 09-11-12
                                                  • 7806

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by ChalkyDog
                                                  I can't agree with people taking +1 at full vig. I also won't sit here and tell people how to gamble their money either, especially when it is minutia shit we're talking about.

                                                  So, once again, to each their own.
                                                  Im a novice bettor and it makes complete sense.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • zacher
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 12-05-13
                                                    • 588

                                                    #26
                                                    theres that TOTAL OVER most people wouldn't take because of the weather.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Ballerholic
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 01-16-13
                                                      • 2767

                                                      #27
                                                      Well congrats to all that tailed. We made some nice today!!!

                                                      That's 5-0 on PODs. Check-in tomorrow for my next POD
                                                      Comment
                                                      • ksnooksk
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 11-18-11
                                                        • 2890

                                                        #28
                                                        Comment
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