Missouri May End up Favored over Auburn

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  • LT Profits
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-27-06
    • 90963

    #1
    Missouri May End up Favored over Auburn
    I bet Auburn -2 too early.
  • Kaabee
    SBR MVP
    • 01-21-06
    • 2482

    #2
    they already are at places.
    Comment
    • Big Bear
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 11-01-11
      • 43253

      #3
      it wont matter spread will be 1 or 2 points max anyway and wont have an impact on the game
      Comment
      • LT Profits
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 10-27-06
        • 90963

        #4
        I bet Auburn fearing a move up to -3 more than the line turning around. Oh well, just don't win by 1.
        Comment
        • Big Bear
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 11-01-11
          • 43253

          #5
          my rule of of thumb is if its less than a 3 point spread always take the ML no matter if taking the favorite or underdog
          Comment
          • LT Profits
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 10-27-06
            • 90963

            #6
            Originally posted by Big Bear
            my rule of of thumb is if its less than a 3 point spread always take the ML no matter if taking the favorite or underdog
            Generally, if you like the favorite, you take them ATS, if you like the underdog you take the ML. Doesn't make much sense to take the ML if a favorite is -2.5 or less because the push percentages don't justify laying the extra juice.
            Comment
            • jjgold
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 07-20-05
              • 388179

              #7
              LT all the squares on Auburn

              They had 3 miracle wins this year
              Comment
              • frogsrangers
                Restricted User
                • 04-25-12
                • 5792

                #8
                Missouri will win SU
                Comment
                • firedawg
                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                  • 10-08-08
                  • 39219

                  #9
                  They should have opened -2
                  Comment
                  • Big Bear
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 11-01-11
                    • 43253

                    #10
                    Originally posted by LT Profits
                    Generally, if you like the favorite, you take them ATS, if you like the underdog you take the ML. Doesn't make much sense to take the ML if a favorite is -2.5 or less because the push percentages don't justify laying the extra juice.
                    the reason i do this is b/c i have some really bad beats where i have had a team -3 and they ended up winning by 2. And then usually if a team covers 3 they will cover -6 too
                    Comment
                    • Big Bear
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 11-01-11
                      • 43253

                      #11
                      Originally posted by frogsrangers
                      Missouri will win SU
                      frost are you making money this season?
                      Comment
                      • SBR_John
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 07-12-05
                        • 16471

                        #12
                        Love the ground and pound offense of auburn. But their defense gonna have their hands full. They were certainly lucky against Georgia. BUT it wasn't luck that they pounded Alabama for 300 yards running the ball. I think we would all agree bama has a better run defense than Missouri.

                        Kind of comes down to can the auburn run game dominate and take the pressure off the porous auburn defense? I like the run team in these spots. It's dependable, less chance for turnovers and not bothered by injury to a qb or bad weather.
                        Comment
                        • pavyracer
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 04-12-07
                          • 82841

                          #13
                          Common guys for people who own and work for a sportsbetting site you are clueless. Books switch the line from -1.5 to +1.5 all the time to get teaser action on both sides. This does not mean there is a ton of money going on Mizzou to shift the line.
                          Comment
                          • Louisvillekid1
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 10-17-07
                            • 52143

                            #14
                            They should be favored MIZZOU front 7 is gonna dominate
                            Comment
                            • Big Bear
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 11-01-11
                              • 43253

                              #15
                              Originally posted by pavyracer
                              Common guys for people who own and work for a sportsbetting site you are clueless. Books switch the line from -1.5 to +1.5 all the time to get teaser action on both sides. This does not beam there is ton of money going on Mizzou to shift the line.
                              that actually makes sense. i didnt know that , but it makes sense
                              Comment
                              • Vinnie Paz
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 03-27-12
                                • 12177

                                #16
                                Concerns me Missouri coukdnt score on a horrific tamu defense though
                                Comment
                                • LT Profits
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 10-27-06
                                  • 90963

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by Big Bear
                                  the reason i do this is b/c i have some really bad beats where i have had a team -3 and they ended up winning by 2. And then usually if a team covers 3 they will cover -6 too
                                  But you originally said "less than 3". Exactly -3 is different story, it's OK to take the ML there depending on the price.
                                  Comment
                                  • BennyBigNuts
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 04-16-12
                                    • 8700

                                    #18
                                    Missouri is the best team in the country.
                                    They will win this week and it's a shame they will not be able to play for the title because of that fukkin jerkoff coach in the south carolina game.
                                    Team is the most well rounded team in college on both sides of the football. They can get it done either way. They lose their starting qb for 5 weeks and still got it done with the backup.
                                    This team was special.
                                    Unfortuantely, the coach fukked them hard.
                                    Sad story when they win this week and still won't have a chance.
                                    Comment
                                    • MoneyLineDawg
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 01-01-09
                                      • 13253

                                      #19
                                      Missouri's skill players on offense are really fukkin good....Green Beckham at WR is the next AJ Green and Josey the RB is a stud as well....They have about 3 other WRs that are all capable of big plays too

                                      Their defense is the real deal up front....Auburn is going to have to use a ton of trickery and be able to pass the ball to have a shot
                                      Comment
                                      • Louisvillekid1
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 10-17-07
                                        • 52143

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by BennyBigNuts
                                        Missouri is the best team in the country.
                                        They will win this week and it's a shame they will not be able to play for the title because of that fukkin jerkoff coach in the south carolina game.
                                        Team is the most well rounded team in college on both sides of the football. They can get it done either way. They lose their starting qb for 5 weeks and still got it done with the backup.
                                        This team was special.
                                        Unfortuantely, the coach fukked them hard.
                                        Sad story when they win this week and still won't have a chance.
                                        I agree
                                        Comment
                                        • Mayonnaise
                                          SBR High Roller
                                          • 09-15-13
                                          • 159

                                          #21
                                          AU is +1 1/2 right now, i woke up today and it was -2 1/2, thats a 4 point swing just today, that is unreal to me
                                          Comment
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