NCAA Basketball Play for Friday

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  • VegasInsider
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 12-12-10
    • 14593

    #1
    NCAA Basketball Play for Friday
    I absolutely love this game tomorrow night. It should be a good game, but I really believe the better team will pull this one out at the end.

    California Golden Bears -1

    I have watched this Cal team a few times already this season and they're a VERY good basketball team and only going to get stronger as the season continues. Richard Soloman will have the tough task working the paint against the giant from UCSB, Alan Williams. Yes, they kid is a beast. Averaging 27.5 and 11 this season, he's torching the opposition inside. However, with Soloman back and healthy again, I think he could neutralize the dominant big man.

    Cal's defense has been solid so far this season, allowing only 59 ppg in their 6 wins. The two loses, both on neutral counts were rough, albeit against quality teams in Dayton and Syracuse. According to KemPom, Cal has a Top 50 defense and Top 70 offense vs. a team from a much lower conference and skill set.

    The number is short and it isn't for everyone. It has the feel of the "trap" game with this being Cal's first true road game of the season. I'm going to suggest the the Pac 12 team in this matchup for a hefty amount. No locks, GOY or any other horseshit, just a strong play IMO (whatever that means percentage wise to you)

    Goodluck and thanks for reading.
  • COdoubleBizzle
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 11-11-13
    • 668

    #2
    Damn i liked this game too but if you're on it I'm gunna have to fade lol
    Comment
    • VegasInsider
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 12-12-10
      • 14593

      #3
      I'm not one of those guys!

      Oh man, have I become SBR fade material???

      Just because I don't have any cash to bet doesn't mean I can't pick some winners still
      Comment
      • VegasInsider
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 12-12-10
        • 14593

        #4
        Early money on Cal, which was to be expected. Wouldn't surprise me to see this get to -3
        Comment
        • Vegas39
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 09-22-11
          • 30686

          #5
          GL VI
          Comment
          • COdoubleBizzle
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 11-11-13
            • 668

            #6
            nah just giving ya sh*t man lol BOL ill prob hop on cal
            Comment
            • ChalkyDog
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 10-02-11
              • 9598

              #7
              Cal is a really good team. Jabari Bird is way underrated.

              I like it.
              Comment
              • agendaman
                SBR MVP
                • 12-01-11
                • 3741

                #8
                love cal bb. cal. cfb. team went 1-11 rough
                Comment
                • ChalkyDog
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 10-02-11
                  • 9598

                  #9
                  Originally posted by agendaman
                  love cal bb. cal. cfb. team went 1-11 rough
                  Buddy of mine told me Cal under on the season total was the lock of the decade. I think he got it at 4, and I thought he was nuts. Missed that one.
                  Comment
                  • 2daBank
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 01-26-09
                    • 88966

                    #10
                    Wanted to back Ucsb even tho they royally fukked me against the bruins few nights ago where they played the whole gm up or down a possession then managed to piss away a cover catchin 12 points (losing by 13).. Ucsb is a solid team but was hoping for at least +3.5 or 4. Can't really argue with ur play at that number. Gl
                    Comment
                    • VegasInsider
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 12-12-10
                      • 14593

                      #11
                      I agree, think it's going to be a tight game but Cal should pull away late. This def isn't a play against UCSB, just a play on a really great number at -1. Alford had tremendous things to say about this team after the UCLA game.
                      Comment
                      • 2daBank
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 01-26-09
                        • 88966

                        #12
                        The 1 thing bout cal is while there defensive numbers solid the better teams they have played have put up good numbers and they are weak defending the trey which ucsb has 3 guys that can flat stroke it.. Ucsb ranks 4th I believe in effective fg percentage while facing the 19 toughest schedule and teams that avg rank is 24th in defensive efficiency so not sure cals 49th defense is gonna slow them down..clearly d is the concern for ucsb but again they have faced a lot of good offensive teams that prob skew their numbers a little.. Might take a long look at the total here, prob passing on a side unless cal does get bet up to 3 or 4 then not sure I can lay off..
                        Comment
                        • VegasInsider
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 12-12-10
                          • 14593

                          #13
                          What are you thinking for a total? About 140-142?
                          Comment
                          • 2daBank
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 01-26-09
                            • 88966

                            #14
                            That seems like reasonable guess to me.. I'm on my phone so I won't be able to give a rock solid number till I get home in bout a hour. Kenpom has it slightly lower but I think it will come at least where u at if not little higher, Strange how high the cal/uc irvine total was tho(147?) Irvine certainly runs w a little more pace but not nearly as talented offensively IMO..
                            Comment
                            • jjgold
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 07-20-05
                              • 388179

                              #15
                              If Alan Williams has a bad game Calif wins easy or even if he has a average game. Insider I like the play.
                              Comment
                              • VegasInsider
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 12-12-10
                                • 14593

                                #16
                                Should be a great battle on the inside. This Cal team could be going places
                                Comment
                                • VegasInsider
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 12-12-10
                                  • 14593

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by 2daBank
                                  That seems like reasonable guess to me.. I'm on my phone so I won't be able to give a rock solid number till I get home in bout a hour. Kenpom has it slightly lower but I think it will come at least where u at if not little higher, Strange how high the cal/uc irvine total was tho(147?) Irvine certainly runs w a little more pace but not nearly as talented offensively IMO..
                                  Had it pegged pretty good, 142 at 5dimes.

                                  -2.5
                                  Comment
                                  • aaserv08
                                    SBR Rookie
                                    • 01-13-10
                                    • 41

                                    #18
                                    I'm rolling with Cal tonight as well. Should be a great game.

                                    Bol
                                    Comment
                                    • TwoWays
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 03-24-10
                                      • 13145

                                      #19
                                      Santa Barbara is a beautiful city. No loser in this game
                                      Comment
                                      • VegasInsider
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 12-12-10
                                        • 14593

                                        #20
                                        Reported you spammer
                                        Comment
                                        • jjgold
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 07-20-05
                                          • 388179

                                          #21
                                          Insider your on a mini roll here

                                          Lets roll it over tonight
                                          Comment
                                          • VegasInsider
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 12-12-10
                                            • 14593

                                            #22
                                            Gotta post winners to get in POTM
                                            Comment
                                            • VegasInsider
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 12-12-10
                                              • 14593

                                              #23
                                              Cal down 1 at half. Not bad considering they've missed nine 3's and are shooting before 40%
                                              Comment
                                              • VegasInsider
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 12-12-10
                                                • 14593

                                                #24
                                                Uh oh..
                                                Comment
                                                • frogsrangers
                                                  Restricted User
                                                  • 04-25-12
                                                  • 5792

                                                  #25
                                                  Alan Williams :bow:
                                                  Comment
                                                  • jjgold
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 07-20-05
                                                    • 388179

                                                    #26
                                                    These games are impossible

                                                    Just do your handicapping bet the opposite

                                                    I might start doing that

                                                    Insider call me now
                                                    Comment
                                                    • jessetk313
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 09-12-11
                                                      • 1298

                                                      #27
                                                      Yea I mean cal could not have played any worse tonight. They cant come up with any rebounds they got blocked 5 times at the rim. Just unreal really
                                                      Comment
                                                      • jessetk313
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 09-12-11
                                                        • 1298

                                                        #28
                                                        stupid fouls I just dont get it. This is horrible. Constantly fouling 30 ft from the rim come on!!
                                                        Comment
                                                        • VegasInsider
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 12-12-10
                                                          • 14593

                                                          #29
                                                          Need a miracle.

                                                          Calling the Bat Line, JJ
                                                          Comment
                                                          • COdoubleBizzle
                                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                                            • 11-11-13
                                                            • 668

                                                            #30
                                                            Damn, Vegas you're on auto face now. Damn you lol
                                                            Comment
                                                            • ChalkyDog
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 10-02-11
                                                              • 9598

                                                              #31
                                                              Tough loss.

                                                              USCB is a game squad. They've cost me twice now.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • ck7
                                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                                • 08-13-13
                                                                • 851

                                                                #32
                                                                Gaped.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • VegasInsider
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 12-12-10
                                                                  • 14593

                                                                  #33
                                                                  I def underestimated this UCSB squad. It was a play on a team I've seen play well and a very short number. Public money was wrong side here. Oh well, get them tomorrow.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • ZetaPsi808
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 09-18-08
                                                                    • 12119

                                                                    #34
                                                                    VI i tailed you 1/3 of a unit here

                                                                    i am counting on you to get it back for me

                                                                    give me a winner for saturday

                                                                    preferably an early game before 3 pm est b/c i gotta go into work then

                                                                    will put 2/3 of a unit on it so i can say i am in the black tailing you
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • 2daBank
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 01-26-09
                                                                      • 88966

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by VegasInsider
                                                                      Had it pegged pretty good, 142 at 5dimes.

                                                                      -2.5
                                                                      yea you pegged the total i pegged the side..
                                                                      Comment
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